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Iran declares it's 'not bound' by UN Law of the Sea over the Strait of Hormuz Iran's UN ambassador, Amir Saeid Iravani emphasized Iran's position on the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, April 27th. He stated that "Iran is not a party to the 1982 UN Convention on the L… |
Salute!
Without a new thread, which might appear over at the Blast, I just saw a great address concerning the direction two allies, separated by a common language, should go as they meet the challenges both face. I toast his majesty, King Charles III. Here, here... Gums... |
Thanks, Gums.
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Originally Posted by gums
(Post 12078031)
......................., I just saw a great address concerning the direction two allies, separated by a common language, should go as they meet the challenges both face. ..................
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Pakistan opens up road trade routes into Iran amid Hormuz blockade
Not exactly aviation, but following on the "land route" discussion recently...
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/...ormuz-blockade "Pakistan has opened six overland transit routes for goods destined for Iran, formalising a road corridor through its territory as thousands of containers remain stranded at Karachi port because of the United States blockade of Iranian ports and ships trying to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. ..." |
CENTCOM is looking to deploy the US Army’s Long-Range Hypersonic Weapon (Dark Eagle) to the Middle East in order to strike missile launchers that have been moved to sites deep within Iran -Bloomberg. The Dark Eagle, still undergoing testing, has a limited stockpile of rounds. US Seeks to Deploy Hypersonic Missile For the First Time Against Iran https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11991 The U.S. Army’s Long-Range Hypersonic Weapon (LRHW): Dark Eagle |
Axios: https://www.axios.com/2026/04/30/tru...iefing-centcom
Scoop: Commanders to brief Trump on new Iran military options Thursday President Trump is slated to receive a briefing on new plans for potential military action in Iranon Thursday from CENTCOM Commander Adm. Brad Cooper, two sources with knowledge tell Axios. Why it matters: The briefing signals that Trump is seriously considering resuming major combat operations either to try to break the logjam in negotiations or to deliver a final blow before ending the war. Behind the scenes: CENTCOM has prepared a plan for a "short and powerful" wave of strikes on Iran — likely including infrastructure targets — in hopes of breaking the negotiating deadlock, three sources with knowledge said. .
Trump told Axios on Wednesday that he saw the naval blockade on Iran as "somewhat more effective than the bombing." .
Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine is also expected to attend Thursday's briefing, the sources said. .
Cooper gave Trump a similar briefing on Feb. 26, two days before the U.S. and Israel launched the war against Iran. .
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If you are going to operationally test a weapon, may as well do it there.
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Less paperwork. No environmental impact studies.
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I have always found Perun's analysis of current military conflicts interesting and insightful. This is his latest "lessons learned" on the Iran war:
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Well if Iran says they are not bound by. the law of the sea. That puts them back to the daze of sail….Territorial waters were then limited to 3 miles ( a max muzzle loading cannon shot.) …bit of a comedown from 12 miles.
See Sal’s “ What the Ship “ report. He comments on Law of the Sea and Territorial Waters. The comment about bunker fuel shortages is an interesting twist. |
Iran is a signatory to UNCLOS, but has never ratified the treaty. The 2019 RQ-4A shootdown SE of the SoH was 8.3nm from Iranian land, which is within a "12-mile limit" which is not the distance that Iran is entitled to, being they are a signatory and ratified on the 1958 Geneva Convention, which is a 3-nautical mile territorial limit only. Seems you can have your falafel and your hummus too.
Iran promulgated a law, "Act on the Marine Areas of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea", on May 2, 1993. The analysis done on the law was it is inconsistent with UNCLOS, and introduces additional restrictions on innocent passage that are not based on the 1958 GC. All up, seems there is a bit of wooly headed thinking going on downtown. Can't say that after the attack by the Benny and Don show on the leadership of Iran, and sundry other high value targets, like a girls school (oops, how to win hearts and minds) that Iran didn't feel a bit aggrieved and turning off the spigot of the SoH seemed like a good idea, and was an expected outcome going back to the days that the last shah took up chemo offshore. Does seen that they can whinge within their own 3nm territorial waters, that is fair, if they want the 12nm limit they kind of need to put ink on a convention and follow the rules, and the 1993 Act of Marine Areas needs a bit of massaging to comply with UNCLOS. Their choice. In the interim, on the assumption that convoys and point defence from rowdy stuff is unpalatable, then as much as it really pains me to say it, Kapt Kaos is not wrong with locking down the SoH, but giving a free pass to Vlads mates boats, and any other vessels seems to be inconsistent, which has its own consistency, after all 180 tweets with every one being contradictory of an evening and early hours suggests that consistency is only found in KFC batter. India, China etc will be unhappy, and if y'all intend to do a rinse and repeat of the shootout at the OK coral, making friends with your friends might be a good starting point, rather than making friends with your historical and actual enemies. It may be that being a bit old fashioned today makes the view that a country that gives targeting information to another country that then attacks your assets and troops in the field on the basis of that information, is probably not one of your besties... remains a point of curiousness that the hawks in DC are quite happy with that state of affairs, and it does leave a question as to which side the troops think their lords and masters are actually on. Historically, (western front mutiny 1917 etc) it doesn't end well when the troops consider that their bosses are batting for the other team, or disinterested in their welfare. Given the budget of the VA, the food being provided to the sailors on their skimmers in the gulf, vs P1$$head Petes food bill for caviar and lobster tails which is sufficient to buy an F35 over a few months, they have a justifiable point of interest. |
Originally Posted by fdr
(Post 12079117)
Iran is a signatory to UNCLOS, but has never ratified the treaty. The 2019 RQ-4A shootdown SE of the SoH was 8.3nm from Iranian land, which is within a "12-mile limit" which is not the distance that Iran is entitled to, being they are a signatory and ratified on the 1958 Geneva Convention, which is a 3-nautical mile territorial limit only. Seems you can have your falafel and your hummus too.
