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Old 23rd March 2026 | 01:54
  #4221 (permalink)  
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They don't have to stop every or even most ships in the SoH or Red Sea. The threat is enough. The yemenis hit remarkably few ships in the last flare up but 90% of shipping still decided to go via Cape Horn. The USA et all can promise protection but the shipowners aren't under their control
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 03:43
  #4222 (permalink)  
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The insurance costs alone will stop ships from going through the Straits - Iran doesn't have to sink any ships or hit many at all - even 1 - it's the risk of a 100 million dollar ship full of oil and crew getting hit in a war zone that makes the cost unbearable
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 07:12
  #4223 (permalink)  
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And it wont be changed soon. The same is for many bussiness in UAE, Bahrain and Qatar.

Maybe they have money to cover , at least their assets- I am higly suspicious that they have local based and backbonned insurance system .

You can't make Alianz, Lloyd or so overnight.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 07:54
  #4224 (permalink)  
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From: Here 'n' there!
Originally Posted by galaxy flyer
Have they done it? I must have missed it. They can make all kinds of claims, threats.
I think this refers to what they'll do in the coming days if the US attacks power generation sites. TBF, they (Iran) have already caused quite a bit of disruption. They seem to have a well considered escalatory game plan which is working rather well.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 08:30
  #4225 (permalink)  
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I am no expert but could Insurance companies just declare Force Majeure, and walk away, as someone (naming no names) started a fight!
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 09:40
  #4226 (permalink)  
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Routing over France again.
​​​​​​​Bomber Mission XXX - Bold at 30! FreeIran!

--- Operation EPIC FURY ---

The 30th bombing mission we've tracked since the start of
OperationEpicFury, saw 2 B-1B "Lancer" bombers launch from RAF Fairford (EGVA) on 22nd March 2026 to Iran with outbound aerial refuelling support from RAF Mildenhall (EGUN) tankers and return refuelling near Crete (but with the tankers this time staying hidden from tracking software). The bombers arrived back in the UK in the early hours of this morning.

These were:

Mission XXX

B-1B "BOLD36" 86-0121
#AE6BFB "Symphony of Destruction"
B-1B "BOLD37" 86-0107
#AE6BEF "Dragon Slayer"

KC-135R "PETRO11" 63-8878
#AE05B1 (From RAF Mildenhall)
KC-135R "PETRO12" 61-0315
#AE0237 (From RAF Mildenhall)
KC-135R "PETRO13" 60-0324
#AE0480 (From RAF Mildenhall)
KC-135T "PETRO14" 59-1464
#AE0659 (Spare, not used, from RAF Mildenhall)
KC-135? (x3) "PETRO33" to "PETRO35" ? (Likely from Sofia or Bucharest)

​​​​​​​
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 09:42
  #4227 (permalink)  
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From: Peripatetic
Video
BREAKING: This morning, the U.S. Navy targeted an ammunition depot of the Iranian Navy in the city of Sirjan in southern Iran. Massive secondary explosions can be seen following the U.S. Navy strike on the facility.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 09:51
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IRAN JUST PUBLISHED THE EXACT LIST OF TARGETS THEY WILL STRIKE IF TRUMP BOMBS THEIR POWER GRID

Not vague threats. Not "we will retaliate." NAMED FACILITIES. SPECIFIC ADDRESSES. Country by country.

Saudi Arabia:

Ras Al-Khair Desalination → LARGEST in the world → millions lose water.
Shuqaiq Power Plant → southern Saudi grid GONE.

Qatar:

Al Kharsaah Power Plant → Qatar grid hit.
Ras Laffan C Power + Water → Qatar's lifeline GONE.

UAE:
Taweelah Desalination → one of Gulf's biggest → UAE water supply hit.

Barakah Power Plant → UAE's NUCLEAR plant → strike = fallout risk.

Bahrain:

Al Dur Power + Water → Bahrain's PRIMARY water source → 60% dependent.

Kuwait:
North Zour Power Plant → Kuwait's largest → 90% desalination dependent.

Jordan:
Aqaba Thermal → Jordan's south grid.

Samra Power Plant → 40% of Jordan's total electricity.

12 named facilities, 6 countries, ZERO military bases on the list, 100% civilian infrastructure — water and power. Every target on this list keeps people alive. Not soldiers. CIVILIANS.

Trump's 48-hour ultimatum is still ticking. These are the targets at HOUR 48.







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Old 23rd March 2026 | 09:55
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From: Peripatetic
Probably aimed at Incirlik again - or maybe further?

