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Beatts 19th Sep 2017 15:03

Newcastle-9
 
Celebrated the 4 millionth passenger of 2017 today.

HH6702 19th Sep 2017 16:22

EasyJet march-June 2018 goes on sale tomorrow morning not expecting any changes ?

DanAir89 19th Sep 2017 17:25


Originally Posted by Beatts (Post 9896970)
Celebrated the 4 millionth passenger of 2017 today.

Wouldn't have been to/from Bristol as the only flight is at around 9pm🙁,l'll get my coat before it all (unnecessarily) kicks off again....

tigertanaka 19th Sep 2017 18:02


Originally Posted by highwideandugly (Post 9896060)
I'm not sure these days what say airports actually have in a route network.

I'm sure Newcastle would love to have 3 daily returns to Bristol,Belfast,Stansted Gatwick and now Copenhagen et al...the airlines do the sums(apparently) and think Bristol to Poland ( that's a pick out of the sky BTW) makes them more money than a short haul routes with a potential of 200k passengers per year?, and that was Copenhagen as well ??
Now the common denominator is...EZY !!

Not sure what the answer is..we are all armchair CEOs. But without being parochial..this is the NE backwater!

No hope south of the region in DTV..at least Ncl is on the up again.

I am sure they have very little say in the routes they operate unless they are providing some subsidy in one form or another. However airports can encourage airlines by analysing their local market demands in detail and putting forward a case for a new destination.

The armchair CEO comment is absolutely spot on for this forum. Whilst we all have our opinions, posters would do well to remember that airlines have a mountain of data and teams of analysts to help them in their route planning (I'm no expert but off the top of my head: demographics, historical demand, business/tourism potential, load factor, yield, trolley sales, cargo potential, length of flight, turnaround time, landing fees, government taxes, cannibalisation of existing routes, competitor presence, crewing, not to mention aircraft availability)

Hey, MME beat NCL to a flight to NWI...!

DanAir89 19th Sep 2017 18:13


Originally Posted by tigertanaka (Post 9897185)
I am sure they have very little say in the routes they operate unless they are providing some subsidy in one form or another. However airports can encourage airlines by analysing their local market demands in detail and putting forward a case for a new destination.

The armchair CEO comment is absolutely spot on for this forum. Whilst we all have our opinions, posters would do well to remember that airlines have a mountain of data and teams of analysts to help them in their route planning (I'm no expert but off the top of my head: demographics, historical demand, business/tourism potential, load factor, yield, trolley sales, cargo potential, length of flight, turnaround time, landing fees, government taxes, cannibalisation of existing routes, competitor presence, crewing, not to mention aircraft availability)

Hey, MME beat NCL to a flight to NWI...!

All the educated accountants on here missed the vital point re BRS. It was traveller feedback/real life experiences and an expression that they had paid more than £25.99 each way therefore were prepared to pay more for a direct service at more convenient times - profitability is stating the bleeding obvious!

Given the number of airlines that have fallen by the way side due to massive losses and no cash it's a hard business so unless you have the relevant experience in running a profitable airline your comments are no more informed!

Spotters comments, no mention of aircraft regs😀

highwideandugly 19th Sep 2017 20:19

Interesting. I never really understand yield?? Ok so Newcastle Bristol is sold at 29.99. And they get 100k passengers per year. And they scrap it. So. Why not try to sell for a year at 59.99. Give it a try...I'm sure EK77WNCL amongst many others..inc.me would use it

Am I missing something? Give it a go with increased fares..surely?? These low cost carriers are so blinkered....

Flightrider 19th Sep 2017 20:45

If you look at some of the easyJet domestic routes like NCL/BRS and GLA/BFS, they are effectively flying now at peak times only - Monday morning, Thu/Fri/Sun night and a much reduced frequency at other times of the week. It is only on very high volume routes or those with direct competition that you will find what historically would have been considered to be a business schedule.

In effect, the easyJet aircraft is fulfilling the equivalent of the National Express bus to allow business commuters, VFR passengers, students, wedding/hen/stag parties to travel at the times they are most likely to want to. If you can make more by flying a single NCL/FAO rotation on a Thursday morning versus a NCL/BRS and a NCL/BFS roundtrip in the same time slot, then you will. Into that equation, you not only have to consider yield but the likelihood of passengers booking hold baggage and spending on board - both of which are likely to be higher on the FAO given length of flight and length of stay than the BRS + BFS rotations combined.

DanAir89 20th Sep 2017 08:09

After some constructive feedback, check out the twice daily service to brs on wed and thurs next year!

HH6702 20th Sep 2017 08:35

Lol.
Who would have thought that management took advice from this forum

Who we going to start on next !!!

EK77WNCL 20th Sep 2017 16:21

The Saturday morning flight also starts a few weeks earlier than it has in previous years, this is normally on an A320 and normally rather full from my experience.

