Shortshortz, what's an "open-time system"?
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Originally Posted by Buttscratcher
(Post 11158029)
.....what's 'flexline'?
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Ah, right, thanks mate.
Well, I guess it's still a sad fact of life that folks get paid different wages for flying the same machinery. The situation is unlikely to change with new EBAs, as the Q juggernaut negotiators are ruthless. |
As SLF, I much prefer Le Bus, to the Boeing. Nice to see them go this way.
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Originally Posted by shortshortz
(Post 11158176)
Do you just make up figures as you go?
QF line captain on "min hours" is on 53hrs pm vs JQ on 75hrs at a base less than QF. The "hard arses", as you put it, can then make an additional 47hrs OT to bring them up to 100 hrs pm at an overtime rate in excess of $80 ph more than JQ, even though JQ only have the ability to squeeze in 25 hrs OT to reach 100hrs pm. These "hard arses" who work similar hours to every JQ pilot (pre covid) then make in excess of $400k. The "vast majority" are on over $300k, and if you argue they're not, then they must be on not much more than 53hrs pm, which puts them similar to a JQ flexi-line pilot (part time) on $150k. No matter which way you slice it, QF sit on $100k more, for working less weekends, holidays, early shifts, with more support, significantly higher bonuses (4 fold), 3% pa currently, 13 rosters pa (again an ability to bank OT), easier EBA sign offs, ability to move to LH award, an open-time system, heck even 50 less pax per a/c. Basically false? Your whole statement is false. The other is a low cost airline, short lead times to command and promotion and a wider selection criteria. So six years at JQ to command wages (precovid) of a 200k+ job, or 15 years sub 200k at mainline as a narrow body FO or SO, then maybe 5 years as a wide body FO, before choosing a bigger wide body or a narrow body command. At the end of a 35 year career, you may find that the JQ pilot will be ahead in total earnings. I don’t have time to work out it. But it won’t be far off. |
Originally Posted by Blueskymine
(Post 11158480)
So six years at JQ to command wages (precovid) of a 200k+ job, or 15 years sub 200k at mainline as a narrow body FO or SO, then maybe 5 years as a wide body FO, before choosing a bigger wide body or a narrow body command. As for the money- One is an airline the other is a LCC it is what it is. If you want to earn Airline money go work for one. For me, I like JQ the flying is great, variety is good. |
LLC vs an 'airline'?? WTF are you trying to say, man?
If you're talking full service, full price 'airline', then what of Network and Cobham? Folks booking a QF ticket on the system from Per to BME will still pay top Qantas dollar. no LLC there. |
Originally Posted by Buttscratcher
(Post 11158550)
LLC vs an 'airline'?? WTF are you trying to say, man?
If you're talking full service, full price 'airline', then what of Network and Cobham? Folks booking a QF ticket on the system from Per to BME will still pay top Qantas dollar. no LLC there. |
LCC v Legacy, fact of the matter is you can always expect LCC to be paid less than a Legacy carrier.
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Hmmm.
LCC v Legacy, fact of the matter is you can always expect LCC to be paid less than a Legacy carrier. |
LCC v Legacy, fact of the matter is you can always expect LCC to be paid less than a Legacy carrier. |
Originally Posted by neville_nobody
(Post 11158877)
Interestingly management don't have the same expectation.
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Low cost equals quicker time to command but less money when you get it. Legacy airline equals longer time to command but more money when you switch seats.
The main factor is age at joining, if you're early 20s then being in QF would put you ahead. Late 30s and JQ would be more lucrative. |
I really don’t think that fast commands are still a thing at JQ. As previously mentioned, the fleet size is approaching its natural limit, the existing captain cohort is younger than airline average. QF had a lost decade without hiring or promotions. The demographics there are much in favour of the new joiner because the airline appears to be expanding and the retirements will soon accelerate. I imagine a new hire at QF could get a SH command* in ten years, or a right seat on a senior LH type which may be as lucrative anyway.
