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Birmingham-7

Old 30th Jan 2019, 22:32
  #841 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Jet2

Originally Posted by ssflyer View Post
OP/Jet2
" I believe the lack of Nice might be slots"
I am told the driver is Jet2 Holidays (50%-65% of pax,depending on who you talk to) and until hotel packages are put in place the flights won't happen-slots are not an issue(?)
SSF
Must have prioritised Stansted over BHX though as no problem with frequencies from there.

Ryanair - Another away based Palma added this time a second Thursday from June. 6 Nations extra Dublin Saturday out and Sunday in . Next available outbound seat on FR Dublin 12.15 Saturday (13 consecutive full flights) and nothing inbound from FR668 Saturday night to FR670 Tuesday.

Diversions

More quality than quantity today with the Etihad 789 and Emirates A380 off-loading and night-stopping. Also a reminder what United look like with a TUI 788 and Swiss A223 making up the numbers. Quite an unusual day as quiet on one hand with just 2 Jet2 flights although 2 more than some bases, only around 35 Flybe but in the end with GA, freight and diversions it turned out well although a gap did appear between FR749 at 14.16 and FR1449 at 15.39 on the inbound front. A bizarre airport at times with around 250 movements but includes 3 A388's, a couple 789's (EY & NAX), a few 788's (2 x TUI, QR & AI) and an AN26.

MAEL - As mentioned above one of the 789 movements was the Norwegian 789 finally leaving at 15.33 for Oslo leaving just the Air Malta A320 which apparently was hangered at some point.

Pete
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Old 4th Feb 2019, 05:24
  #842 (permalink)  
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Turkmenistan

This will affect flights to Birmingham for the time being:

EASA has temporarily banned Turkmenistan Airlines from operating flights to the EU
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Old 4th Feb 2019, 07:20
  #843 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by jon01 View Post
Turkmenistan

This will affect flights to Birmingham for the time being:

EASA has temporarily banned Turkmenistan Airlines from operating flights to the EU
If this is more than a very short term technical / documentation issue I can see the likes of Air India, Turkish, Emirates and Qatar all benefiting handsomely from this situation. It comes just ahead of the half term holidays and there will surely be a lot of bums looking for seats to the Sub Continent.
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Old 4th Feb 2019, 16:03
  #844 (permalink)  
 
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Given the enormous upheaval to passengers, "Benefiting Handsomely " is possibly not the most appropriate way to describe the situation.

Whats the phrase silk purse, sow's ear ?
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Old 4th Feb 2019, 16:59
  #845 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Navpi View Post
Given the enormous upheaval to passengers, "Benefiting Handsomely " is possibly not the most appropriate way to describe the situation.

Whats the phrase silk purse, sow's ear ?
The benefit, if any, will be to the airlines not to the passengers who will often be making trips of a lifetime, and in many cases have had to have scrimped and saved to buy their tickets. (I'm not inclined to add stuff about thoughts and sympathies so beloved of the internet these days. They are pointless platitudes).
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Old 4th Feb 2019, 18:03
  #846 (permalink)  
 
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Turkmenistan Airlines is usually not a carrier of choice between the UK and India if you have plenty of cash - it's likely to be chosen by those who are struggling financially - very much those who have scrimped and saved to buy their tickets. I would imagine that many people who have bought tickets with T5 will not be able to afford to pay for new tickets with another airline until (at the very least) they get a refund on their existing tickets. Given the rather odd ticket sales structure for T5, I imagine it might take a bit longer than usual for refunds to be processed
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Old 4th Feb 2019, 20:17
  #847 (permalink)  
 
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T5

Originally Posted by jon01 View Post
Turkmenistan

This will affect flights to Birmingham for the time being:

EASA has temporarily banned Turkmenistan Airlines from operating flights to the EU
Not heard anything detrimental from the BHX end about this airline, few tech delays and virtually no cancellations. Amritsar fog seems the most troublesome aspect of the BHX operation and AV Herald shows a very unremarkable history compared to some airlines. I suppose matters might come to light now but still a bit of a surprise after all these years..

easyjet

Tomorrow sees Belfast increase to 19 a week - the first time Tuesday is up to 3 daily. Seat maps show inbound from BFS 130/156, 130/156, & 125/156 and outbound 72/156, 138/156, & 156/156so not too bad.

