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Degradation of will to learn how to fly

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Degradation of will to learn how to fly

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Old 29th December 2015 | 22:50
  #141 (permalink)  
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I heard John Roberts, the Chief Engineer on the A380, asked this question - his answer was very similar to Pace's.

Basically he said that if you're flying standard routes between civilised countries with predictable weather - yes, automate away. Route into unstable countries, with unpredictable events on the ground and in the air, with possibly unpredicted oddball weather conditions - and he always wants to see a human being up the front making the difficult decisions, usually on the basis of incomplete information.

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Old 29th December 2015 | 23:15
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Let's agree to disagree. You nicely describe the steps taken for the successful ditching, these steps are equally applicable to all 100% loss-of-thrust situations and therefore these steps can be pre-programmed. The difference will be that a computer would use a short-range radar for obstacle avoidance, which, unlike the human eye, can see through the darkness and fog too.

A computer can also be progammed to take decisions in favor of minimizing loss of life (on-board/known and on-the-ground/estimated). It has no emotional bias, if needed, it will sacrifice 100 people to save another 200 in the blink of an eye.

On the other hand, maybe the the computers won't shut down the only operational engine, when the other one fails, which is a surprisingly difficult task for certain humans under pressure. A computer does not understand "pressure". It doesn't divorce. It doesn't have alcohol and drug problems. It doesn't get tired. It doesn't have workshift hour limits.

The biggest practical issue is who will request start-up clearence on the ground? Who will take decision regarding diverting due to sick or agressive passengers?Who will talk to the passengers en-route? The answer may be a the lead flight attendant, who is trained in using the radio from the cabin. So there will always be someone on board, representing the airline, but not necessarily able to hand-fly an airliner.

Finally, let's have a look at this for an eye opener - eSafe demonstrator:
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Old 30th December 2015 | 07:51
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Let's agree to disagree. You nicely describe the steps taken for the successful ditching, these steps are equally applicable to all 100% loss-of-thrust situations and therefore these steps can be pre-programmed. The difference will be that a computer would use a short-range radar for obstacle avoidance, which, unlike the human eye, can see through the darkness and fog too.

A computer can also be progammed to take decisions in favor of minimizing loss of life (on-board/known and on-the-ground/estimated). It has no emotional bias, if needed, it will sacrifice 100 people to save another 200 in the blink of an eye.
Thanks, this is why I fear for humankind.

No, it is not the old "the younger will ruin everything", it is exactly that emerging attitude towards pushing accountability to computers and gain the highest rank of human foolishness, non-responsibility. When I had my first secretary, she not once stood in front of me and apologized for doing a mistake. When she retired the second one never did a mistake, it was always "MS Word crashing". Humanity, responsibility and accountability were damaged and it still is.

Short-range radar does the technical trick in your example, not the computer. There is nothing wrong with the pilot using it, so no difference other than the responsibility kept at a human.

Decision taking is a very hot iron and lately even popped up in connection with automated driving. Yes, the computer does not have an emotional bias, but frankly, I want to live in a world with emotional bias, not cold blooded and cold hearted algorithms. Using statistics and Artificially Intelligence is a very common Golden Calf, but I prefer a human taking decisions, even if it does produce more fatalities in some case. It will safe more in another situation where the dump-headed programmer from Far Far Away was simply wrong. The solution to use technology advancing rapidly is quite simple, only let a human take control who understands what she/he is doing and is talented to perform, not push buttons only. Yes, this would cut i.e. the beloved holiday cattle flying to a minimum and prices for it will go through the roof, but so be it. Only do, what can be done and improve humans, not machines, first. Nowadays we tend to develop only machines and forget about the souls.
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Old 30th December 2015 | 08:28
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Finally, let's have a look at this for an eye opener - eSafe demonstrator:
Oh dear.

And of course no-one will ever use this as an approach tool except in an emergency....
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Old 30th December 2015 | 16:27
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@Chickenhouse: I don't disagree, but you're going to have to argue better than that if you want to convince people to opt for a course that even you admit may be riskier and more expensive.
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Old 30th December 2015 | 20:01
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How did that DA42 auto-land know the pilot was out? What triggered the takeover?

