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-   -   Is Ukraine about to have a war? (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/639666-ukraine-about-have-war.html)

Tartiflette Fan 14th Jul 2022 11:41


Originally Posted by NutLoose (Post 11261207)
And you think they will have stored them any better than the vehicles with their rotten tyres that they used for the invasion and that failed left right and centre?


​​​​​​…

Good point, although i might have imagined that they would>

ORAC 14th Jul 2022 13:05

Combat forklifts…..


NutLoose 14th Jul 2022 14:10


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11261564)
Combat forklifts…..

But when you are struggling to even supply basics such as fuel and food to your troops, niceties such as this are a long way down your list of prorities, even if it was in Russian service, which it is not.

rattman 14th Jul 2022 15:32


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11261564)
Combat forklifts…..


manatou (manortwo) for australians or a telehandlers for overseas

Video Mixdown 14th Jul 2022 16:54


Originally Posted by NutLoose (Post 11261601)
But when you are struggling to even supply basics such as fuel and food to your troops, niceties such as this are a long way down your list of prorities, even if it was in Russian service, which it is not.

I would put it the other way round. It is because they cannot provide such essential equipment in the first place, let alone maintain it and prevent it from being stolen, that their whole operation is such a s**t show. It is a microcosm of Russian society.

Lonewolf_50 14th Jul 2022 17:31

Interesting logistics train and interception mentioned here.

I infer from that brief post that someone figured out that it was going through Qatar, not to Qatar. ;)

uxb99 14th Jul 2022 20:00


Originally Posted by NutLoose (Post 11261488)
This has got to take some sustaining, "firing from 50,000 to 75,000 rounds of ammunition per day."

https://twitter.com/RisingSC_taiwan/...96646760542209

Well done Russia, excellent shooting :)

https://twitter.com/AMRAADfdg/status/1547538567970553857


..

Nothing new. Didn't we loose a Tornado in Afghanistan in similar circumstances?

Chugalug2 14th Jul 2022 20:11


Originally Posted by uxb99 (Post 11261767)
Nothing new. Didn't we loose a Tornado in Afghanistan in similar circumstances?

Yup, a known issue with the IFF failing to warn the crew of it failing. Still pressed into service against urgent advice to the contrary, blue on blue as sure as night follows day. Result, two more avoidable deaths as well as the loss of a valuable aircraft to boot.

Jobza Guddun 14th Jul 2022 20:44

UXB99, Chug,
That was Kuwait 2003 but your sentiment is correct.
RIP Kev and Dave

langleybaston 14th Jul 2022 21:08

There is a strange and deluded narrative emerging in the media, suggesting that, if Russia causes a European winter crisis by cutting off energy, the Ukraine will somehow be persuaded to seek terms.

The leverage is very thin: the principal countries providing help to Ukraine are either not likely to budge because of conviction, and/ or because of less vulnerability. The likes of Germany and Italy easing sanctions would certainly help Russia, but not to the extent of influencing the Ukraine. France, who wisely retained nuclear energy when most others flinched, might make soothing noises from the side-lines, but only to drown the sniggering at Germany's come-uppence. Merkel has a great deal to answer for.

Lordflasheart 14th Jul 2022 23:10

Red on Red
 
...
Tornado ZG710 23 March 2003


An historic office decision that it was not necessary to warn the crew that their IFF was not working. A known problem, identified and condoned, around five years earlier.

"Breaking the Military covenant - Who speaks for the Dead ?" by David Hill.

Chapter 20

More than two years earlier (Jan 2001) ....

"XD1 ruled that it was acceptable to:
  • Deliver an aircraft with the IFF failure warnings not integrated.
  • In the knowledge it was unsafe, falsely declare that it was safe.
  • Permit a non-engineer to overrule the engineering design/safety decisions of the person holding airworthiness and technical delegation."
Killed by official default. Glossed over by the Board of Inquiry. No-one called to account. One of many similar ignorant or stupid office decisions that inevitably ended badly on real-world operations.

I doubt whether Russian military short-comings involve such a high level of sophistication.

IIRC - Ironically, about the same time, a returning F-16 was lit up by a Patriot radar. Pilot fired off an ARM which destroyed the Patriot radar. "That's the way to do it."

