James7: Lithium Fire that is the number 1 suspect. Just how many Lithium batteries were on board. Why the secret! |
Here ya go; this is the standard of media reporting: seaweed has been found (see image down page) Malaysia Airlines flight MH370: Abbott flags breakthrough hopes.
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The suicide hypothesis is by far the likeliest. If you were you'd seek help before you LOST that job. It is simply the most rewarding career. Edit: I might add, to the best of my knowledge the two occasions this has happened the crew members job was at risk. |
Originally Posted by Shadoko
(Post 8395509)
Hope I didn't make errors there and this could help!
And, just to be clear, yes, it's entirely possible that the satellite has a clock that could measure signal travel delay down to a fraction of your 620 microseconds. But that assumes the signal being reflected back in a passive way or by a "dumb" device. You can bounce a laser beam off a reflector on the surface of the Moon and use it measure the distance with sub-meter accuracy. That's because the reflector is passive. If the reflector is a computer system that needs to "think" about the answer, that's a source of uncertainty which may or may not be longer than 620 microseconds. Or maybe there's no reflector at all, we just have a transmitter on the aircraft with its own clock that is used to timestamp the transmission, and we're making deductions based on the timestamp and the reception time. Then we also have to wonder how accurate the clock in the transmitter is. So, the "geometry" of the process, so to speak, is pretty clear, but there are other things which are not. |
My point is that the extra memory required isn't an unbearable cost, and many investigations need much more recording time. The requirements were laid down when aircraft flew into hills; now human interference is something to be taken into account.
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Originally Posted by UnreliableSource
(Post 8395485)
Anyone with SAR experience care to talk about the number of rubbish or other objects that are identified as not relevant to a search in open waters? Over water off the Australian east coast, I did not see many items in the water. In my experience: over land a search observer is constantly seeing stuff and deciding not to call it out because it does not meet some threshold of likelihood. Over water everyone is so "weary" that everything gets called out. "Weary" isn't quite the right word, there is a structure and discipline to observing from an aircraft without missing things. Observing is a tiring thing to do, especially when you see nothing. Having said that, anything that is 20+ meters long would certainly be spotted on the first pass. |
Your phone may be good, but has been stated many times before, your phone is not certified to withstand the G's or the temperatures and pressures that a CVR is expected to withstand. |
Quote:
*In my experience: over land a search observer is constantly seeing stuff and deciding not to call it out because it does not meet some threshold of likelihood. Over water everyone is so "weary" that everything gets called out. "Weary" isn't quite the right word, there is a structure and discipline to observing from an aircraft without missing things. Observing is a tiring thing to do, especially when you see nothing." Couldn't agree more. Was an observer with Surveillance Australia and participated in several searches, including the Malu Sara boat that went missing in the Torres Strait. We found nothing...no debris, no oil/fuel slick. Half a body washed up on a reef a few weeks later in Indonesian waters, found by Indo fishermen. There are specific visual scan techniques you employ to maximise effectiveness, but agree, it's a very tiring thing to do. We generally swapped places every hour (front to back) to make sure we didn't start to "fixate", especially when there was nothing to see except water. |
It shouldn't take more than a few lines of code and $10 worth of memory to change the box: my phone can record 200 hrs of speech! Your phone may be good, but has been stated many times before, your phone is not certified to withstand the G's or the temperatures and pressures that a CVR is expected to withstand. SSD using NAND flash is being used in CVR's and which are many times more resistant to shock (G's), can be fully encapsulated (potted) to withstand great temperatures, be waterproof are not sensitive to pressure. Besides, if worries, use the same enclosures as is currently used. The only question is how much memory to stuff in the recorder, but I will venture that $1000 will give you many thousands of hours. If the recorders of MH370 are found and it proves that only the last two hours of (possible) silence is available, when the first two hours of flight may be the most critical, then I hope the industry and regulatory agencies will recognize that improvements are in order. |
ping times If they have ping records covering the start of the flight, would they have a good idea of te turn-around time and its variability from the initial flurry of messages as the flight became established? |
