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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Old 24th Jul 2023, 16:58
  #3201 (permalink)  
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I wasn’t thinking that you were attacking me, sorry if it sounded that way, far from it, input helps one tailor the content.

I was trying to explain that although I post a myriad of posts on the war somewhere along the line someone somewhere may think one is spending to much time on one subject, say maps as an example, no one wants to just see map after map after map, and they may think that one is not giving enough coverage on another part of the war. It will be the same for all of us. I do sometimes throttle back for fear I am posting too much btw.
Luckily the likes of Orac etc seems to fill the holes as do other posters.

I try to give a rounded look at what is going on and hopefully people can build a picture of what is going on.

One pet hate I have on Twitter is when people post “ Ukraine has advanced on some village etc” in English then post a map beside it with everything on it in Ukrainian leaving you to guess which village is which and where they are in the bigger picture of the area.

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Last edited by NutLoose; 24th Jul 2023 at 17:13.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 17:05
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Originally Posted by Tartiflette Fan
how do you expect people posting here to be able to judge exactly what is propaganda and misinformation, except when it is blatant ?
That's really selling the people posting here short, unless you see the average poster here as being mostly uninformed and disinterested.

Not what I would expect from an aviation site.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 17:14
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Onyx missiles might have been the target during this morning attack on Crimea.

​​​​​​​Sources of the local underground "Crimean partisans" report that a batch of P-800 Onyx rockets was destroyed in an ammunition warehouse in the Dzhankoy district.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 18:18
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
no one wants to just see map after map after map
This issue of maps that the media (all media) presents is a bit daft to me. For those of us who are following the war there is a one and only way to visually 'see' Ukraine: everything else falls far far short, as in not even close. The Rondeli Foundation from Georgia has been posting drawings of the front lines every few days since the beginning of the war, their first map was Feb 24, 2022. They are all available for viewing on their site:
https ://gfsis.org.ge/russian-monitor/view/3543
https ://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=1lscRK6ehG0l2V-XvJ16nsyblMsQ&ll=49.13769808196173%2C35.04776001289064&z=6

The Rondeli/Google Earth method gives such a superior, finer detailed, presentation that I hardly ever even look at other "maps" of Ukraine. Over the months the Rondeli lines have proven themselves very accurate. Most other internet maps are of such large scale that their 'lines' are vague anyway.

And the Rondeli lines offer the KML file so that you can import the front line(s) into the map of your choice, the far and away best choice being Google Earth because it's not really a map but a satellite photo.
To save a lot of trouble I'll provide all the front line drawings here in this file: https ://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/rbc52bfjwsdrtboevsviu/Ukraine-Front-Lines.kmz?rlkey=go44wk6owvwchqr5jiejzdldn&dl=0

I generally only leave the last three or four turned on to prevent clutter, but it's easy to turn older lines on to see movements over months. Turning them all on at once gives a unique picture of the progress of the war.


Originally Posted by NutLoose
One pet hate I have on Twitter is when people post “ Ukraine has advanced on some village etc” in English then post a map beside it with everything on it in Ukrainian leaving you to guess which village is which and where they are in the bigger picture of the area.
I don't mind at all if they post the name in Ukrainian, Google will usually pick the right location although there are times when multiple towns with the same name show up. What I mind is when locations are taken from Russian sources: in that case the names given are in Russian and in fact are often given in a politicized version of the Russian version either to support Russian claims of sovereignty or just to insult Ukraine. So the locations are impossible to find.

I would like to see Russian propaganda banned here, but I guess I am alone in that view.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 18:31
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Originally Posted by Sfojimbo
That's really selling the people posting here short, unless you see the average poster here as being mostly uninformed and disinterested.

Not what I would expect from an aviation site.
How does that help if the UKA say they have captured Robotyne and the Russians say the UKA was held off with heavy losses ? Explanations on a post-card, please.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 18:35
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Originally Posted by Jobza Guddun
To quote Trevor Howard in the Battle of Britain 1969...."the b******s are up to something"....

I smell a rat.
Still smelling a rat! They are there for a purpose, meleagertoo is probably onto something. I hope I'm wrong.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 18:50
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Russia attacks grain stores at River Danube ports

On the Beeb website.

Russian drones have attacked Ukrainian ports on the River Danube, destroying grain storage infrastructure, local officials say.

The facilities are just across the river from Nato-member Romania.
Click for the full article and photos.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 19:07
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I would like to see Russian propaganda banned here, but I guess I am alone in that view.
Again, I have been asked in the past to post some of their TV shows, I know a lot of it will be pure bull****, but somewhere in a middle ground between both sides propaganda will be a grain of truth. Also without posting it you only get a one sided view of what is going on and the mentality of the opposition and the state of the brainwashing going on to the Russian public’s perception.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 19:20
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Good afternoon Nutty:

As a self professed 'Lurker" please continue with your posts and yes I can understand that some posters dislike the ruzzian B*^&#^(T but you are right in the both sides view because it gives us in the west insight in how the ruzzian think that is if I may insert "think" in this sentence. In addition of note ORAC and FDR thank you as well for your postings! Maybe some more OHS issues will continue with careless smoking and not wearing Fall Arrest gear near six story windows.....
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 19:24
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Originally Posted by Tartiflette Fan
How does that help if the UKA say they have captured Robotyne and the Russians say the UKA was held off with heavy losses ? Explanations on a post-card, please.
One cannot expect a precise level of detail of the state of the front lines. There surely are cases where both opposing commanders think that their forces are in control of a plot of land at the same time - how can a guy sitting on his couch 5,000 miles away expect to know precise level of detail?

