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"pithicus, well said. What happens next is we have our own Colgan disaster. Two pressurised pilots, worried about their job security and conditions of employment, make a fatal mistake through stress. When that happens all the savings made over a decade of cheese paring and cost saving will vanish in an instant, but unfortunately not the management bonuses already paid out.
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Mikk 13 surely it will not have escaped your notice that you are posting on a pilot forum? You may not be aware, but pilots are not as free to change employers once they accrue a bit of seniority. Certainly everyone in the junior third of the list should read the writing on the wall. Everyone in the top third is too old to move. That leaves the unfortunate middle third who are largely also captive unless they become expatriates-a choice they would have made by now if that was actually a viable option. seniority does have some good points but by hell it can be a noose too As dramatic as it may sound, Sunfish has a strong point.. I'm loyal to the current well proven "seniority" system at Qantas.. always nice to know it's still there. . |
Sunfish: "pithicus, well said. What happens next is we have our own Colgan disaster. Two pressurised pilots, worried about their job security and conditions of employment, make a fatal mistake through stress. When that happens all the savings made over a decade of cheese paring and cost saving will vanish in an instant, but unfortunately not the management bonuses already paid out. When there is a "Colgan" those that created the problem have not only got their bonuses but have also departed the scene. They never seem to be held accountable and since it didn't happen on their watch they have the view it cannot have been as a result of anything they did. |
But the people who lease the plane to Jetstar charge a Lease Charge. (even if the said aircraft is sitting on the ground ) This charge effectively includes depreciation (that the lessor suffers) and purchase cost (interest and dividend/profit)... Thus it is much easier for Qantas to be EBITDA or cashflow positive, compared to Jetstar -- Thus the other way of looking at the statement that QFi is cashflow positive but can't cover depreciation is that if QFi sold all its aircraft to a Lessor today (or put them in a standalone vehicle) and charged a market lease rate, then QFi would be cashflow negative The thing is, what's in it for Jetstar? If you were running Jetstar, wouldn't you cut out the middle man, borrow the money to buy the A320 yourself and save the margin you are paying to Qantas? Or even outsource the leases. Afterall, they outsource many other parts of their business outside of the group, why not aircraft leasing? Who here believes that QF mainline, whilst apparently having one of the highest cost workforces coupled with a high dollar, just happens to have to most competitive aircraft lease rates in the world? Unless, of course, the leases aren't really at market rates and it's just another way to shift costs between QF and JQ. This also further highlights one of the biggest problems with management (and there is a long, long list) and that is consistency. One day we need faster depreciation ... the next depreciation is breaking the back of QF Int. One part of the group needs brand new, leased aircraft ... the other needs 20 year old, clapped out gas guzzlers that are owned. Not one dollar will spent on mainline until it returns a profit ... but we can afford to spend millions to park aircraft for unproven Asian franchises that have never turned a profit. If management ever hope to regain any credibility with staff, investors and the public they need to have a consistent strategy which is applied to all parts of the group. |
About maybe ten aircraft are owned by Qantas in the Jetstar A320 fleet. The rest are shelf companies. Who knows who the companies are owned by.
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Firstly, it's not 10, it's 20 aircraft owned by Qantas.
The rest are shelf companies. Who knows who the companies are owned by. Secondly, even if it is only 1 aircraft owned by mainline, all of the points raised in my previous posts remain valid. I'm trying to understand the point of your post. Is it that a little bit of shonky accounting is ok? |
I know it's been said before, but I can't understand why the shareholders are not rioting. All this must be obvious to them, surely.
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I read an article the other day about gen Y. Basically it was some business type complaining that gen Y has no loyalty to the company. It's just that we are smarter than the other generations. That simple. Everyone knows they are generally poor performing employees (there are exceptions) who have no patience, no loyalty and a poor work ethic. So they just dont get the good jobs. They are destined to spend their lives in mediocre private industry jobs and in the public service. Gen Z is set to run rings around Gen Y. They think they are smart but they are not. Everyone knows their game. They have no loyalty so you give them none back - you just use them up, make hollow promises and spit them out. Gen Y is also the generation that is going to pay for the baby boomers etc. Whilst we will all get to retire early enough with the bulk of the national wealth, Gen Y will have to work in their mediocre jobs until they drop. Some in Gen Y will rise above their lazy peers and do well but they are few and far between. |
SOPS.
