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REX AIRLINES Trading Halt

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Old 20th December 2024 | 19:06
  #1101 (permalink)  
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From: Sydney Australia
Originally Posted by Zumba in the street
Paul still HOFO?
AFAIK
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Old 21st December 2024 | 07:23
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From: NFA
Originally Posted by Packvalve
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Just a rumour - could be?
Yep. It’s him.
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Old 2nd January 2025 | 06:43
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From: Australia
Originally Posted by mikewil
I say gaol time for these so called 'direcrors', and that grub of a CEO as well (I thought he was a director but that may have changed due to his CEO appointment).

Won't happen, ASIC will 'sue' them by slapping them with a wet fish and they will have to pay some paltry tokenistic amount for a crime that is hundreds/thousands of times worse.

If I remember correctly, the grotty CEO stepped down from the board in March 2024. He was most ruffled by the speculation as to why from what I’ve been told. I also hear he’s also been extremely hesitant to admit he had been on the board. I hope there will be repercussions for his involvement at some stage.
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Old 7th January 2025 | 06:00
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On 21 March 2023, Lim received the year-to-date and monthly profit-and-loss figures for the Rex Group for February 2023, and Rex was thereby aware that the Rex Group had incurred an operating loss of approximately $46.2 million,” ASIC has alleged in documents filed with the NSW Supreme Court.
“On 14 April 2023, Lim made a request by email to [Lincoln] Pan and [Sid] Khotkar (copying Sharp) requesting $10 million in funding from PAG, describing the company’s cash reserves as ‘critically low’, domestic sales as ‘disappointingly and bewilderingly bad’, the February results as having ‘crashed’ and a lack of recovery in March.”

Lim’s email to his fellow directors included a spreadsheet showing Rex had recorded a before-tax loss of $7.2 million in February and an estimated before-tax loss of $2.5 million for March 2023.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/comp...07-p5l2la.html

The leaks in the boat got harder to fill!


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Old 7th January 2025 | 09:24
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From: Sydney Australia
Putting aside all the corporate skullduggery and general maleficence with regard to their obligations to the market and the regulator, the statement by Lim describing Domestic sales as "disappointing and bewilderingly bad", shows just how delusional they were to the viability of the Jet operation. Any Jet operation!

To be clear, this is not a case of wise in hindsight. All but the most inward looking narcissistic and Hubris afflicted management would have been able to see that this little adventure was doomed from the start. For God's sake, the very case they pitched to the ASX for launching a domestic jet operation had evaporated some 3 months before REX were obliged to commit. That being the saving of Virgin Australia by Bain.

They were not only allegedly dishonest, but breathtakingly stupid!
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Old 8th January 2025 | 02:47
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From: Australia
Originally Posted by KRUSTY 34
Does anyone here actually trust politicians? No, thought not.

Once the election is done we may see a change in attitude towards REX, despite whoever wins. The complexities of saving a heavily foreign owned and controlled regional airline as opposed to letting “nature take its course” will probably be the deciding factor.

Bonza, Tiger, VA, Ansett! And yet REX is somehow different!
Well, yes, it is differently largely. Reason being that Bonza did not throw the market into turmoil, other existing operators picked up the slack, Tiger was owned by VA and it's flying was sent to VA, or to JQ I assume. Ansett went but there was QF and VA to fill the void, although it took a long time for that to settle down.

Difference with ZL is that there are many routes where they have no competitor and that are subsidised to ensure there is a service, presumably because it would be uneconomical to run otherwise and no one is rushing to put their hand up, leaving the regions affected stranded. For those who say that the 'market should sort it out' - the market won't. The 'market' is only interested in profit and to mount such services and make them sustainable would mean prices through the roof - that's why the government (of any stripe) subsidises it in the first place.

I don't have a problem with that, the same as I don't have a problem with the government using funds to build the NBN (I just wish the intervening government hadn't screwed it up and spent billions more to build an inferior NBN, leaving the incumbents now, to string the fibre between all the places where the predecessors ran it to, short of the premises, to make it what it was supposed to be) because it's called being a 'society'. It's why we all pay a certain amount as a levy to our taxes, based on our means, so that people who wouldn't be able to afford medical services have them provided. The contrast to that is the USA, where they don't give a crap and you just die in the gutter or lose your house.

