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-   -   AF 447 Thread No. 10 (https://www.pprune.org/tech-log/493472-af-447-thread-no-10-a.html)

bubbers44 21st September 2012 03:08

Any competent pilot could have hand flown just fine. Pitch and power until IAS comes back. Any pilot should be able to do that. Couldn't you?

bubbers44 21st September 2012 03:16

TT, I assume you always fly on auto pilot, right? If it can't do it you can't.

TTex600 21st September 2012 11:18


Originally Posted by Bubbers44
TT, I assume you always fly on auto pilot, right? If it can't do it you can't.

Maybe if I post it twice, you'll read it the second time.

Originally Posted by TTex600
If the autopilot didn't have adequate info to fly the airplane, what makes you think the pilot had any better?

We're talking about the information needed to fly the airplane, specifically to fly the airplane at that exact moment, not about the ability to fly the airplane.

I think 99% of the pilots posting on/reading this string agree that all Bonin and Robert had to do to live was fly pitch and power. So you got that going for you. :ugh:
I also think that 99% of us want to understand why they didn't. We get it that you think they were incompetent, at least part of us would disagree. The accident pilots were all properly qualified and experienced. I for one, and trying to understand just how their qualification and experience failed them.

As to my abilities, I'll venture that you've got more time hand flying a 7n7 than I have total in an Airbus. I'll also venture that I've got 100% more time hand flying a flybywire narrowbody airbus than you. If it makes you feel any better, I'm sure you flew heading/alt/airspeed better than me. Now can we get back to chasing our tails to understand why 228 people died?

PJ2 21st September 2012 15:05

TTex600;
"Now can we get back to chasing our tails to understand why 228 people died?"

:ok:

Lyman 21st September 2012 15:11

Bubbers44

You fall back on the same tire phrase, yet I do not believe you fully understand what you are saying.

What you mean to say, i believe, is Fly SELECTED Pitch and power...

And ROLL. You make it sound like 447 was smokin along in still air, no turbulence. They were not familiar with "selected value/Pitch". Have you flown in turbulence? Wind shear?

Select a Pitch, and it is instantly incorrect, modify your demand, and that too becomes wrong, now you are further off flight path.

The autopilot was actively manouvering the aircraft when it stopped making control inputs, and the a/c was off flight path. Had Bonin been instantly sceptical of speeds, he may have considered why the a/p quit on him. Would he have input rote values for PP? Why? The plane was moving, and we are taught to control in certain ways in turbulence. If your heavy was rolling and Pitching and you lost the auto, would you select a Pitch, a BANK, and HOLD it?

How? More importantly, why?

gums 21st September 2012 15:56

I must be missing something about the flight control laws and the A/P.

Seems to me that A/P disconnect should result in stick commands to the system and not keep the jet rolling or pitching up or.... using last commands from Otto. In other words, no stick input then zero roll rate command or change in Nz from the basic control laws. Almost an "attitude control" mode.

So some here have advocated " don't just do something, just sit there".

My own experience in our primitive FBW jet ( have to bow down to Doze-breath about our system, heh heh) was the sucker handled turbulence really well if you simply relaxed pressure on the stick. In fact, at low level and 500 knots over the thermals the sucker felt more like an Aardvark than the light jet it was. The computers smoothed out the ride like you would not believe.

So question is: does HAL keep commanding the last A/P inputs or not?

RR_NDB 21st September 2012 16:39

UAS early warning
 
Hi,

Question made:


Originally Posted by RR_NDB
So, SURPRISES to the crew must be reduced to a minimum. Why not to ALERT CREW IMMEDIATELY when the System will face UAS? This is particularly important because there are risks of GIGO.
DW:


Because it's one of the most difficult situations to reliably work out


An early warning alerting the crew, BEFORE System degrades was feasible long time ago. We can implement it even without a DSP algorithm. Early warning is SIMPLE.

Your answer shows:

1) Your focus is only in an automatic System
2) It was not clear to you the approach i am defending on UAS

The idea is to immediately HELP the crew to diagnose it before chances of GIGO



Garbage in, gospel out is a more recent expansion of the acronym. It is a sardonic comment on the tendency to put excessive trust in "computerized" data, and on the propensity for individuals to blindly accept what the computer says. Since the data goes through the computer, people tend to believe it:
Decision-makers increasingly face computer-generated information and analyses that could be collected and analyzed in no other way. Precisely for that reason, going behind that output is out of the question, even if one has good cause to be suspicious. In short, the computer analysis becomes the gospel.

