Notices
Military Aviation A forum for the professionals who fly military hardware. Also for the backroom boys and girls who support the flying and maintain the equipment, and without whom nothing would ever leave the ground. All armies, navies and air forces of the world equally welcome here.

Iran

Old 30th March 2026 | 14:52
  #4521 (permalink)  
Thread Starter
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Jul 2000
Aviation Qualifications: Spotter
Posts: 24,510
Likes: 7,255
From: Peripatetic
............
Rt @LaTribune, more than 80 MICA missiles, each costing between €600,000 and €700,000, had been fired in total from the 12 French air force Rafale jet fighters operating in the #UAE before the weekend of March 28, since the beginning of the Iranian conflict.
​​​​​​​French state sources do give a Mica price of €600-700k, but others give a cost of €1.5 million to €2 million ($1.6M–$2.2M) per unit.

India paid €1.9 m per Mica.

The new Mica NG programe cost $1.8 billion for 200+367 missiles - a unit price of €3.174 million!
​​​​​​​The Chief of Staff of the French Army @CEMAT_FR announces the deployment of 4 Tiger helicopters in the Gulf to provide our military with an additional option for intercepting Iranian drones that threaten our nationals and our allies.

At a more affordable cost.
ORAC is online now  
Old 30th March 2026 | 14:54
  #4522 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Aug 2009
Aviation Qualifications: Military
Posts: 9,328
Likes: 2,175
From: Texas
Originally Posted by ORAC
Cha Ching. Look at that last sentence.
This will be in retribution to our many soldiers, and others, that Iran has butchered or killed over the Old Regime's 47 year "Reign of Terror."
Settling scores. That is what he's about this time around. While an apt response from Iran's leadership (IRGC or otherwise) would be "...dealing with the current President's Reign of Chaos..." as the war of words continues, that a possible cease fire is in the offing is hopeful news.
One wonders how the Saudis feel about this. Have they changed their readiness posture, increased or decreased, recently?
Does any PPRuNer in the region have an insight on that?
Originally Posted by ORAC
Photos ​​​​​​​
That was only a matter of time, wasn't it? The pipeline being attacked?
Lonewolf_50 is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 14:59
  #4523 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Oct 2018
Aviation Qualifications: PPL
Posts: 12,213
Likes: 1,648
From: Ferrara
"If China has designs on Taiwan, it's now or never."

hmm - Presdient Xi will no doubt look at the news

Russia invades Ukraine - not a good result

US dives into Middle east - not a great result so far

Should I invade taiwan? Well I've still purging the PLA top to bottom - what could go wrong?

Or maybe I'll just wait - US foreign policy and overseas ventures will likely be in total ruins in a year or so....................
Asturias56 is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 15:14
  #4524 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Aug 2009
Aviation Qualifications: Military
Posts: 9,328
Likes: 2,175
From: Texas
Sun Tzu said (roughly):
If you defeat his plan you defeat your enemy.

If the enemy isn't sure what your plan is, that makes his efforts more difficult.
If you cover your plan with a smokescreen of noise, or dust, it also makes his efforts more difficult.
Then again, if you don't know your own plan, you may defeat yourself.

And lastly: Ike has an infamous aphorism -
"Plans are worthless, but planning is everything".
(Pretty much every staff officer has had this as part of their syllabus).
Spoiler
 

Lonewolf_50 is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 15:28
  #4525 (permalink)  
Thread Starter
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Jul 2000
Aviation Qualifications: Spotter
Posts: 24,510
Likes: 7,255
From: Peripatetic

ORAC is online now  
Old 30th March 2026 | 15:32
  #4526 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
10 Anniversary
 
Joined: Nov 2011
Aviation Qualifications: SLF
Posts: 2,870
Likes: 508
From: Japan
Impressively understated.
jolihokistix is online now  
Old 30th March 2026 | 15:43
  #4527 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
30 Countries Visited
20 Anniversary
 
Joined: Feb 2002
Aviation Qualifications: AME
Posts: 4,166
Likes: 1,096
From: UK
Originally Posted by larssnowpharter
One suspects the talk on an invasion of Kharg Island is all misdirection. As I've said before it makes little military sense.
Something popped up on farcebook earlier today about a US plan to secure several tons of Iranian Uranium by dropping in a few thousand troops, securing a perimeter and loading the uranium into waiting transport aircraft.
Sounds insane, but who knows these days.
TURIN is online now  
Old 30th March 2026 | 16:15
  #4528 (permalink)  
Community Builder
20 Anniversary
 
Joined: Feb 2006
Aviation Qualifications: LAME
Posts: 36,137
Likes: 5,738
From: Falling off the end of the thread
Going in by Herc onto a small soccer pitch?
NutLoose is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 16:51
  #4529 (permalink)  
15 Anniversary
 