LFH

ORAC 15th Jul 2022 04:20

And I’ll guarantee nothing much changed between 2010 and 2022…

Russian Army 2010 era ammunition storage practices photo thread shot with a DC Elite stupidity, money & power politics on parade chaser….


https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....17ea763292.png

ORAC 15th Jul 2022 04:42

Macron substantially toughening France’s position…

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/p...ssia-x95thvcvz

President Macron pledges all-out French effort to help Ukraine defeat Russia

President Macron warned France today that the war in Ukraine will turn “very hard” by autumn and pledged an all-out French effort to stop Russia winning.

After reviewing a Bastille Day military parade led by contingents from the former Soviet-bloc Nato states, Macron accused Moscow of using its energy supplies as a weapon and said all Russian gas supplies to France would soon be stopped.

Macron, who has been accused by eastern Europeans of seeking to appease President Putin, used his first television interview since his re-election in April to strike a tough tone in support of Kyiv and the “unbelievable courage of the Ukrainians”.

“We have to prepare ourselves for the war to last for some time. The summer and the beginning of autumn are no doubt going to be very hard,” he said, referring to Russia’s grinding offensive in the eastern Donbas region.

France would not falter in supplying weapons and supporting international sanctions, he said. “We want to stop this war without getting involved in the war ourselves. We have to do everything possible so that Russia cannot win and for Ukraine to defend its territory. We don’t want a world war, so we don’t want it to be extended [beyond Ukraine],” he added……

Macron warned France to brace for difficult times on the energy front. “Russia has already started to cut off gas supplies” by closing the Nord Stream 1 pipeline that delivers gas to the EU, he said. “That’s a very clear message: It will use gas as a weapon of war,” he said. “We will need to do without Russian gas completely.”

Only dependent on Russia for about 20 per cent of its gas, France is in a stronger position than Germany and other countries that import energy, he noted, but France must “enter a collective logic of restraint”, and reduce its consumption…..


ORAC 15th Jul 2022 05:47

https://www.politico.eu/article/euro...ussian-winter/

Europe’s Last Summer Before the Russian Winter

peter we 15th Jul 2022 09:39


Originally Posted by langleybaston (Post 11261802)
There is a strange and deluded narrative emerging in the media, suggesting that, if Russia causes a European winter crisis by cutting off energy, the Ukraine will somehow be persuaded to seek terms.

The leverage is very thin: the principal countries providing help to Ukraine are either not likely to budge because of conviction, and/ or because of less vulnerability. The likes of Germany and Italy easing sanctions would certainly help Russia, but not to the extent of influencing the Ukraine. France, who wisely retained nuclear energy when most others flinched, might make soothing noises from the side-lines, but only to drown the sniggering at Germany's come-uppence. Merkel has a great deal to answer for.

Russian mindset is that the Great Powers of Russia, Germany/UK and France decide everything between themselves. The little countries are puppets in their spheres of influence and therefore irrelevant. The very concept of these non countries having a say, is unimaginable.
Yet again reality has tripped up Russias invasion plans as it did in 1919-1921 when the attempt to invade Germany and France ran into Poland .
There is s dozen countries who will not back down

Low average 15th Jul 2022 09:40

I have the greatest respect for the Germans, they are a wonderful people. It should be remembered, however, that the world, at great sacrifice and suffering, helped to free them from their own home-grown tyrant. I would hope that the Germans (and other European nations) are now ready to repay the favour by helping the moral world to free the Russians from theirs. This will require a great deal of sacrifice all round, but it is the right thing to do.

Wokkafans 15th Jul 2022 10:33

July 15 (Reuters) - A British aid worker who was detained by Russian-backed separatists in Ukraine and accused of being a mercenary has died, an official in the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) said on Friday.


https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...ss-2022-07-15/


FUMR 15th Jul 2022 10:52

We simply cannot allow Putrid to bully us into submission. If we do, the future will be even bleaker, much bleaker! The western population need to be resilient no matter what the hardships are. Governments will need to work on convincing their people that appeasement failed and will do so again.

NutLoose 15th Jul 2022 11:32

Ukrainian Defense Minister Reznikov hinted at the possible delivery of ATACMS to Ukraine in an interview for Financial Times. That's a 190 mile range and could possibly bring the likes of Sevestapol into range, it would also be able to be positioned outside artillery range while it hits targets such as fuel and ammo dumps.



and still they take out more Russian stockpiles. It looks like they are going after the stuff Russia needs to support the frontlines.

https://twitter.com/Flash43191300/status/1547519412940541953


..

Lonewolf_50 15th Jul 2022 14:41

To the famous Belgian waffles we now add the infamous French waffle. :p (OK, only served up at Chez Macron).

Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11261906)
Macron substantially toughening France’s position…
Spoiler
 

Spoiler
 


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