PJ2 21st September 2012 16:47

Hello gums;

Re, "So question is: does HAL keep commanding the last A/P inputs or not?"

No, it doesn't. As you'd expect, AP orders stop the moment it disconnects.

However, flight control orders (C*), maintain the last pitch and bank attitudes until manual control input order a change. Roll is a roll-rate request until Alt2 Law and pitch remains a gee request until Direct Law. I know you know all this...just reviewing!

That means the controls on the wing and stabilizer are "busy" maintaining the last ordered attitudes...they're making tiny movements, but only for this reason. The AP has no input and neither does the stick so long as it is in the neutral position.

Should manual input be made, the controls will move according to such orders, while "on-the-fly" maintaining last ordered position. Once the orders stop, the airplane stays in that attitude.

I can't say whether a slight NU input is made to counter the slightly-increased gee at higher bank angles, (say, 20deg), but I know in Normal Law beyond about 33 degrees one has to pull a bit to maintain altitude in the turn.

So flying in turbulence, even moderate, is straightforward and is done with tiny stick movements because the airplane is already attempting to maintain last attitudes, in Normal Law and is doing so with exactly enough aileron and elevator. Maintaining bank isn't the case in Alt2 as we know and Roll Direct is sensitive but no big deal in terms of control. The airplane isn't about to roll over to 45deg+!...not unless the pilot does it and Bonin got the roll under control very quickly. It's a very stable airplane. It flies very well at cruise altitude under manual control.

By way of emphasizing this point, I've flown the airplane manually in turbulence a number of times (A320 as well), and really, it's not a big deal. One makes tiny inputs, just like the AP! Everybody out there on the wing is already doing their job trying to keep the last ordered attitude!

In Roll Direct (Alt2) that isn't happening but that doesn't mean the airplane is about to roll over! Tiny SS inputs again, and like I said Bonin got the hang of it really fast and had stopped the roll oscillations.

The question of Why the sustained pitch up?, may never be answered. For the record, in July 2009 in a response to stepwilk I stated that the correct response was to "do nothing" and initially got some flack for saying so mainly because the phrase "do nothing" was misunderstood as really "doing nothing", when of course maintaining pitch and thrust was what I had meant! Anyway...

DozyWannabe 21st September 2012 16:50


Originally Posted by bubbers44 (Post 7425059)
Personnaly I think Dozy is one of the smart guys in this group. I think he believes as I do that it doesn't matter what aircraft you fly, if the IAS goes away just fly attitude and power.

Thanks for the support - appreciated. And I do agree with that point and always have.



300 hr pilots flying on autopilot for a thousand hours are not real pilots.
I'm less inclined to agree with that. I'm sure some come out of the cadet programme with inadequate handflying skills and aeronautical knowledge, but I'm loath to tar a large group of people with the same brush without evidence.

It's already been mentioned numerous times that the least experienced F/O was a sailplane pilot in his spare time, so you'd expect a higher degree of aeronautical savvy than average on his part.

The point I've always tried to put across is that no matter how good you are, how many hours you've logged - handflying or otherwise - and how calm you usually are under pressure, there are times when you can have a bad day at the office regardless. Being that the flight crew aren't here to answer for what happened, I think it's fair to give them the benefit of the doubt there.


Originally Posted by TTex600 (Post 7425074)
If the autopilot didn't have adequate info to fly the airplane, what makes you think the pilot had any better?

Because the pilot has the ability to solve problems dynamically in a way computers can't. It's always going to be harder at night, because you can't get a fix through the windscreen, but during the day it should be a relatively simple matter of comparing the attitude on the instruments with what can be seen outside. Sadly, the AF447 crew didn't have that option, but judging by the report, the instruments were functioning correctly through the majority of the accident sequence.