You are obviously not a pilot with a major airline. If you were you'd seek help before you LOST that job. It is simply the most rewarding career. Anyway, I would think that many of us have known occasional instances of pilot suicide in both the civilian and military world. And, sometimes even pilot murderers. I had a squadron commanding officer who was killed in a 'gun cleaning accident'. More than one pilot has had his wife mysteriously found dead after she said she was leaving (Richard Crafts comes immediately to mind). Wasn't there a case at FedEx in recent years where the pilot was acquitted? I'd sure like to think pilot suicide/murder couldn't happen with MH 370 but it is a possibility that needs to be explored. Here's a case years ago from 'a major international airline': In at least one case, a major international airline allowed a pilot who had expressed suicidal thoughts to continue flying. He flew nearly three more years, without incident, before he resigned in 1982 with severe obsessive-compulsive disorder, anxiety and depression. The Sydney Morning Herald newspaper reported that the Workers Compensation Commission heard that the Qantas pilot struggled several times to resist an overwhelming urge to switch off the plane's engines. Once during a flight to Singapore, the pilot's hand moved "involuntarily" toward the start levers and he was forced to "immobilize his left arm in order not to act on the compulsion." [shades of Dr. Strangelove] "He left the flight deck and, once he felt calm enough, returned to his seat," the newspaper reported. After telling his colleagues of his urges, the newspaper said, the pilot was examined by several doctors and ultimately declared fit to fly. Any Ozmates remember the details on this one? In the U.S. if you express suicidal ideations, your professional flying career is probably over (unless you somehow make it an alcohol or gender identity issue). If you keep the thoughts to yourself, you keep flying. |
Mr DK
Agree that $10 and a phone is not a viable option. SSD using NAND flash is being used in CVR's and which are many times more resistant to shock (G's), can be fully encapsulated (potted) to withstand great temperatures, be waterproof are not sensitive to pressure. Besides, if worries, use the same enclosures as is currently used. The only question is how much memory to stuff in the recorder, but I will venture that $1000 will give you many thousands of hours. If the recorders of MH370 are found and it proves that only the last two hours of (possible) silence is available, when the first two hours of flight may be the most critical, then I hope the industry and regulatory agencies will recognize that improvements are in order. (Hope I am not modded out this time) |
Email Print 23 March 2014| last updated at 03:17PM MISSING MH370: IGP denies Daily Mail report By Atiqa Hazellah | [email protected] 0 comments KUALA LUMPUR: Police have refuted an online version of a British tabloid report that MH 370 flight Captain Zaharie Ahmad Shah had received a call from a mystery woman before take-off. Inspector-General of Police Tan Sri Khalid Abu Bakar described the report as “mere speculation”. He added that investigations were ongoing and confidential. “If the portal can provide the caller’s number, that will help. If not, as I said, it is a mere speculation,” he said in a short messaging message (SMS) to the New Straits Times. Khalid was responding to a Daily Mail report saying Zaharie had received a two-minute call before take-off from a mystery woman using a mobile phone number obtained under a false identity. The call was said to be one of the last calls made to Zaharie in the hours before the Boeing 777-200 ER left Kuala Lumpur on March 8. It also stated that police had traced the number to a shop selling prepaid SIM cards in Kuala Lumpur. However, police discovered it had been bought recently by someone who used a false identity, the report said. Not sure how much of the newspaper report has been debunked by police, the whole thing or just the part about the gender of the caller? Did the pilot received a call from someone who used a fake ID to purchase the phone? Is it a rare occurrence in that part of the world? Mickjoebill |
In the U.S. if you express suicidal ideations, your professional flying career is probably over (unless you somehow make it an alcohol or gender identity issue). If you keep the thoughts to yourself, you keep flying. "He flew nearly three more years, without incident, before he resigned in 1982 with severe obsessive-compulsive disorder, anxiety and depression." |
In the U.S. if you express suicidal ideations, your professional flying career is probably over (unless you somehow make it an alcohol or gender identity issue). If you keep the thoughts to yourself, you keep flying. A TV production company sought insurance for a joy flight in a glider of a young person who had a terminal illness. The person had expressed interest in flying a glider like the birds and hope to imagine being free of his very painful condition. Insurers said no, unacceptable risk, because he would have controls to hand.:ugh: To the credit of the pilot, the flight took place anyway:ok: |
Finally!...Something i can professionally comment about!!....
onetrack, while some people with depression do commit suicide, there is also impulsive suicide...that is, suicide that happens without the person necessarily showing signs of depression at all! Take the person who breaks up with his wife, then goes and hangs himself...Not depressed necessarily, rather an impulsive act due to circumstances. Not everyone who is depressed commits suicide and not everyone who commits suicide is depressed! |
Originally Posted by hamster3null
Or maybe there's no reflector at all, we just have a transmitter on the aircraft with its own clock that is used to timestamp the transmission, and we're making deductions based on the timestamp and the reception time. Then we also have to wonder how accurate the clock in the transmitter is.
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"...depressive bouts will be obvious to any adult with a modest degree of perception"
I think the "key" phrase there is "with a modest degree of perception". And what happens when the "perception" goes out the window. |
onetrack: And once again, I re-state - you will show obvious signs of regular "clinical depression" if you have suicidal tendencies. You may be able to keep your suicidal thoughts to yourself (only in about 30% of reported cases) - but the severe depressive bouts will be obvious to any adult with a modest degree of perception. |
It shouldn't take more than a few lines of code and $10 worth of memory to change the box: my phone can record 200 hrs of speech! Of course, none of this matters if someone on board disables it. |
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