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High altitude object shot down

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Old 12th Feb 2023, 19:08
  #121 (permalink)  
 
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IF these objects are as difficult to detect as the reports suggest, I cannot understand how anyone would know where to return fire. Besides, who ever said that a putative attack would just comprise one balloon?

And, of course, there are many other types of weapon. A sprinkling of septoria from 40,000 feet could damage the wheat fields of Canada quite badly...
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 19:58
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Originally Posted by DodgyGeezer
IF these objects are as difficult to detect as the reports suggest, I cannot understand how anyone would know where to return fire. Besides, who ever said that a putative attack would just comprise one balloon?

And, of course, there are many other types of weapon. A sprinkling of septoria from 40,000 feet could damage the wheat fields of Canada quite badly...
I did a bit of digging around on the web. Just after the first one was shot down. Loads of them have been flying very long distances for around a decade. Some are believed to have gone right around the globe. Not just made in China. The US has had a similar balloon/airship programme for some years. Chances are other countries have been doing the same.

Seems these things are getting attention now because of the large size of the first one shot down. Not at all new though. The hangars for the Chinese ones were first spotted in 2013. My guess is that their existence was known, but just never really made it into the public eye until now.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 20:12
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Originally Posted by Ninthace
And the reason for multiple bogeys would be???
To ensure at least a few found their target.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 20:13
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Soon no weather balloon will be safe
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 20:13
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Is there any reason why a jet fighter couldn't down these balloons with gunfire?
Is it just too difficult?
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 20:28
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Originally Posted by _Agrajag_
Pretty simple. Any attacking aircraft and weapon system needs to find the target. This may use active sensors the thing can record and uplink for later analysis. The attacker then needs to acquire the target. As above, data can be acquired and uplinked. Then the weapon system needs to be initialised, launched and home in for the kill. As above. All that data can be acquired and uplinked for later analysis.

The value to China of knowing EXACTLY how these things are being shot down is high. Knowing the fine details of how these things are being intercepted and shot down gives China a golden opportunity to develop countermeasures. I can't think of a cheaper or more effective way of getting solid data like this. may also explain why a relatively "dumb" missile was used to down the first one. Might have been the best weapon for the job. Then again it could have been a weapon that was so old and well understood that there was no risk of China obtaining data it didn't already have.
I think you might be clutching at straws with this one. You say these balloons have been floating around the world for the last 10 years... They have been watching and waiting for an F22 to come along and shoot them down, really!!?
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 20:41
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Originally Posted by uxb99
Is there any reason why a jet fighter couldn't down these balloons with gunfire?
Is it just too difficult?
Seems the balloon was above 20000m and still some 2000m above the F22 which was already flying at it's service ceiling (or so claimed) with a missile payload at around 18000m. (May most likely have been deliberately limited to avoid betraying actual aircraft performance to adversaries). The M61A2 Vulcan cannon has an effective range of some 600m and therefore well short of a high kill probabilty. The AIM-9X is the cheapest air-to-air missile in the US inventory and the right choice for the job.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 20:58
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And here goes another one,,,

https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/u-s-sho...rder-1.6270790

To be very honest i do not feel very confortable at all with some nation(s) taking down some objects out of the sky without knowing nothing about their origins, missions, or above all, wich "entity" they belong...pure arrogance and selfishness if "they" were not acting in an hostile behaviour...NOTAMS and Temp Reserves could be used....unless they know at all 100% to who/whom they are messing up ?
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:01
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:03
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Originally Posted by JanetFlight
And here goes another one,,,

https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/u-s-sho...rder-1.6270790

To be very honest i do not feel very confortable at all with some nation(s) taking down some objects out of the sky without knowing nothing about their origins, missions, or above all, wich "entity" they belong...pure arrogance and selfishness if "they" were not acting in an hostile behaviour...NOTAMS and Temp Reserves could be used....unless they know at all 100% to who/whom they are messing up ?
I would suggest the aircraft would obtain a visual and report what it saw before confirmation of a fire order was given.
Downing a UFO in your own airspace isn't arrogance, it's security.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:15
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Originally Posted by JanetFlight
And here goes another one,,,

https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/u-s-sho...rder-1.6270790

To be very honest i do not feel very confortable at all with some nation(s) taking down some objects out of the sky without knowing nothing about their origins, missions, or above all, wich "entity" they belong...pure arrogance and selfishness if "they" were not acting in an hostile behaviour...NOTAMS and Temp Reserves could be used....unless they know at all 100% to who/whom they are messing up ?
And just how would you determine the origins, mission and the owners. At the end of the day they were in territorial airspace, it’s alright using NOTAMS for airliners etc, but unmanned suspected spy drones I think not. Just like the Virgin ballon’s that did the record breaking flights, permission had to be gained to overfly countries, without that these are legitimate targets IMHO especially bearing in mind the current heightened tensions.