I would have second guessed from my MD80, but now I fly an Airbus and there but for the grace of God go I.
If you think the MD-80 can't throw a crew into disarray, think again:

West Caribbean Airways Flight 708 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia


Originally Posted by Wikipedia (my bold)
With the anti-ice system on, the highest altitude at which the overloaded aircraft could fly - without stalling - was reduced to only 31,900 feet. The captain noticed the reduction in engine power, but he couldn't realize the source of the problem. Therefore, he started a rapid descent, as a precaution. At that time, the airspeed was already near stall speed and the autopilot had kept a nose-up attitude to maintain a constant height. When the airliner was pummeled by a sudden updraft, it finally entered a stall condition and the crew mishandled it. Confused by the unusual behaviour of the engines, due to the anti-ice system and probably the air flow disruption caused by the updraft, the captain thought he was struggling with an engine flameout and did not recognise the deep stall situation.


TTex600 21st September 2012 18:55


Originally Posted by DozyWannabe
Because the pilot has the ability to solve problems dynamically in a way computers can't. It's always going to be harder at night, because you can't get a fix through the windscreen, but during the day it should be a relatively simple matter of comparing the attitude on the instruments with what can be seen outside. Sadly, the AF447 crew didn't have that option, but judging by the report, the instruments were functioning correctly through the majority of the accident sequence.

There was no problem to solve. The automation knew it had a bad input and decided it could no longer fly the airplane. Why not tell the pilot which input was bad? Announcing an ADR problem is not adequate.

Somebody recently said that the A/S indicators were covered with a red X. My A320 manual states that the A/S scale will be replaced with SPD

Interim 1 reads (to me) that we don't know if the FO A/S scale indicated SPD or was a normal looking tape. I'm sure someone who has all thousands of pages of reports memorized will know, but from what I can see the airplane never gave a clear signal indicating that speed inputs were suspect. I still hold that the aircraft knew that UAS caused the A/P to disconnect, it just didn't tell the pilots that little fact. The final report avoids the question by graphing CAS, not IAS. If I read these report correctly, the A/S indications were wildly fluctuating but they did not ever show SPD

The die was cast in those initial few seconds, and the airplane wasn't showing all available info during that time. It was however, chiming, clicking, honking, flashing, etc. EVERYTHING was demanding attention EXCEPT the important thing. That important THING was curiously silent and invisible. Go figure.

TTex600 21st September 2012 19:04


Originally Posted by DozyWannabe
If you think the MD-80 can't throw a crew into disarray, think again:

There you go again.

I never said that a Diesel9 can't throw a crew into disarray. I was using the Diesel9 as an example of a raw data airplane that I've flown. I made the point that I too might well have second guessed the AF447 crew if I only had raw data/analog experience; but now that I have Airbus experience I won't second guess. I assumed that pilots would understand the comparison.

That's nothing more than a little glimpse of who I am. Would you like for me to start analyzing you? Maybe we can switch places and I can mis-characterize your positions for a while. That might be fun. Lucky for you, and Tullamarine, I'm heading off into vacation. Enjoy.

TTex600 21st September 2012 19:09


Originally Posted by PJ2
QRH, Ch.5, "Flight Control Architecture".

Thanks. On the 320, the SEC's don't have any aileron input, that's my experience. I didn't mean to muddy the water. (I did look it up :-) )

gums 21st September 2012 19:16

Yeah, PJ, like I thought.

The one thing I question is loss of roll rate command in Alt 2. Looked to me that as we go thru the reversion sequences we lose bank angle limits and you have to add some back stick as bank angle gets to maybe 20 or 30 degrees.

I keep seeing "attitude" versus rates - Nz and roll rate. True that the jet may seem to "lock" on an attitude except in "direct", but that's what we saw in the Viper except for the pitch attitude correction to the Nz. The basic laws are still Nz and roll rate until in "direct", right?

I would dearly love to get some of the 'bus drivers up in my trusty Viper to show them how our system worked and "limited" you ( hate that word "protection", heh heh). Very small pressures required unless hassling in a dogfight. Our pitch gradient was about 4 pounds per gee and all pressure, not stick movement even after they increased the throw to 1/8 of an inch. The roll command had a limit I was not aware of until my LEF folded up. So HAL was commanding zero roll rate, but turned out I had another pound and a half of pressure left to keep the wings level. Gotta admit it was disconcerting. I also kept the speed up, as previous dude crashed and burned while getting slow during his "flare" for landing. He ran outta air molecules to help roll, and I prolly got ten knows slower than I should have, but my HUD tape shows that it looked pretty good to me.

