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Old 26th Jan 2024, 10:49
  #441 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Ninthace,

Perhaps - but in terms of Europe there can be cooperation as to who has to do what - as I think the Germans are suggesting. I refer you back to the comment in a previous article ai posted..



As an example, there is concern over our lack of MBT, whilst Poland and others are buying over 1000s, and other armaments needed for a conventional European war.

There could be a quid pro quo where we concentrate on expeditionary air and naval forces, including providing a European nuclear deterrent.

To be frank, the few new MBT/Ajax and other armoured forces we are looking at purchasing are so small they’re irrelevant except in terms of a tripwire capability where we deploy them forward in Estonia etc - and lighter expeditionary units would serve the same purpose.

The days of BAOR, ot that we could deploy an armoured division as in Granby and Telic, are gone forever.
https://www.bundeswehr.de/en/organization/army

What always seems to be overlooked in the debate is the simple fact that while Major Bufton-Tufton (rtd) continues to demand a British Army more akin to the days of BAOR, the boxheads are at 60000 soldiers. Broadly 20% less than the current planned British Army.

As the traditional maritime power in Europe, that's where we should be concentrating (and combat air) - as you suggest.
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Old 26th Jan 2024, 11:48
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As the traditional maritime power in Europe, that's where we should be concentrating (and combat air) - as you suggest.
Seems we've learned nothing from the pre-war years (WW1 or WW2).
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Old 26th Jan 2024, 12:54
  #443 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Ninthace,

Perhaps - but in terms of Europe there can be cooperation as to who has to do what - as I think the Germans are suggesting. I refer you back to the comment in a previous article ai posted..



As an example, there is concern over our lack of MBT, whilst Poland and others are buying over 1000s, and other armaments needed for a conventional European war.

There could be a quid pro quo where we concentrate on expeditionary air and naval forces, including providing a European nuclear deterrent.

To be frank, the few new MBT/Ajax and other armoured forces we are looking at purchasing are so small they’re irrelevant except in terms of a tripwire capability where we deploy them forward in Estonia etc - and lighter expeditionary units would serve the same purpose.

The days of BAOR, ot that we could deploy an armoured division as in Granby and Telic, are gone forever.
Few Ajax? We’ve ordered 589, hardly an insignificant quantity, and alongside 623 Boxers with more to come.
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Old 26th Jan 2024, 13:01
  #444 (permalink)  
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The original planned order was for over a thousand….

It was planned as the replacement for the CVR(T), of which the army purchased over 1800.

Its raison d’tre was recce in support of armoured forces - which no longer exist…

As for Boxer, that’s the Warrior replacement - and not enough of those either…

https://uklandpower.com/2023/09/05/c...ior-as-an-ifv/

Last edited by ORAC; 26th Jan 2024 at 13:22.
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Old 26th Jan 2024, 21:37
  #445 (permalink)  
 
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Thirty years ago the great Independent European Security Identity initiative was all the rage.
The 'United States of Europe' was being sold as a counter balance to American power.
At that point, the 800 pound gorilla in Asia had not yet climbed atop the world economic ladder, although that was a work in progress.

What actually happened was that, in Europe, butter was chosen, and guns cut up for scrap.
Granted, in the 00's numerous allies were in Task in Iraq and Afghanistan, which experiences may have had, in the long term, negative impacts on defense spending's popularity. Not sure, I am guessing a bit on that last thought.
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Old 21st May 2024, 21:24
  #446 (permalink)  
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Moldova became the first country to sign security agreement with EU - Borrell

"This partnership will enhance the country's resilience," said Josep Borrell.


https://www.politico.eu/article/mold...isinformation/

Moldova signs security and defense pact with EU
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Old 21st May 2024, 22:44
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Moldova became the first country to sign security agreement with EU - Borrell

"This partnership will enhance the country's resilience," said Josep Borrell.


https://www.politico.eu/article/mold...isinformation/

Moldova signs security and defense pact with EU
So, if the EU is attacked, Moldova will come to their aid? That’s reassuring.
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Old 22nd May 2024, 08:30
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Originally Posted by Ninthace
So, if the EU is attacked, Moldova will come to their aid? That’s reassuring.
Ah but would you rather they suddenly went friendly with Putin and allowed Russian bases there? The screaming on here would be deafening.
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Old 22nd May 2024, 09:02
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Would anyone come to anyone's aid? In a recent survey from Austria; -

“If Austria were to be attacked militarily, should other EU member states support Austria militarily?”
72.28% said yes.

“Should Austria, in the case of an armed attack on an EU member state, support this state with armed troops?”
13.58% said yes.

Thoughts?
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Old 22nd May 2024, 09:03
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Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
Thirty years ago the great Independent European Security Identity initiative was all the rage.
The 'United States of Europe' was being sold as a counter balance to American power.
At that point, the 800 pound gorilla in Asia had not yet climbed atop the world economic ladder, although that was a work in progress.

What actually happened was that, in Europe, butter was chosen, and guns cut up for scrap.
Granted, in the 00's numerous allies were in Task in Iraq and Afghanistan, which experiences may have had, in the long term, negative impacts on defense spending's popularity. Not sure, I am guessing a bit on that last thought.
Not sure that the "counterweight" argument was being widely used - at least not in the UK. CSCE and all the fun and games post Gorby led people to believe that there wasn't a threat. Which led most of them to prioritise butter over guns - not even 9/11 or our versions of that shifted the scale as it wasn't a state on state threat.

Everyone should have known what was coming from the moment that nice Mr Putin pulled his little docee-doh with Medvedev round about 2008. Trouble was, no-one wanted to believe it, because it meant making difficult choices - choices which would have had to have been faced sooner or later through sheer sustainability - but could be ignored for a bit longer. Its not that defence spending was unpopular per se, it was that it meant accepting other less palatable truths. Nowhere more so than Mutti's euro paradise.
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Old 22nd May 2024, 09:10
  #451 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Asturias56
Ah but would you rather they suddenly went friendly with Putin and allowed Russian bases there? The screaming on here would be deafening.
Ahem. Transnistria.
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Old 22nd May 2024, 11:17
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Originally Posted by Not_a_boffin
Ahem. Transnistria.
Ah yes - one of the world's most awful arm-pits...............

I'm sure Moldova & Ukraine have plans for when Mr Putin disappears off the screen...........
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Old 22nd May 2024, 11:19
  #453 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Thud105
Would anyone come to anyone's aid? In a recent survey from Austria; -

“If Austria were to be attacked militarily, should other EU member states support Austria militarily?”
72.28% said yes.

“Should Austria, in the case of an armed attack on an EU member state, support this state with armed troops?”
13.58% said yes.

Thoughts?
I have to say it doesn't surprise me given; constitutional neutrality and a reluctance to serve among the population since the end of conscription. A new defence and security policy is being developed in the light of the invasion of Ukraine, it will be interesting to see how well it sells to their public - current defence expenditure is 1.0% of GDP including pensions.

NATO's own research on public attitudes presents a more positive attitude to intervention in support if other members were attacked. (Margin of error +/- 3%), mind you the decline since 2022 is disturbing/interesting.



source: NATO Annual Tracking Research 2023 (most recent published)
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