And why did the weather radar swan it around these little clouds that even I, non IR, non IMC equipped could buzz through? A towering Cb all black with internal lighting, OK, but those little bitty fluffy things? Why'd it need to do that? I'd say that vid was edited by the marketing department.
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Old 30th December 2015 | 22:30
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Originally Posted by ChickenHouse
Short-range radar does the technical trick in your example, not the computer. There is nothing wrong with the pilot using it, so no difference other than the responsibility kept at a human.
Not quite true. Yes, we can also use additional tools, like a short range radar, but we all remember the standing priority order "Aviate, navigate, communicate". This shows that we are prone to task saturatiion, like turning this radar on while fighting to restart the engines. Unlike humans, a computer has no problem to follow 2 checklists simultaneously.... one for re-lighting the engines, the other for ditching. So the more input/information we can provide to pilots / computer to make correct decisions, the better computers can perform against humans.

I want to live in a world with emotional bias, not cold blooded and cold hearted algorithms.
I believe emotions are indispensible for art or sports, because it stimulates humans. On the other hand, emotions cloud professional decisions. Case in point: the emotional feeling of get-there-itis is a major killing factor in GA through poor decision making. Other professions are also trying to limit the effect of emotions on decisions. For example, if you have a medical doctor in your family, he/she is not supposed to operate on you, it has to be an independent team in the operating room, to make sure the right decisions are taken for your interest. For example, in an emergency situation, they might cut your leg to save your life, while your family member would try everything to save your leg and as a result, run out of time and lose you entirely.

I prefer a human taking decisions, even if it does produce more fatalities in some case. It will safe more in another situation where the dump-headed programmer from Far Far Away was simply wrong.
It's a race between the two alternatives and recent accidents indicate that the humans tend to get worse. Regarding the Far Far Away programmer, any automated aircraft would have to undergo a Very Near Authority certification as well. Moreover the food and aviation industries are extremely good at tracking down the source of every apple or aircraft part / line of program code, so in case of troubles, it can be traced back and the responsible can be identified, recurrence can be stopped.

The solution to use technology advancing rapidly is quite simple, only let a human take control who understands what she/he is doing and is talented to perform, not push buttons only. Yes, this would cut i.e. the beloved holiday cattle flying to a minimum and prices for it will go through the roof, but so be it.
Fair point, but people will vote with their purchasing power, as usual, price is a major factor and airline competition is cut-throat. No one will try to go back in time and raise ticket fares (very tangible) for the sake of increasing safety (very intangible).

My guess is that automation will anyway gradually sneak into aviation in this order:
1. Cargo flights: Human: pilot flying, Computer: pilot monitoring.
2. Cargo flights: Computer: pilot flying, Human: pilot monitoring.
3. Cargo flights: Computer: pilot flying, Human on the ground: remote pilot monitoring.
And then the same steps for passenger flights.
Whether we like it, or not.
Next 50 years.

Last edited by rnzoli; 30th December 2015 at 22:57.
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Old 30th December 2015 | 22:36
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From: LHBS
Originally Posted by robin
Oh dear.

And of course no-one will ever use this as an approach tool except in an emergency....
In the beginning, my dear, in the beginning.
It's not so hard to see that if this stuff saves a couple of lives, it will boost the public support / industry funding / academic research into automated solutions on an unprecedented scale. SO the time will come when the pilot is not completely passed out, but feels tired / unconcentrated / sick, so it will be very easy to press that "take me home now" button.

Originally Posted by DeltaV
How did that DA42 auto-land know the pilot was out? What triggered the takeover?
I am not sure, but probably the total lack of control inputs and total lack of communication. This is a technology demonstration, not a finished product, so I am not even sure this detection was part of the demonstration at this stage, or only the return to the home base was.

And why did the weather radar swan it around these little clouds that even I, non IR, non IMC equipped could buzz through?
Just because you could, you should NOT buzz through any cloud on a VFR flight, that is one of the most fundamental rules for VFR flying. And so shouldn't a computer-flown aircraft, especially if it is trying to fly better than human pilots

I'd say that vid was edited by the marketing department.
You can see the landing part here, it has the list of "marketing departments" involved in making this video.
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Old 30th December 2015 | 23:00
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How did that DA42 auto-land know the pilot was out? What triggered the takeover?
Presumably it would be relatively simple to design a programme which recognised a loss of control inputs from the pilot and a subsequent departure towards an unusual attitude etc.
Quite what would happen if the auto pilot was engaged I don't know, but they reckon to have already devised in car systems which can detect a driver who is falling asleep.

Edit. Already answered in part by rnzoli
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