The second thing I would demonstrate would be the AoA limiter. Pull as hard as you wanted, but even on STBY GAINS when air data went FUBAR, we still had that working for us. By the time we got to 27 degrees AoA we were at 1 gee and could pull as hard as you wished, but that was where you were gonna be.

The biggest difference between the 'bus pitch and ours was the correction for pitch attitude. So the 'bus actually reduces the Nz command, but ours kept striving for whatever gee we had trimmed for, normally one gee. Hence, at extreme pitch the one gee command kept raising the nose and we could fly into the "deep stall" with a neutral stick.

DozyWannabe 21st September 2012 19:22

@TTex600:

I totally follow what you're saying - however, the idea that the systems weren't relaying useful information (in that it could be processed by the flight crew) simply does not square up with the PNF saying "We've lost the speeds" at approximately 02:10:15 on the CVR - at least to my mind.

And I'm not trying to analyse you or anyone else. The fact is that every airliner from at least the '60s onwards has had some form of electro-mechanical device between the raw data and what gets displayed on the instruments - whether that device is as simple as a three-way switch or a more complex setup, such as a digital voting mechanism.

No matter how old-school or modern the system, the onus is on the crew to work around the problem and try to overcome it. The gradual shift from steam-gauge to digital technology has altered the nature of the problems to be solved - that much is certain. Also certain is the fact that the accident rate has consistently come down since the introduction of the new technology. What is less certain is how to approach the new problems that raised their head in that time.

I don't think any of us will get a satisfactory answer as to why the PF pulled up. Because his display was not recorded and because he did not survive we will never know conclusively. From my point of view, even if the pull-up input was triggered by something he saw, far more important to me is why the PNF did not feel he had the authority to command the PF to hand over control while he was waiting for the Captain, and to a lesser extent, why the Captain did not delineate the parameters that would have given the PNF the confidence to do so when he went for his rest period.

Lyman 21st September 2012 20:01

"I totally follow what you're saying - however, the idea that the systems weren't relaying useful information (in that it could be processed by the flight crew) simply does not square up with the PNF saying "We've lost the speeds" at approximately 02:10:15 on the CVR - at least to my mind."

Wrong, it was 2:10:16. For eleven seconds the PF may have been following duff data. Your statement is nonsense, unless you ignore the possibility that eleven seconds means nothing, which you would do....



PJ2 you say the a/c would not keep rolling after ap loss, but I think you mean in the context of Normal Law. In Roll Direct, it would keep rolling, NO?

You mention the PF quickly controlled Roll, so I assume you mean his input was appropriate.

The Nose Was Low. We know it was trending UP, but he may not have been cognizant of that, hence the Pull.

It is probably noticeable that I am trying to establish that the PF may have started his manual handling with inputs that while demonstrably inappropriate, might have seemed correct given the conditions.

It is also possible that PF believed the Flight Law was NORMAL LAW. Since this would explain perhaps his apparent ham fisted inputs, I go with that conclusion, for purposes of discussion.

It has always been a challenge to separate conclusions from their bias, and their consequent growth into 'fact'.

I readily admit to looking at everything, however I do not represent that they are conclusions, especially as they are absent from BEA reportage. BEA suggests ICE, the thread assumes Fact. The pilots seem somewhat incompetent, that becomes fact, and subject to constant repetition.

My assumption is that this accident became almost instantly un recoverable, due to many factors. The proper discussion involves a look at everything, even if it is somewhat exculpatory, imho.

DozyWannabe 21st September 2012 20:14


Originally Posted by Lyman (Post 7426464)
Wrong, it was 2:10:16. For eleven seconds the PF may have been following duff data. Your statement is nonsense, unless you ignore the possibility that eleven seconds means nothing, which you would do....

It was 02:10:15.9. How you read that depends on whether you're working in decimal places or significant figures. PF calls for control at 02:10:06.4, meaning that it's more like 10.5 seconds.

We know that the CAS was actually indicating *low* speed rather than high, so increasing pitch angle does not tally with what may have been displayed on the speed tape. We know that it's likely that the erroneous drop in altitude might have led to a pitch up command, but not of that magnitude and not for that length of time.


