Originally Posted by dead_pan
(Post 11193870)
the EW environment does seem to be rather benign, possibly another consequence of their comms limitations?
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Originally Posted by golfbananajam
(Post 11193900)
What makes you say this? Do you expect that EW capabilities and associated results to be made public? Personally, from past experience, I can imagine the EW environment to be very busy.
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Regarding Russians treating prisoners fairly, I guess both sides are lying through their teeth.
I am guessing for every prisoner that is shown being fine, there are at least ten being beaten up. One thing that does make me wonder, if everything is going that fine for UKR forces, why the release of military experienced prisoners few days ago? Heard today that Moscow admited 500 KIA abd 1500 WIA. I'm sure it's a lot more than that. Do we know what are Ukrainian military losses? Both personel and material? |
This sounds interesting, coming from a Belarusian media. No confirmation however from other sources so far. If you dont count Linda Thomas-Greenfield making a statement in the UN yesterday of Putin threatening Finland and Sweden with an invasion.
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Lexif has posted this on jetblast, it is the AN225 on fire in its shed :*
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Originally Posted by Beamr
(Post 11193931)
This sounds interesting, coming from a Belarusian media. No confirmation however from other sources so far. If you dont count Linda Thomas-Greenfield making a statement in the UN yesterday of Putin threatening Finland and Sweden with an invasion.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1499227333688975365 Don't forget Finland discovered a secret Russian base on one of their islands a couple of years back with barracks, 9 piers, a helipad, and CCTC covering the whole island owned by a Russian. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...-a8612161.html |
Originally Posted by NutLoose
(Post 11193939)
Don't forget Finland discovered a secret Russian base on one of their islands a couple of years back with barracks, 9 piers, a helipad, and CCTC covering the whole island owned by a Russian.
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Do we know what are Ukrainian military losses? Both personel and material? |
It's still young men dying in wars started by old men.............
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Originally Posted by Beamr
(Post 11193931)
This sounds interesting, coming from a Belarusian media. No confirmation however from other sources so far. If you dont count Linda Thomas-Greenfield making a statement in the UN yesterday of Putin threatening Finland and Sweden with an invasion.
Doing so would have him start a conflict with the entire EU, and given what we have seen so far even without the US he wouldn’t stand a chance against the combined militaries of the EU. |
..France “strongly” urged its citizens on Thursday to leave Russia if their presence there was “not essential”, following Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine and the closure of airspace between Russia and the European Union.
.... From France24.com...perhaps HMG should give the same advice? |
Originally Posted by dead_pan
(Post 11193833)
The US is to set up a 'Kleptocapture' task force in Monaco to go after the assets of oligarch's linked to Putin's regime. Looks like a fun job.
On which note, I bet Abramovich is sweating about liquidating his assets in London and elsewhere in Europe, him now being a 'person of interest'. sell of his assets here and sent offshore to be hidden QuickTime. |
Originally Posted by tartare
(Post 11193679)
Yep - it's a 40-60 percent hit to Germany's energy supply and others, and short/medium term will create huge economic problems.
? |
RETURN TO SENDER
Germany sending 2 700 Strela missiles from DDR stocks to Ukraine. This is very strange. I didn't think Germany had the same mentality as Russia about holding on to old weaponry and would also have thought they would be time-limited in some way, as i can't believe that the BRD would have ordered any updates from Russia; https://www.focus.de/politik/ausland..._59208600.html |
"Putin tells Macron Russian military operation 'will be completed'
In their phone call Thursday, President Putin told French counterpart Emmanuel Macron that the tasks of Russia's special military operation in Ukraine would be fulfilled in any case, and urged him to join efforts to ensure the safe evacuation of foreign citizens from Ukraine. Putin explained that it was about demilitarization and the neutral status of Ukraine, so that a threat to Russia would never come from its territory, and that attempts to gain time by delaying negotiations would only lead to the emergence of new demands on Kiev." It looks like no one told Vlad that the invasion is not going on schedule, and that the cost of fulfilling those tasks is rapidly rising. A French ex-military analyst told "Le Monde" today, that, according to him, the Russian army has engaged 2/3rd of its actual combat capacity in Ukraine, and in the long term, there is no way it can escape a costly and persistent guerilla war. All those lost capacities will have to be rebuild, and Russia is not exactly getting richer... |
Originally Posted by Flyhighfirst
(Post 11193961)
That's why he is selling Chelsea
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Originally Posted by fab777
(Post 11193974)
A French ex-military analyst told "Le Monde" today, that, according to him, the Russian army has engaged 2/3rd of its actual combat capacity in Ukraine, and in the long term, there is no way it can escape a costly and persistent guerilla war. All those lost capacities will have to be rebuild, and Russia is not exactly getting richer...
Therefore Putin will have to leave 50.000++ Troops permanently in Country. And those will keep getting decimated by Ambushes, IED, and all those weaponry (Stingers, Javelins, NLAW, etc) happily floating around. Every now end then an IL-76 will take a fatal plunge on approach or takeoff when replacing troops. Ground troop transports will be ambushed and eliminated across the Country. Ukraine is a huuuge Country (2,5x UK, 4.5x England). 50.000 troops will mean a veeeery thin occupation. Reenforcement will be hours away. I really have difficulties to understand what Putin's plan for day X + 100 is!? |
Originally Posted by henra
(Post 11193983)
I really have difficulties to understand what Putin's plan for day X + 100 is!?