Very good news that EZY has increased frequency... Times are still a bit sh*t, but it's a good move in the right direction and I'm pleased to see it!

highwideandugly 20th Sep 2017 18:30

Don't know how it works..someone might offer help..is it a couple of well meaning guys in planning/ops/finance .or do they really look at the These routes.

Newcastle to Bristol merits at least 3 returns per day..just look at rail figures,probable car journeys and definitely air passengers in the past.
Yield again...just up the prices..they will still come!!!
Rocket science?? I think not...

tigertanaka 20th Sep 2017 21:19

Prices do seem low on NCL-BRS compared to the train. The cheapest rail tickets seem to be around £120 return for a 5 hour direct journey whilst you can take the flight for under £70 return and this includes £26 APD! A short notice example for a business trip next Monday morning, returning Tuesday evening shows a flight cost of £108 but the train will cost double that and would take much longer.

VentureGo 21st Sep 2017 09:07

Have easyJet stopped flying to Split from NCL? I'm sure it was available earlier this year.

NorthEasterner 21st Sep 2017 09:34

Split only operates until 17th September.

Beatts 21st Sep 2017 14:14

How come the old thread closed and moved to this? I am new to PPrune so sorry if this sounds dumb!

VentureGo 21st Sep 2017 14:33


Originally Posted by NorthEasterner (Post 9898988)
Split only operates until 17th September.

Yes, - Sorry I meant Split does not appear on the easyJet booking tool for Summer 2018, so has this route been dropped from Newcastle for Next Year

HH6702 21st Sep 2017 14:53

Does it not start end of June so will be released with the next lot?
I'm sure thomson have a seat allocation on it could be wrong

skyman771 21st Sep 2017 15:04


Originally Posted by Beatts (Post 9899355)
How come the old thread closed and moved to this? I am new to PPrune so sorry if this sounds dumb!

Yep you are now close to celebrity status! :uhoh:

On a more relevant point, then note all the comment on where & when EZY should fly, whether one agrees or otherwise with individual comments, then the whole assessment as to what is profitable, yields etc. appear to be put forward with a somewhat parochial view as to EZY's operations.
EZY is a large EU wide operation & whilst a route may be dropped that is profitable, then one presumes that this is because it has been calculated that on aggregate over a set period, greater revenue can be obtained by that aircraft elsewhere.
The main restriction such an ideal scenario is that in such a fixed period then aircraft / crews are "based" & as such route flexibility is then limited. The result is that it is easy to identify a particular route / timing as being "profitable" but to achieve requires available aircraft capacity.
Everyone would love to see their required route leave at a peak hour, but this also is not possible.
Maybe time to give NCL - BRS a rest, after all EZY have run it in past at varying times & frequencies & it is down to their detailed route / revenue knowledge rather than that of individuals limited assessment that the route has to fit in as it does.

Beatts 21st Sep 2017 21:05

Interesting, Thomas Cook operating a W pattern flight using based ac for Leeds to Antalya next summer.

NorthEasterner 21st Sep 2017 21:37


Originally Posted by HH6702 (Post 9899412)
Does it not start end of June so will be released with the next lot?
I'm sure thomson have a seat allocation on it could be wrong

Yes, TUI along with others sell seats on SPU bundled in the package deals.

EK77WNCL 21st Sep 2017 22:47

I was wondering about Split, I couldn't remember whether it started late May or late June last year. Either way, I know it's a short season. Hope to see it come back!

Completely understand skyman's point and he's exactly right. In any situation, the routes/schedules proposed are almost guaranteed to require a 4th based frame. I still do hope this will happen, because a lot of new routes would then become viable (Either that or operated by "away" frames as opposed to "home" frames)

Fortunately (or unfortunately, as the case may be) it would seem that easyJet has hit a profitable sweet spot at Newcastle. They could probably still make money bringing in a 4th or even 5th A319/20 and bringing back Amsterdam, Venice, Munich, Milan, Copenhagen, Budapest, Ibiza, am Bristol rotations, Gatwick/Stansted and the like... But they make *more* money plying ALC, AGP, FAO, PMI daily, and operating "optimised" BRS/BFS flights... Which is why 50% of EZY's BFS rotations are on Friday and Sunday alone.

On BRS/BFS, EZY cater for the VFR market, and an extremely limited amount of flexible business traffic. It makes sense, but it's still rather frustrating for the regular users. More so for those that used to take advantage of the day returns on offer before the turn of the decade

I live in hope... One day, someone might take a leap of faith and I hope it pays off for them. With TFS, CFU, RHO, SPU, SXF and the new BRS schedule, things are certainly looking up, but it'll be a matter of how far they're willing to go with it

LiamNCL 22nd Sep 2017 05:23


Originally Posted by Beatts (Post 9899811)
Interesting, Thomas Cook operating a W pattern flight using based ac for Leeds to Antalya next summer.

