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Forces braced for more cuts .....

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Forces braced for more cuts .....

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Old 12th Jun 2017, 06:56
  #181 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Heathrow Harry
Let's think what COULD be done to save costs - not for one moment do I think this is good, wise or preferable but it may be necessary:-

(I expect to be trashed - fair enough -but if you disagree please let's see your suggestions as to where the cuts should fall rather than just sticking our fingers in our collective ears and saying it can't/won't shouldn't happen))

1. Complete both carriers but immediatly sell/mothball one - be like the French with only one carrier.

2. Cut the number of F-35's accordingly and slow the delivery of the others - purchase and/or upgrade more Typhoons

3. Extend the Trident submarines for a few years - the USN boats aren't being replaced as soon as ours

4. Cancel any development of a new MBT and the Mechanised Infantry vehicle and buy German or American when/if we need them

5. Accelerate the sale of MoD property - maybe using an incentivised private partner

6. Slow the deliveries of P-8 - we've managed for several years with no Marine Patrol Aircarft - 5 would be better than none - the ordered 9 would be better still but the optional total of 32.............................

7. Amalgamate more Army units to get them to workable size -

8. Pull out of Bahrain, Kenya & Cyprus

9. Drastically reduce the number of SO's, HQ's Whitehall staffs - we should benchmark our senior staffing to that of other countries (Israel for example)

I'm sure everyone will have other ideas as to where the cuts could come............... It would be great if there was an INCREASE in spend but reallistically I don't think we have a cat-in-hells chance

PS I've just re-read the National Audit Office Report https://www.nao.org.uk/report/the-eq...lan-2016-2026/ - we were already looking at future cuts - they're just going to be worse now
These seem to be good ideas, but...the Typhoon is, at best, a 4th generation platform (and a very good one) but unless we invest in 5th Generation, we will be left behind. Additionally, UK plc has a lot of spin-off programmes from F-35 becasue of our current positioning int eh programme.

Carrier - one carrier masively reduces capability as with two, it would be possible always to have one available for deployment. One will always have refit and training periods. Fact.

Trident. Hmm, in spite of continuous development, the components and design are, still, from the mid 1980s. Fancy computing on Compaq 8086 pc?

P8 - will give a huge boost in all-environments ISTAR.

MBT - are we still investing in dinosaurs? AFVs - we have a huge defence industry that needs continuous government pump-priming into R&D to remain ahead of the game and thus export more defence equipment (= propserity, more jobs...)

Amalgamate Army units? I agree but it's been done...and will lead to more pointless inflighting in the army over cap-badges.

Pull out from Bahrein and Cyprus? Arguably the treasonous decision ot withdraw East of Suez provided a power vacum in the Gulf - which we still feel teh effects from. And our presence in the Gulf is inexorably linked to wider Governmetn interests.

How can you benchmark Israel's strategic position with that of the UK? Didn't realise Israel was part of NATO? And as anyone who has been in MB recently, the headcount continues to fall.


In sum, most of these issues are about 'Where does Britain stand in the world'? We are still a leading economy, massive defence exporter, still a member of the P5, still a founding member of NATO, still with huge Imperial legacies (which, by and large, are positively influential), and remain a global 'brand'. The fact is we have to back up this stance with raw fire power. That means modern, capable, deployable forces. And that comes at a cost.

What is our alternative? Adopt a Scandinavian model and hug people more (not that the Norwegians in Syria have been doing much hugging of IS recently...quite the opposite)?
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Old 12th Jun 2017, 07:32
  #182 (permalink)  
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Whenurhappy.

Modern AFVs compared to an M1A1 MBT. Makes you realise why they are the same price - and why the A400/C-17 is required rather than the C-130 to carry them.....

SNAFU!: Austrailian ACV contenders size compared to an M1A1.
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Old 12th Jun 2017, 08:18
  #183 (permalink)  
 
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If the UK disengages militarily from the EU (as opposed to NATO) what happens to the collaborative European programmes, are they all bilateral/multilateral or are some EU funded? Based on the BBC article I saw this morning, Germany does not seem to have much stomach for a lead military role, will France pick up all of it?

Germany: Reluctant military giant? - BBC News
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Old 12th Jun 2017, 09:08
  #184 (permalink)  
 
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5. Accelerate the sale of MoD property - maybe using an incentivised private partner
Thereby stripping Defence and the UK taxpayer of more valuable space/assets to be sold for short term profit to industry (see OWO).

6. Slow the deliveries of P-8 - we've managed for several years with no Marine (sic) Patrol Aircraft - 5 would be better than none
Can't be done as the production line closes shortly after our current planned deliveries. Slowing deliveries rarely, if ever, "saves" money it just moves a bigger problem to later years - hence the MoD "bow wave". 5 MPA would be pointless.

