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'The U.S.A has your back'...what does that mean?

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'The U.S.A has your back'...what does that mean?

Old 24th Aug 2021, 13:55
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Easy Street,

MoD announced today that that 200 included all local hires too, with their immediate families. Majority being women and children. Additionally some 40 EU and NATO staff has been forwarded. The guys and gals are still in Kabul airport and its vicinity helping out others (been told publicly they've been out of the airport).
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 14:04
  #42 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by NumptyAussie
Was there an expectation it would be free?
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 14:09
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Originally Posted by West Coast
With all kinds of material support, intelligence, logistics, etc from the US. Without such, the Malvinas would have remained in Argie hands.
Well... During the Border war Germany was helping out Mexico, and the whole of Europe was keeping Germany pre-occupied in a minor argument called the Great War so we may agree that its a tie?
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 14:22
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Originally Posted by melmothtw
If you're referring to 'that' photo of the C-17, there were at least 183 children onboard which is why the incorrect figure of 643 was initially given instead of the actual figure of 823.
I am afraid I suspect those figures were devised by PR staff to be solemnly reproduced in the media (as indeed they were). Can you honestly say that when this aircraft was stormed an accurate manifest was kept ? And you can spot 4 children, in a photo of the whole aircraft interior taken from the front bulkhead. We all wonder where the other 179, plus their mothers, are.

Personally, I am not going to criticise young men or anyone else for wanting to get out of Afghanistan while they can. If I were in their shoes, I would no doubt do the same (as I am guessing would you, WHBM).
I don't know. However I don't recall my father (RAF WW2 bomber crew, Handley Page Halifax in case you ask, to keep us on PPRuNe topics) saying that if the Germans had started invading Britain in 1940 he, alone, would have been down at the Liverpool docks looking to storm a ship to Canada, RAF and family left behind ...

Last edited by WHBM; 24th Aug 2021 at 16:30.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 15:16
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Can you honestly say that when this aircraft was stormed an accurate manifest was kept ?
No, but when they were offloaded at the other end I imagine it was. If you don't believe the numbers given because they don't match up to your feelings, I can't prove otherwise I'm afraid.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 16:05
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Originally Posted by WHBM
And you can spot 4 children, in a photo of the whole aircraft interior taken from the front bulkhead. We all wonder where the other 179, plus their mothers, are.
Don't forget that depending on who's doing the classifying and where, anyone under the age of 18 may count as a 'child', and anyone a bit over 18 may claim to be under 18 (having, of course, 'lost' his identification) in order to enhance his refugee status Ė despite his profuse black beard. It wouldn't surprise me at all to hear that on arrival, a quarter of the pax on that C-17 were written down as 'children'. Their mothers would have been left behind, of course.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 16:31
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Bit disappointing to have it thought I have predetermined feelings, or an "agenda", but whatever. Sticking to the facts, in that photo of the inside of the C-17 there are NO WAY 183 children mixed in there, as is perfectly plain for all to see. Why pretend otherwise ? Which makes you wonder how reliable the rest of the accounts of the situation are.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 16:38
  #48 (permalink)  
 
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There are clearly many children in this photo, WHBM. I can't account for why you can't/won't see them. https://www.stripes.com/theaters/mid...s-2615090.html
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 16:52
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Originally Posted by melmothtw
There are clearly many children in this photo, WHBM. I can't account for why you can't/won't see them. https://www.stripes.com/theaters/mid...s-2615090.html
I can see at least 16 children (under the age of 10)in the first 3 rows. Gave up then as there is obviously many children on this flight. Hard to tell when you start getting to 15-16 year olds.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 17:07
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Originally Posted by Beamr
One could make an argument:
When was the last time the U.S. won a war on their own? The Border war.
When was the last time the UK won a war on their own? The Falklands.

Err the USA provide intelligence, aviation fuel tankers off shore at Ascension, accommodation and messing at Ascension flown in for us, latest Sidewinders? Amongst a myriad of other stuff, France helped out too.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 18:50
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Originally Posted by stuart8181
After 20 years it's time to get off the teat and fend for yourself.
I think it is more about how the retreat from the Country was (planned??? and) executed which causes irritation than the fact as such. The rapid collapse of the Afghan Army ironically to some extent confirms that the retreat as such probably was inevitable. If you can't bring a Country to a stable setup after 20 Years of heavy involvement and support you won't achieve it in 30 or 40 either.
It was not super clever, however, to:
- do this retreat in the high Fighting Season
- move out the Troops first and leave civvies and local staff behind, just to -surprise- find out that you need troops to defend and organise the evacuation of the civvies and locals.
- leave an alternate Airfield overnight which could have been used for evacuation of other already cut- off areas
- not give a heads up to the allies now compounding to the mess.

I would be sooooo curious to learn how this should have looked like had it run according to plan!?
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 19:16
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Originally Posted by Easy Street
It only needs to count for enough to create uncertainty in the mind of a potential aggressor...
that is a fair point, and certainly applies to other nations with nearby unfriendly neighbours
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 19:20
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Originally Posted by Easy Street
This is a thread about the reliability of the USA as an ally... any chance we could keep airlift discussion to the Afghanistan thread?