*Assumes industrial status quo. Assumes QF group revenue recovery sometime soon. Also assumes wet markets don’t cough up another pathogen anytime soon. All big, unsafe assumptions. |
Originally Posted by Australopithecus
(Post 11158964)
. I imagine a new hire at QF could get a SH command* in ten years.
At the moment 19-22 years depending on base. It may come down in the future, but 10 years? Tell him he’s dreaming..... |
Its 19-22 years right now because of the demographics. You write some of the only posts worth reading in this site so you are plenty smart enough to know that nothing lasts forever. There is a ten year unoccupied gap on the career progression ladder. The last person above that gap will indeed be circa 20 years. The next person not so much.
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Originally Posted by Australopithecus
(Post 11159020)
Its 19-22 years right now because of the demographics. You write some of the only posts worth reading in this site so you are plenty smart enough to know that nothing lasts forever. There is a ten year unoccupied gap on the career progression ladder. The last person above that gap will indeed be circa 20 years. The next person not so much.
Overall in a Legacy carrier with most LH cruise relief pilots employed as Second officers you could expect what 20% of your career SO, 40% as FO 40% as Captain? If you have a 40 year career that’s still at least 20 years in standard times before getting a command. Quick commands can come around when there’s great expansion, like almost doubling the fleet in two years when the 747-300 and 767 were introduced in the mid 80s, plenty of commands achieved in record time for those at the start of that wave. But that now would mean looking at an additional net 120 aircraft coming in a short amount of time. But hey, at least we’re talking expansion, recruitment and potentially quicker commands rather than redundancies and stand downs! |
Originally Posted by Blueskymine
(Post 11158480)
Ones a full service airline, with narrow selection criteria,
The other is a low cost airline, with..... wider selection criteria I've been offered a job by both entities and I've got some bad news for you kid, there ain't nothing special about the 'width of the selection criteria' at Qantas. You lot are just as dumb as the rest of us. |
Originally Posted by morno
(Post 11156559)
It’s a simple replacement for the 737’s, why the f**k would they try and farm the flying out :ugh:. **** there’s some paranoid ones amongst you.
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When looking into demographics, those arriving for an interview in around 10 years will spend probably no more than 5 years waiting for a command at the Star. Would be much longer still at Mainline however it wouldn’t be 20 years. Whilst the age in the left seat at the Star skews much younger, they are more likely to pack up for another job later on vs the other 2. Cadets with 4 bars now, won’t be able to sit still for the next 20-30 years at a loco. I recall the youngest VA Captain was mid 40s so mid next decade the entire QF and VA 737 ranks are retired.
So those getting the first GA job in the next couple of years shouldn’t have too many issues on the job front when the time for big stuff arrives in a decade. The days of long waits for commands will be a thing of the past once the tail end of Gen Y, and then Gen Z start to take the industry off our hands. Purely as there will be very little pilots left, and a whole heap of retirements. However, those two generations don’t want to be Pilots by the looks of things, many more attractive industries now available to them. |
I wonder how many pilots would go overseas for a better job in the future. There are no better jobs anymore. Cathay is toast, the middle east carriers no longer worthy and China? Pfft.
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Originally Posted by Eclan
(Post 11159110)
How long have you been in aviation? If you were flying in the last century you'd know farming out or otherwise changing the deal is precisely what "they" will try to do at every opportunity and a new fleet is as good an opportunity as it gets. Look up something called Project Sunrise which is a working title for an attempt at changing conditions. "They" rely on the good and unsuspecting nature of the masses not to see the pineapple on its way.
I don’t see the likelihood of the A321’s at least, with a “Link” on the side of them. The A220’s probably will, but they’re a 717 replacement, so not exactly a replacement for any mainline aircraft. Of course management is going to try and get some concessions out of you, they wouldn’t be doing their job if they didn’t try. But given it’s a very similar aircraft type, with perhaps the exception of some additional longer range flying (hey, wouldn’t you believe it, maybe that’s why they’re wanting to discuss it!! :ugh:), I doubt they’re going to want many if any concessions. Who knows, maybe they might even offer you more! |
Originally Posted by Australopithecus
(Post 11159187)
I wonder how many pilots would go overseas for a better job in the future. There are no better jobs anymore. Cathay is toast, the middle east carriers no longer worthy and China? Pfft.
