Airbus forsees demand for 25,000 aircraft in the next 20 years
Nemo Me Impune Lacessit
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McDonnell Douglas bought Boeing with Boeing's money now MD's senior management is calling the shots. The proof is the 787 which is a colossal disaster. The company who did the electrical on the A380 which caused all their delays is the sole supplier for the 787 just one example and they keep blaming it on the strike???
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Surely a starting point for assessing the accuracy of such forecasts as these would be the predictor's forecasts for the last, say, 20 years? Accepting (relatively) short term variances, eg 2002/3, have they predicted the overall trend correctly or not?
Join Date: Jul 2005
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As the Chinese sage said............"WE'll SEE."
That said, just last week flew MSP to Dallas on a truly ancient DC-9-30. The return leg was a brand new CRJ900. Which one was quieter and more comfortable???? Yup, you guessed it.
That said, just last week flew MSP to Dallas on a truly ancient DC-9-30. The return leg was a brand new CRJ900. Which one was quieter and more comfortable???? Yup, you guessed it.
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I still work there. When I hired in 20 years ago I was proud to be an employee, now I pray there is enough company left to retire from. I am currently working the SOB fix for the 787. This program scares me 787.
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I still work there. When I hired in 20 years ago I was proud to be an employee, now I pray there is enough company left to retire from. I am currently working the SOB fix for the 787. This program scares me 787.
Making it to your pension might become even more of a challenge I think.
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And what I also read last week is that the major oil companys have been spending some of their non-earned billions on some high tech exploration, and have made some spectacular discoveries running into billions of barrels, which have turned all previous estimate on their head. So I suspect fossil fuels will be with us for a long time yet. How and if that will have an effect on aviation - and climate change - remains to be seen.
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Oil discoveries
The three tar sands in Canada have over 17 trillion barrels of oil. Not estimated, measured...it's right there above ground. Cost of extraction is another matter. As long as OPEC keeps wanting to jack the prices and technology keeps making it cheaper to extract the oil from the tar sands we mightbe able to keep them flying for a while longer.
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According to what I read they are doing just the opposite. Apparently they are drilling several miles down and in the 3 places they have tried so far they have hit huge quantities of crude in each place, but I suspect it doesn't come cheap. It might start putting a bit of pressure on OPEC tho'
Bear Behind
Surely a starting point for assessing the accuracy of such forecasts as these would be the predictor's forecasts for the last, say, 20 years? Accepting (relatively) short term variances, eg 2002/3, have they predicted the overall trend correctly or not?
Thay have a great history of underestimating the demand.
