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rodan 27th Sep 2022 14:04

Humberside may not benefit in the immediate aftermath, but it could do well in the medium term from this. It used to punch above its weight with IT flights, before DSA opened.

wowzz 27th Sep 2022 15:47


Originally Posted by rodan (Post 11303619)
Humberside may not benefit in the immediate aftermath, but it could do well in the medium term from this. It used to punch above its weight with IT flights, before DSA opened.

I certainly hope so. Anything to avoid the hell hole that is LBA.

pabely 27th Sep 2022 19:10


Originally Posted by wowzz (Post 11303602)
I would have thought the catchment area would be far too small to interest the likes of TUI. Anyone living west of the A1 is more likely to head for LBA or EMA.

TUI will know the postcode of every booking which went through DSA. If the numbers add up Humberside might have a chance of capacity increases.

BristolexFlyer 27th Sep 2022 20:18


Originally Posted by wowzz (Post 11303602)
I would have thought the catchment area would be far too small to interest the likes of TUI. Anyone living west of the A1 is more likely to head for LBA or EMA.

I am fairly confident in saying that Humberside has, in the past, been Tui/Thomson’s best selling UK departure point. We’re going back a few years, but it genuinely rings a bell. Over the years, they flew to Palma, Ibiza, Tenerife, Reus, Corfu, Dalaman and a couple more. Even 767 on the Corfu (W LBA).

Kind regards

BristolexFlyer

Buster the Bear 27th Sep 2022 21:02

767-300 of Britannia/Thomson would have been circa 2004 or 2005. Is Humberside H24 or have the facility to extend opening into the night for delayed movements?

BristolexFlyer 27th Sep 2022 21:45


Originally Posted by Buster the Bear (Post 11303832)
767-300 of Britannia/Thomson would have been circa 2004 or 2005. Is Humberside H24 or have the facility to extend opening into the night for delayed movements?

It was an LBA based 767-200. Did Corfu W, and either PMI or IBZ W also.

Kind Regards

BristolexFlyer

wowzz 27th Sep 2022 22:46


Originally Posted by BristolexFlyer (Post 11303816)
I am fairly confident in saying that Humberside has, in the past, been Tui/Thomson’s best selling UK departure point. We’re going back a few years, but it genuinely rings a bell. Over the years, they flew to Palma, Ibiza, Tenerife, Reus, Corfu, Dalaman and a couple more. Even 767 on the Corfu (W LBA).

Kind regards

BristolexFlyer

Can you explain what you mean by "best selling departure " point ?
It obviously wasn't the number of passengers, or the number of flights, so what was it ?

BristolexFlyer 27th Sep 2022 22:51


Originally Posted by wowzz (Post 11303882)
Can you explain what you mean by "best selling departure " point ?
It obviously wasn't the number of passengers, or the number of flights, so what was it ?

Afraid I have no idea. I followed HUY closely, still do. It’s not out of thin air, but I completely understand without hard evidence, it cannot be substantiated.

Kind Regards

BristolexFlyer

pug 27th Sep 2022 23:05


Originally Posted by BristolexFlyer (Post 11303885)
Afraid I have no idea. I followed HUY closely, still do. It’s not out of thin air, but I completely understand without hard evidence, it cannot be substantiated.

Kind Regards

BristolexFlyer

I seem to recall it was rate of sale that was amongst the best performing in the UK. The year DSA opened, HUY had 8 weekly departures to PMI alone, including one on a Thomson 767. Obviously things conspired. I would question whether there is any will from the owners of HUY to pursue this market once more, given the increased costs in doing so.

wowzz 28th Sep 2022 07:13


Originally Posted by pug (Post 11303887)
I seem to recall it was rate of sale that was amongst the best performing in the UK. The year DSA opened, HUY had 8 weekly departures to PMI alone, including one on a Thomson 767. Obviously things conspired. I would question whether there is any will from the owners of HUY to pursue this market once more, given the increased costs in doing so.

What exactly does "rate of sale" mean in this context?

GAXLN 28th Sep 2022 10:26

Basically how quickly the flights are selling. Those airports with a high rate of sale (basically percentage of seat capacity sold over a given period of time) may be in line for more capacity than those with a low rate of sale who may lose capacity. But you also have to factor in area of country as Northern airports tend to sell more early on than Southern ones but this effect works itself out eventually as Southern one’s catch up. Also long haul sells earlier than short/medium haul. Each tour operator will have its own expectation at to where it expects to be at a particular point in time for a particular airport and will also need to account for new route effect, route mix etc. when analysing and comparing. An interesting science for all concerned.

davidjpowell 28th Sep 2022 11:51

There is still some pressure on locally to resolve this and either find a buyer or carry out CPO.

