Indonesian aircraft missing off Jakarta
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It’s OK to offer a hypothesis!
To those of you admonishing your colleagues for tossing around first-impressions while “bodies are still warm,” THAT’S WHAT WE DO! WE’RE PILOTS! This thread is not a news organization, it’s a crowded pub. It’s OK to put your bets on the table about what happened before the investigation has even begun, much less ended.
Maybe someone should start a different thread titled “Indonesia 737 Max crash: FACTS ONLY.” And stay there. And wait.
Maybe someone should start a different thread titled “Indonesia 737 Max crash: FACTS ONLY.” And stay there. And wait.
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To those of you admonishing your colleagues for tossing around first-impressions while “bodies are still warm,” THAT’S WHAT WE DO! WE’RE PILOTS! This thread is not a news organization, it’s a crowded pub. It’s OK to put your bets on the table about what happened before the investigation has even begun, much less ended.
I don't disagree with you on the larger principle, that it's natural and reasonable to speculate on what might have been involved. I do however, object to the bigots who, on the basis virtually no information at all, beyond "airplane lost control and crashed" have immediately leaped to the conclusion that the crash is certainly the result of the incompetency of the aircrew, simply because of their assumed ethnicity.
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That drop at the end is fairly rapid. 30k ft per minute fall. After maintaining whilst a still fairly rough attempt at level flight, It’s like they lost the fin or something.
Elevator/Fin related?
Elevator/Fin related?
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I don't disagree with you on the larger principle, that it's natural and reasonable to speculate on what might have been involved. I do however, object to the bigots who, on the basis virtually no information at all, beyond "airplane lost control and crashed" have immediately leaped to the conclusion that the crash is certainly the result of the incompetency of the aircrew, simply because of their assumed ethnicity.
One can fly from one end of the "known" UK to t'other in just over twice the length of the projected flight time for JT610. And with jolly fellows of the right ethnicity.
Shall we drop into Cardiff or Manchester chaps, a bit of vibration.
gg
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To those of you admonishing your colleagues for tossing around first-impressions while “bodies are still warm,” THAT’S WHAT WE DO! WE’RE PILOTS! This thread is not a news organization, it’s a crowded pub. It’s OK to put your bets on the table about what happened before the investigation has even begun, much less ended.
Maybe someone should start a different thread titled “Indonesia 737 Max crash: FACTS ONLY.” And stay there. And wait.
Maybe someone should start a different thread titled “Indonesia 737 Max crash: FACTS ONLY.” And stay there. And wait.
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Lion and Malindo
Very sad and prayers and thoughts to families. But I am not surprised. Lion air and that other dreadful airline called Malindo should be investigated for safety issues.
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To those of you admonishing your colleagues for tossing around first-impressions while “bodies are still warm,” THAT’S WHAT WE DO! WE’RE PILOTS! This thread is not a news organization, it’s a crowded pub. It’s OK to put your bets on the table about what happened before the investigation has even begun, much less ended.
Maybe someone should start a different thread titled “Indonesia 737 Max crash: FACTS ONLY.” And stay there. And wait.
Maybe someone should start a different thread titled “Indonesia 737 Max crash: FACTS ONLY.” And stay there. And wait.
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Hello Captain . . .
I don't disagree with you on the larger principle, that it's natural and reasonable to speculate on what might have been involved. I do however, object to the bigots who, on the basis virtually no information at all, beyond "airplane lost control and crashed" have immediately leaped to the conclusion that the crash is certainly the result of the incompetency of the aircrew, simply because of their assumed ethnicity.
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The same aircraft apparently had an unreliable speed issue on the previous flight from Bali to Jakarta last night. This was reported by the pilots according to Bloomberg.
FR24 data from that flight shows the aircraft enters a descent after takeoff, with increasing speed, similar to the event which happened on this flight at approximately 2,000ft. However on the DPS-CGK flight it happened at around 5,500ft.
