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Old 1st Mar 2014, 16:00
  #221 (permalink)  
 
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You mean the way Virgin's is done in Manila? Or BA use Iberia in Spain for some work? An absolute non issue.
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Old 1st Mar 2014, 22:31
  #222 (permalink)  
 
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Forgive me for being suspicious, but I am minded to think that if the passionate, but unplanned, do actually win on emotion in September, that this will remove any political need for BA to continue serving "outlying regions" of the UK north of the border which would allow them to reduce services from GLA, ABZ & EDI and reallocate slots at LHR to more lucrative routes. Scotland will become as far as BA are concerned, just another mildly interesting tourist destination on the fringe of Europe.


Overall, I would predict that if this happens, we'll get a service similar to that of Norway and BA will get over a dozen slots per day to re-allocate.
BA don't need to reallocate slots at present, it has enough since the purchase of BD. What it lacks for now is suitable aircraft to operate new thinner longhaul. In due course these aircraft will be available.

The traffic between LHR and ABZ/EDI/GLA will still be there, the oil industry still needs access to/from LHR, BA will still be the only carrier on LHR-GLA.

The only difference if Scotland separates from the UK will be arrivals using the common travel area route rather than the domestic one.

BTW, BA does not have a "political need for BA to continue serving "outlying regions" of the UK north of the border", these are served by BE on PSO arrangements. BA operates the major domestic trunk routes.
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Old 2nd Mar 2014, 00:44
  #223 (permalink)  
 
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There is possibly an unspoken agreement between Govt / Dept of Transport and BA regarding connectivity to northern UK, N Ireland and engineering at Cardiff. Spreading the economic benefits of BA across the UK ensures no major objections by regional MPs when BA wants a favour from Govt. If BA had dropped Belfast when taking over BD, would someone high up in Govt perhaps have erected a few barriers to the takeover ? Was opening a new Leeds-Heathrow route the absolute best possible route for revenue compared to elsewhere in Europe, or was it partly to show BA as supporting Britain and remove objections from some people to a BD takeover ?

When Flybe announed they would drop LGW-INV, people with easy access to Downing Street made public their objections to reduced service on the London-Inverness route. Easyjet were very quick to announce increased service with an early morning flight out of Inverness, at which point all the political noise suddenly went quiet.

All very difficult to prove as if anything is done it'll be as a verbal gentleman's agreement, but when big business needs a favour around regulatory approvals, one should expect some sort of quid pro quo somewhere. There is a reason that Govt lobbyists exist. Michael O'Leary's mistake has been to ignore this concept and just sue instead.
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Old 5th Mar 2014, 08:37
  #224 (permalink)  
 
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BA LBA to LHR route cut back

Hi

I just wondered if anyone had clue what was going on with the shuttle between leeds and London heathrow.

BA1344 has been canned, so you can no longer fly in and out of the capital in the same day.

I have spoken with BA and customer services declined to answer the question!

It would be a real shame for the flights to be cut back to the point they are no longer any use for anyone, I personally see the same people use the flight 2 or 3 times a week.
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Old 5th Mar 2014, 19:25
  #225 (permalink)  
 
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I wouldn't be surprised if they cut LBA full stop. The loads are horrific most of the times. They've got MAN just over an hour down the road anyways.
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Old 5th Mar 2014, 19:34
  #226 (permalink)  
 
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BA1344 has been canned, so you can no longer fly in and out of the capital in the same day.
Since when? Tis still bookable.


Last edited by Skipness One Echo; 5th Mar 2014 at 20:23.
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Old 5th Mar 2014, 19:51
  #227 (permalink)  
 
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I wouldn't be surprised if they cut LBA full stop. The loads are horrific most of the times.
The loads are picking up, albeit slowly though. The loads ex MAN aren't to great at the moment either.
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Old 5th Mar 2014, 21:32
  #228 (permalink)  
 
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All three LBA rotations operated as normal today, the last one arriving back at LHR an hour ago.
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Old 5th Mar 2014, 21:40
  #229 (permalink)  
 
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Why did BA revive the LBA in the first place? It's been many years since BMI flew the route.
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Old 5th Mar 2014, 23:54
  #230 (permalink)  
 
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Potential lot sitter initially as they needed to de-duplicate a lot of flying that both BA and BMI undertook. It might stay but I suspect it can only be viable with a morning southbound into LHR.