As for your example: the beginning of the Ukrainian attempt to take Robotyne began on June 8th and as of Saturday according to Rondeli, they have yet to enter the city limits. So all claims of Ukrainian 'capturing' Robotyne have been lies, probably by well meaning (from our POV) but quite deluded fanboys of war.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 19:28
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
Again, I have been asked in the past to post some of their TV shows, I know a lot of it will be pure bull****, but somewhere in a middle ground between both sides propaganda will be a grain of truth. Also without posting it you only get a one sided view of what is going on and the mentality of the opposition and the state of the brainwashing going on to the Russian public’s perception.
Please don't misunderstand me, I have no problem with presenting Russian propaganda as long as it's labeled as such, I agree with you on posting the Russian TV nonsense. What I have a problem with is posting Russian propaganda as if it is just more information about the state of the war.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 19:39
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Originally Posted by Sfojimbo
What I have a problem with is posting Russian propaganda as if it is just more information about the state of the war.
My God! I'd have thought/hoped that most/much of the posters here were more discerning, more critical and far, far less credulous than that.

Still, this is the power of propaganda.

ie duping (sorry, no other way to put it) the dupes.

I'd qualify that by adding that the copious amounts of Ukrainan propaganda is in no way innocent of such trickery either.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 20:21
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If as has been suggested that Wagner have a go at Poland, my initial thought is that Poland should be able to deal with the matter themselves without Poland Triggering Article 5.
Would the NATO Assembly trigger it for them? Or another NATO member?

My initial thought is that Poland would want to handle this themselves and destroy Wagner completely.

As they are mercenaries, are they subject to the same protections under the Geneva Convention? Are they classed as civilians / irregular troops or do mercenaries have their own classification.
I can't see at lower ranks the Poles giving them much in the way of protection, an easy time.

We may have discussed this before, but as they may stupidly strike through Belarus do the rules change?
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 20:41
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Originally Posted by Spunky Monkey
If as has been suggested that Wagner have a go at Poland, my initial thought is that Poland should be able to deal with the matter themselves without Poland Triggering Article 5.
Would the NATO Assembly trigger it for them? Or another NATO member?

My initial thought is that Poland would want to handle this themselves and destroy Wagner completely.

As they are mercenaries, are they subject to the same protections under the Geneva Convention? Are they classed as civilians / irregular troops or do mercenaries have their own classification.
I can't see at lower ranks the Poles giving them much in the way of protection, an easy time.

We may have discussed this before, but as they may stupidly strike through Belarus do the rules change?
A corollary question is whether Poland would pursue them into Belarus to finish the job.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 20:49
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Originally Posted by Winemaker
A corollary question is whether Poland would pursue them into Belarus to finish the job.
Hope springs eternal...
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 21:26
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Originally Posted by Winemaker
A corollary question is whether Poland would pursue them into Belarus to finish the job.
I don't know if they would pursue them back into Belarus, but I'd bet pretty good money that they'd have zero qualms about air attacks on the supply dumps, staging areas, etc. in Belarus.

A certain American General made much of his early reputation by pursuing Mexican Bandits back across the border to Mexico and attacking them there. You may have heard of him - his name was Patton
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 21:40
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Nutloose; please keep posting those clips of the Russian TV. Apart from giving an insight into Russian thinking (is that an oxymoron?) they provide a little much-needed humour.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 22:06
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Originally Posted by tdracer
I don't know if they would pursue them back into Belarus, but I'd bet pretty good money that they'd have zero qualms about air attacks on the supply dumps, staging areas, etc. in Belarus.
A certain American General made much of his early reputation by pursuing Mexican Bandits back across the border to Mexico and attacking them there. You may have heard of him - his name was Patton
Patton was a staff lieutenant when Pershing led the raid against Pancho Villa. The raid was a complete failure that failed to capture Villa and ended in American defeat at Carrizal.

I know that Patton was an unashamed and quite creative braggart, but I've never heard of any claims about the Pershing raid. Can you tell us about "his early reputation"?
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 22:32
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Over 50 Cargo Ships are currently Anchored in the Danube River between Ukraine and Romania with most waiting for the Ports of Reni and Izmail in the Odesa Region of Ukraine to Reopen for Grain Shipment after they suffered a number of Strikes by Russia Shahed-136 “Kamikaze” Attack Drones….




​​​​​​​Footage of Ships along the Danube.
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Old 24th Jul 2023, 22:45
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Not a misquote.

Originally Posted by Sfojimbo
I'm sure Putin is behind it. I believe the Tweet you gave us a link to above is a misquote. The English translation of Putin was: ""The western territories of Poland are a gift from Stalin to the Poles", I believe he actually said 'from Stalin to the Ukrainians'.
https://twitter.com/warinukraineua/s...86208867885056
Putin's words in the clip attached to the tweet are indeed to the effect that the western territories of Poland were a gift from Stalin to the Poles. He didn't mention the former eastern territories.

IM
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