Iran promulgated a law, "Act on the Marine Areas of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea", on May 2, 1993. The analysis done on the law was it is inconsistent with UNCLOS, and introduces additional restrictions on innocent passage that are not based on the 1958 GC. All up, seems there is a bit of wooly headed thinking going on downtown. Can't say that after the attack by the Benny and Don show on the leadership of Iran, and sundry other high value targets, like a girls school (oops, how to win hearts and minds) that Iran didn't feel a bit aggrieved and turning off the spigot of the SoH seemed like a good idea, and was an expected outcome going back to the days that the last shah took up chemo offshore. Does seen that they can whinge within their own 3nm territorial waters, that is fair, if they want the 12nm limit they kind of need to put ink on a convention and follow the rules, and the 1993 Act of Marine Areas needs a bit of massaging to comply with UNCLOS. Their choice. In the interim, on the assumption that convoys and point defence from rowdy stuff is unpalatable, then as much as it really pains me to say it, Kapt Kaos is not wrong with locking down the SoH, but giving a free pass to Vlads mates boats, and any other vessels seems to be inconsistent, which has its own consistency, after all 180 tweets with every one being contradictory of an evening and early hours suggests that consistency is only found in KFC batter. India, China etc will be unhappy, and if y'all intend to do a rinse and repeat of the shootout at the OK coral, making friends with your friends might be a good starting point, rather than making friends with your historical and actual enemies. It may be that being a bit old fashioned today makes the view that a country that gives targeting information to another country that then attacks your assets and troops in the field on the basis of that information, is probably not one of your besties... remains a point of curiousness that the hawks in DC are quite happy with that state of affairs, and it does leave a question as to which side the troops think their lords and masters are actually on. Historically, (western front mutiny 1917 etc) it doesn't end well when the troops consider that their bosses are batting for the other team, or disinterested in their welfare. Given the budget of the VA, the food being provided to the sailors on their skimmers in the gulf, vs P1$$head Petes food bill for caviar and lobster tails which is sufficient to buy an F35 over a few months, they have a justifiable point of interest. |
The Boxer Amphibious Ready Group, led by the USS Boxer (LHD-4) with the embarked 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) cleared the Malacca strait today heading for the Gulf.
That's about 7-10 days sailing depending what speed they make, and if they stop off at Diego Garcia to tipoff tanks and pick munitions and supplies. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....de0b018437.png |
We have discussed pipelines as alternate routes out of the Gulf here before but this article encompasses the current situation pretty comprehensively:
https://theconversation.com/what-alt...-hormuz-281805 However, the situation is more severe than the implied shortfall in deliveries: 1. Some 200 - 300 tankers have been taken out of the logistics supply route by dint of them being trapped in the Gulf. 2. Previously, Iranian tankers were not being blockaded as they now are. Quantity unknown. 3. Much of the product needed for Asia is now expected to come from N America. This will involve longer routes this taking up more tanker capacity. 4. Russian ability to supply is being slowly destroyed by Ukraine. Freight rates are rising and there are reports of shortages of bunker fuel. National reserves are being consumed. As an example of the seriousness of the current situation there are reports of used VLCCs being sold at greater than new build costs. Frankly, it's not looking good. |
Glad to hear this. Friday 1st MAY 2026
Trump declared Iran hostilities ‘terminated’ in letter to Congress ahead of war powers deadlineThat came in under the wire of the 60 day limit of the war powers act, well done. All done and dusted, back to normal, trade resumes through the straits I would assume. OPERATION EPIC FURY, one for the history books, and leading to PEACE IN OUR TIME. |
Not so glad to hear this though, also Friday 1st MAY 2026, just a few hours later....
Well, there will be need for a new operation name I guess. Stary tuned, we appear to have a Groundhog Day event developing, the 1: 60 rule being applied to global conflict, not just pilot navigation/geometry. |
Salute!
If Iran doesn't renounce nuclear weapons, then the world must decide its position. I don't think U.S. will accept any thing less. Power plants, yes, and U.S. will help. That has been the U.S. position since day one, and I can't unnerstan why many don't recognize that is: No nukes, but all the standard uranium and help they need for power plants and medical purposes. PERIOD! Gums sends... |
gums, that was the intent behind the 2015 deal...and the road to hell is paved with good intentions.
Originally Posted by fdr
(Post 12080201)
OPERATION EPIC FURY, one for the history books, and leading to PEACE IN OUR TIME.
Operation Epic FUBAR had built into it the small problem that Iran could try to 'wait it out' and see if they could make it to the 60 day finish line...which appears to have been a part of their strategy. The next week's follow up to that latest War Powers conflict in Congress should be entertaining. Meanwhile, someone is positioning the Marines to do something...thank you ORAC...the question is, what? lars: thank you for your incisive commets as regards shipping. |
Salute!
Not dreaming, Wolf, and two months ago I went back and read the 2015 thing(JCPOA) and a presentation by Obama. It makes for a good bed time fairy tale for your grand daughter. I recommend reading this. And recall that U.S. administration later delievered a zillion bucks cash to Iran by Kerry. Think it helped Iran procede in their efforts? https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/node/328996 Gums sends... |
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