Wikiposts
Search
Safety, CRM, QA & Emergency Response Planning A wide ranging forum for issues facing Aviation Professionals and Academics

Polish Presidential Flight Crash Thread

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 26th Nov 2011, 06:42
  #1701 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Poland, Zyrardow
Posts: 26
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Tiger65, please get a grip on reality, before it's too late.
mbar is offline  
Old 26th Nov 2011, 07:05
  #1702 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Africa Asia EU all together
Posts: 40
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
For a first time had read the entire transcript provided by Tiger. I did not want to read it for a long time. Had met with a friend American military expert ( the last party ) and we could not tell that any of the mentioned by others representatives were drunk, so why would anyone drink before this “ final trip”. Even, if a little bit then what? The pressure on the pilot performed much earlier is not really coherent to this tragedy. Thank you Potato 232 for the description of VIPS. However, all were just normal simple people, with the simple life goals. Some were pilots as well. The entire black box should be taken again to London . Actually, if it would had been one of the Presidents, all would had immediately recognized his voice anyway. It’s simple. There are many an unswered questions.
afhelipilot is offline  
Old 26th Nov 2011, 12:07
  #1703 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Czech Republic
Posts: 185
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
I think that MAK did not state that outter part of wing was teared off immediately after collision with the birch. It could be significantly destroyed and separated one secound later, for example after collision with high voltage line.

Words of Dr. Wieslaw Binienda "cutting the birch with only a small amount of damage to the edge of the wing" cause dubts about his professional qualifications.
Karel_x is offline  
Old 26th Nov 2011, 13:34
  #1704 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Eastern Europe
Age: 61
Posts: 106
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Thumbs down

Knowing how stupid renowned medical doctors and professors can be (in a narrow specific area of endocrinology deeply researched by me for couple decades), I'm not surprised with how stupid some multiple-degreed technical doctors can be (in any area).

P.S. For some reason this my message was inserted before the message I replied to. Perhaps a bug with handling timezones. What I wanted to say is that his university post, publications, degrees and awards didn't impress me in the least.

Last edited by Lena.Kiev; 26th Nov 2011 at 22:40.
Lena.Kiev is offline  
Old 26th Nov 2011, 21:36
  #1705 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: London
Posts: 49
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Words of Dr. Wieslaw Binienda "cutting the birch with only a small amount of damage to the edge of the wing" cause dubts about his professional qualifications.
Dr. Wieslaw Binienda will discuss this case at the Earth and Space 2012 Conference which will be held in Pasadena, California, April 15-18, 2012.

Symposium 6: Ballistic Impact and Crashworthiness Response of Aerospace Structures
Co-Chair: Wieslaw Binienda, Ph.D., F. ASCE, University of Akron

ASCE News, November 2007 Volume 32, Number 11
People

Wieslaw K. Binienda, Ph.D., M.ASCE, the chair of the civil engineering department in the University of Akron's College of Engineering, has received the Turning Goals into Reality Award from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (nasa) for his work on a nasa team dealing with containment concepts as they relate to jet engines. Binienda's contributions to the team included numerical simulations in impact and postimpact experiments; material and model development; and assistance to General Electric, Honeywell International, and Williams International in the design process for jet engine composite containment systems. The author of more than 80 publications and the recipient of numerous awards, Binienda became a member of the Akron faculty in 1988. His research interests include composite materials testing and processing, material characterization, micromechanics-based modeling, and the implementation of such rigorous techniques as singular integral equations for the analysis of composite damage and failure mechanisms. After obtaining a master's degree in Poland from the Warsaw University of Technology, Binienda earned a master's degree and a doctorate, both in mechanical engineering, at Drexel University.

If you need his CV: The University of Akron : Individual Faculty Profile
Tiger65 is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 02:44
  #1706 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: London
Posts: 49
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
What I wanted to say is that his university post, publications, degrees and awards didn't impress me in the least.
Lena, you are free to take part in Earth and Space 2012 Conference and present your own simulation and conclusions
Tiger65 is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 04:36
  #1707 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: >FL300
Posts: 21
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
The Mak report is a joke..... Russia is still a dictatorship with 70% of it's government being former KGB, the country is corrupted, Putin is an dictator who does as he pleases.....so what do you expect? an honest MAK report?....
yeah right!...I wouldn't think so
Skyglider is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 07:23
  #1708 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Eastern Europe
Age: 61
Posts: 106
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Skyglider
The Mak report is a joke.....
What is your view of reasons of the crash?
Lena.Kiev is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 08:28
  #1709 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Eastern Europe
Age: 61
Posts: 106
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Tiger65
Lena, you are free to take part in Earth and Space 2012 Conference
I'm not interested in university games. If the wing was not broken by the birch but damaged and couldn't bear the load anymore (so broke a second after collision), what's the difference?