2030s and beyond it’s pretty clear there will be a lack of bodies across the board and to get those, cash and bonuses galore will need to be offered. I don’t think much will change here, the regionals and Jetstar might suffer a bit. I think Gen Y/Z think differently. I’ve fly with many and I’ve asked the question. They don’t seem to want to hang around in some low cost like I’ve done for the last 20 years. Those big new toys with folding wings will lure many if cash and benefits are being thrown around. |
Yeah, if cash and bennies are back to what they were in 2005, adjusted for inflation. Leopards don’t change spots too often, and the ME3 have amptly proven that you don’t go there for a career. I think the big money days for western captains in China are largely over too, although there might be a couple more years to be had.
Covid has taught that the expat life can come to an abrupt halt for the most arbitrary, flimsy reasons. All of which might be a good thing:pilots may eventually force higher wages rather than join the diaspora. |
As humans we have short memories. When China opens up and offering $$$$ pilots will trip over themself getting there. This pandemic has a few yrs to run yet.
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Originally Posted by PoppaJo
(Post 11159348)
I think Gen Y/Z think differently. I’ve fly with many and I’ve asked the question. They don’t seem to want to hang around in some low cost like I’ve done for the last 20 years. Those big new toys with folding wings will lure many if cash and benefits are being thrown around. |
Speaking from experience, becoming an expat is an ugly thing to do to yourself. Even emigrating to arguably the best country in the world is a choice that exacts a toll. A house in your native country is about as good as life gets, but many people only realise that after it is too late.
I have met plenty of pilots who hailed from real **** holes who still were wistfully nostalgic for the old country. Imagine how home sick you'd be leaving a joint like this to live in an actual **** hole. |
It all depends where you go. I’ve got many friends in Singapore and USA who seem very happy. They do plan on returning during retirement pending what the accountant says. It’s not all bad however it’s not all good either. Some of these people have become very financially comfortable, and can retire back home on much more vs what they would have had should they never have left. I don’t know many in the ME who are happy or financially that great sadly.
With a lack of overall bodies in the long run, it might be possible for the GA lad or girl of today, to do a stint abroad with a big twin, and be able to return home and take a narrow body job off the bat. Unless you ‘know people’, returning home in recent times and picking something in the left seat, let alone the right seat, was very rare. Start ups was the real only way of getting a job back here, and you need to know people. Tiger originally crewed expats from Hong Kong and it appears Bonza will do the same looking at where it’s Management are from. Once you go, you don’t come back was generally the rule. |
I imagine that the USA is about the only possibility for GA or even junior LCC crew to improve their incomes. The E3 visa program is a gift to Aussies, and it seems that the US will need thousands of pilots for the foreseeable future, with potential for a permanent residency and a legacy carrier job. Others may have the right to work in Europe or the UK, but I think the pay & conditions there are pretty poor.
I don’t know how many LCC F/Os here would emigrate to join the bottom of an E jet list despite the rather more interesting follow on opportunities. As the saying goes: “It's hard to make predictions, especially about the future”. |
Originally Posted by aussieflyboy
(Post 11198205)
The new AIPA President has proposed bringing NJS Pilots across to the Short-haul agreement in The Australian saying “we would like to represent them too”. I suppose this would make a lot of sense. The 2 groups fly virtually the same routes just with different aircraft. What do the NJS folks think of this proposal? I suppose you would be giving up significant lifestyle clauses. Are there any benefits to NJS crew? I assume seniority lists would remain seperate.