The investors don't get to see the f&$@ ups the staff see. I'm sure they are fed the same bull$/&t lines from management the media are fed. Remember the phrase the three unions are damaging the brand. The forward bookings are collapsing and grounding the airline is the only option available to management. So if your an investor. You think. Good on you alan for taking on the unions. The lazy militant employees are the ones driving the share price and profitability south. I wouldn't expect AJ & LC to go to an investor briefing saying we f&@$ed up. We should have ordered the 777. The Jetstar Asia franchises are costing us dearly and we were sniffing AVTUR when we fantasised that little gem Red Q. And that little deal we signed with EK. Well, we really got screwed with that one. The investors wouldn't be getting the real story otherwise AJ LC & co would be gone long ago. |
Let me try: CamelSquadron is positively a ****. Howzat?
The generations as currently presented and labelled comprise a wide spectrum of individuals, the variety of which will confound facile attempts to categorise them en masse. WRT to loyalty both paid and deserved, employers must first demonstrate loyalty in order to ask it in return. Especially demonstratively dishonest employers like QF. So sorry, but they dealt the cards, now they have to play their hand. The only way to overcome the amused disbelief that the off-campus* world has for QF management is to replace them all, then plaster every QF ad with the "under new management" banner. Just like the hated corner milk bar. *an inside joke: QF now calls its office complex "the campus". As though what went on there was either collegiate or serious thought. This misuse of the word is designed to imply both academic gravitas and excellence, neither of which is evident. A perhaps unintended consequence** is to amplify the already very high levels of hatred we mere graduates have for these puffed-up pretenders. **If QF ever gets another new airframe I nominate "unintended consequence" as its name. |
Thanks Master Caution, I sort of figured the same thing. But surely an large investor of any worth, could do some home work and see that there are unused aircraft parked around the world, that giving Jetstar the 787 is a really stupid idea, that not getting 777s was an equally dumb move...I could go on. But it seems they are all sitting there, with their heads rammed deep in the sand.
And another thing, SIA can put 4 flights a day into Perth. Mr Joyce told us all here in Perth the other day, that a daily service to Singapore is just not making money. How the hell is that possible? And if he thinks I'm going to choose Jetstar's so called buisness class over SIA, he has another thing coming. |
Australapopitcus
Most crew I know avoid "The Campus" like the plague in fear of being labelled either a Flight Ops Groupie or contracting a serious case of corporate group think. SOPS I still don't understand the level of investor support AJ gets either. I believe AIPA have also conducted investor briefings. I can only put it down to AJ has a mandate to turn QF International around by 2016 and they are waiting to see the outcome. Surely he can't last past 2016 if International isn't profitable (on the books) |
The major shareholders are making more off short selling stock than they ever would with growth. As long as these clowns are in charge anyway. They are very happy with the current state of affairs.
If they were not, there'd be a culling. |
Matt Caution,
I'd like to think that after the last investor meeting, AJ and LC are on their final warning. |
It's Pythonesque in stupidity to be associated with The Campus. A once proud airline is being managed into the ground by tossers with no idea. As flight crew we should, and I will, walk off an aeroplane if Joyce or Clifford walk on. I just don't care anymore about their directionless moronic mantra. Drinking from the Kool Aid, not for this little black duck. Joyce is never seen and I wonder why? The 787-9 will never come to mainline and without it we will become a domestic feeder to Emirates. Strong once told me that optimum shareholder value would be maximised if Qantas was a domestic carrier based in Sydney. For all intents and purposes this is what we will become within the lifespan of the A380. What's happening to Australia? Are we to be just a farm a quarry or a resort. The more I hear of Abbott and Hockey and the way they have skewed the debate about National debt and the deficit the more disgusted I have become about modern politics and the manipulation of facts to suit an agenda. We all know Joyce was lying when he grounded the airline and yet it's tolerated in society. Abbott blatantly lied to gain power and now wants to take Australia down some perverse path of right wing ideology of questionable and dubious prophecy which has no economic basis if you believe most academics and even some within the Murdoch press. Does anybody in high office or business conduct themselves with honour and integrity in this country? Please name someone.