Except for publications for continued university salary.
Lena.Kiev is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 08:48
  #1710 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Germany
Age: 47
Posts: 402
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
i have read the original mak report and would say it basicly matches the thruth. maybe some exeptions of small things , maybe some hidden facts that the airport was badly equipped ( parts of approach light bulbs blown etc)

but all in all the main cause of the crash is going brutally below minimums in bad wether and a controlled flight into ground with a fully funcional aircraft in my opinion.
aerobat77 is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 13:17
  #1711 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: London
Posts: 49
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Latest findings on Polish 101 (dr. Binienda and his team):
Polish government plane was tossed about twice over the airport seconds before crash « Extra News
Tiger65 is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 13:33
  #1712 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Poland, Zyrardow
Posts: 26
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
@Tiger65

Please stop this.

mbar is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 14:12
  #1713 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Eastern Europe
Age: 61
Posts: 106
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Thumbs up

I like this comic strip. In the same way, the grand fraud (of vegetable oil producers) that allegedly saturated fats cause atherosclerosis and dietary fats cause obesity is perpetuated.
Lena.Kiev is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 14:14
  #1714 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Western Pacific
Posts: 721
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
On September 8, 2011, Dr. Wieslaw Binienda, an expert on high-energy impacts on materials and structures testifying before the Polish Parliamentary Committee, proved beyond a reasonable doubt that the collision with the birch could not have ripped the outer portion of the wing from the aircraft. While applying all parameters presented in the IAC Final Report in a rigorous finite element analysis, he demonstrated through a virtual experiment that the high-energy impact causes the wing to act like an ax, cutting the birch with only a small amount of damage to the edge of the wing but without any damage to the lifting area of the wing
Interesting!

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the winglet of a Legacy bizjet take the outer half off the left wing of a GOL B737-800 in Brazil in 2006? I wouldn't imagine that the winglet would be as strong as a 30-40cm diameter birch tree.

There is the speed difference to take account of, but it would appear possible for the tree to at least partially sever a wing, even at the lower approach speed. I'm sure there are other accidents that would tend to support this.
Oakape is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 15:08
  #1715 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: London
Posts: 49
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Mbar, I do not take any side in this crash investigation. However, I find both offficial reports (MAK's and Miller's) inconclusive.

Oakape, there are cases of aircraft incidents where either trees/metal pylons or wings are demaged/broken during impact:

Boeing 737-2D6C, Coventry 21/12/94
Air Accidents Investigation: Download PDF document
Air Accidents Investigation: Download PDF document

DC-3, 20/06/1996:
About Loren Davis Ministries

BEECHCRAFT A100 C-FSNA, GODS LAKE NARROWS, MANITOBA, Canada 22/11/2008:
Five survive northern Manitoba plane crash

Tu-204, Domodedovo, March 2010:
http://ncontent.life.ru/media/2/news/2010/03/17812/ 67410d66ce95816fe93a33d959e1d06d.mp4
Tiger65 is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 17:12
  #1716 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Czech Republic
Posts: 185
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Mechanical calculations cannot be more accurate then the mathematical or phisical model you are using. You can use such model and choose such point of impact force so the damage is very minimalised. It is not problem for any engeneer. It is not physical question but a question of responsibility, true and independence of their minds.

High lift device on leading edge /slots/ was surely considerable destroyed after impact to the birtch tree. Lets forget rest of wing. Asymetric lift necessarily caused uncontrolled roll and after secound contact with wires of HV line. After it, the part of wing was completly separated and find on the ground. Where is problem? MAK report is not in conflict with this scenario.

Binienda...argued that...the machine could have lost only a small edge of the wing and this would not have influenced the stability of the plane.
No comment
Karel_x is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 18:16
  #1717 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: London
Posts: 49
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Karel_x
According to the recent findings I enclosed, there was no any impact with those two birch trees. The plane flew above them and lost the part of wing 70 meters behind the second birch due to critical overload (more than 5g).
According to the Miller's report the HV lines were cut by flying tree branches. Although, it arguably happend 2 minutes ealier it should have (time of the event was registered by power plant computer).
As for the wing, there are registered cases where plane loses part or even whole wing and lands safely.
Tiger65 is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 18:27
  #1718 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Cornwall-on-Hudson, New York
Posts: 875
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
The only whole-wing loss I know of was an Israeli AF F-15, and in that aircraft, a substantial amount of lift is produced by the entire wing root/fuselage juncture area, so the pilot in fact didn't even know he'd lost the entire wing until after he'd landed. He of course knew something was seriously wrong and held the airplane relatively stable by using full power, but he was unaware of the extent of the damage.

No conventional-airframe aircraft, ie like the Polish aircraft, could possibly lose an entire wing and "land safely."
stepwilk is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 18:28
  #1719 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Eastern Europe
Age: 61
Posts: 106
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Um, various clocks are not synchronized perfectly here. 2 min difference is good clock synchronization in former USSR.
Lena.Kiev is offline  
Old 27th Nov 2011, 19:24
  #1720 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Czech Republic
Posts: 185
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
According to the recent findings I enclosed, there was no any impact with those two birch trees. The plane flew above them
I am not sure that I understand. I have seen many photos of broken birch tree (official and many amateurs). Who did broke it by that theory? KGB? It sounds for me similar as the artificial fog theory.
As for the wing, there are registered cases where plane loses part or even whole wing and lands safely.
Tu-154M was very near stall conditions in that moment. Loosing slots and/or part of wing shoud be probably fatal.
Karel_x is offline  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.