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Old 28th Jan 2015, 15:46
  #2601 (permalink)  
 
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Given that BA have today slashed their Executive Club mileage programme I'm no longer quite as enthusiastic about this as I once was.
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 15:49
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slashed it how?
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 15:50
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Aer Lingus has a lower cost base than BA and if tickets also sold on BA website could prove fruitful.
An interesting idea. If EI can move an A319/A320/A321 from 'A' to 'B' at a lower total cost than BA, is it possible that we could then see IAG shaping their operations so that BA & IB move away from domestic & European routes to focus on long haul from their respective hubs with EI & VY (along with their respective sub operations and those of BA & IB) acting as the feeders into them?

JAS
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 15:54
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Nothing comes of nothing so lets not waste any more time on it.
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 16:58
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Being confirmed a vote will be required at Parliament while not the issue as they can pass the vote but is fall out before, during and after is something the Government can afford....with an election just over a year away!
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 18:29
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My thinking is that if the sale goes through, IAG ought to sell Dublin and Shannon more as gateways to the USA, due to the preclearance facilities. Does DUB have the capacity? According to the W14 Start of Season Report here, pg 10, there's plenty of spare runway capacity 08:00-16:00, once all those early bird flights have left.

What about Terminal capacity? Mid-morning is when many US-bound flights leave already, and you can see that on pg 17 of that report: fewer flights but more Pax per US flight means that T2 in particular is quite busy mid-morning already - but still not as busy as early morning.
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 19:37
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Noxegon

You still have not replied back to what you mentioned regarding BA slashing Executive Club?

As a member myself could you clarify as I have not been informed of any changes!
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 19:53
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Here's a summary:

British Airways Devaluation Coming April 28
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 20:03
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NOXEGON

Thanks for posting that link as I was not aware of any changes.
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 20:03
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Canberra,
Re you post asking about the changes to Executive Club and Avios programme; I got email today. The communication is detailed and complicated in my view, meaning there is no 1 message except this; they say they are making extra seats or rather a dedicated number of seats per flights. For this guaranteed number there will be an impact to the club. Eg: different charges at seasonal times of the year and less costly at off peak times. There is some message about domestic flights but it is not at all clear if the £35 fare in Europe will be still available . This I find useful.

Slightly off topic; for me Avios is great if I need to go last minute say Belfast or Dublin - London. Typically I can get £35 return and 9000 avios. This beats last minute £300 fares etc. equally doing a one way Belfast - Dublin ( with a stop over in London) for 17.50 and 4500 avios, gets me a return flight to London for virtually nothing! However, booking long haul not good value , even using companion tickets earned on Amex.
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 20:34
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EI BUD

The second scenario you describe of booking a one way with a stopover in London will be no more post 28 April as per the changes outlined today. No free UK connections so the price of say a return BHD-PRG will go from 9k avios + £35 to 18k avios and £70!

Surely this will impact on the loads from BHD. Maybe not in the short term - in fact they will probably increase in the short term as the current rates are bookable until 28 April to almost a year ahead - but as someone who used it quite a bit for flights to Europe it will be far too expensive to justify over LCCs. Maybe that's why Ryanair are sniffing about again!
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Old 28th Jan 2015, 20:45
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The advantage EI have, is they are already up and running. BA, I assume would need to find extra aircraft (over and above their existing ones on the routes) and crews to operate the additional services. Of course they could hire EI to do it for them
Fair point epsomdog, I didn't really explain my rationale too well. EI will have a few aircraft making their way back to the main fleet once Little Red ceases. Supposing there was an agreement that EI utilise some of said frames on DUB/LHR and all traffic routed on EI aircraft with shared costs between BA/EI. BA can then slightly increase capacity to match actual demad with their own aircraft on routes where they are firmly established which are being vacated by Little Red.
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Old 29th Jan 2015, 00:27
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They have two A/C leased from GCAS for 4yrs, purely for the LR contract. These will be surplass to requirements come September. I don't think EI have a use for them on the mainline, so it makes sense to utilise them somewhere!
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Old 29th Jan 2015, 09:45
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It makes more sense to return them to the leaser tbh. Aer Lingus have even less market visiblity in this market than Virgin. They did eventually learn this lesson with the Gatwick base debacle. BA/EI are a long way away from being close enough to do what you suggest, there's surely a lot of groundwork and agreements to be worked through even if the Irish government wave this through. By the time all that's done, those surplus aircraft will be long gone.

Last edited by Skipness One Echo; 29th Jan 2015 at 10:25.
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Old 29th Jan 2015, 12:22
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It makes more sense to return them to the leaser tbh. Aer Lingus have even less market visiblity in this market than Virgin. They did eventually learn this lesson with the Gatwick base debacle. BA/EI are a long way away from being close enough to do what you suggest, there's surely a lot of groundwork and agreements to be worked through even if the Irish government wave this through. By the time all that's done, those surplus aircraft will be long gone.
You could well be right there.

I do believe EI could make a much better job of the LHR/EDI route than VIrgin. VS never had the right mindset for shorthaul high density ops. These type of routes have been EIs bread and butter for years.

As for the LGW issue, EI could have made that work, had they the commitment to take on Easy Jet at their own game. This is the third time EI have pulled out of Gatwick. Will they ever make it four?
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Old 29th Jan 2015, 14:52
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Stephen Kavanagh (Chief strategy and planning officer) and Easyjet's Chief operations officer Warwick Brady seem to in line for the next CEO well before IAG came along according to the Independent.

Easyjet's operations officer may be a good fit if IAG is rejected....

Aer Lingus sale: Oireachtas commitee hearing to discuss impact as concern grows in coalition - Independent.ie

Meanwhile Irish Airline Pilots Association which represents Pilots who make up 7% of EI are likely to call for rejection of IAG bid.

Aer Lingus pilots not happy with proposed IAG deal - RTÉ News
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Old 29th Jan 2015, 20:49
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The Irish Airline Pilots' Association, which represents holders of 7% of Aer Lingus shares
Eh what?

Why would they say that? I wonder how The Takeover Panel would view this claim.
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Old 30th Jan 2015, 18:43
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Stephen Kavanagh (Chief strategy and planning officer) and Easyjet's Chief operations officer Warwick Brady seem to in line for the next CEO well before IAG came along according to the Independent.

Easyjet's operations officer may be a good fit if IAG is rejected....



Kavanagh could be a death knell for EI. He has no vision and operates as the worse kind of bean counter.

-3 years ago he refused to upgrade Y product on T/A routes.
-He is behind the "Choice seats" misleading option on the A330.
-The new J Class service revamp is not getting any extra budget due to him.
-He refuses to allow J Class pax to have complimentary inflight products (ie, tea/coffee) on Shorthaul EI flights.
-He has continually refused to allow a revamp of the GC system to allow points accrual for all flights booked.
-He is being credited with the successful T/A operation out of DUB. I know for a fact that the current DUB as a hub business model was presented to Mueller in Oct 2009 by a frontline staffer. AS the staff member made the presentation Kavanagh was smirking away until Mueller responded positively to the staff member.
-In one meeting he refused to accept Australian and Thai Govt figures for Irish tourists/workers into their countries as reflective of the demand for traffic to these destinations. "my figures are correct"
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Old 31st Jan 2015, 01:27
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So the evening LHR BHD routed LHR DUB BHD, changing aircraft in Dublin; EPU swapping over to DER, hence 319 to 320. That's 2 320's in Belfast City now.
Anybody know if that's a temporary or permanent move?
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Old 31st Jan 2015, 01:59
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Just for today I understand.
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