PJ2 you say the a/c would not keep rolling after ap loss, but I think you mean in the context of Normal Law. In Roll Direct, it would keep rolling, NO?
No. The flight surfaces would return to neutral, and the aircraft would passively attempt to hold bank angle in the same way as a traditional airliner. It won't actively try to hold a lateral flightpath.


It has always been a challenge to separate conclusions from their bias, and their consequent growth into 'fact'.
With all due respect, that's pretty rich coming from someone who's thrown accusations of broken vertical stabs, snapped jackscrews and stuck autopilots at the aircraft without a single bit of supporting evidence!

(I know my position is largely theoretical too - but at least the phenomena of pulling up due to startle effect, confirmation bias and flight deck command gradient are known and have been studied!)


The pilots seem somewhat incompetent, that becomes fact, and subject to constant repetition.
That's how you're choosing to read it. The crew made mistakes in terms of handling and CRM, certainly. But that's a long way from claiming they were generally incompetent.

Lyman 21st September 2012 21:19

You have never wanted to accept my pov, fine. My purpose in the discussion was to move some people off of precipitous thinking.

No. The flight surfaces would return to neutral, and the aircraft would passively attempt to hold bank angle in the same way as a traditional airliner. It won't actively try to hold a lateral flightpath.

They were deflected?

HazelNuts39 21st September 2012 21:27

Figure 64 of the final report (download separately from the BEA site) shows in a simulation what the airplane would have done without pilot input with reconstructed wind.

DozyWannabe 21st September 2012 21:40


Originally Posted by Lyman (Post 7426614)
You have never wanted to accept my pov, fine.

It's got nothing to do with who the POV comes from, all I ask is at least *some* evidence to back it up.


My purpose in the discussion was to move some people off of precipitous thinking.
To the best of my knowledge, very few folk on these threads ever did so - in fact none who stayed around to discuss things did. Even those who actively bemoan the quality of low-hour pilots today have seen it as a system-wide issue rather than pointing the finger at this particular crew. The BEA wrote up the factual evidence, were very clear about system-wide issues and also did not disparage the crew. Throwing random "what-if"s into the mix serves to harm credibility as far as I'm concerned.

Lyman 21st September 2012 21:43

HazelNuts39 Figure 64 of the final report (download separately from the BEA site) shows in a simulation what the airplane would have done without pilot input with reconstructed wind.


So now we know.... What a relief. When did Bonin know it?

DozyWannabe 21st September 2012 21:54

Does it matter? The point is that the correct thing to do was monitor and correct as necessary. Immediately grabbing the PFC and making large inputs prior to properly assessing the situation is more than likely to make a bad situation worse.

Drilling that fact in until it overrides the instinctive "startle response" is the only way to combat it.

HazelNuts39 21st September 2012 22:28

We know what he did, but not why he did it.

Lyman 21st September 2012 22:40

Hazelnuts39

HazelNuts39 We know what he did, but not why he did it.


That is my point. Except to say, it appears he was correcting the flight path, at least to me. To say what he did was incorrect is an opinion, at least at first. It is also "substantiated"'after the fact, with data unavailable to the pilots.

DozyWannabe 21st September 2012 22:57

That's just it - we can never know for certain, but given the evidence we do have, we can consider some possibilities as more likely than others.

The reason I don't believe the PF was confronted with a wildly divergent display from his colleague in the LHS is in part because I know that's not how the system works, and also because at no point is a discrepancy between the two PFDs and ISIS commented on by any of the crew - including the Captain, who after he arrived had a clear view of all three.

The reason I believe the pitch was commanded by the PF and not the automatics is because the DFDR traces of the stick input and pitch attitude tally almost perfectly up until the point of stall.

The reason I believe the displays were consistent with having lost speed information is the PNF's call at 02:10:15.9. ECAM is for systems-level troubleshooting, not maintaining or regaining control. The PFDs should be enough for that.

Lest this be perceived as a defence of Airbus, I believe they should have been a lot more pro-active about replacing the Thales AA pitot tubes than they were, and should have been more forceful in pushing for high-altitude manual handling and stall training. I think Air France should have mandated all three flight crew to be present on long-haul ITCZ crossings until the problem was fixed. I also think their CRM training was in dire need of overhaul.