8. Pull out of Bahrain, Kenya & Cyprus
Completely missing the strategic importance of all 3 bases!!

9. Drastically reduce the number of SOs, HQs, Whitehall staffs
You haven't been to MoD recently have you? What work do you suggest we stop doing to save all of these posts? These people aren't sat around doing nothing!! Comparing us to the Israelis is facile - I don't see the Israelis joining in major coalitions or treaty orgs like NATO and FPDA. I don't see the Israelis deploying semi-permanently OOA. I don't see the Israeli Govt using military power for global influence as our politicians like to do.
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Old 12th Jun 2017, 11:14
  #185 (permalink)  
 
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Roland - I don't disagree with you - honestly. I think we need to INCREASE the military budget

But IF cuts come - which most people think they will - I doubt the MoD will have much say - it'll be the Treasury and the politicians. Just repeating that all these thing are necessary never got us very far................
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Old 12th Jun 2017, 20:42
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A Van, yes there has been a demand for the sum of 100 billion Euro's in Brexit reparations. Most of us agree the UK is prepared to pay what it owes...but being as the only identified expense was pensions and the total demanded adds up to over €2,000,000 per EU employee it does seem rather high. Your "gangsta song" description is close to the mark and we may be in for a "hard Brexit" whatever anyone in UK wants. The only remotely comparable situation (which I agree isn't strictly comparable) was France leaving NATO. This imposed major costs on remaining members and France took possession of several expensively NATO funded bases. They paid, ...er, nothing at all! You're right again that minimising such a bill in order to minimise cuts to forces (and everything else!) ought to have been top of the list for whoever won the election. One candidate stated in advance that he would not leave negotiations without a deal at any price. Hardly a strong negotiating position. Fortunately (although he did better than expected) he didn't win.

Last edited by ShotOne; 12th Jun 2017 at 22:16.
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Old 16th Jun 2017, 21:58
  #187 (permalink)  
 
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Old 17th Jun 2017, 01:23
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http://www.pprune.org/military-aviat...-scrapped.html

first one..................
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Old 18th Jun 2017, 09:40
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TM will do whatever it takes to get the Queen's Speech voted thru, then the next 18 months will just be brexit negotiations...anything REMOTELY resembling tricky domestic legislation will be unceremoniously dropped kicked down the road and into the long grass for future governments to deal with. And that includes non-legislative actions (like Budgets, which will be as bland as ****)
Brexit: 2018 Queen's Speech cancelled by government - BBC News

And so it begins...
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Old 18th Jun 2017, 10:43
  #190 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by The Old Fat One
Might be a hoot to hear the politicians complain about working full time
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Old 18th Jun 2017, 17:52
  #191 (permalink)  
 
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TBH I think most of them work pretty long hours overall - but a lot of it is wasted time - trooping through Division Lobbies instead of pressing a button to vote, hanging around Westminster as lobby fodder

TBH 650 MP's is FAR too many as well
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Old 19th Jun 2017, 12:46
  #192 (permalink)  
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Bit in the Telgraph today, MOD had declared that Apache was to be ordered on a one for one basis (50). Boeing CEO revealed before Paris Air Show that only 38, plus appropriate spares, have ordered.

MOD protest a second tranche will be ordered when required. Yeah, right....
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Old 19th Jun 2017, 13:02
  #193 (permalink)  
 
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HH

Boundary Commission change proposals for 2018 contained a reduction to 600 MPs' and made the number of Voters per Constituency "more-equal".

AD'
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Old 19th Jun 2017, 16:11
  #194 (permalink)  
 
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Still too many - currently we're third to China (2987 members) & N Korea (687) - at 600 we drop to 7th

I'd say around 400 would be a better number

And a damn sight fewer Lords as well
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Old 19th Jun 2017, 20:18
  #195 (permalink)  
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Lords? The USA has one Senator per state. Four is too few - couldn't fill the ceremonial post - but if you count the counties (England 48, NI 6, Scotland 33 and Wales 13) it comes to a round 100 which seems a sensible total. Then some non-voting hereditary peers could be added to fulfill the additional ceremonial roles and honorary peers who could give speeches to advise could be added for their expertise and as an award, but strictly limited in number - but not with a vote.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coun...United_Kingdom
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Old 20th Jun 2017, 13:36
  #196 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
The USA has one Senator per state.
Erm, no, two per state.
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Old 21st Jun 2017, 09:06
  #197 (permalink)  
 
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and a herd of Representatives
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Old 21st Jun 2017, 10:52
  #198 (permalink)  
 
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The US legislature has 535 voting members: 435 Representatives and 100 Senators. The UK has 650 MPs and 798 Lords Temporal and Spiritual.
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Old 21st Jun 2017, 11:59
  #199 (permalink)  
 
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Yes, but the USA uses a federal system, so much of the decision making is done at state level. When you take that into account, I suspect it is much more evenly balanced.
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Old 21st Jun 2017, 12:54
  #200 (permalink)  
 
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And I thought I was guilty of thread drift

ahem...

TM will do whatever it takes to get the Queen's Speech voted thru, then the next 18 months will just be brexit negotiations...anything REMOTELY resembling tricky domestic legislation will be unceremoniously dropped kicked down the road and into the long grass for future governments to deal with.
"We've never seen a Queen's Speech in recent years so shorn of pretty much all significant domestic legislation."

some BBC political dude

Will the Queens Speech be voted down? That outcome is definitely "in play".

If it is will this result in:

[ ] JC as PM?
[X] Another general election?

made my choice, if it happens

What has this got to do with forces cuts?

Not much...they are [probably] gonna happen whatever.

Joking aside, I hope the QS gets though...we all need a break from this and business needs the brexit end game to happen. Plus it would nice if sometime in the next five years our Government could actually...well...govern.
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