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China Eastern 737-800 MU5735 accident March 2022

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China Eastern 737-800 MU5735 accident March 2022

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Old 7th Apr 2022, 18:07
  #361 (permalink)  
 
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A simpler view of why the recorders have been sent to the US is to apply the original manufacturers flight test data calibrations. An important activity at the time of download given that it might be a one-shot opportunity due to damage.

Many years ago the most damaged recorder analysed was that extracted from the San Louis Obispo fatal accident. Pax / engineer shot the crew, then ‘vertical dive’ suicide. NTSB had the recorder on display in the entrance of their Washington DC HQ
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Old 8th Apr 2022, 06:04
  #362 (permalink)  
 
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I wonder if this could be related.?

https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se...light-incident
KUALA LUMPUR - The Civil Aviation Authority of Malaysia (CAAM) will probe the flight data of a Malaysia Airlines flight involving a Boeing 737-800 plane after it allegedly dove suddenly and flew erratically before turning back on Sunday (April 3).

CAAM chief executive Chester Voo Chee Soon said the authority would be reviewing the internal flight data monitoring system of Flight MH2664 to get to the bottom of the issue.

"Preliminary data has shown correct responses by the operating crew following the issue onboard," Captain Voo said in a statement on Tuesday.
​​​​​
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Old 8th Apr 2022, 06:50
  #363 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by krismiler
I wonder if this could be related.?

https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se...light-incident
The FR24 plot for that flight (MH2774/03Apr) shows the aircraft turned back to KUL about 35 minutes after take-off. The altitude trace shows a 'blip' about 18 minutes after take-off, where the altitude changed suddenly from 25,000 ft to 23,375 ft and back to 25,000 ft. There's a second, smaller excursion about 7 minutes later, where altitude changed from 29,000 ft to 28,275 ft and back to 29,000 ft. The aircraft turned back to KUL about 5 minutes after the second altitude excursion and climbed to 30,000 ft. The remainder of the flight appears to be uneventful.

​​​​​​​https://www.flightradar24.com/data/f...h2664#2b5da11b
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Old 8th Apr 2022, 13:56
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Yep, Looks unrelated to me. Unless of course you would continue after an "unexplained and uncontrolled" couple of descents.
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Old 8th Apr 2022, 14:31
  #365 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Stick Flying
Yep, Looks unrelated to me. Unless of course you would continue after an "unexplained and uncontrolled" couple of descents.
Yup, not related. Theres no left roll present.

MU5735 and SJ182 is carbon copies.

SJ had a Autothrottle failure.
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Old 8th Apr 2022, 21:55
  #366 (permalink)  
 
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AAKEE...

I can certainly see why someone would say MH2774 and this China Eastern accident are very likely unrelated (though to declare "yup, not related" at this stage is not something an aircraft accident investgator is apt to say).
But to say, "MU5735 and SJ182 is carbon copies" is a giant stretch, even for an investigator familiar with these and "similar" accidents.. Care to expand on that?
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Old 9th Apr 2022, 15:38
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Originally Posted by PJ2
The Germanwings 9525 deliberate crash in the French Alps in March, 2015 may hold relevant information & datapoints regarding chip survivability. Both trajectories were near-vertical at very high speeds, (between 4 & 7 "fuselage lengths per second").
The Germanwings crash was hardly "near-vertical." Perhaps we can leave the exaggeration to the media.

Descent rate was ~3500 fpm and took about 10 minutes from top of descent to impact. Roughly a 30° glide path, over a ground track of about 60-70 nm.

It did, of course, hit a steep mountainside, so the impact angle was closer to 70° or so - and was at high speed.
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Old 9th Apr 2022, 15:55
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Originally Posted by pattern_is_full
The Germanwings crash was hardly "near-vertical." Perhaps we can leave the exaggeration to the media.

Descent rate was ~3500 fpm and took about 10 minutes from top of descent to impact. Roughly a 30° glide path, over a ground track of about 60-70 nm.

It did, of course, hit a steep mountainside, so the impact angle was closer to 70° or so - and was at high speed.
Airbus cannot be put in attitude beyond -15° pitch. So no question of vertical dive. It was just a planned descent.
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Old 9th Apr 2022, 16:25
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Originally Posted by grizzled
AAKEE...