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They are losing some serious high rankers
Andrei Sukhovetsky, deputy commander of the 41st Combined Arms Army of the Central Military District, died yesterday, Ukrainian news outlets report. They referred to a post on Russian social media platform VKontakte written by Sergei Chipilev, a deputy of the Russian veterans group, Combat Brotherhood. It said: ‘It is with great sorrow that we learned of the tragic news about the death of our friend, Major General Andrei Aleksandrovich Sukhovetsky, on the territory of Ukraine during a special operation.’ |
do you think he was "killed" or do you think he spoke up against the invasion?
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Or failed to take the objectives? so was "replaced" with some who now knows the price of failure.
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Originally Posted by Sue Vêtements
(Post 11193994)
do you think he was "killed" or do you think he spoke up against the invasion?
"A military source confirmed that he was killed 'by a sniper', and suggested a funeral for the Major General - by far the most senior Russian figure to have died in the conflict thus far - will be held in Russia on Saturday." https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...oops-died.html edit: On reflection, " a sniper" does , of course, leave all options open. |
Stories starting to appear in reputable outlets, such as Reuters, that Russia is moving to a declaration of martial law.
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"Here General, hold these binoculars for a sec - oh wait I think I left my wallet in the tank. I'll be right back . . ."
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Originally Posted by Ninthace
(Post 11194005)
Stories starting to appear in reputable outlets, such as Reuters, that Russia is moving to a declaration of martial law.
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Originally Posted by henra
(Post 11193983)
That's what really puzzles me. What is the plan after a possible initial military win? Those people now fighting for their Country won't suddenly disappear or become happy Janukovich Supporters. They are right now impressively dealing with one of the biggest Ground- Forces Army of the world. How should an unwelcome socket puppet government survive once the majority of the current Russian forces have left the Country again?
Therefore Putin will have to leave 50.000++ Troops permanently in Country. And those will keep getting decimated by Ambushes, IED, and all those weaponry (Stingers, Javelins, NLAW, etc) happily floating around. Every now end then an IL-76 will take a fatal plunge on approach or takeoff when replacing troops. Ground troop transports will be ambushed and eliminated across the Country. Ukraine is a huuuge Country (2,5x UK, 4.5x England). 50.000 troops will mean a veeeery thin occupation. Reenforcement will be hours away. I really have difficulties to understand what Putin's plan for day X + 100 is!? |
Originally Posted by Sue Vêtements
(Post 11194009)
. . . so he's going to invade his own country as well?
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Originally Posted by Tartiflette Fan
(Post 11193997)
"A military source confirmed that he was killed 'by a sniper', and suggested a funeral for the Major General - by far the most senior Russian figure to have died in the conflict thus far - will be held in Russia on Saturday."
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...oops-died.html edit: On reflection, " a sniper" does , of course, leave all options open. |
Originally Posted by Ninthace
(Post 11194005)
Stories starting to appear in reputable outlets, such as Reuters, that Russia is moving to a declaration of martial law.
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Originally Posted by dead_pan
(Post 11194018)
Either he's fearful of a coup, mass uprising, or people fleeing the country in their droves
Unlikely if there's anything to this blog post from Reddit https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/com...content=header |
Originally Posted by Sue Vêtements
(Post 11194009)
. . . so he's going to invade his own country as well?
Ukraine's foreign minister claims Russia could be about to attack itself in 'false flag' operationDmytro Kuleba, Ukraine's foreign minister, says there are reports that Russia could be preparing to carry out a false flag operation by attacking their own territory to blame Ukraine.These allegations have not been verified, and could be false. A false flag operation is an attack that aims to disguise the real source of the aggression in the hopes that your opponent is blamed. Popovka, a rural community, is close to Russia's border with Ukraine. Source - Sky News live updates (time stamped at 12:51) |
From RAFEngO74to09 link
NEW: Russia's intelligence agency, the Federal Security Service, has drafted plans for public executions in #Ukraine after cities are captured, per a European intelligence official Put twitter links in a quote and they show. :) .. |
Just musing, although I'd be surprised if several governments aren't thinking along these lines. Contact, individually and secretly, three or four of the top men in Putin's circle. Offer an amnesty from war crimes, a substantial amount of money, a new identity and somewhere safe and warm, in exchange for Putin, alive, delivered to the Hague. That sets off the thought "If Yuri does it, he'll get the reward, and I'll still be liable for war crimes". They can't confer among themselves, since they don't know who is going to tell Putin. See who breaks first.
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How many of the Russian top brass and politburo really relish the idea of living in a nuclear wasteland or as international pariahs? They can't all be bonkers.
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Originally Posted by [email protected]
(Post 11194044)
How many of the Russian top brass and politburo really relish the idea of living in a nuclear wasteland or as international pariahs? They can't all be bonkers.
Lingering Cold War paranoia probably doesn't help either. |
Originally Posted by Tartiflette Fan
(Post 11193997)
"A military source confirmed that he was killed 'by a sniper', and suggested a funeral for the Major General - by far the most senior Russian figure to have died in the conflict thus far - will be held in Russia on Saturday."
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...oops-died.html edit: On reflection, " a sniper" does , of course, leave all options open. |
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