It's why we're called the "Commonwealth" of Australia. The 'founding fathers' so to speak very deliberately chose that title, and were met with vehement objection from Westminster and the Palace, citing some nonsense about Cromwell executing a (treasonous) king, as if any of them were alive 300 years earlier when it happened). In a rare display of 'up yours' for that time, when we otherwise did everything 'Mummy' told us, the Federation movement said 'bugger off' essentially and the title was adopted officially, regardless. Completely off-topic to the subject of the thread I know, but the history of federation is quite amazing - I only recently discovered that original drafts of our constitution included a requirement that State Governors "shall be elected by the people" and similar was considered for Governors-General. These provisions were removed in later drafts for various reasons, and for compromises in other areas.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 04:30
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Why can’t the government have some guts and do a subsidy deal with QantasLink for those routes and let the corpse die out of good?
Because no one trusts QF not to rip off consumers; it has form.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 04:42
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Difference with ZL is that there are many routes where they have no competitor and that are subsidised to ensure there is a service,
Well if you take the WA routes for example, REX is the only operator on their routes as they are state government controlled by a tender process. If REX stopped flying, at least three other companies could fly those routes. The rub is why would they commit to expanding when the government is throwing money at REX to calm the waters for the election.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 05:42
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Agreed, but why does that foreign-owned decayed ZL deserve special treatment/consideration? Why can’t the government have some guts and do a subsidy deal with QantasLink for those routes and let the corpse die out of good?
Thing is right now Rex has no ownership, it is under administration. EY is currently in control of running the company, but most likely what is left will be sold to whoever bids for it or it is liquidated, therefore current shareholders will be wiped as whatever cash proceeds from the sale will go to creditors.

Secondly, Qantaslink is not interested in Rex routes, it will probably pull out of half a dozen routes it entered just to stick the boot in, but don't make commercial sense with Q400s. It's possible they will pull out of SA all together again without having the need to compete with Rex. The government would have to offer QLink criminal amounts to get their interest in the routes, they probably already have asked that question and don't like the figure QLink answered, hence $80mil to Rex was the cheaper option. The last tender for the WA routes, Rex was the sole tender, and similar for a lot of the QLD routes. So not only is Rex the only operator on those routes, but also the only one that wanted to bid on them, which probably says if they were deregulated, Rex would still be the sole operator.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 05:58
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Pull out of SA ?

Unlikely - only compete with REX on two out of four routes in SA and doing ok on all.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 09:28
  #1111 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by On eyre
Unlikely - only compete with REX on two out of four routes in SA and doing ok on all.
in NSW REX only have 2 ports left that do not have competition, PKS and MRY. Not sure the next Government would be interested in essentially nationalizing REX just to save these two ports.

However, you never know?
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Old 8th January 2025 | 10:13
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From: mildura
Don’t forget about NRA !
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Old 8th January 2025 | 12:03
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From: Australia
Originally Posted by schloufer
Agreed, but why does that foreign-owned decayed ZL deserve special treatment/consideration? Why can’t the government have some guts and do a subsidy deal with QantasLink for those routes and let the corpse die out of good?
That's a fair point. IF, someone else is prepared to operate with the subsidies and not behave like REX has then sure, let it die and replace it with someone who will take the subsidies and just operate the services, without playing games and trying to put a person on the Moon at the same time.

The general thrust of my answer was in response to REX being different. I was just pointing out that in that aspect, they are. I have no particular preference for putting a ventilator on something that is not worth saving, if the regions can otherwise be looked after.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 19:02
  #1114 (permalink)  
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For those who say that the 'market should sort it out' - the market won't. The 'market' is only interested in profit and to mount such services and make them sustainable would mean prices through the roof - that's why the government (of any stripe) subsidises it in the first place.
The market will sort it out. I don’t understand why the regions are always Koala Bears when it comes to aviation. City folk pay the ‘market’ price for everything including airfares. Yet the regions who have affordable housing, subsidised infrastructure with no toll roads, subsidised medicine also want government funded airfares as well?

It also creates moral hazard and a host of other issues along with pork barreling come election time. This whole REX saga is a classic example of why the government needs to stay out of business. They should go broke and let it start again with whomever wants to fly to these towns.

The issue with the whole subsidy concept is for how long and how much do you subsidise something that is unaffordable? Why don’t we subsidise the Sydney housing market because that is unaffordable too? If people want to live in the regions that’s fine, it’s cheap, great quality of life etc etc but due to low volume airfares will be relatively expensive. That’s just reality.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 19:51
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Originally Posted by On eyre
Unlikely - only compete with REX on two out of four routes in SA and doing ok on all.
Well they did (briefly) compete on 3, but Rex didn't like them moving in on their cosy little racket with Kingscote (Kangaroo Island) so threw their toys out the pram in true Rex fashion and pulled out of the route.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 20:03
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Originally Posted by neville_nobody
The market will sort it out. I don’t understand why the regions are always Koala Bears when it comes to aviation. City folk pay the ‘market’ price for everything including airfares. Yet the regions who have affordable housing, subsidised infrastructure with no toll roads, subsidised medicine also want government funded airfares as well?

It also creates moral hazard and a host of other issues along with pork barreling come election time. This whole REX saga is a classic example of why the government needs to stay out of business. They should go broke and let it start again with whomever wants to fly to these towns.
Well what is your solution for transport to and from the regions? There will be many with no air service if there are no subsidies, and I am assuming you wouldn't want government running their own airline (NBN style)?

You can't just say "tough ****, move to the city then if you can't afford it". You do realise the country's economy and prosperity doesn't just rely on the east coast?
We have a huge farming industry in regional/remote areas along with many others and the people who make it happen shouldn't just be stranded without reasonable means of transport to the outside world.

