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Old 26th June 2024 | 17:05
  #1261 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by pax britanica
If Iran did invade israel
They don't share a border. Why would they do that, rather than acting through proxies as they have done since 1979?
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Old 26th June 2024 | 19:18
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From: PLanet Earth
Originally Posted by pax britanica
If Iran did invade israel
Care to have a look at a map?
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Old 26th June 2024 | 19:22
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From: Den Haag
Originally Posted by henra
Care to have a look at a map?
Clearly pax britanica has no connection with encyclopaedia britannica!
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Old 2nd July 2024 | 18:09
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In Iran, the Big Winner Is None of the Above
Story by Arash Azizi • (Atlantic Monthly)
​​​​​​​Since the death in May of President Ebrahim Raisi, Iran has been in the throes of a surprise electoral contest. Not for the first time, one of the loudest campaigns has belonged not to any of the candidates, but to opponents of the regime who advocate boycotting the vote. Among those who refused to vote on June 28 were the Nobel Peace Prize laureates Shirin Ebadi and Narges Mohammadi, the labor leader Esmayil Bakhshi, former Prime Minister Mirhossein Mousavi (under house arrest since 2011 for leading the Green Movement protests), and Mostafa Tajzadeh, a prominent reformist turned critic who is in prison.

Now the first-round results are in, and they suggest a grand victory for the boycotters. On election day, so few Iranians came out to vote by 6 p.m., when the polls were due to close, that the regime extended voting hours all the way to midnight (the legal maximum). And yet, even if the interior ministry’s numbers are to be believed, turnout climbed no higher than 39.9 percent, by far the lowest in the history of the Islamic Republic.

The previous presidential election, in 2021, was much less competitive—effectively a coronation for Raisi—and turnout was 49.9 percent. This time around, not even the inclusion of a reformist candidate, Masud Pezeshkian, who had the full support of once-popular former Presidents Mohammad Khatami and Hassan Rouhani, brought voters to the polls. Nor did the tireless campaigning of former Foreign Minister Javad Zarif. The Iranian regime urges its supporters to vote as an act of fealty to the Islamic Republic, so refusing to vote is traditionally understood as an expression of dissent against the regime and its policies. And the message this year is clear: In the first presidential election since the Women, Life, Freedom protests of 2022–23, the majority of Iranians are making clear with their voting behavior, just as they did in the streets, that they reject the Islamic Republic.
What does this popular vote of no confidence mean for Iranian actions and moves in the region? Anything?
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Old 7th July 2024 | 17:00
  #1265 (permalink)  
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Iranian frigate IRIS Sahand appears to have had "an incident", and yes, frigates only do this when they're distressed.

It'd recently gained a lot of top weight in refit - it's possible gravity has resolved any debates about the wisdom of doing so in the traditional manner.





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Last edited by ORAC; 7th July 2024 at 17:12.
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Old 7th July 2024 | 20:37
  #1266 (permalink)  
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"Oh frig it"!
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Old 8th July 2024 | 06:33
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From: Ferrara
no doubt, even as we write, the "saboteurs" and "spies" are being interrogated
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Old 10th July 2024 | 12:40
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Salvage effort to recover 🇮🇷Iranian frigate IRIS Sahand frigate that capsized in the port of Bandar Abbas has failed.

Ship was lifted and moved to another area but cables holding the ship broke and it capsized again, now fully submerged in deeper water.




The conventional Iranian navy is mainly a danger to itself...

Frigate IRIS Talayieh, rolled over in a dry dock in Bandar Abbas, Dec 2021.

Naval Auxiliary tanker IRIS Kharg, caught fire and sank in Gulf of Oman, Jun 2021.

Support ship Konarak hit by a 'friendly' missile fired by IRIS Jamarn killing 19 sailors, May 2020.

Frigate IRIS Damavand sank after running aground, Jan 2018.


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Old 24th July 2024 | 09:57
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🇮🇷Iranian frigate IRIS Sahand that capsized in Bandar Abbas on 9 July being salvaged.

Via @mhmiranusa


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Old 24th July 2024 | 10:34
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Now that looks like a write-off......................
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Old 24th July 2024 | 12:08
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From: Over the rainbow
Originally Posted by ORAC
🇮🇷Iranian frigate IRIS Sahand that capsized in Bandar Abbas on 9 July being salvaged.

Via @mhmiranusa

​​​​​​​Depends how desperate you are I guess. The Americans managed to recover much worse damage at Pearl.
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Old 24th July 2024 | 15:06
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From: Somerset
Originally Posted by DogTailRed2
Depends how desperate you are I guess. The Americans managed to recover much worse damage at Pearl.
At Pearl, the sunk/damaged ships were of a different generation of equipment and systems . Fewer, and simpler electronics, much less wiring. Simpler sort of damage. However, if you have enough time, and physical resources, what was built can be rebuilt.

​​​​​​​N

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Old 31st July 2024 | 10:47
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Iran is saying Haniyeh was killed in Tehran by an airstrike and blames Israel.
How could they have done that?
A Mossad Kidon team launching a drone nearby?
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Old 31st July 2024 | 15:12
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From: Texas
Maybe the Houthi's typed the wrong GPS coordinates into one of their missiles.
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Old 31st July 2024 | 16:54
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Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
Maybe the Houthi's typed the wrong GPS coordinates into one of their missiles.
You mean like online shopping; confused "Delivery Address" with "Billing Address".
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Old 31st July 2024 | 17:40
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Yes... and how did you know I've done that before?
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Old 31st July 2024 | 18:06
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This is how wars start. The missile hit on the soccer field was almost certainly not deliberate. The missile was either missed programmed or malfunctioned but after it killed all those children, Israel had to respond.

Now an escalatory ladder has started that is going to be hard to stop.
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Old 31st July 2024 | 21:47
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From: aus
Originally Posted by Big Pistons Forever
This is how wars start. The missile hit on the soccer field was almost certainly not deliberate. The missile was either missed programmed or malfunctioned but after it killed all those children, Israel had to respond.
So they 'accidentally' fired the missile
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Old 1st August 2024 | 00:04
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From: A better place.
Eyewitnesses who were with him at the time claiming it was a `small missile' that struck the room he was in.
Damage to some windows doors and walls.
Elbit systems has developed a micro-drone that can be launched from a quadcopter - technology certainly exists.
From The Telegraph:

Deep, perhaps unprecedented, Mossad infiltration

Whether the munition was delivered by drone or a different kind of projectile, a launch from inside Iran would suggest deep, perhaps unprecedented, infiltration by Mossad.

“It was a missile,” Khalil al-Hayya, a senior Hamas official, told reporters in Tehran.

“The missile targeted the room where Ismail Haniyeh was present. The impact of the missile caused the windows to shatter and the walls to collapse. Investigation by our Iranian brothers is ongoing.”

Last edited by tartare; 1st August 2024 at 01:20.
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Old 2nd August 2024 | 00:48
  #1280 (permalink)  
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From: troposphere
Media now reporting that a bomb was smuggled in to the guesthouse 2 months ago and remotely detonated.

( CNN, New York Times, Telegraph....)
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