Remember both Russia and China have downed spy aircraft
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:16
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Originally Posted by m0nkfish
I think you might be clutching at straws with this one. You say these balloons have been floating around the world for the last 10 years... They have been watching and waiting for an F22 to come along and shoot them down, really!!?
Do the research. The hangars and launch facilities were publicly identified in 2013. No doubt western intelligence knew of them long before that. They've been spotted a handful of times over the past few years. All in the public domain and linked to earlier in this thread. They are a hot topic now just because the sky happened to be clear enough over Montana for someone on the ground to take a photo of one at around 60,000ft. Had that photo not been published on the web I doubt we'd be chatting about these things now.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:31
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Originally Posted by uxb99
Downing a UFO in your own airspace isn't arrogance, it's security.
Unless it's a biochem warfare object, containing a kg or 2 of their first class material, not from a Biosafety Level 4 lab, but from an innocent wildlive market.

And if it's an electronic warfare game, then enough samples from different interceptors, datalink transmissions, etc. should be enough for their supercomputers to give it a go at cracking the encryption and ECM protocols...
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:46
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Originally Posted by DIBO

And if it's an electronic warfare game, then enough samples from different interceptors, datalink transmissions, etc. should be enough for their supercomputers to give it a go at cracking the encryption and ECM protocols...
Exactly this. Getting up front and personal data from an attacking platform and weapon is the holy grail for anyone intent on countermeasures. Being able to get this in near real time and upload it to a sat link right up to the moment of impact will provide a goldmine of data. That data is now safely stored behind the Great Firewall of China. We can be 100% sure they will gain more from it than from any conventional spying programme. Got to admire them for adopting this tactic. One hell of a clever way to cheaply get data that's just about unobtainable.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:56
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Originally Posted by DIBO
Unless it's a biochem warfare object, containing a kg or 2 of their first class material, not from a Biosafety Level 4 lab, but from an innocent wildlive market.
That would be very irresponsible. Once proven expect ICBM's inbound and not attached to balloons.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 21:59
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Originally Posted by _Agrajag_
Exactly this. Getting up front and personal data from an attacking platform and weapon is the holy grail for anyone intent on countermeasures. Being able to get this in near real time and upload it to a sat link right up to the moment of impact will provide a goldmine of data. That data is now safely stored behind the Great Firewall of China. We can be 100% sure they will gain more from it than from any conventional spying programme. Got to admire them for adopting this tactic. One hell of a clever way to cheaply get data that's just about unobtainable.
That is why F-4 with basic comms and old style targeting + Vulcan is a cheap and effective answer to any such target as long as it cannot return the fire. And it is expendable - you just build a few dozens out of a thousand stored. The latest war has shown that cheaper assets in mass can do much more than a few uber drones, while having a much lower total cost and training requirements.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 22:05
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Originally Posted by DIBO
Unless it's a biochem warfare object, containing a kg or 2 of their first class material, not from a Biosafety Level 4 lab, but from an innocent wildlive market.

And if it's an electronic warfare game, then enough samples from different interceptors, datalink transmissions, etc. should be enough for their supercomputers to give it a go at cracking the encryption and ECM protocols...
There is no way any government can decrypt data assuming it has encrypted correctly. Modern encryption is just too secure for that to happen. Thats why governments complain so much about Apple, and Whatsapp, and Telegram, and Signal, etc, etc. They know they cant crack the encryption in any time frame thats considered useful.

Thats why quantum computing is so interesting to governments and the military. Once they have that figured out, the worlds financial system will be toast, until somebody creates encryption techniques that quantum computers cant break. Not that I particularly worried, I will have passed before then.

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Old 12th Feb 2023, 22:11
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Originally Posted by michaelbinary
There is no way any government can decrypt data assuming it has encrypted correctly. Modern encryption is just too secure for that to happen. Thats why governments complain so much about Apple, and Whatsapp, and Telegram, and Signal, etc, etc. They know they cant crack the encryption in any time frame thats considered useful.
.
Of course they say they can't crack it, that is what they want everyone to believe.

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Old 12th Feb 2023, 22:19
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Originally Posted by michaelbinary
There is no way any government can decrypt data assuming it has encrypted correctly. Modern encryption is just too secure for that to happen. Thats why governments complain so much about Apple, and Whatsapp, and Telegram, and Signal, etc, etc. They know they cant crack the encryption in any time frame thats considered useful.

Thats why quantum computing is so interesting to governments and the military. Once they have that figured out, the worlds financial system will be toast, until somebody creates encryption techniques that quantum computers cant break. Not that I particularly worried, I will have passed before then.
Don't need decryption if you're looking at countermeasures against the techniques being used.. In broad brush terms you can counter pretty much any threat if you have enough data. This isn't really about decrypting secure comms. It's about China playing catch up with sensors and weapons.
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Old 12th Feb 2023, 22:23
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Originally Posted by CargoOne
That is why F-4 with basic comms and old style targeting + Vulcan is a cheap and effective answer to any such target as long as it cannot return the fire. And it is expendable - you just build a few dozens out of a thousand stored. The latest war has shown that cheaper assets in mass can do much more than a few uber drones, while having a much lower total cost and training requirements.
I would respectfully disagree. The latest war has shown that Russia’s Air Force is technologically not on a par with the West. A paper tiger if you will. I imagine the West is sitting pretty happy right now with the capabilities they have that they know work effectively, F22 being just one. And I doubt any valuable intelligence was given away by an F22 shooting a heat seeking missile at a balloon.
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