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-   -   Ethiopian airliner down in Africa (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/619272-ethiopian-airliner-down-africa.html)

safetypee 13th Apr 2019 21:22

VicMel, thanks, :ok:
With that info and previous analysis, how might the correction routine ‘reset’, if it did, between flights?
How or why would this corruption occur on the particular accident flights apparently at random, or reoccur after the first Lion incident; conversely why were there not more instances of inaccurate AoA.

brak 13th Apr 2019 22:58

Curious number of new posters piling it up on the pilots of the flight in question, all the while drawing attention away from the true culprits (Boeing & Co). PR at work?

Loose rivets 13th Apr 2019 23:38

Well brak, that may be true, but countered by the very strongly worded post above. It hits firmly at Boeing, and it's hard to not agree with the fundamental points.

Lost in Saigon 13th Apr 2019 23:43


Originally Posted by brak (Post 10446978)
Curious number of new posters piling it up on the pilots of the flight in question, all the while drawing attention away from the true culprits (Boeing & Co). PR at work?

No, it is not Boeing PR. As more information becomes available, and there is more understanding of what actually happened, those of us who actually get paid to fly can see that these pilots made a lot of mistakes.

The ET302 pilots did not follow the proper procedures after takeoff when they were faced with an Angle Of Attack disagreement during a day VFR departure. Boeing has taken steps to make the B737 MAX MCAS safer (foolproof?), but there will always be pilots who are their own worst enemies.

KRUSTY 34 13th Apr 2019 23:51


Originally Posted by brak (Post 10446978)
Curious number of new posters piling it up on the pilots of the flight in question, all the while drawing attention away from the true culprits (Boeing & Co). PR at work?

Yep the gloves are definitely coming off.

If Boeing’s handling of the matter so far is anything to go by, they’ll need to be extremely careful they don’t end up painting themselves into a corner.

Oops!

KRUSTY 34 13th Apr 2019 23:54


Originally Posted by Lost in Saigon (Post 10446990)
No, it is not Boeing PR. As more information becomes available, and there is more understanding of what actually happened, those of us who actually get paid to fly can see that these pilots made a lot of mistakes.

The ET302 pilots did not follow the proper procedures after takeoff when they were faced with an Angle Of Attack disagreement during a day VFR departure. Boeing has taken steps to make the B737 MAX MCAS safer (foolproof?), but there will always be pilots who are their own worst enemies.

I’m sorry, but that has to be the most disingenuous statement I have ever seen.

Easy Street 14th Apr 2019 02:07


Originally Posted by KRUSTY 34 (Post 10446993)
Yep the gloves are definitely coming off.

If Boeing’s handling of the matter so far is anything to go by, they’ll need to be extremely careful they don’t end up painting themselves into a corner.

Oops!

I agree with the sentiment but realism dictates that Boeing will be heavily protected from the consequences of its actions. There is no way that the political establishment will allow anything to undercut Boeing’s short- to medium-term ability to compete with Airbus, let alone its long-term viability. As such, the only reason Boeing has to play nice is to build bridges with non-US customers. It might well judge that its offer to them is now so poor compared to Airbus’s that it has little to lose from an aggressive mud-slinging strategy.

Also, with another tariff battle seemingly brewing, it will be very interesting to see whether the size of any penalty levied upon Boeing for the MAX saga is sufficiently small that Airbus could point to it as a ‘state subsidy’ in all but name when arguing its case at the WTO. If anyone doubts the ability of the Washington establishment to influence due process for its favoured firms, look at how Halliburton got away with it over Deepwater Horizon while (foreign-owned) BP got absolutely hammered....

GlobalNav 14th Apr 2019 02:25


Originally Posted by Lost in Saigon (Post 10446990)
No, it is not Boeing PR. As more information becomes available, and there is more understanding of what actually happened, those of us who actually get paid to fly can see that these pilots made a lot of mistakes.

The ET302 pilots did not follow the proper procedures after takeoff when they were faced with an Angle Of Attack disagreement during a day VFR departure. Boeing has taken steps to make the B737 MAX MCAS safer (foolproof?), but there will always be pilots who are their own worst enemies.

BS. There’s not a crew in the world that doesn’t make mistakes, but this crew did not act stupidly nor incompetently. The design of MAX in the case of malfunctioning MCAS is terribly intolerant of error.

737 Driver 14th Apr 2019 02:36


Originally Posted by GlobalNav (Post 10447036)
There’s not a crew in the world that doesn’t make mistakes

Agree.


but this crew did not act stupidly nor incompetently.
Disagree for reasons previously covered. That being said, they were a product of their airline's training and culture.