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Originally Posted by aussieflyboy
(Post 11198205)
The new AIPA President has proposed bringing NJS Pilots across to the Short-haul agreement in The Australian saying “we would like to represent them too”. I suppose this would make a lot of sense. The 2 groups fly virtually the same routes just with different aircraft. What do the NJS folks think of this proposal? I suppose you would be giving up significant lifestyle clauses. Are there any benefits to NJS crew? I assume seniority lists would remain seperate.
For what it’s worth, there’s a snow flakes chance in hell of QF allowing NJS crew to be employed under the SH EA. The idea is to divide and conquer - not bring all of the pilot groups together. |
Baldrick, I have a cunning plan.
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Originally Posted by Colonel_Klink
(Post 11198230)
For what it’s worth, there’s a snow flakes chance in hell of QF allowing NJS crew to be employed under the SH EA. The idea is to divide and conquer - not bring all of the pilot groups together. Although an integration into one list like the Qantas and Australian pilots in 1994 would be the ideal that time seems to be a one off. The trend ever since has definitely been to to expand to as many entities as possible. |
Originally Posted by aussieflyboy
(Post 11198205)
The new AIPA President has proposed bringing NJS Pilots across to the Short-haul agreement in The Australian saying “we would like to represent them too”. I suppose this would make a lot of sense. The 2 groups fly virtually the same routes just with different aircraft. What do the NJS folks think of this proposal? I suppose you would be giving up significant lifestyle clauses. Are there any benefits to NJS crew? I assume seniority lists would remain seperate.
Thats understandable, but I can't see what material incentive there would be for NJS crews to switch from thier existing unions, any representation would surely always be of a 'mainline first' persuasion. |
Originally Posted by aussieflyboy
(Post 11198205)
The new AIPA President has proposed bringing NJS Pilots across to the Short-haul agreement in The Australian saying “we would like to represent them too”. I suppose this would make a lot of sense. The 2 groups fly virtually the same routes just with different aircraft. What do the NJS folks think of this proposal? I suppose you would be giving up significant lifestyle clauses. Are there any benefits to NJS crew? I assume seniority lists would remain seperate.
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Project winton hey! Will it be shelved now for a while as the COVID recession is on its way.
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Originally Posted by Lapon
(Post 11198715)
It just sounds to me like nothing more than a polite way of saying 'we see this as a good opportunity to extend our current member base'.
Thats understandable, but I can't see what material incentive there would be for NJS crews to switch from thier existing unions, any representation would surely always be of a 'mainline first' persuasion.
Originally Posted by SHVC
(Post 11198742)
Project winton hey! Will it be shelved now for a while as the COVID recession is on its way.
I'd say travel to Eastern Europe may be down over the next few months but the rest of the world will be doing fine. |
Qantas would never allow it. The whole point is to keep the group split. That way if anyone gets any cheeky ideas come EBA time all the company has to do is slip the "XYZ are happy to do it for this, so if you're not going to negotiate we'll just give it to them"
integration robs them of that card. Think of it as QFs version of mutually assured destruction 🤔 |
Originally Posted by Lapon
(Post 11198715)
It just sounds to me like nothing more than a polite way of saying 'we see this as a good opportunity to extend our current member base'.
Thats understandable, but I can't see what material incentive there would be for NJS crews to switch from thier existing unions, any representation would surely always be of a 'mainline first' persuasion. I don’t believe that there is a “snowballs chance in hell” of seeing any joining of seniority lists of QF Group anytime soon. Maybe, and it’s a slim Maybe, after the “Project Sunrise” and “Project Winton” aircraft and pay scales are bedded in, at a pay rate closer to Jetstar than QF, and the post Covid “Project Recovery” targets have been met, it may be beneficial to bring everyone onto the same list. But why do that? Having all these separate entities is the greatest industrial wedge they have had ever. Without any “Scope” clauses, they just send the flying to the cheapest and most desperate entity and watch the desperation hit those that missed out. Sure, it costs them a bit in training as pilots move around the group airlines, but that is a small (tax deductible) price to pay for longer term lower wages. |
10 Minutes to Go
Voting for the A220 NJS & A321XLR for Mainline closes in 10 minutes. May the pineapples end here.
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