The question posed by the OP didn't just relate to the UK and nor did Mr Nimrod's point to which I responded. Taiwan is mentioned up thread, but the discussion here is clearly a more general question "can any of the US's allies trust it?". So your questions are completely irrelevant because Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and the Baltic states rely on the US to deter old-fashioned territorial aggression. Moreover, if I might adopt your style for a moment: how many times has NATO Article V been invoked? What was the nature of the aggression? Are there other forms of aggression besides invasion? Does our being allied to the US complicate the calculations of potential opponents?



You wrote "I feel this has become a game changer the world will not forget if called upon again". How is that anything but a long-term assessment?! Don't move the goal posts.



No, the struggle to evacuate came about because of our decision not to take earlier action. Whether the February 2020 deal was idiotic is beside the point. It was 18 months ago! Let's be charitable and say the UK government was distracted by the aftermath of the 2019 election, then Brexit and then Covid for a few months: that still left a year. And our government still failed to take any action after Biden confirmed the decision in April 2021. Four months ago! All of that time was wasted, on the optimistic basis that whoever won the US election could be persuaded to change their mind, and on the delusional assessment that the former Afghan government could have survived with minimal non-US western support. The UK government should accept the blame for those failures.
canít disagree with any of that. I think Big Pistons Forever properly nailed it though in #15.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 19:58
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I can guarantee you that the US is big on words over Taiwan, and South Korea, but would never actually go to war over either. Taiwan would be lots of rhetoric, but little action. South Korea they would be moving their troops south and eventually out at the first sign of hostilities. The world has changed and in the scheme of things who cares if China controls either. I can guarantee you that the American people wouldnít regard hundreds of thousands of American dead in either conflict as worth it. Which countering China would require. Too be fair they would lose anyways regardless of the casualties. The US canít physically stop China in its own backyard, just like China couldnít stop the US in its backyard.

I am using the assumption that North Korea would never attack without support from China. Which I think is reasonable.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 20:05
  #55 (permalink)  
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The Sovietís spent twenty years or so in Afghanistan before they bailed.

Iím not sure why the US thought they could do any better.

Look at the mountains. Does that look like a place where you want to fight, especially if the locals know caves where they can retreat to and wait to fight another day?

Apparently the fighting routinely stops in the winter because the conditions are too harsh, then resumes in the Spring

Not a good place to try to change the culture.

i am not defending the way that the US carried out the pullout, but it seemed like an unwinnable war.

All the money and time and manpower the US spent training the Afghan Army amounted to nothing. Nada. Zip. Zilch.

Biden did not expect the Afghan Army to walk away and disappear immediately

I have read that the Taliban merely bribed local leaders to tell their troops to turn over their weapons, and that was that.

Blame it on lack of military intelligence, as clearly the US had no clue that everything would fall so fast
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 20:13
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Originally Posted by visibility3miles
The Sovietís spent twenty years or so in Afghanistan before they bailed.
Rubbish! The Soviets invaded Afghanistan in 1979. The end of the Soviet Union was 1989.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 20:18
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[QUOTE=Ascend Charlie;11100248]Not much being said about the Afghan army, and the speed with which it collapsed.


AC

this is the same issue you see happening time and time again. For a society to work you need a professional management class. Afghanistan lost this with the last king, Iraq lost it with debaathification etc etc.

if you read Rory Stewartís book sbout afghanistan you see the guys attracted to the government / army - most are illiterate, not favoured by clan and it is a job that pays money . Thatís it , there is no desire to risk lives and defend their country and that is why it all falls apart. This has been said since day 1, but there are none so blind as those who wonít listen and as they say hope is not a strategy.

if you want to nation build you have to reinstate the professional class, denazifiy, destasi dewhatever etc. Most professional classes take the flag that keeps them alive and keeps society running.

sometimes that is distasteful but Germany both east and west , Japan etc show it is the way to stability, self reliance and independence.

must go and get my crayons out, the other thread has given me the itch to write an a400 spooky proposal , got to be worth a few beer chits


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Old 24th Aug 2021, 20:24
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Originally Posted by ExAscoteer2
Rubbish! The Soviets invaded Afghanistan in 1979. The end of the Soviet Union was 1989.
My bad. The Soviets spent ten years in Afghanistan before they gave up.

I once read a theory that the Soviets viewed Afghanistan as a pathway towards warm water ports to the South, a mere country or so away.

Given that the Article Ocean has far less ice, they may not be as concerned about a southern route to an ocean.

Regardless, I still donít see how the US could ę win Ľ there.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 20:34
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And, to respond to part of the original premise of this thread, the US should have done a lot more a lot faster to get their Afghan allies and assistants out of the country a lot sooner

Some of the interpreters have been waiting for years for visas to leave.

I do not know why we didnít act sooner.

It may be part of the anti-immigrant sentiment from the previous US administration, but obviously it sends the message that we donít have your back, which is a very stupid approach to foreign policy.
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Old 24th Aug 2021, 20:59
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Originally Posted by DropKnee
we saved your silly asses during WWII. We just have a imbecile running our country right now.
So you keep telling us.
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