Lyman 21st September 2012 23:12

Lest this be perceived as a defence of Airbus, I believe they should have been a lot more pro-active about replacing the Thales AA pitot tubes than they were, and should have been more forceful in pushing for high-altitude manual handling and stall training. I think Air France should have mandated all three flight crew to be present on long-haul ITCZ crossings until the problem was fixed. I also think their CRM training was in dire need of overhaul.

Amen to that...

DozyWannabe 21st September 2012 23:24

Having said that, I think it should be acknowledged that Airbus's response to the problem was to immediately form a working group with Boeing to tackle the problems of high-altitude stall across the industry. They deserve kudos for that.

I doubt it will convince everyone that Airbus does not deserve the brickbats thrown at them over the years, but I hope it will make some folk think twice.

Lyman 21st September 2012 23:41

Let's not get carried away. Shortly after the wreck, the airframer published a bulletin advising pilots to review their Stall recovery procedures.

Rather an oblique admission of disconnect...

DozyWannabe 22nd September 2012 00:36


Originally Posted by Lyman (Post 7426818)
Let's not get carried away. Shortly after the wreck, the airframer published a bulletin advising pilots to review their Stall recovery procedures.

Rather an oblique admission of disconnect...

Not really - taking the eye off the ball as far as high-altitude stalls went was an industry-wide problem.

The industry had collectively suffered what renowned test pilot and astronaut Frank Borman once described (referring to the Apollo 1 fire) as a "failure of imagination". Stall training focused almost exclusively on low-altitude situations, where the advent of high-bypass jet engines meant that with 5 degrees pitch and full power it was possible to get out of it (and every manufacturer trained almost exclusively for this scenario). The prospect of bleeding off speed towards the operational ceiling (where thrust was far less effective) was to all intents and purposes disregarded by all manufacturers and airlines.

Modern previous UAS-induced stall incidents happened during the climb phase - Birgenair 301 being the most notorious example, and that was a single pitot tube failure that would not have presented a problem to Airbus's design. The West Caribbean 708 MD-80 (not UAS, but rooted in failure to diagnose stall) should have been more of a red flag, but because the root technical cause was a little-understood issue with the anti-ice system, it seems that the industry was happy to leave it there. Colgan 3407 should have been a warning too, but the industry focused on the fatigue levels of the pilots involved (which was understandable) rather than questioning why the Captain would pull up into a stall.

Every Thales AA pitot tube-related incident prior to AF447 was successfully recovered by the crews, and as such it's somewhat understandable that notification to crews of the issue and a procedure for dealing with the temporary UAS situation would have been considered enough prior to AF447.

Let's not beat about the bush here - most pilots on here were incredulous when AF447 IR#3 came out and it transpired that the PF got locked into a "pull-up" mindset throughout the accident sequence. I last flew a real aircraft in 1993 and even I remember that pulling up at or near the safe operational ceiling is a big no-no. However, I'm also acutely aware that when the fit hits the shan, reason can go out the window no matter how competent you are. I've seen it in myself, I've seen it in my friends and I've seen it in colleagues. Thankfully I've never been responsible for the lives of a couple of hundred people at the time I temporarily lost the plot, but I can still remember the cautionary lesson I took while cleaning the metaphorical egg from my face.

I don't consider this crew incompetent and never have. In fact one of the first things I said when I joined this discussion almost two years ago was that I consider them to have been incredibly unlucky and to some extent poorly-prepared by the industry that employed them. This isn't a zero-sum game - you don't have to try to prove the aircraft design deficient in order to honour and respect their memories, we simply have to honestly assess what went wrong and make sure it can't happen again.

As far as I'm concerned the industry as a whole deflowered the canine here - Airbus and AF included - but they weren't alone.

DozyWannabe 22nd September 2012 00:43

Oh, and apropos of nothing, the C4 documentary I watched last night (and picked a lot of holes in) is available here:

Fatal Flight 447: Chaos in the Cockpit - 4oD - Channel 4

Lyman 22nd September 2012 00:46

Without any agenda, Dozy, explain to me your thoughts on the degrade, and the retention of a familiar axis, and introduction of an unfamiliar.

What happens to 447 with degrade to Direct, and its 'trim only' Pitch inputs, manual. Zoom climb? A focus on small inputs, and those by hand? I personally see a potential for salvation. If only to gain time, less altitude, and reappearance of good speeds. I know, hindsight.