Pete
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Old 5th Feb 2019, 05:38
  #848 (permalink)  
 
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There have been rumours over the past few years of Uzbekistan returning - I wonder if now is their opportunity?

Also would Turkmenistan be able to keep hold of their LHR slots until a time when the ban is lifted?
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Old 6th Feb 2019, 17:09
  #849 (permalink)  
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Wamos Air will be operating the Turkmenistan flights with an A330-200 from 06 Feb
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Old 8th Feb 2019, 11:23
  #850 (permalink)  
 
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Not sure if it has been mentioned anywhere previously, but it looks like Ryanair have also increased their Summer schedule to both Alicante and Malaga.

I think both were previously showing 11 x weekly, but are now running at 13 x weekly, with additional services added from early June.
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Old 11th Feb 2019, 18:33
  #851 (permalink)  
 
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December pax, 2018 pax & Jet2

Originally Posted by GayFriendly View Post
Interesting article in TTG Online about Jet2 and the delivery of its 100th aircraft.

It states no planned new routes for 2020 and if they do, it will be one or two only. It also firmly states no new bases and they want to make sure existing bases grow. the 100th aircraft will be used to help bolster frequencies on existing routes.

The good news is that it specifically states BHX (and STN!) as their fastest growing bases and these are central to any future growth.

They also say they have a lot of cash in the bank and are not adversely worried by Brexit.

After such a difficult couple of years at BHX with airlines disappearing at a rate of knots (and with the future of BE still very much 'up in the air' pardon the pun) it is reassuring to know that Jet2 are committed to BHX and although cautious have obviously long term plans for sustainable growth of the base. Whilst we may not see new routes, I think they will continue to bring in more pax year on year as they grow frequencies on existing ones, which actually number of 40 this summer, not to be sniffed at!.

If only BHX could attract a carrier that could fill some of the 'city break' gaps that have left a big hole in its schedules, that would be just great!
Jet2 - Seem to be loading in a second A321 for summer as rumoured. I only found two on a Saturday in the seating map (DBV/IBZ) but it is hard work on my PC but no doubt will be clearer in a few days.

December 2018 - 825754 up 4.37% - some disappointing individual route figures but will post them another day and still below December 2016

2018 - 12,457,031 down 4% on 2017 (12,990,300)

Pete
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Old 11th Feb 2019, 19:14
  #852 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by OltonPete View Post
Jet2 - Seem to be loading in a second A321 for summer as rumoured. I only found two on a Saturday in the seating map (DBV/IBZ) but it is hard work on my PC but no doubt will be clearer in a few days.

Pete
https://www.routesonline.com/news/38...ansion-in-s19/

Highlights the latest A321 network on top of what is already planned (BHX DLM, BHX AGP, BHX TFS et.al).
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Old 13th Feb 2019, 18:40
  #853 (permalink)  
 
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December 2018 Route Analysis


Pete
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Old 13th Feb 2019, 18:53
  #854 (permalink)  
 
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December 2018 Route Analysis

Originally Posted by OltonPete View Post

December 2018 - 825754 up 4.37% - some disappointing individual route figures but will post them another day and still below December 2016

2018 - 12,457,031 down 4% on 2017 (12,990,300)

Pete
Credits: CAA for the actual passenger figures, Flight radar 24 for the rotations (from my paid subscription) and various sites for configs to get an idea of load factors,

Some good figures and some bad plus many average. Amsterdam over 60000 on 11 daily weekday flights but this drops to 10 in summer when flybe reduce to 5 and KLM add one to five but one less than last summer but mainline operates lunchtime for part of the season.

Vienna includes the Jet2 few flights and pleasing to see Turkish and PIA up. Fewer Air India pax as it is now 6 a week but a decent load factor. Flybe are similar load factors to 2017 with Qatar and Dubai down as they were like for like in terms of rotations. Obviously load factors are subjective as a lot of airlines with two class configurations will not sell 100% of the aircraft keeping the middle seat free in business.

