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The South China Sea's Gathering Storm

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The South China Sea's Gathering Storm

Old 16th May 2024, 14:10
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"Who knows what else they have on the stocks elsewhere."

Well this thread is full of pictures from commercial satellites showing Chinese bases being built and extended, ships under construction etc etc. I'd have thought that if a large carrier was under construction it would be spotted long before it was launched or floated out.

But your point about other vessels that are capable of carrying drones/helicopters is a good one - IIRC they have 3 LHD's and more building
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Old 25th May 2024, 22:36
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Not sure if this should be here or the American politics thread in Jet Blast - but, if true, these things can escalate out of control…..

Russia and North Korea may be planning a major military provocation ahead of the US election

A U.S. intelligence official told NBC News that North Korea may resort to the largest military provocation in a decade. He said Pyongyang would likely do so at the behest of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.

"We do not doubt that North Korea will behave provocatively this year. The only question is how much the situation will escalate," the U.S. intelligence official said.
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Old 26th May 2024, 07:52
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"We do not doubt that North Korea will behave provocatively this year"

they do that every year pretty much and the Kim dynasty LOVE to see their name in headlines so , yes, I'm sure they'll do their best but they won't do anything too risky - they 're interest is the preservation of their power, not expansion - whatever they say. They're not going to risk putting all their cash on one spin of the wheel
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Old 29th May 2024, 08:45
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https://asiatimes.com/2024/05/us-mul...o-deter-china/

US mulls nuke cruise missiles on subs to deter China

Escalatory move would forward-deploy long-range nuke missiles on Virginia-class attack subs to close a deterrence gap with China
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Old 29th May 2024, 13:10
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Great. We are back to the Cold War with a huge difference: the ability to squeeze the Chinese economically as was done to the USSR simply isn't present.
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Old 2nd Jun 2024, 12:17
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https://www.twz.com/air/land-based-v...er-makes-sense

Mounting evidence of a new land-based version of the J-35 fighter points to what could be a big boost for PLAAF modernization efforts
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Old 2nd Jun 2024, 12:35
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Is the Dark side of the Moon a part of the South China Sea? Asking for a friend in Taipei.
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Old 2nd Jun 2024, 13:41
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Lots of alarming views on LBC radio today. China's claims on Taiwan will have to bear fruit else the claims will look weak and foolish. How those claims can be realised is in dispute but what is known is that it will cause problems for the West.
How long before war with China?
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Old 2nd Jun 2024, 17:00
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I think the probability of an actual Chinese invasion of Taiwan is pretty low given how hard amphibious ops are. A much more likely scenario is that China creates some pretext to blockade Taiwan. Cutting off all civilian maritime trade would be relatively easy and have a devastating effect on the Taiwan economy. The choice for the Taiwanese would be simple, regime change to a Chinese controlled puppet government or economic ruin.

The question is would the West be willing to directly engage PLA forces to break an illegal blockade ?
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Old 3rd Jun 2024, 07:24
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Originally Posted by Buster Hyman
Is the Dark side of the Moon a part of the South China Sea? Asking for a friend in Taipei.
I think anything round belongs to China. So that would include both sides of the moon.
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Old 3rd Jun 2024, 07:27
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Tianxia, literally 'under Heaven', is a Chinese term for a historical Chinese cultural concept that denoted either the entire geographical world or the metaphysical realm of mortals, and later became associated with political sovereignty.
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Old 3rd Jun 2024, 11:47
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China Coast Guard seizes PH supplies for Ayungin

MANILA, Philippines — The China Coast Guard (CCG) has been accused of seizing and dumping overboard food and other supplies meant for Filipino troops stationed at a remote outpost in Ayungin (Second Thomas) Shoal, and allegedly obstructing a medical evacuation of ailing soldiers.

Both incidents took place on May 19, when the Philippine Navy performed an airdrop operation to bring the items to the BRP Sierra Madre, a dilapidated warship grounded in 1999 to protect Manila’s claims to the shoal, according to a ranking military official….
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