Wadda ya think?

Thanks

DozyWannabe 22nd September 2012 01:03

For what it's worth, I think the trim issue is fairly inconsequential - because the stall situation was not identified in time by the crew. As I've said numerous times, the autotrim had potential for salvation because with sustained nose-down on the PFC it would have corrected itself without needing to touch the trim wheels.

Maybe if there was an attempt to force the nose down and keep it there in the last minute I may feel differently, but the fact is that the PF was pulling up practically all the way down. As such, failure to recognise the situation and use CRM to remedy it is considerably higher on my list of priorities.

Fundamentally though, the existence of Alternate Law is to provide the pilot with handling characteristics as close to normal as possible despite degraded systems functionality, and to suggest taking that away because of one incident where it worked marginally against the crew (in response to the handling pilot making inappropriate inputs) would be throwing the baby out with the bathwater as far as I'm concerned.

Incidentally - something that the documentary clued me into that I hadn't considered before regards the sudden switch to pulling up on the part of the PNF (and confirmed by the Captain), and that was the sound of the GPWS "PULL UP" warning at 02:14:17.

[EDIT : I don't think I've mentioned this before, but I almost had skin in the game. A fellow musician and friend of mine almost boarded AF447 that day, but elected to stay in Rio for a few more days.]

CONF iture 22nd September 2012 03:48


Originally Posted by DozyWannabe'
the idea that the systems weren't relaying useful information (in that it could be processed by the flight crew) simply does not square up with the PNF saying "We've lost the speeds" at approximately 02:10:15 on the CVR

You have been answered on that point already but you prefer to ignore the reality which allows you to camp on that false concept of your own.

If they lost the speed tapes at the time you mention, why the BEA is not mentioning it … or are you doubting the BEA now ?

Hunter58 22nd September 2012 11:02

It does not matter if it is a big X over half the screen or whatever it is, thete is a visual clue. Only it is not wort to be mentioned as contributing factor, and it was recognized.

We can turn in circles a hundred more times but it does not change any fundamentals. The pilots recognized the unavailability of information of the speed information. What they did not due is to follow with the appropriate actions.

We can discuss other visual clues, change the whole architecture of the flight deck, change the logic of the FBW system, add tactile clues, whatever.

In the end it has no effect as all these things still require the crew in charge to take the correct action to fly the aircraft. And that is what really was missing. To consequently think that the pilot is not the final authority and needs to be having the necessary education to do so in the end means to have the fully automatic aircraft.

We can only speculate on the nature of thinking wich lead to the inapropriate actions during the event. The way leading to those however are also cultural, but to understand this you must have lived in France as a foreigner.

In my opinion the real cause of this event lays very deep in the french way of doing things and no amount of changes on the technical side will change this and prevent such or similar events to happen again. We have hammered on Asian crews for causing loss of life on cultural factors but we fail to accept this as a reason for a 'western' crew.

CONF iture 22nd September 2012 13:35


Originally Posted by Hunter58
The pilots recognized the unavailability of information of the speed information. What they did not due is to follow with the appropriate actions.

The pilots recognized the disappearance of some speed symbols, not a disappearance of the indicated airspeed. They would have been much better served with such disappearance of the all speed scale. That some speed symbols disappear is NOT a cue to trigger the UAS memory items.

The system knew something was wrong with the indicated airspeeds as it decided to disconnect AP but did not think as necessary to advise the pilots for the reason it had disconnected that AP.

The most difficult part in a scenario of UAS is to realize first that there is a UAS.
As soon it is a recognized, the pilot switch to the requested procedure, in this case a memory item – No guessing.
Pilots are trained to apply procedures and are pretty good at it – It helps so much if they are given the appropriate GO signal that will guide them in the right direction.

The system knew but did not inform – What a waste.

BOAC 22nd September 2012 14:17

You can all dress this up in whichever clothes you wish - the need for better 'control' systems on the AB, the way speeds are displayed, even badly written checklists, but the one big problem we have is the total illogicality of the response of PF in pitch and the apparent lack of 'command' (CRM if you will) from PNF.

These I feel will never be satisfactorily explained.

I hesitate to mention the 'O' bird, but I hear it flapping again.

Linktrained 22nd September 2012 16:11

An Indicator ?
 