Video
​​​​​​​Exoatmospheric interception of an Iranian medium-range ballistic missile seen earlier tonight over Al-Asharah in the Deir ez-Zor Governorate of Eastern Syria, likely carried out by an SM-3 fired by a U.S. Navy Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer positioned in the Eastern Mediterranean.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 10:18
  #4230 (permalink)  
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Yesterday's B-52 mission. Carrying JDAMs instead of JASSMs.


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Old 23rd March 2026 | 10:25
  #4231 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by BANANASBANANAS
Maybe it is just an attempt by Israel to try to draw UK further into the conflict?
To paraphrase Francis Urqhart (UK 'House of cards') ... "You might very well think that; I couldn't possibly comment"

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Old 23rd March 2026 | 11:31
  #4232 (permalink)  
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Rolled over in bed again. Too many Tacos.....


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Old 23rd March 2026 | 11:33
  #4233 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Rolled over in bed again. Too many Tacos.....
He can’t even spell ‘which’ correctly!

Last edited by T28B; 23rd March 2026 at 12:02. Reason: you don't need to replicate that picture
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 11:51
  #4234 (permalink)  
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From: Falling off the end of the thread
It is either an attempt by Trump to extract himself out of the war by making it look like Iran has folded their hand, though I doubt they have judging by the rhetoric they keep putting out. He will then falsely claim a victory and find out in the near future it hasn't gone away, in the meantime he is shifting Marines from Japan that were there to help secure Taiwan and missile systems given to S Korea to protect them from China and their northern neighbors

Or he needs to resupply his war effort with more munitions as he has just about exhausted his frontline stocks, bearing in mind they thought it would be over in a couple of days.

Either way it reeks of smoke and mirrors.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 12:00
  #4235 (permalink)  
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If Trump's statement about negotiations is true (I'm not saying he is lying this time but his track record isn't good) this may be just kicking the can down the road. And what about Israel? Will they continue with their attacks on Iran or focus their attention on creating Greater Israel?

Apologies for dragging the politics into it.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 12:06
  #4236 (permalink)  
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Since both US and Israel are attacking Iran, lars, the Iranian government is no doubt asking that same question: if not at the reported negotiations, then at least within their own circles.

While you are within bounds let's all make use of the Jet Blast thread for the political commentary.

Thank you all in advance.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 12:18
  #4237 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by ORAC
"Exoatmospheric interception of an Iranian medium-range ballistic missile seen earlier tonight over Al-Asharah in the Deir ez-Zor Governorate of Eastern Syria, likely carried out by an SM-3 fired by a U.S. Navy Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer positioned in the Eastern Mediterranean."
This raises the question for me as to how many medium-range ballistic missiles Iran has, and how many SM-3s the USA has deployed in-theatre. Given Iran's published target list, there is a lot of pressure on the USA to provide adequate cover for those, as well as other not listed, but militarily important targets. The SM-3s cost between USD 10 million and USD 30 million each.

https://www.businessinsider.com/us-n...t-2024-10?op=1

https://thedefensepost.com/2026/03/17/sm-3-block-ib/

https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary...n-warfare.html

I would hope that USA and Israeli intelligence know how many medium-range ballistic missiles Iran has available and therefore have enough stock of adequate defensive weapons: otherwise the Iranian strategy is clear. Currently, the Iranians have absolutely no incentive to hold back.
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Old 23rd March 2026 | 12:18
  #4238 (permalink)  
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From: Peripatetic
There were no negotiations between the US and Iran, — Iranian media, citing a government source.

Meanwhile, the Iranian embassy in Kabul stated that Trump refused to attack energy infrastructure after a "strong" warning from Iran.

“Trump and the United States have retreated again”.
​​​​​​​Iran's strong denial: No talks, no negotiations!

​​​​​​​This is Trump's retreat, the result of our strength! The pretense of the American superpower has been shattered.


The martyrs are being avenged, and will be avenged!

Allah is the truth, long live Iran!

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Old 23rd March 2026 | 12:53
  #4239 (permalink)  
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From: West Country
Intetesting Day

DJT - "Negotiations going well..."

Iran - "There have been no negotistions..."

I wonder how the market futures trading has been going today?

Presumably, if they are not bombing civillian infrasructure, they will be concentrating resources on the military targets.

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Old 23rd March 2026 | 13:24
  #4240 (permalink)  
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From: Brit living in Malaysia
Originally Posted by Wyntor
DJT - "Negotiations going well..."

Iran - "There have been no negotistions..."

I wonder how the market futures trading has been going today?

Presumably, if they are not bombing civillian infrasructure, they will be concentrating resources on the military targets.
Iran says USA backed down after Iran ‘explained’ the military consequences if USA bombed Iranian energy infrastructure!

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/worl...rump-statement
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