People in the regions also pay the same for their access to mobile networks as those in the cities but it costs Telstra (or Optus) a huge amount more to provide that service so even instances where there are no subsidies, city folk are subsidising those in regional/remote areas. Yes I also acknowledge that these days many remote Telstra & Optus sites have also been subsidised by the government, but once again it is for the greater good of the nation.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 20:48
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Originally Posted by neville_nobody
The market will sort it out. I don’t understand why the regions are always Koala Bears when it comes to aviation. City folk pay the ‘market’ price for everything including airfares. Yet the regions who have affordable housing, subsidised infrastructure with no toll roads, subsidised medicine also want government funded airfares as well?

It also creates moral hazard and a host of other issues along with pork barreling come election time. This whole REX saga is a classic example of why the government needs to stay out of business. They should go broke and let it start again with whomever wants to fly to these towns.

The issue with the whole subsidy concept is for how long and how much do you subsidise something that is unaffordable? Why don’t we subsidise the Sydney housing market because that is unaffordable too? If people want to live in the regions that’s fine, it’s cheap, great quality of life etc etc but due to low volume airfares will be relatively expensive. That’s just reality.
There are some places where it simply needs subsidising - QLD remote routes for example. Birdsville route? You can’t cut them off or they’d become Marshall law. When you go on your holiday to remote QLD you want a civilised society.

I don’t think as many of Rex ‘routes’ are subsidised as might be suggested on this forum.

having said that - I do agree that the market can sort out the pieces after Rex collapse - another operator can pick up the subsidy.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 20:57
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I agree it’s a very complex issue and it is exacerbated by CASA amongst other things. It needs to be easier to start aviation businesses and you don’t need QF level of bureaucracy and international airport regulations to run a country airline and aerodrome but CASA will make sure you have that.

Ironically country RPT competes with Train and Bus services which are also subsidised. If those modes of transport actually paid the full economic price of travel you will find that aviation might be more viable. There is also a lack of airports in major cities too which just makes it more expensive for country airlines to fly there.

So all things considered all you can do is limit competition and create a monopoly route that is regulated if you want to go down that path. Once you start throwing public money at it, it will just become a bottomless pit and every country town in Australia will be on the gravy train. Just look into the NDIS if you want to see what unrestrained government subsidy looks like. That was set up with ‘good intentions’ and ‘ we can afford it’ yet now look where it has gotten to.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 21:14
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Originally Posted by neville_nobody

So all things considered all you can do is limit competition and create a monopoly route that is regulated if you want to go down that path. Once you start throwing public money at it, it will just become a bottomless pit and every country town in Australia will be on the gravy train. Just look into the NDIS if you want to see what unrestrained government subsidy looks like. That was set up with ‘good intentions’ and ‘ we can afford it’ yet now look where it has gotten to.
Yes and no - not all regional routes are the same. Just brainstorming but the likes of Albany / Pt Lincoln / Mount Gambier / Orange for example are very different kettle of fish than Birdsville. The major regional routes can be profitable and won’t have any issue maintaining a service - it just becomes a question of price if competition is reduced. The milk run to Birdsville on the other hand requires a subsidy to be maintained. Agree overall it’s complicated and also agree these routes can all be serviced by a different operator; just don’t agree that route subsidies can all be dropped.
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Old 8th January 2025 | 23:19
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Originally Posted by mikewil
Well what is your solution for transport to and from the regions? There will be many with no air service if there are no subsidies, and I am assuming you wouldn't want government running their own airline (NBN style)?

You can't just say "tough ****, move to the city then if you can't afford it". You do realise the country's economy and prosperity doesn't just rely on the east coast?
We have a huge farming industry in regional/remote areas along with many others and the people who make it happen shouldn't just be stranded without reasonable means of transport to the outside world.

People in the regions also pay the same for their access to mobile networks as those in the cities but it costs Telstra (or Optus) a huge amount more to provide that service so even instances where there are no subsidies, city folk are subsidising those in regional/remote areas. Yes I also acknowledge that these days many remote Telstra & Optus sites have also been subsidised by the government, but once again it is for the greater good of the nation.
I think we need to stop using the NBN as an example. I am glad the NBN exists. Because without it, the remote places would have zero internet access. NBNCo is a good example of government 'interference' to ensure the infrastructure is there, then let the private sector buy the bandwidth on the fibre/satellite network and sell it for a profit. Left to the Telco's alone, there would not be the extensive network that NBN has or is building toward. It was just government stupidity (I'm looking at the Turnbull/Abbott wrecking of the original NBN by spending more money to deliver something sub-standard, would have been fine if they'd just proceeded as it was originally planned) that let it become a waste of money putting copper back in trenches instead of fibre at enormous cost for nothing more than ideological reasons - i.e. we don't want to admit the ALP were right and we were wrong, which is what a lot of politics boils down to nowadays, both ways, it's all about the next sound bite which sadly, often cripples good policy.

Even in the United States, the bastion of free-market darwinian capitalism, they still have subsidies for air services to regional areas that otherwise would not be served by the 'market'.

It's in the Surface and Air Transportation Programs Extension Act 2011 and is called the Essential Air Service (EAS) Program.

Last edited by AerialPerspective; 9th January 2025 at 13:55.
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