For much of the event the THS was at full NU, IIRC. I believe that this was not commented upon by the crew. It may not be normally scanned even whilst it was within view of all. Is full NU "normal" in cruising flight ? (I think that I understand just how it may have reached this setting, but is that within what one might expect as "normal"?)

jcjeant 22nd September 2012 16:31

Linktrained

For much of the event the THS was at full NU, IIRC. I believe that this was not commented upon by the crew. It may not be normally scanned even whilst it was within view of all. Is full NU "normal" in cruising flight ? (I think that I understand just how it may have reached this setting, but is that within what one might expect as "normal"?)
It always returns to the same point
Pull the stick (and sustained) at cruising altitude is heresy and lethal
Do not watch the flight instruments is evidence of a very bad practice (eg not seeing the trim wheels position.. altimeter .. etc ..)
The PNF is busy with a lot of things futile and foreign to maintains the aircraft's flight is another proof of poor training (first keep fly the AC .. and next investigate)
And this is common to all three pilots as they have the same bad training and same bad CRM
Like tell Mr Schramm in a interview (AF pilots manager) it was this night the" maximum of competence" in the cockpit
The key is to know what it means "maximum of competence" for AF and if it is comparable to the other pilots proficiency of major airlines ....

mm43 22nd September 2012 20:02


Originally Posted by Linktrained
For much of the event the THS was at full NU...

Only went that way after the aircraft was effectively stalled. On passing CLmax (AoA 9.6°) at 02:10:57, the THS had moved up only 1° from its cruise condition of about 2.7° NU. It was the continued NU on the SS that induced the THS to supplement the Elevator and head for maximum NU.

It would seem that neither the PF or PNF noticed the Trim Wheel moving - something I believe that wasn't in their "normal" scan, as in NORMAL LAW the THS is assumed to look after itself.

Even though the PNF announced the ALT LAW (Prot lost), the PF didn't acknowledge it verbally, and I think there has been a general consensus reached in these threads that neither the PF or PNF realized what the THS could do when other than in NORMAL LAW. By the time the Capt returned the majority of the THS NU had occurred, but like the other two, he probably never looked at its position or noticed that it was in the final stages of its movement.

Lyman 22nd September 2012 20:40

bonjour, mm....

Your quote, :ok: "By the time the Capt returned the majority of the THS NU had occurred, but like the other two, he probably never looked at its position or noticed that it was in the final stages of its movement."

That requires a suspension of disbelief such that even I am challenged to entertain it....


So let me ask you the hypothetical question that Dozy inartfully dodged.

Say it is so, and the crew were virtually ignorant of the controls.

If the only Pitch inputs available had been small manual 'trim only' excursions, do you not think the crew would grok this trim at Auto/loss?

If, without any airdata, (computer selects Alternat 2b), the a/c required pitch inputs, the fact that the THS is limited to three degrees NU would have completely eliminated the possibility of zoom, and STALL.

The controls Law architecture seems on the one hand to be mindful of PITCH in DIRECT LAW, but relies completely on ELEVATOR PLUS THS in an emergent and handling environment very touchy, when it should be MINIMAL.

IOW, without airdata, the need for very cautious PITCH input is clear, seemingly tailor made for DL PITCH, but it does not go there, it stops short, and allows the type of misdirected SS inputs.

IN DIRECT, the SS is abandoned (pitch axis), perfect for UAS, but goes to the vulnerable AL2 instead.

AIRBUS had the foresight to provide for careful PITCH work in DIRECT, suitable for UAS, but in the actual UAS condition, it allows 'mayonnaise'.

Qu' est-ce que c'est?

Merci bon chance

PJ2 22nd September 2012 21:05


Originally Posted by [URL
http://www.pprune.org/tech-log/493472-af-447-thread-no-10-a-23.html#post7426387[/URL]]The basic laws are still Nz and roll rate until in "direct", right?

Yes, correct. I used the word "attitude" loosely but not in reference to what the fbw laws attempt to maintain. To put it straightforwardly, they maintain Nz and roll rate - no input, no change, so attitudes are maintained. IIRC, in Normal or Alt1/2 Laws, a small back pressure on the stick is required to maintain altitude beyond 33deg bank. In Direct, it's a regular airplane and some NU correction is required when banking to change direction.


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