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Nick Xenophon.
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Nick Xenophon indeed, but no other names spring to mind.
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all intents and purposes
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Strong once told me that optimum shareholder value would be maximised if Qantas was a domestic carrier based in Sydney. For all intensive purposes this is what we will become within the lifespan of the A380. What's happening to Australia? Good to review what we are dealing with, about 10.40 mark first clip onwards |
kids, the idea still is to take Qantas private, then clean out the management and make a killing. The major investors in QF are New York hedge funds who are the instigators of the plan.
The APA boyz first tried to buy the business at a premium valuation, when that failed they set about driving the price down so they could get it on the cheap. it is obvious to anyone who looks that the airline is catastrophically mismanaged as evidenced by Tony Abbotts contempt for its overtures to Government, as evidenced by its tie up with Emirates, as evidenced by its disastrous Asian forays, as evidenced by its preference for grounding its fleet rather than negotiating, as evidenced by the canibalization of its markets by Jetstar and as evidenced by its continuous abysmal treatment of its staff. This is no accident. The first thing on gaining control of Qantas will be the reversal of every policy Alan Joyce has adopted. The end result is a privately owned national flag carrier with 65% of the domestic market and perhaps 50% of the international market. Profit baby! Profit! |
And what of the Orange Cancer, Sunfish?
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I subscribe to a simpler motive. I believe that the ten or so fund managers that control a big chunk of our shares all enjoy the silent dividend of Chairman's Lounge, free F class travel etc. Since none of them are playing with their own money it becomes a simple rort to be enjoyed as long as the ride is still running.
The share price is bumping along at a natural bottom, and a case can be made that the break-up value is close to the share price, so not too much risk. No real returns either, but that can be masked by only having a small holding compared to the total fund's portfolio. A hedge fund may be angling to make a play when the QSA is repealed, or sooner via a local proxy, but to suggest an active conspiracy including the board and executive is to suggest that the risk of discovery and punishment is too small. (It may well be since ASIC is so...useless, but the risk/reward ratio seems unlikely). Ultimately, it is entirely possible that Qantas, like scores of airlines before it, is simply suffering at the hands of monumental ineptitude. |
all intents and purposes Ta. |
The end result is a privately owned national flag carrier with 65% of the domestic market and perhaps 50% of the international market. Profit baby! Profit! It is also unlikely that QF domestic can maintain 65%. Duopolies tend to find that profit is maximised if you go for the even split or roundabouts, witness Boeing/Airbus, Visy/Amcor, Coles/Woolies etc. 65% requires investment to maintain and the profit gained on the last 10-15% just isn't worth the cost. |
I subscribe to a simpler motive. I believe that the ten or so fund managers that control a big chunk of our shares all enjoy the silent dividend of Chairman's Lounge, free F class travel etc. Since none of them are playing with their own money it becomes a simple rort to be enjoyed as long as the ride is still running. The share price is bumping along at a natural bottom, and a case can be made that the break-up value is close to the share price, so not too much risk. No real returns either, but that can be masked by only having a small holding compared to the total fund's portfolio. A hedge fund may be angling to make a play when the QSA is repealed, or sooner via a local proxy, but to suggest an active conspiracy including the board and executive is to suggest that the risk of discovery and punishment is too small. (It may well be since ASIC is so...useless, but the risk/reward ratio seems unlikely). Ultimately, it is entirely possible that Qantas, like scores of airlines before it, is simply suffering at the hands of monumental ineptitude. Though I do think it is more than a "possibility" Qantas is in the hands of monumental ineptitude; it is proven fact! |
In 2006 Tom Horton, the American Airlines CEO, (the highest paid Airline Executive in the world at the time) stated that you "can't bank market share" and earned $20 million in two years and left and of course the rest is history(Chapter 11). The second highest paid was Geoff Dixon. One can only think that the current management team will continue to run the airline down until it is in such a state that they will be able to avoid it's employee liabilities. The problem is there will be NO airline left in Australia owned by Australians and we will rely on overseas' carriers to do the heavy lifting. Of course the current Government is so naive that they believe everything management tell them. If they bought 25% and did some due diligence on the the last 5 years they will see what the real plan is. As was uttered so many times in the US "the assets will go private the and debt will go public". In the current political vacuum of decency and honesty (Nick Xenophon excepted) do not expect anything to be done about it anytime soon.