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 919
Likes: 13
From: MCT
Originally Posted by TURIN
Something popped up on farcebook earlier today about a US plan to secure several tons of Iranian Uranium by dropping in a few thousand troops, securing a perimeter and loading the uranium into waiting transport aircraft.
Sounds insane, but who knows these days.
I believe that Tom Cruise will be playing a prominent role in this operation...
Suzeman is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 17:03
  #4530 (permalink)  
Thread Starter
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Jul 2000
Aviation Qualifications: Spotter
Posts: 24,510
Likes: 7,255
From: Peripatetic
…………….
Russian pro-war propagandist German Sadulaev proposed abandoning Ukraine’s Donbas and shifting to a defensive posture to avoid further losses.

Instead, he called for redirecting efforts toward striking the United States, suggesting that freed-up resources should be transferred to Iran. He argued that even a small portion of missiles currently used in Ukraine could be reallocated to target U.S. military bases in the Middle East.
ORAC is online now  
Old 30th March 2026 | 17:25
  #4531 (permalink)  
fdr
Community Builder
20 Anniversary
 
Joined: Jun 2001
Aviation Qualifications: ATPL
Posts: 4,087
Likes: 4,426
From: 3rd Rock, #29B
Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
Sun Tzu said (roughly):
If you defeat his plan you defeat your enemy.

If the enemy isn't sure what your plan is, that makes his efforts more difficult.
If you cover your plan with a smokescreen of noise, or dust, it also makes his efforts more difficult.
Then again, if you don't know your own plan, you may defeat yourself.

And lastly: Ike has an infamous aphorism -
"Plans are worthless, but planning is everything".
(Pretty much every staff officer has had this as part of their syllabus).
Spoiler
 





Originally Posted by dead_pan
Per my earlier post, and in light of Trump's latest social media brainf*rt, perhaps I should now say that both parties may consider various armageddon options in the event that things don't go their way.

Maybe that's part of Trump's grand plan: "You think you're the craziest?? I can out-crazy anyone!!"
Brain aero poop? Nope, that is the strategy of the Emperor to divide and rule, within the same sentence. It is easier and far more rewarding to listen to a 4-year old explain QED than to follow a sentence from the C-I-C of the USA. What commences the sentence drifts into inanity mid field, and then is contradicted by the end of the very same utterance. Sun Tzu (fictional or otherwise) would appreciate the inherent OPSEC that arises from hiding your intentions, but as LW says, it hardly assists the home team in their contingency planning. A circular firing squad, Russian roulette with a Glock comes to mind.

WRT "crazy" man strategy applied by Nixon and Kissinger, that didn't go so well there, although it was certainly great for sound bites and LB-II gave lots of screen time. (LB-II did achieve the goal of attrition of the SAM-2 stockpiles in Hanoi, at a considerable cost of USAF/USN crews and civilians). Mr T has a head start in the field of crazy which most other countries fortuitously do not enjoy.

A revisionist might do well to go back and read the words of FDR in December 1941 (the 8th, in front of Congress... the body that used to be part of the US Govt, remember?), the comment "A date which will live in infamy" and reflect on the actions of the B&T show in recent times WRT international law and order. Going out and acting as a mob boss and whacking the head of state of any regime is rather odious, particularly before a "War" is declared. Wasn't part of that the bit that offended FDR?

We have gone a long way since 7th December 1941, not sure the direction is what was expected.

When Turkey is the responsible party, some self reflection might be in order.

In the meantime, taking Kharg Island might make Mr T feel good, it won't be appreciated by the future gold star families that arise from what used to be described as larceny. Doing that to Venezuela hasn't quite turned out as expected, as far as plans go, giving a justification for an expanded and protracted asymmetric war will end about as well as it did in Afghanistan, Iraq and Vietnam. A stated strategy to plunder the resources of a sovereign state won't look good on a resume in the future, nor will it plead well in the court when there is an accounting which on occasions does catch up to perpetrators of crimes. Not often, but occasionally.

If war was so damned simple to win at, there would be no need for bone spurs.

Last edited by fdr; 30th March 2026 at 17:55.
fdr is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 17:41
  #4532 (permalink)  
fdr
Community Builder
20 Anniversary
 
Joined: Jun 2001
Aviation Qualifications: ATPL
Posts: 4,087
Likes: 4,426
From: 3rd Rock, #29B
Originally Posted by ORAC
............
About the same amount as buying a squadron of A-29 Super Tucanos to take out the Shaheeds, and thereafter about $1500/hr, $100/drone in munitions, day or night (.50 BMG), $22000/drone night with APKWS. In daytime, y'all can save on the .50 BMG ($10/round) with the 7.62 ($0.6/round) hose from an M134D that is already available underwing, but that comes with increased risks of frag damage to the aircraft doing the intercept, a bit of distance is a good thing.