The design of MAX in the case of malfunctioning MCAS is terribly intolerant of error.
Agree wholeheartedly.

patplan 14th Apr 2019 03:34


Originally Posted by Lost in Saigon (Post 10446990)
No, it is not Boeing PR. As more information becomes available, and there is more understanding of what actually happened, those of us who actually get paid to fly can see that these pilots made a lot of mistakes.

The ET302 pilots did not follow the proper procedures after takeoff when they were faced with an Angle Of Attack disagreement during a day VFR departure. Boeing has taken steps to make the B737 MAX MCAS safer (foolproof?), but there will always be pilots who are their own worst enemies.

How did the crew of ET302 know there had been an "Angle of Attack Disagreement"? Was it being displayed on their PFD's?? Did you even read the previous thousand or so postings before you posted yours? I'm curious.

Lost in Saigon 14th Apr 2019 04:13


Originally Posted by patplan (Post 10447057)
How did the crew of ET302 know there had been an "Angle of Attack Disagreement"? Was it being displayed on their PFD's?? Did you even read the previous thousand or so postings before you posted yours? I'm curious.


As we all know now, if the AOA fails, it can cause MCAS to trim nose down when it should not. This was a surprise to the Lion Air Pilots but after that accident Boeing sent a Bulletin to all operators explaining the system and how to deal with it.

Ethiopian Airlines got this bulletin but for some unknown reason the crew of ET302 were not able to deal with the problem.

Boeing has since changed MCAS to use info from both AOA and limited how much nose down trim can be applied. This should make it safer even if the pilots mishandle a failure or emergency.

AerocatS2A 14th Apr 2019 04:25

You didn’t answer the question. How were the crew to know they had an AoA disagree?

neila83 14th Apr 2019 04:30


Originally Posted by Lost in Saigon (Post 10447064)



As we all know now, if the AOA fails, it can cause MCAS to trim nose down when it should not. This was a surprise to the Lion Air Pilots but after that accident Boeing sent a Bulletin to all operators explaining the system and how to deal with it.

Ethiopian Airlines got this bulletin but for some unknown reason the crew of ET302 were not able to deal with the problem.

Boeing has since changed MCAS to use info from both AOA and limited how much nose down trim can be applied. This should make it safer even if the pilots mishandle a failure or emergency.

Wow, somebody tell the authorities, Boeing already fixed it! No need for any tests, get that thing back in the air LostinSaigon apparently knows all is fine. I'll file this with all the people asking why they didn't just 'cut the trim switches' until it turned out they did cut the trim switches.

The key words in your post were 'for some unknown reason'. I expect the authorities will want to actually find out what that was before letting the plane fly again. Because they did follow the checklist, and there are points in the FDR which may suggest there is a further problem somewhere in the computers; I believe Boeing has stated they have identified an additional undisclosed problem.


Lost in Saigon 14th Apr 2019 04:30


Originally Posted by AerocatS2A (Post 10447069)
You didn’t answer the question. How were the crew to know they had an AoA disagree?

They should have read the bulletin.


https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....3f066a7d3.jpeg
https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....893c5854a.jpeg

neila83 14th Apr 2019 04:50


Originally Posted by Lost in Saigon (Post 10447071)

Thank you for providing the proof that pilots were not provided with a way of knowing they have an AoA disagree. Unless they happened to work for American Airines who had the optional extra. And yeh the pilots used electric trim up and then hit the cutout switches. There is a question that may be around the additional problem Boeing is investigating about why they didn't trim up further with the electric trim. It's a question because it happens at the start and the end, and there's no logical reason for the pilots to do that, which suggests there may have been an additional system problem. We shall see.

TBLG 14th Apr 2019 04:51

From a U.S. Private Pilot: My buddy's youngest is a First Officer on the B737 with Alaska. His only comment was that an emergency "CESSNA" button on the instrument panel to kill all digital input except for primary controls, slats, flaps, brakes and steering would be nice; allowing for good old fashioned piloting skills and, hopefully, a safe manual (Cessna) landing.

Possibly an enormous over-simplification but is that possible?

Tim.

Fursty Ferret 14th Apr 2019 05:13

That’s basically what the stabiliser disconnect switches do on the 737. Pretty much all the controls are string and pulleys.

In any non-normal situation flying the aircraft manually usually comes at the expense of reduced capacity for troubleshooting and decision making. Deliberately increasing workload would be an unusual step to take.