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To quote Shakespeare ' there is something rotten in the State of Denmark' - we have seen over the last few weeks with ICAC that the Political institutions are openly flawed.
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QF A380 to DFW
Strong rumours that the A380 will be taken off HKG in September and replaced by 747. A380 to go SYD-DFW-SYD as of October 1. Can anyone confirm.
I only ask as DFW will be 380 ready as of then. Thanks |
Taking the 380 off Hong Kong won't free up enough to do Dallas. The rumour earlier this year was that the MLB/LAX/MLB would go back to the 747 to allow Dallas to go to the 380. The flight planners say it can go direct to Sydney with 100 seats blocked out.
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A380 to go SYD-DFW-SYD as of October 1. Can anyone confirm. |
qf go to florida?
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The flight planners say it can go direct to Sydney with 100 seats blocked out. |
qf go to florida? |
A couple of points that are getting confusing ...
I think GB means DFW-BNE .. I wouldn't know if the seat-mile cost comparison was the case or not, but certainly on DFW-SYD (if that is what the flight planners are talking about) then the A380 would have the lower seat mile costs ... since that is a route that is not achievable by the ER. Interesting that even on DFW-SYD that the A380 would probably still not have full fuel tanks. Not sure if 380 seats is achievable, but that looks like it might be, given that with reduced pax and cargo you could probably get another 20 t of fuel on, more than enough for the extra hour or so's flying. N PS .. The reason for the switch to the A380 and direct SYD (if that is what happens) would be to do with Emirates flying into DFW from the other direction. A round the world A380 service. A couple of new QF heavyweight A380s? .... (insert favourite quote from the Castle here) :) |
380 is useless elephant
Let me say one thing for all those speculating about 380 to be used for DFW route, it is just not technically possible, this airplane is only desinged for routes less than 9 hours flying time, you can stretch it for more than 9 hours provided jet fuel is as cheap as water or reducing the load weight by 30%, then it is possible to be profitable to do so.
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Yes it's SYD-DFW-SYD.
Additional A380 available when QF9 is re-timed in July. |
It to start in September six days a week.
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Adjustments will be made to the mix of A380s and B747s flying on the Sydney to Hong Kong route in order to facilitate the upgrade to Dallas services. Sydney-Dallas-Sydney. No more Brisbane. |
SYD-DXB-SYD on A380 (missing from above)
Qantas customers to experience world-class A380 services to Dallas/Fort Worth Adds 10% to number of seats and First cabins QF9/10 A380 retimings QF9 MEL-DXB 2255-0705+1. Arrive LHR 1340. QF10 LHR-DXB 1330-2325. Arrive MEL 2055+1. Provides a lot more EK connections in DXB than the current timing - only 4 connections in under 4 hours... Now you get the whole of the morning cycle. Customers travelling from Melbourne to Europe will have access to 17 round-trip connections within four hours of landing, compared with 4 under the current timings. Round trip connections for Melbourne customers are: Athens Hamburg Prague Copenhagen Milan Rome Dusseldorf Moscow St Petersburg Frankfurt Munich Venice Geneva Nice Vienna Paris Zurich |
Rumour mill running hot today. 767 and 747 Captains to be offered VR package of one years pay.
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