14:25:21 - 5,500ft - 282kt
14:25:48 - 4,625ft - 324kt
14:26:13 - 5,400ft - 303kt
14:26:25 - 6,300ft - 276kt
14:26:37 - 6,600ft - 265kt
14:26:49 - 7,400ft - 247kt
Suggests around 2,000fpm descent rate with 42kt speed gain, followed by 3,000fpm climb losing 77kt. That's not a normal climb profile so something went wrong here, assuming the ADS data is accurate.
FR24 data from that flight shows the aircraft enters a descent after takeoff, with increasing speed, similar to the event which happened on this flight at approximately 2,000ft. However on the DPS-CGK flight it happened at around 5,500ft.
14:25:21 - 5,500ft - 282kt
14:25:48 - 4,625ft - 324kt
14:26:13 - 5,400ft - 303kt
14:26:25 - 6,300ft - 276kt
14:26:37 - 6,600ft - 265kt
14:26:49 - 7,400ft - 247kt
Suggests around 2,000fpm descent rate with 42kt speed gain, followed by 3,000fpm climb losing 77kt. That's not a normal climb profile so something went wrong here, assuming the ADS data is accurate.
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Comparison of the flight the day before. Note the Different Aircraft registrations.
Top Graph 28/10/2018 B738M PK-LQP
Bottom Graph 27/10/2018 B738 PK-LPQTop Graph 28/10/2018 B738M PK-LQP
Looks like a significant upset very shortly after take-off.
Altitude dropped around the 2 minute mark with a subsequent increase in air speed.
Source: https://www.flightradar24.com/data/f...jt610#1e5ff318
The Pilots appear to be struggling to maintain a steady altitude for the whole 10 minutes of the flight.
What happened between 22.53. and 23.23.
gg
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Or just 1... Flightradar data shows resonable airspeed, maybe a little high for so early in the flight, but if the pilots were getting a stall warning, they may have increased the throttle setting.
I wonder where the flightradar data transmitted from the plane comes from, i.e. which pitot tibe or which flight computer? Is it the one currently selected as the main by the pilots?
If just on pitot was faulty, airspeed & stick shaker warnings will operate until it is determined which one needs to be disabled. This should leave two to work with. How quickly the faulty one can be determined is an interesting question.
I hope the pilot in control was flying the plane rather than trying to diagnose the issue.
I wonder where the flightradar data transmitted from the plane comes from, i.e. which pitot tibe or which flight computer? Is it the one currently selected as the main by the pilots?
If just on pitot was faulty, airspeed & stick shaker warnings will operate until it is determined which one needs to be disabled. This should leave two to work with. How quickly the faulty one can be determined is an interesting question.
I hope the pilot in control was flying the plane rather than trying to diagnose the issue.
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Last edited by A Squared; 29th Oct 2018 at 08:25.
Indonesia travel advice
Monday, 29 October 2018
Latest update
Following the fatal crash of a Lion Air plane on 29 October 2018, Australian government officials and contractors have been instructed not to fly on Lion Air. This decision will be reviewed when the findings of the crash investigation are clear (see Local travel). .......
Monday, 29 October 2018
Latest update
Following the fatal crash of a Lion Air plane on 29 October 2018, Australian government officials and contractors have been instructed not to fly on Lion Air. This decision will be reviewed when the findings of the crash investigation are clear (see Local travel). .......
The last line of this article in Japanese quotes Indonesian aviation sources saying that the pilot(s) requested a return to Jakarta before the aircraft disappeared.
189?????????????? ??????????????????20?????????AFPBB News
同機はレーダーから消える前に、ジャカルタへの帰還の許可を求めていたとしている。(c)AFP
"This same aircraft was requesting permission to return to Jakarta before it disappeared from radar."
189?????????????? ??????????????????20?????????AFPBB News
同機はレーダーから消える前に、ジャカルタへの帰還の許可を求めていたとしている。(c)AFP
"This same aircraft was requesting permission to return to Jakarta before it disappeared from radar."