It depends on how much feed it's generating into long haul as it's not really ideal for point to point without that early London arrival.

Last edited by Skipness One Echo; 6th Mar 2014 at 10:55.
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 08:46
  #231 (permalink)  
 
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It'll go when they need the slots at LHR for long haul

TBH the train is just as fast to Central London
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 11:05
  #232 (permalink)  
 
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Slot sitter initially as they needed to deduplicate a lot of flying that both BA and BMI undertook. It might stay but I suspect it can only be viable with a morning southbound into LHR.
Disagree, why start a whole new route (and it is new for BA, before it was a BD route) just to slot-sit. From a commercial and common sense point of view, there is a better way to slot-sit. It is to have extra frequencies on existing domestic and near abroad routes that incur no new costs and can be withdrawn when necessary without distress to pax.



It'll go when they need the slots at LHR for long haul

TBH the train is just as fast to Central London
BA has adequate slots for longhaul, need suitable aircraft. These are becoming available, and new longhaul routes are starting. What they will need is feeding from shorthaul flights, so do not expect that LHR-LBA will be dropped.

Clearly the train is just as fast to central London, but not all pax are headed for central London. For those headed to the Thames Valley and other parts in the south east, or flying elsewhere from LHR, LBA-LHR presents the best option.

Last edited by Fairdealfrank; 7th Mar 2014 at 20:56. Reason: spelling error
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 12:22
  #233 (permalink)  
 
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Without a sufficiency of point to point passengers paying the fully flexible fare of £301.00 the LBA-LHR can not survive nor can any other domestic service.

You need a mix - They are NOT rather expensive cabs and you also need to avoid carrying too many alliance partner passengers at pence in the pound !

I do think Leeds risks disappearing again.

I also think that if pulled there are some in BA HQ that may take advantage to say -See regional really don't work and here is the evidence.

Fairdealfrank i know your avid supporter of the LHR expansion and believe its an opportunity to rebuild UK domestic feed.

Beyond the existing shuttle routes only Jersey and Inverness really have potential.

The rest are dead and buried.
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 15:31
  #234 (permalink)  
 
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Nothing is dead and buried if its cost effective, competitive and frequent.


The propensity to fly factor.
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 15:43
  #235 (permalink)  
 
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The loads ex MAN aren't to great at the moment either
86.1% on MAN-LHR and 81.8% on LHR-MAN for January isn't exactly a bad load factor?
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 16:22
  #236 (permalink)  
 
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Nothing is dead and buried if its cost effective, competitive and frequent.


The propensity to fly factor.
And none of that is achievable on a sub one hour flight with the highest ADP on the planet.

And a cross party political consensus that such operations are environmentally damaging.

Empirical evidence suggests that for the most part ground travel always wins out over any journeys (irrespective of distance ) up to 3 hours long.

With the added security hassles this could be extended by a further half hour.

Just a brief look at air travel (domestic) suggest this holds up under scrutiny.

So London- Scotland remains strongly contested.

There are two other cross country route that also work NCL-BRS and MAN -Norwich.

Manchester -LHR remains solid because of corporates.

The only other internal flights are essential Island and Ulster connections.

So like i said Jersey and Inverness remain the only candidates currently un-served.

A differing matter however fact may well be that there are far to many regional airports across the UK and the likes of Tees side Bournmouth Humberside and Dundee are simply surplus to requirements.
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 18:08
  #237 (permalink)  
 
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How can the loads be calculated with two operators on the route ?
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 18:11
  #238 (permalink)  
 
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How can the loads be calculated with two operators on the route ?
When you work for one of the 2 operators and have access to that information.....
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 21:27
  #239 (permalink)  
 
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When you work for one of the 2 operators and have access to that information.....
Even on routes with only one operator, you still need access to inside information if you want stats on traffic and LFs.
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Old 6th Mar 2014, 21:50
  #240 (permalink)  
 
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I know that but was merely pointing out why i do know the LF's
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