I can certainly see why someone would say MH2774 and this China Eastern accident are very likely unrelated (though to declare "yup, not related" at this stage is not something an aircraft accident investgator is apt to say).
But to say, "MU5735 and SJ182 is carbon copies" is a giant stretch, even for an investigator familiar with these and "similar" accidents.. Care to expand on that?
Yes.

I should have written that the initial upset is carbon copies.

If the FR24 log is viewed in 3D both these accidents show a reduced groundspeed during the initial upset. There is a not insignificant left movement that can only be explained by a left roll. The height loss and the parallell movement during the first half roll is the same. The dive angle is not that different and the continued roll is very like each other. MU5735 began the upset with higher speed, and also did loose a little more altitude during the roll/tunnel roll.

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Old 9th Apr 2022, 19:09
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Originally Posted by pattern_is_full
The Germanwings crash was hardly "near-vertical." Perhaps we can leave the exaggeration to the media.

Descent rate was ~3500 fpm and took about 10 minutes from top of descent to impact. Roughly a 30° glide path, over a ground track of about 60-70 nm.
Descending at 3500fpm taking 10 minutes (around 30,000 to 35,000') covering 60-70NM CERTAINLY ain't a 30 degree descent, more like closer to 6 degrees.

So in your own words, "Perhaps we can leave the exaggeration to the media".
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Old 10th Apr 2022, 00:05
  #371 (permalink)  
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pattern is full, vilas, thanks for your responses regarding my characterization of the descent - I agree with you both and my over-eager post describing the Germanwings descent has been corrected, (strike-out of "near-vertical").

The point being made in the post, "...it is encouraging to know that both recorders' chips survived the very high-speed impact with solid-rock and were readable (four days' later).", stands of course and remains encouraging, at least until we hear otherwise.

Last edited by PJ2; 10th Apr 2022 at 00:33.
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 05:02
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It has been a while & there is a silence on the contents of the CVR & FDR.......(Definitely more than 4 days later now)
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 05:53
  #373 (permalink)  
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CAAC is having a PR hard time. So you know the reason…
Originally Posted by Wannabe Flyer
It has been a while & there is a silence on the contents of the CVR & FDR.......(Definitely more than 4 days later now)
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 06:14
  #374 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Wannabe Flyer
It has been a while & there is a silence on the contents of the CVR & FDR.......(Definitely more than 4 days later now)
Any information release would need to come from the Chinese investigative authority. While the NTSB, Boeing, CFM, etc. are all involved, they are basically under a gag order prohibiting them from any information release, regardless of what they may know.
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 06:14
  #375 (permalink)  
 
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Seriously ?

Originally Posted by Wannabe Flyer
It has been a while & there is a silence on the contents of the CVR & FDR.......(Definitely more than 4 days later now)
An intermediate report will be forthcoming within 30 days.
This has already been stated, and is the industry norm.

TR
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 08:22
  #376 (permalink)  
 
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Leeham in a subscription article states that investigators are leaning towards suicide as the cause of the crash.

China Eastern crash cause appears trending toward pilot suicide.
https://leehamnews.com/2022/04/11/ai...ce-widebodies/
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 08:59
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Suicide with two other (much younger and fitter) pilots in the cockpit seems a bit unlikely to me.
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 09:49
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Originally Posted by SteinarN
Leeham in a subscription article states that investigators are leaning towards suicide as the cause of the crash.
That last bullet with the suicide claim seems weirdly disconnected from the rest of the article ?
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 12:13
  #379 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by procede
Suicide with two other (much younger and fitter) pilots in the cockpit seems a bit unlikely to me.
If it was the Captain I’m sure that he could have found a reason to get them both out of the cockpit.
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Old 11th Apr 2022, 13:49
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Originally Posted by INSCRINIUM
That last bullet with the suicide claim seems weirdly disconnected from the rest of the article ?
Just sensational.

Lookup the original Leeham article in March and you'll see, they did just copy the last (bullet) line from that article. The other bullets in that article refer to other options also passed on PP.
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