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-   -   Ukraine War Thread Part 2 (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/652441-ukraine-war-thread-part-2-a.html)

GlobalNav 10th August 2024 19:12


Originally Posted by ACW342 (Post 11714070)
it's not a war lust - it's just a statement of fact , exactly as I said to my wife, the part of the video was that pixelated was so as NOT to show the bodies

I appreciate the morality behind MH,’s comment. But so far the greatest military value and impact on a favorable outcome is the utter defeat of Russia by elimination of its armed forces. Russian leadership has demonstrated zero sensitivity to “signals” and must be utterly stripped of its ability to wage war. War is terrible, both sides are fully aware, and it means the death of far too many souls. It is, for Ukraine, a battle for survival and they must bring every militarily justified means to gain victory.

Winemaker 10th August 2024 21:10


Originally Posted by jolihokistix (Post 11714258)
Ukraine taking back (part of) the Kinburn Spit the last couple of days?

Denys says the assault failed and the Ukrainians had to return to the mainland.

OvertHawk 10th August 2024 21:26

I wonder if the incursion into Kursk is simply a means of distracting the Russians and forcing them to spread themselves across a wider front.

It would not surprise me if UKR did what tactical and strategic damage they could to to the area then pulled out fairly rapidly (before the Russians can effectively respond) leaving the Russkies to wonder where they were going to hit next and forcing them to spread assets to cover other border areas.

It's certainly caught them off guard and caused serious red faces in the Kremlin.

jolihokistix 10th August 2024 21:26


Originally Posted by Winemaker (Post 11714334)
Denys says the assault failed and the Ukrainians had to return to the mainland.

Ah, dang, thanks for that Winemaker.

GeeRam 10th August 2024 21:34


Originally Posted by OvertHawk (Post 11714341)
I wonder if the incursion into Kursk is simply a means of distracting the Russians and forcing them to spread themselves across a wider front.

It would not surprise me if UKR did what tactical and strategic damage they could to to the area then pulled out fairly rapidly (before the Russians can effectively respond) leaving the Russkies to wonder where they were going to hit next and forcing them to spread assets to cover other border areas.

It's certainly caught them off guard and caused serious red faces in the Kremlin.

The Russians have fortified in depth nearly 500 miles of front line on Ukrainian territory, but have basically left another 500+ miles of Ukr-Rus border undefended....which Ukraine have exploited, clearly not something the Russian (or anyone else!) expected them to do. Will Pootin now be forced to dig in and build an equal amount of in-depth defences and find the forces to defend all 1000 miles of front line, and can he do that without leaving weak points somewhere along that front...?

NutLoose 10th August 2024 21:35


Originally Posted by OvertHawk (Post 11714341)
I wonder if the incursion into Kursk is simply a means of distracting the Russians and forcing them to spread themselves across a wider front.

It would not surprise me if UKR did what tactical and strategic damage they could to to the area then pulled out fairly rapidly (before the Russians can effectively respond) leaving the Russkies to wonder where they were going to hit next and forcing them to spread assets to cover other border areas.

It's certainly caught them off guard and caused serious red faces in the Kremlin.

The question has to be, has Russia actually got the military manpower available to respond, the fact they are recalling Wagner from various African states to plug the line suggests they probably haven’t.

If they are losing 1100 troops a day and it takes 2 weeks to “train” and equip replacements, then the maths do not add up.

ORAC 10th August 2024 22:08

Despite China's professed support for Russia, Russian drone-makers complain that Chinese companies are providing them with poor-quality, defective, overpriced components that are delivered late or not at all. They attribute it to China covertly seeking to weaken Russia…..

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...aign=topunroll

ORAC 10th August 2024 22:15

Russian situation in Kursk still deteriorating…

https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....1508274ceb.png

ORAC 10th August 2024 22:18

Violent explosions 💥💥💥were reported in Kursk Airport,,, the airport contains
🇷🇺 14 fighter aviation regiment . & near the airport there is 🇷🇺 332nd Helicopter regiment.

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....757922bc0.jpeg
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ORAC 10th August 2024 22:21

🔥 Right now, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are breaking through the border in several more settlements, both Russian and Ukrainian channels are reporting.

Another direction in the Kursk region and in the Belgorod region.

Ukrainian militant writes that our soldiers have broken through the line of defense and are moving forward.