Looks like other bases doing similar W patterns for AYT aswell

NorthEasterner 23rd Sep 2017 21:24

Gdansk timings are changing from beginning of the winter season on the Friday. New timings are 19.15 GDN Dep 20.30 NCL Arr -- 20.55 NCL Dep with a 00.10 GDN Arr

Not sure if any others routes have been changed.

Jamesair 24th Sep 2017 13:48

Easyjet summer schedules from 24th June.....release date is 27th Sept.

EK77WNCL 24th Sep 2017 14:29

Is that earlier than usual? I thought it was always a bit of a wait between March-June and June onwards

Jamesair 24th Sep 2017 16:08

I think you are probably right but that's the release date shown on the EZY website.

skyman771 24th Sep 2017 19:04

Ref EZY, I've done a few SXF trips of late & they appear to have German FA's.
Are these flights also SXF based frames ?
If so, is this type of operation becoming more frequent at NCL & thus assisting expansion given that based frames are fully utilized.
In winter I often use the GVA flights & note that GVA appears a large EZY base. To my knowledge this flight has always run as part of NCL based operations.
Are many EZY flights out of NCL operated by non based aircraft & if so is this seasonal ?

VentureGo 24th Sep 2017 19:15

Last few times I've been to Geneva, Return flight on Saturday has been on a Bristol based a/c & crew, who were the returning to GVA then finishing their day from GVA to BRS

mockingjay 24th Sep 2017 19:18

SXF is, BRS is in Summer but it reverts to NCL crews in winter. I'm 90% sure in previous years the evening GVA on a Saturday was GVA crews.

There was talk of BFS and BRS being crewed by their based aircraft allowing NCL based planes and crews to fly new routes or increase frequencies. I've not had a look to see yet but from what I gather it's just BRS in summers that are operated by BRS based crews. No sign of BFS yet.

It seems BFS has an extra craft based there from next year, so who knows. I'm sure BFS is a nice littler for the NCL base, so long may it continue to be a NCL based route.

GrahamK 24th Sep 2017 19:43

SXF is indeed operated by the SXF base.
GVA is AFAIK a NCL based op which often does a W into BOH

nclops 24th Sep 2017 19:47

The SXF flights are all operated by SXF based A/C. The late evening BRS is operated by BRS based A/C and some of the BFS flights are operated by BFS based A/C. The GVA flights on a Saturday during the winter are operated by a NCL based A/C for the morning flight but the evening flight comes through as a W pattern from another base, not sure which base through.

tigertanaka 24th Sep 2017 20:10


Originally Posted by Jamesair (Post 9902426)
Easyjet summer schedules from 24th June.....release date is 27th Sept.

Good info. If this has date has been brought forwards, I assume this is U2 trying to capitalise on the problems at FR.

Some very good deals on U2 if you can get in early. Last week I snagged flights from NCL to PMI over Easter including seats for £40 each return and NCL-JER over the May bank holiday weekend for £60 each return.

VentureGo 24th Sep 2017 20:10


The GVA flights on a Saturday during the winter are operated by a NCL based A/C for the morning flight but the evening flight comes through as a W pattern from another base, not sure which base through.
I was returning on the Saturday evening GVA flight (March), operated by Bristol a/c & crew which was then returning to Geneva before finishing their day on a last leg GVA to Bristol - The W pattern you mention above.

milhouse999 25th Sep 2017 12:01

Thomas Cook seem to have dropped their extra NCL-CFU flights that were meant to be running throughout next summer on a Thursday evening.

Just tried to book and they're not on their website anymore.

LiamNCL 25th Sep 2017 12:22

Extra ZTH also dropped in favour of extra DLM / AYT & NBE

milhouse999 25th Sep 2017 12:31

Interesting.... advertise a new schedule for 2018 then bin it a week later.

I was about to book one of the Thursday night flights the other day too, as we do NCL-CFU about 5 times a year and it fitted in perfectly with our work schedule! Glad I didn't!

LiamNCL 25th Sep 2017 14:41

Agree there is alot of fiddling going on with schedules at the moment seat maps look out of date still aswell not sure we even have a A320 here next summer

VentureGo 25th Sep 2017 16:12

Danish Air Transport DX961 (ATR42-500 reg. OY-RUO) from CPH landed at 16.14. Leaving NCL for STN at 18:00 as DX5611. Is this an ad hoc charter or to ferry a/c - Listed on FR24 and Newcastle Airport's Departure Board as scheduled.

SWBKCB 25th Sep 2017 16:30

Sunderland AFC to play Ipswich tomorrow.

GrahamK 26th Sep 2017 07:17

Problems with this morning WMI arrival? It's been holding overheat at 10,000ft for the past 20 mins, along with the FR LearJet at 15,000ft.


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