Now Tui have started to move their flights I have my doubts how it can be viable, but airports have had closures and near misses, and come back so who knows. I'm far form certain how successful a CPO would be. I'm sure that would be a long drawn out process with a lot of disagreement on value!

pug 28th Sep 2022 12:14


Originally Posted by davidjpowell (Post 11304186)
There is still some pressure on locally to resolve this and either find a buyer or carry out CPO.

Now Tui have started to move their flights I have my doubts how it can be viable, but airports have had closures and near misses, and come back so who knows. I'm far form certain how successful a CPO would be. I'm sure that would be a long drawn out process with a lot of disagreement on value!

Going back to my post a few days ago regarding the legalities, I would assume that there are no legally binding clauses which stipulate land at DSA must be retained for aviation uses given the news on Monday. I’ve seen the CPO option mentioned a few times during the last few months, but like blocking any planning applications I’m not sure how it would stand up at appeal. Who sets the amount of compensation to those subject to a CPO? How would the land be valued should it be subject to a CPO, as an airport that has apparently lost a lot of money, or a large plot of development land worth £hundred of millions?

I don’t think it’s over yet.

wowzz 28th Sep 2022 14:29


Originally Posted by GAXLN (Post 11304102)
Basically how quickly the flights are selling. Those airports with a high rate of sale (basically percentage of seat capacity sold over a given period of time) may be in line for more capacity than those with a low rate of sale who may lose capacity. But you also have to factor in area of country as Northern airports tend to sell more early on than Southern ones but this effect works itself out eventually as Southern one’s catch up. Also long haul sells earlier than short/medium haul. Each tour operator will have its own expectation at to where it expects to be at a particular point in time for a particular airport and will also need to account for new route effect, route mix etc. when analysing and comparing. An interesting science for all concerned.

Thank you for your comprehensive reply.

Buster the Bear 28th Sep 2022 14:53

https://ukaviation.news/doncaster-sh...business-park/

stewyb 28th Sep 2022 15:54


Originally Posted by Buster the Bear (Post 11304281)

Well that didn’t take long for them to announce their intentions, quite disgusting actually when this affects hundreds of airport staff!

Asturias56 28th Sep 2022 16:20

"How would the land be valued should it be subject to a CPO, as an airport that has apparently lost a lot of money, or a large plot of development land worth £hundred of millions?"

Guess.

And who can afford a CPO on any grounds? The council has better uses for its cash - or it will have shortly after the "mini-budget"

ShyTorque 28th Sep 2022 17:00


Originally Posted by wowzz (Post 11302960)
I have used DSA as much as possible, but basically, unless you want to fly with TUI, you were out of options. If Easy or Jet2 had based just two airframes there, the story might have been different.

I agree, the usual purpose of an airport is that you get on an aeroplane which takes you where you want to go, rather than looking at where the airline wants you to go!

(Yes I have flown from there…I actually used to work there).

pug 28th Sep 2022 18:28


Originally Posted by GAXLN (Post 11304102)
Basically how quickly the flights are selling. Those airports with a high rate of sale (basically percentage of seat capacity sold over a given period of time) may be in line for more capacity than those with a low rate of sale who may lose capacity. But you also have to factor in area of country as Northern airports tend to sell more early on than Southern ones but this effect works itself out eventually as Southern one’s catch up. Also long haul sells earlier than short/medium haul. Each tour operator will have its own expectation at to where it expects to be at a particular point in time for a particular airport and will also need to account for new route effect, route mix etc. when analysing and comparing. An interesting science for all concerned.

Sorry for thread drift, but I understand that Humberside sold premium holidays early at a high rate for Thomson (as was). I’m not sure how it works in comparison to the flight only airlines, but I’m of the impression that the tour operators like to sell early at a good mark up, which is why you tend to see cheap last minute deals to fill hotel rooms that would otherwise be left empty.. Conversely the lower cost seat only airlines sell their bargain bucket fares early and increase the prices as it gets closer to departure. Obviously it is far more complex than that in reality, but it’s a simple overview. It’s relevant here because Humberside for a number of years before DSA did exceptionally well with the IT Charter market, the catchment area supported the flights well. The opening of DSA and the impact of consolidation during the financial crash fractured this market and HUY has all but abandoned this sector to focus on what it sees as its core business. It is actually profitable in this state, albeit marginally. I’m sceptical as to whether there is a will to pick up where it left off 16 or 17 years ago when traffic was at its peak, lots has changed in the industry since then.

Im seeing the closure of DSA as a net loss to the region currently.


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