Pete
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Old 14th Feb 2019, 11:05
  #855 (permalink)  
 
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Updated Turkmenistan Timetable

15FEB 01MAR ....5.. BHX ASB 1350# 0110 T5 426 332 N
17FEB 03MAR ......7 BHX ASB 1715# 0435 T5 430 332 N
26FEB .2..... BHX ASB 2120# 0830 T5 420 332 N

16FEB 02MAR .....6. ASB BHX 1225 1405 T5 427 332 N
18FEB 04MAR 1...... ASB BHX 1550 1740 T5 417 332 N
27FEB ..3.... ASB BHX 1930 2120 T5 421 332 N

05APR ....5.. BHX ASB 1430# 0050 T5 426 77L N
07APR ......7 BHX ASB 1815# 0435 T5 430 77L N
31MAR 31MAR ......7 BHX ASB 1815# 0435 T5 430 752 N
01APR 1...... BHX ASB 2000# 0620 T5 418 752 N
02APR .2..... BHX ASB 2130# 0750 T5 420 752 N
03APR ..3.... BHX ASB 2230# 0850 T5 422 77L N

05APR ....5.. ASB BHX 1010 1300 T5 425 77L N
31MAR 31MAR ......7 ASB BHX 1325 1615 T5 429 752 N
07APR ......7 ASB BHX 1325 1615 T5 429 77L N
01APR 1...... ASB BHX 1550 1830 T5 417 752 N
02APR .2..... ASB BHX 1720 2000 T5 419 752 N
03APR ..3.... ASB BHX 1820 2100 T5 421 77L N

Can change and probably will
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Old 28th Feb 2019, 12:18
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Is there any news on the old MAEL hangar, is a new tenant lined up yet?

FC
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Old 1st Mar 2019, 11:50
  #857 (permalink)  
 
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MAEL & Record January figures

Originally Posted by Fried_Chicken View Post
Is there any news on the old MAEL hangar, is a new tenant lined up yet?

FC
MAEL HI FC absolutely nothing heard but I believe the Gainjet 734 is inside.

January 2019

Source: CAA - January 2019 781258 +5%...….2018... 746609...……2017.....776646...…..2016...….667733.

Only slighlyt above 2017 and I hope the CEO focusses on that rather than the increase year on year.

These figures are okay but nothing compared to Luton and Edinburgh and a couple of points below Manchester.

Will he be happy with his lot or show ambition as more and more friends and work colleagues head north and south travelling to such exotic locations as Lisbon, Florida, Nice etc

Pete

Last edited by OltonPete; 2nd Mar 2019 at 09:49.
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Old 2nd Mar 2019, 08:11
  #858 (permalink)  
 
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Source: CAA - January 2019 781258 +5%....2018... 746609...2017.....776646.....2016....667733.

Only slight above 2017 and I hope the CEO focusses on that rather than the increase year on year.
His primary focus will be delivering profit for shareholders; that will probably require organic, rather than meteoric growth.
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Old 2nd Mar 2019, 12:54
  #859 (permalink)  
 
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EDI and LTN are now streets ahead of BHX in terms of pax numbers, growth, routes etc and will now always be. I'm sure their shareholders are happy enough so I don't know why BHX should settle for organic growth to keep theirs happy.

The strong point BHX has is it's portfolio of legacy carriers and appeal of these to business/frequent fliers for both short and long haul connections which LTN and BRS (despite their much stronger European networks) don't have.

Perhaps the new CEO should rename it London-Birmingham.....Has worked a treat for Luton and now give or take a couple of hiccups for Southend. Might put us back on airline marketing teams radar again. After all it's around 1hr 20 mins to Euston with Virgin from International as opposed to nearly an hour from Southend on a local commuter train.

I'll get my coat.....
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Old 2nd Mar 2019, 13:13
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Interesting figures above. There are some details that caught my attention, e.g. that Dusseldorf is such a strong destination from BHX (and als MAN) compared to other German airports including the two much larger airports of MUC and FRA. And what also strikes me is the extreme seasonality of Palma as a destination from the UK. You have dozens of daily flights to Palma from German airports in winter, so holiday patterns obvioulsy are very different (from the UK mostly beach goers, from Germany lots of holiday home owners etc.).

OT: No sure why everybody is so obsessed with the travel time from SEN to central London. The train to central London from STN is approx. 5 minutes quicker and that time is easily made up by not having to use a people mover and take an extended walk to the station, queue at immigration/security etc.
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