Heck, you could sell tickets to go plinking, lots a folks would take on that circus act!

fdr is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 18:15
  #4533 (permalink)  
Community Builder
15 Anniversary
 
Joined: Mar 2008
Aviation Qualifications: Spotter
Posts: 1,811
Likes: 214
From: London
Originally Posted by ORAC
…………….
Not actually a bad call. They'd get sanctions relief pretty much immediately then would be able to make hay given the oil and gas prices. And they'd tie the US in another forever war as a bit of payback.
dead_pan is online now  
Old 30th March 2026 | 18:19
  #4534 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
20 Countries Visited
15 Anniversary
 
Joined: Jan 2008
Aviation Qualifications: Military
Posts: 3,346
Likes: 2,119
From: Glorious Devon
Originally Posted by k3k3
I was surprised to see the US aircraft so neatly parked in box to make it easier for the Iranians to hit them. Have they forgotten about dispersals?

The US only have/had 14/15 active E-3 aircraft.
What good is dispersal given the current state of technology?
Drones can be targeted within a square meter, they can even have AI guidance. Satellite imagery is available in near real time.
Ninthace is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 18:47
  #4535 (permalink)  
Community Builder
5 Anniversary
 
Joined: Dec 2020
Aviation Qualifications: Non-Aircrew
Posts: 1,568
Likes: 1,380
From: Over the rainbow
Originally Posted by Ninthace
What good is dispersal given the current state of technology?
Drones can be targeted within a square meter, they can even have AI guidance. Satellite imagery is available in near real time.
Drone defences are the key. Jamming, hiding, intercepting, killing the operators and so on. In fact you could argue what is the point in spending billions on the large dollar weapons. Drones and lots of them.
DogTailRed2 is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 19:37
  #4536 (permalink)  
25 Anniversary
 
Joined: Feb 2000
Posts: 759
Likes: 34
From: Rural England, thank God.
Interesting approach to opsec at Fort Bragg.
skua is online now  
Old 30th March 2026 | 20:00
  #4537 (permalink)  
15 Anniversary
 
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 707
Likes: 103
From: Mauritius,soon or latter
If we qoute Sun Tzu, than :
No attack upwards ( up to the hil)
Is more appropriatte if anyone considers ground attack on Iranian costs all around SoH..( steep mountains almost to coastline).

Lesson that among many others was not known to Pochorek- KuK genaral in the opening battle against Serbia in avg 1914- and they finished it accordingly. 👹🤪
SINGAPURCANAC is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 20:01
  #4538 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
5 Anniversary
 
Joined: Apr 2020
Aviation Qualifications: Spotter
Posts: 1,505
Likes: 540
From: Rhone-Alpes
Originally Posted by tdracer
I doubt the USAF is overly worried about losing a few 65-year-old KC-135s.
The E-3 AWACS is a different story... As k3k3 notes, they don't have many to start with, and IIRC, that $100 million price tag was when they were new (in 1980's money) - replacements will be much, much more.
The E2D was $ 140 million back in 2013. Commentators have attached costs of $ 500 million for the Russian A50

Originally Posted by larssnowpharter
One suspects the talk on an invasion of Kharg Island is all misdirection. As I've said before it makes little military sense.
Sounds like a slam-dunk for the Supreme Commander.
Tartiflette Fan is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 20:04
  #4539 (permalink)  
Community Builder
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Jun 2007
Aviation Qualifications: Spotter
Posts: 1,880
Likes: 495
From: Beyond the Blue Horizon
May I hope any aircrew who are shot down over Iran receive the care my late Father received, as I am really sad that your government feels that you need to be asked to do what he had to do, in a more questionable cause than his.

Regards
Mr Mac
Mr Mac is offline  
Old 30th March 2026 | 20:31
  #4540 (permalink)  
Thread Starter
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Community Influencer
 
Joined: Jul 2000
Aviation Qualifications: Spotter
Posts: 24,510
Likes: 7,255
From: Peripatetic
Looks like, with the Iranian air force reduced to dust, the air-to-air threat is gone and the F-22s are headed home.

USAF United States Air Force

17:47L - TABOR 31-36 Flt 6x F-22A’s departed RAF Lakenheath for Langley Air Force Base, supported by CLEAN 11-12 Flt.
Meanwhile the A-10s heading out to the war zone have arrived in the UK. Long slow legs at their speed.

Video[QUOTE]​​​​​​​
[/QUOTE]
​​​​​​​USAF A-10s are arriving in the UK tonight as the U.S. surges more Warthogs to the Middle East.
ORAC is online now  

Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.