The 737 Max accidents are (IMHO) mainly influenced by design choices that should never have passed certification and trying to slap a sticking plaster on top of those decisions is missing the bigger picture.

wonkazoo 14th Apr 2019 05:44


Originally Posted by Lost in Saigon (Post 10446990)
No, it is not Boeing PR. As more information becomes available, and there is more understanding of what actually happened, those of us who actually get paid to fly can see that these pilots made a lot of mistakes.

The ET302 pilots did not follow the proper procedures after takeoff when they were faced with an Angle Of Attack disagreement during a day VFR departure. Boeing has taken steps to make the B737 MAX MCAS safer (foolproof?), but there will always be pilots who are their own worst enemies.

I've been mostly silent on this thread, despite reading all posts. But that one rang a bell.

FACT: As far as the world knows exactly seven qualified commercial pilots have seen the scenarios that let to the loss of Lion Air 610 and ET302.

FACT: Of those seven pilots four are dead.

FACT: Of those seven pilots, and the three who are not dead, the only individual who correctly connected the dots was not either pilot 5 or 6. It was a jumpseater sitting behind them, who wasn't responsible for anything, who interrupted the mayhem and allowed the flight to continue and land safely.

A failure that results in an absolute 86 percent of its pilots being overwhelmed, that represents 66 percent of flights on which said failure happened ending up in microscopic sized pieces, this is not a failure that can be allowed on a modern transport aircraft.

If eight out of ten pilots who were exposed to a real life stressor are overwhelmed (empirically and though observation in known environments), how exactly is this their fault??

A failure that results in an absolute 66 percent of its pilots (and passengers) being killed simply cannot be blamed on the pilots. Could they have done better?? You bet. But statistics don't lie- and the numbers here show conclusively that MCAS is a killer unless you line up the slots in just the right way.

Perhaps more concerning: ANU trim above 300?? KIAS can cause you to have no trim control at all. I'll take on MCAS any day, but a stuck trim wheel with no altitude to give and... That's just nuts. I've been interviewing friends of mine who fly heavy iron. Not one can describe an airplane they have flown which loses all trim authority above a certain airspeed and tail loading.

You 737 drivers out there: If you are clocking 320KIAS and you try to use the trim- will it work if you are somewhat mis-trimmed nose-down?? 300KIAS?? 310KIAS?? Where and when does your trim tab become teh hammer nailing the lid shut on your coffin?? I am stunned to see here that people are not discussing this more. MCAS is an abomination, but alone it is simple stupidity. An Airplane that has an envelope within the normal operating range wherein trim will no longer not only be detrimental, it will me immovable...Really??

On every airplane you've got a handy indication of stall speed clean and dirty. If there is a speed above which your horizontal trim may not work, would there not be a need for a little line, to like, ummm, say "Hey dummy- if you are above this line you've got squat in terms of horizontal stabilizer trim control!!"

Finally:

Please stop trying to find the person to pin the blame to. This was a human failure, and it has literally thousands of possible inputs that could have effected the outcome. It is in Boeing's interest to minimize the actual events, as well as their underlying causes. But it is up to people like those of you here- to suss out the difference between corporate protective blame and actual culpability. The pilots had seconds to make decisions that would impact hundreds of lives. Boeing had at least eight years to make decisions that would have kept the bastard MCAS from entering into service in the first place. It is improper to equivocate the two, and moreso to blame the guys who only had a few seconds to guess and act correctly, as opposed to those who had years to do it right- and didn't.

Don't get me wrong- I know how proud we are. I simultaneously joined the Caterpillar Club and destroyed an entire airframe in 1996. I knew what had happened, but I knew that until the NTSB report came out NOT blaming pilot error I would never be free. And if it did blame me I would be crushed to the point of uselessness going forward. We are a proud profession, and we will eat our young in a heartbeat if we feel they have failed our standards in some way.

Eating our young here is a disservice to the profession. They went to work, did their best, their best was not good enough and hundreds died.

That should be enough penalty no??

Apologies for the rant-
dce


double-oscar 14th Apr 2019 06:22

To be accurate, they had a stall warning on lift-off. There is guidance for this in the QRH and the Flight Crew Training Manual which wasn’t followed. This must raise questions about pilot training and the role of pilots in operating aircraft which are becoming more automated.

neila83 14th Apr 2019 07:41


Originally Posted by double-oscar (Post 10447101)
To be accurate, they had a stall warning on lift-off. There is guidance for this in the QRH and the Flight Crew Training Manual which wasn’t followed. This must raise questions about pilot training and the role of pilots in operating aircraft which are becoming more automated.

I guess we'll find out in the final report. Although the criminal investigations may preclude that. There are a lot of people here I really hope have no genuine role in aviation safety, so clear is their bias.


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