PPRuNe Forums

PPRuNe Forums (https://www.pprune.org/)
-   Airlines, Airports & Routes (https://www.pprune.org/airlines-airports-routes-85/)
-   -   Carlisle-2 (https://www.pprune.org/airlines-airports-routes/602150-carlisle-2-a.html)

stewyb 29th May 2018 16:46

Had doubts as to whether this would ever take off and nothing I have seen or heard changes this. It may only be a 3 month delay but something tells me there is an ulterior motive behind this and I would bet it has to do with forward ticket sales, or lack of. Don't see it being ATC shortages after all this time to set up and implement!

ZOOKER 29th May 2018 16:57

The current problem is U.K.- wide. It's nothing to do with CLDA/Stobart or Loganair. It goes back in fact to the end of WW2, and was 'enhanced' by the 1970s oil-crisis. In the late 1980s, NATS introduced irrelevant 'SHL aptitude tests' for those applying to be ATCOs, and reduced the entry requirements from 2 'A' levels to 5 GCSE 'O' Levels. The pass rate on each course dropped from 95% to about 20%. In spite of a major recruitment drive from 1978 onwards, the 'recruitment bulge' is now a 'retirement bulge'.
The present shortage is a 'global problem'.
Many of those appointed to HR/training positions, post-PFI, had no ATC or aviation experience, and couldn't get their heads around how long it takes to qualify to do the job. Heathrow's best controller cannot walk into Carlisle tower and start work on day 1. Also, new training regulations introduced by the European Aviation Safety Authority are an issue. Way back, a controller's licence was valid for the lifetime of the holder. I believe that is no longer the case?

Planespeaking 29th May 2018 17:02


Originally Posted by stewyb (Post 10159976)
Had doubts as to whether this would ever take off and nothing I have seen or heard changes this. It may only be a 3 month delay but something tells me there is an ulterior motive behind this and I would bet it has to do with forward ticket sales, or lack of. Don't see it being ATC shortages after all this time to set up and implement!

How true. Why not tell the truth weeks ago, be it lack of ATC staff or bookings. Instead Stobart and Loganair have treated their customers like idiots, blaming IT problems, creating confusion and uncertainty. Most of the posters in this forum had waved the flag that there was something wrong here, and once again they were proved right. It does nothing for Stobart's credibility, and I guess Loganair will wish their name hadn't been dragged in the mud.

DC3 Dave 29th May 2018 17:06


Originally Posted by stewyb (Post 10159976)
Had doubts as to whether this would ever take off and nothing I have seen or heard changes this. It may only be a 3 month delay but something tells me there is an ulterior motive behind this and I would bet it has to do with forward ticket sales, or lack of. Don't see it being ATC shortages after all this time to set up and implement!

Well, if you're right I don't see starting in September helping anyone. At least Loganair are now in a strong position to judge future demand and if they choose to proceed that's the only positive I can see in this.

Planespeaking 29th May 2018 17:28


Originally Posted by DC3 Dave (Post 10159993)
Well, if you're right I don't see starting in September helping anyone. At least Loganair are now in a strong position to judge future demand and if they choose to proceed that's the only positive I can see in this.

So it now starts on the 3rd September, just when the tourist season is over and the week most of the kids go back to school.
It's also the anniversary of the start of WW2. Hmm! Someone has really thought this through!

ZOOKER 29th May 2018 17:37

EU ATCO Licensing regulations may have been an issue. I don't know, but if you haven't got ATC staff trained and licensed to do the job, it doesn't go. They could use the delay as a 'window of opportunity' to get radar installed. That would help EGNC tremendously, given the amount of GA, RAF activity and local terrain.

SWBKCB 29th May 2018 17:54

The fact that you need trained ATC shouldn't have come as a shock, especially as they've been told often enough locally. Given the fiasco of the runway closure - tenants given days notice of the total closure of the runway, planning and communication don't seem to be strong points. Judging by the (many) FB comments, a lot of goodwill lost.

LTNman 30th May 2018 06:52

The bottom line is that starting scheduled services on the day most kids go back to school is not a great start. I wonder when it dawned on Stobart they had a problem with no plan B.

Also no radar but what about an ILS?

highwideandugly 30th May 2018 07:15

Zooker...with all due respect..Radar? Firstly where is the money going to come from..tax payers again? Where are the additionally rated ATC personal going to come from,when they can’t even get unrated Atcos?
ADditionally hardly any military traffic around these days
.
ILS ? same applies.
didnt I read somwhere that Newcastle offered to do some ATC work on their behalf but it was turned down due cost?Says it all really?

Bottom line is..A transport logistics base was required and hey presto due to smoke and mirrors we have it,without the need for an operational airport and the additional costs and problems that brings..as I said earlier..Result!

TCAS FAN 30th May 2018 07:24

...........but what about an ILS?


RNAV (GNSS) with LPV will be infinitely cheaper!

