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The South China Sea's Gathering Storm

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The South China Sea's Gathering Storm

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Old 11th Sep 2023, 08:03
  #1801 (permalink)  
 
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Shades of ‘An Impeccable Spy’, by Owen Matthews.
Highly recommended, if you haven’t already…




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Old 11th Sep 2023, 08:13
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Originally Posted by Asturias56
well the window before they have to provide for a very large population of retirees closes all the time. By 2035 or so they'll be in the same boat as the UK - not enough workers
They can chat to Putin, he has a cure related to windows!
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Old 11th Sep 2023, 08:37
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One of those cases that may never come to trial…

Hmm - I suspect it may be a hard charge to prove - whats the difference bewteen "research", PR and spying???
“The Telegraph understands that security services suspect a number of Chinese agents to be working in Westminster, and are planning to use the National Security Act, passed this summer, to detain them.

The Act introduced an offence of “foreign interference”, making it illegal for spies to meddle in elections or disrupt the workings of parliamentary democracy in the UK. Working covertly for a foreign hostile power will now become a criminal offence.

The two men were arrested on suspicion of offences under the old Official Secrets Act, which dates back to 1911 and is much harder to prove, because their alleged offences occurred before the national security act came into force……

MI5 had long complained to ministers that it previously did not have the powers to go after agents working for hostile states. A senior official – known only as Director K – complained to the Telegraph two years ago that the 1911 act was only suitable “if we catch somebody with a hand-drawn map intending to send it to an enemy”…..
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Old 11th Sep 2023, 13:10
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I'm surprised they got bail, maybe they've had an Apple Airtag hidden away inside and the intent is to see which power spirits them "home", embarrassing the Government again after he who skipped Wandsworth?
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Old 11th Sep 2023, 17:44
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Old 12th Sep 2023, 07:24
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Originally Posted by arf23
I'm surprised they got bail, maybe they've had an Apple Airtag hidden away inside and the intent is to see which power spirits them "home", embarrassing the Government again after he who skipped Wandsworth?
Suggests the offences are at the lower end of the scale and it would be hard to get a Judge to bang someone up for months

For what it's worth one of the accused has gone public and denies everything - this could be very messy - quite a few people on on record as supporting China over the last few years in the Commons
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Old 14th Sep 2023, 11:46
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Exercise / presence / demonstration of capability.
China sends 68 warplanes and 10 warships to surround Taiwan - World News - News - Daily Express US (the-express.com)

China copies a method from the Cold War playbook.
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Old 18th Sep 2023, 07:19
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https://www.skynews.com.au/world-new...025eb5c3d23803

CCP sanctioned video threatens China will nuke Japan in a 'full-scale war'

A new video circulated among Chinese Communist Party channels has warned China will destroy Japan with nuclear weapons in a "full-scale war" if Tokyo interferes militarily in Taiwan.

The new video singles out Japan threatening it will be the “exception” to China’s stated policy to not use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear powers.

“We will use nuclear bombs first. We will use nuclear bombs continuously. We will do this until Japan declares unconditional surrender for the second time,” the video said.

“When we liberate Taiwan, if Japan dares to intervene by force – even if it only deploys one soldier, one plane or one ship – we will not only return fire but also wage full-scale war against Japan itself.”

CCP Vows to Nuke Japan if Japan defends Taiwan. As Japan is the only country that has been nuked, so nuking Japan "will get twice the result with half the effort."
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Old 18th Sep 2023, 07:44
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Their rhetoric is starting to sound more like that of North Korea, who threatened many times in the past to turn Tokyo into a sea of flames. Looking silly.

Still, if it makes you feel powerful...
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Old 18th Sep 2023, 08:34
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Sounds like someone is compensating for their home audience.
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Old 18th Sep 2023, 23:03
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https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/.../103739450.cms

To counter China in Indian Ocean region, India plans 175-warship Navy by 2035
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Old 19th Sep 2023, 07:27
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The problem with India is their sclerotic shipyards -almost every programme is years behind schedule

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Old 19th Sep 2023, 15:54
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Not to alarm you, but this guy isn’t an alarmist…..

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Zeihan

So, on to why to be alarmed - and wonder what Xi might do to distract the public and get his name in their history books for a good rather than bad reason…



Astonishing video predicting China's likely political, economic, and social collapse from the highly respected @PeterZeihan….

​​​​​​​
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Old 19th Sep 2023, 15:57
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I really doubt it will collapse - these think tanks guys often extrapolate too far. The only large scale power that disintegrated, outside of wartime, was the Soviet Union - but 30 years later it still looks a lot like the old version to me TBH.
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Old 19th Sep 2023, 16:09
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Really?

https://tinyurl.com/4dcnuv3k

Putin’s Russia is a minnow compared to the Cold War Soviet Bloc
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Old 19th Sep 2023, 16:53
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yeah sure - its not what it was - but you could hardly describe it as "political, economic, and social collapse "

The capital is still in Moscow, the train still runs to Vladivostok - they've got more N weapons than the USA, they have a space programme and they used to own half of London - not too shabby TBH

Almost everyone has a far better standard of living as well -

Militarily - yes not as powerful but that's not everything
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Old 19th Sep 2023, 18:19
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Originally Posted by Asturias56
yeah sure - its not what it was - but you could hardly describe it as "political, economic, and social collapse "

The capital is still in Moscow, the train still runs to Vladivostok - they've got more N weapons than the USA, they have a space programme and they used to own half of London - not too shabby TBH

Almost everyone has a far better standard of living as well -

Militarily - yes not as powerful but that's not everything
Is it really true that almost everyone has a far better standard of living than in Soviet days? I get the impression life is still very primitive outside Moscow and St Petersburg.
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Old 19th Sep 2023, 23:17
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Search for new runways.....highways to beaches

US Air Force special operators' search for new runways is expanding from highways to beaches (msn.com)
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Old 19th Sep 2023, 23:56
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Problem is, china can back the rhetoric if it wants.
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Old 20th Sep 2023, 00:00
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You wonder if people are scouting out ww2 coral airfields.

The US-2 may become a very important aircraft, and some may look at the YC-14 and think...can we get an MRAP in that?
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