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ORAC 10th August 2024 22:23

Russian milblogger says Ukrainians broke through south of Sudzha, advancing "dozens of kilometers"

Referring to "verified comrades," Russian Telegram channel Dva Mayora wrote:

"Belovsky District, Kursk Oblast, reported by our comrades from the region. The breakthrough of several dozens of kilometers, going wide front. Around the village of Belaya, everything is occupied by the enemy. A hospital was shot by tanks in the area. Oboyan (63 km from the border, - Ed.) hears the fighting."

Currently, the report is unconfirmed.

The Ukrainian military don't report anything since the beginning of the incursion into Kursk Oblast due to the strict operational security.
Maps: TG/Dva Mayora, DeepStateMap, Google.

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....919b176352.png
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Winemaker 10th August 2024 23:10

Very interesting developments indeed. Is it possible a Russian rout will develop? Yeah, I know, wistful thinking. I quote Wikipedia:


Off they went, one and all; off down the highway, over across fields towards the woods, anywhere, everywhere, to escape. The further they ran, the more frightened they grew. To enable them better to run, they threw away their blankets, knapsacks, canteens and finally muskets, cartridge-boxes and everything else. [...] We called to them, tried to tell them there was no danger, called them to stop, implored them to stand. We called them cowards, denounced them in the most offensive terms, put out our heavy revolvers and threatened to shoot them, but all in vain; a cruel, crazy, mad, hopeless panic possessed them, and communicated to everybody about in the front and rear.
— US Rep. Albert G. Riddle (R-Ohio), observing the rout of the Army of Northeastern Virginia after the First Battle of Bull Run (July 21, 1861)

Historically, lightly-equipped soldiers such as light cavalry, auxiliaries, partisans or militia were important when pursuing a fast-moving, defeated enemy force and could often keep up the pursuit into the following day, causing the routed army heavy casualties or total dissolution. The slower moving heavy forces could then either seize objectives or pursue at leisure. However, with the advent of armoured warfare and blitzkrieg style operations, an enemy army could be kept more or less in a routed or disorganized state for days or weeks on end. In modern times, a routed formation will often cause a complete breakdown in the entire front, enabling the organized foe to attain a quick and decisive victory in the campaign. In the blitzkrieg warfare that characterized World War II, the French Army was decisively defeated in the Battle of Sedan (1940) opening a 20-kilometre (12 mi) gap in Allied lines into which Heinz Guderian poured his mechanized forces. German tanks kept the rout going, and the Allies were unable to stabilize the situation before the Wehrmacht occupied Paris and forced the capitulation of the French government.

Tartiflette Fan 11th August 2024 01:53


Originally Posted by Thrust Augmentation (Post 11714260)
The before / after images match Lipetsk in Google & Bing maps.

Yes. In today's video he (indirectly) admitted he got it wrong.

fdr 11th August 2024 03:27


Originally Posted by FUMR (Post 11714027)
Sadly, I have got to the stage where I no longer care about dead Russian soldiers, no matter what their age. How many would have grown up to be no better than their elders?!

That is a reasonable view. Another would be that the majority of those wearing Russian uniforms were blessed to be born into a society that has developed the ability to treat its citizens with the same contempt that it treats its neighbours, all for the glory of the one, the only V. V. Putin/Stalin/ Tsar Nikky, (take your pick). Russia has 1400 years of paranoia and sociopathic leadership, there but for the quirk of nature could go anyone. Prefer to trade one dead incumbent of the Kremlin to any others, including the majority of those unfortunate enough to be dragged intro this mess. The murders, tortures, rapes and plundering, Russia has always been adept at that, apparently it is a skill that is passed down readily.

The action by Ukraine this last week is stunning in what it exposes of Russias incompetence, as did Prigozins big day out. As much as Russia fails to be able to field sufficient mass at a point to have a major breakout, and lacks even more the ability to hold any territory without wiping the subjugated population from the area, Ukraine also lacks the forces to hold the territory that it has gained through audacity and the incompetence of the Kremlin. Apparently the only location that has lots of excess mass is that area between the Russian's leaders ears.

NutLoose 11th August 2024 04:08

Lol, bad language used…


NutLoose 11th August 2024 04:11

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....01f43c1c1.jpeg

NutLoose 11th August 2024 04:17

The area has increased to 650km2 held now.

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NutLoose 11th August 2024 04:32

:)


NutLoose 11th August 2024 04:33

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atakacs 11th August 2024 05:01

Very interesting development indeed.

One has to wonder what part of the front Ukraine had to move those troops out of ? It is not that they have excess manpower. As much as this daring blitzkrieg is certainly making a bold statement I also wonder about the logistic lines to support it longer term.

Interesting times.


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