Expressflight 30th May 2018 07:57

I believe there is an application in with the CAA for a certificated RNAV system for CAX. Frankly I don't see how they can carry out reliable scheduled ops without at least that facility.

Tagron 30th May 2018 08:00

TCAS FAN

In fact Carlisle have already submitted an Airspace Change Process application for RNAV (GNSS) procedures with LPV option back in December. The system limits for the LPV approaches have recently been reduced from 250 to 200 feet, though of course local features such as obstacles and approach and runway lighting will generate somewhat higher OCHs. In short very similar to ILS Cat 1 without the expense of installation and maintenance of ground based facilities, so no need for ILS.

The application has not yet been determined. On April 6 CAA wrote to CAX requiring a further noise survey. On May 23 CAX wrote to CAA requesting an urgent determination in the form of a temporary airspace arrangement. The reply (from the Deputy Director of Airspace Policy) on May 24 indicated consideration might be given but subject to further supporting evidence. This correspondence is a matter of public record.

Tagron 30th May 2018 08:26

Expressflight

I believe the intention is to maintain the existing NDB/DME procedures alongside the RNAV . The OCHs for Cat B aircraft are 407 and 500 feet on these approaches so whilst actual limits will be higher than for the LPV approaches (I don't know how RVRs will compare) it seems to me quite workable. My knowledge of CAX weather is not enough to suggest how often this would produce a problem. Of course it is Loganair's take on it, not mine, that matters.

uncle dickie 30th May 2018 09:26

So a CAT 1 ILS will produce a DH of say 200’/ RVR 550m, provided full approach lighting is installed.
What will the proposed new approach give?

Probably fine in the summer, but in winter with lowish Cumbrian cloud, it might well prove problematic?


SWBKCB 30th May 2018 09:32


Probably fine in the summer, but in winter with lowish Cumbrian cloud, it might well prove problematic?
There's summer in Cumbria? I'm sure it's all been thought through.... :rolleyes:

Tagron 30th May 2018 11:07

Whilst on the subject of CAX facilities and ATC, I cannot see any need for radar in the context of separation of CAXs own traffic. There are only eight scheduled CAT movements during the whole day and even if there is the occasional non-scheduled IFR arrival which may conflict, non radar procedural separation should be entirely adequate. The integration of IFR flights with a visual circuit may be a consideration but surely addressable by agreeing procedures with local GA operators, and the amount of GA at CAX is very low in my experience. I make this point because it often seems that non pilots on these forums do not understand that departure and arrival procedures are designed to be flown without radar assistance.

It is true of course that radar could be of advantage in giving advance warning of unidentified transit traffic in the Class G airspace below FL95 which is the lowest CAS base in the vicinity of CAX and for reasons suggested by ZOOKER above, in effect providing an additional layer of safety. Then if CAA had believed there was an essential safety case for radar they surely would have made that clear long ago and CAX would have known they had to comply..

SWKCB, Of course the need for trained ATC did not come as a shock - they had been operating ATC at CAX for years, they did not need to be told by others. What may have caught them out was recruiting the numbers they needed when the length of operating day was increased from 8 hours to 15, or even longer when provision for delays was included. So I for one am quite prepared to accept the CAX explanation for postponement as valid and if there are other unstated reasons no doubt they will become apparent in the fullness of time.

SWBKCB 30th May 2018 11:18


SWKCB, Of course the need for trained ATC did not come as a shock - they had been operating ATC at CAX for years, they did not need to be told by others. What may have caught them out was recruiting the numbers they needed when the length of operating day was increased from 8 hours to 15, or even longer when provision for delays was included. So I for one am quite prepared to accept the CAX explanation for postponement as valid and if there are other unstated reasons no doubt they will become apparent in the fullness of time.
I've no reason to doubt that it is reason, but if recruitment and training is such a long lead item how have they been caught out? It is hard to believe that they only knew a few days before the launch of services that they couldn't operate as advertised.

Tagron 30th May 2018 11:32

They could have had resignations or drop outs of prospective new employees. In this situation of a world wide shortage of ATCOs I wonder how many would be waiting in the wings ready to relocate to Carlisle. And of course they would have wanted to keep the show on the road if they thought there was any glimmer of hope. We don't know they were unaware until only a few days before launch and we don't know what measures they might have attempted to address the situation

NorthSouth 30th May 2018 12:59


Originally Posted by Expressflight (Post 10160442)
I believe there is an application in with the CAA for a certificated RNAV system for CAX. Frankly I don't see how they can carry out reliable scheduled ops without at least that facility.

Loganair has been doing just that for decades at a number of Highlands & Islands airfields with no radar or ILS.

nighthawk117 31st May 2018 09:25


Originally Posted by NorthSouth (Post 10160676)
Loganair has been doing just that for decades at a number of Highlands & Islands airfields with no radar or ILS.

and without ATC coverage too.


All times are GMT. The time now is 08:20.


Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.