Iran

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From: Washington.


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From: 3rd Rock, #29B
Was that today? I have this from Reuters: is this the same thing you saw?
I think they already set up a toll booth, Mister Secretary.
The news casters are sometime dazzling in their cluelessness.
Of course Iran is making those treats. FFS, they've been under aerial attack for 28 days. Did someone think they would take this lying down?
I think they already set up a toll booth, Mister Secretary.

The news casters are sometime dazzling in their cluelessness.
Of course Iran is making those treats. FFS, they've been under aerial attack for 28 days. Did someone think they would take this lying down?

So, given the "DOG & PONY" show that passed for the last cabinet meeting in the building adjacent to the wreckage of the East Wing, a treat may just be in order there LW. Perhaps the problem is getting those that want to be the "significant human" to the pack in Iran, need to go and talk to someone like Cesar Millan, who knows a thing or two about a thing or two, about dealing with an unruly pack. "Lying down" appears to be off the current pavlovian response to whacking the top dogs of a sovereign nation like something on a B-grade mobster movie.
As hard as it is to say, Iran has shown restraint in the past, when it came to pulling down the tent pole (the straits) and knee capping the global economy. With gallons of drones at their disposal and what passes as pretty hefty treats with soft centers to aim at, the choices that are presented curtesy of Bibi & AO's choices of late are stark.
- Not conducting ground action gives Iran hegemony of the whole of the gulf. Probably not a great concept, and as Iran has a friendship with Vlad who is still enjoying the gift that continues to give of his own 3-day excursion, that should be of some concern to the amount of lubricant that the world has in all meanings of the word. That includes the US of A, as the fuel costs in the US remain set from global market prices, not just the domestic supply.
- Conducting ground action will give historians lots to write about. At least ICE can be repurposed to go and do what they do best somewhere else other than the war zones of Los Angeles, Many Apples etc. A ground invasion would necessitate there being a plan, which the pentagram may have, but seems lacking at the level of the secretary and above. Much easier to be a TV talking head I would imagine.
- Iran is not likely to act in the best interests of the US of A, that ship probably got scuppered when it got personal.
- Regime change, the history of 3rd party intervention resulting in regime change has not been great, since the times of the Bay of Pigs, or whacking the leaders of South Vietnam. It is unpredictable, and the experience of the Kurds, and the Shia back in 1991 didn't build much confidence, being a prelude to the "arise and we shall help" suggestion that just led to lots of fresh fertiliser in Iran.
- Popcorn, probably worth investing in, if the info on the next "truth" that gets sent over the airwaves is not known in advance.
Iran retains adequate short and medium range drones to control the gulf and to mess with the rice bowls of all concerned. Not much sort of a super size flash-bang that would do much to that, and doing that is probably not going to look good on the resume. The problem with such actions is, it is only one inelegant step followed by the certain consequences.
At least popcorn is not bad for you.... at least compared to all the other options on the table.
Vlad is likely ROFL on this, as Bibi and The Don have taken the heat off Vlad's decisions starring in the history books. Right now, Xi is the one with the biggest problem, it is coming along with the consequences of famine, which is one of those things that used to be called Tuesday in China of old, but with the advent of a middle class that is urbanised, that ain't the case no more. Xi might want to put his finger into this pie too to retain his exalted status as Emperor Winnie the Poo.

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From: Reading, UK

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From: UK


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Deja vu
Ref post #4406
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/20...244290376?s=20
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/20...244290376?s=20
Did they not learn from the last time?
Haven’t they heard of the concept of dispersal or of revetments?
Surely there are sufficient 40 foot sea cans around to erect basic revetments.
Even sand berms are a possibility.
Even parking them on different areas of the ramp every day would make accurate targeting more difficult due to delays in the rocketeers getting the latest Russian Sat photos

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From: Newcastle Upon Tyne
If Ukraine has taught us anything it's that kit and personnel out in the open is vulnerable especially when the Ruskies are sending you targeting information.
Knock out the tankers and you reduce the USA's ability to provide air power. This will force more anti-air to be pulled from other areas to protect these bases.
This is a proxy war and China, Russia will do all they can to support Iran and weaken the West for the eventual push towards Europe and Taiwan.
Knock out the tankers and you reduce the USA's ability to provide air power. This will force more anti-air to be pulled from other areas to protect these bases.
This is a proxy war and China, Russia will do all they can to support Iran and weaken the West for the eventual push towards Europe and Taiwan.


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From: EDLB
The attack on march 13th looked a lot different. https://www.cnbctv18.com/world/five-...l-19868232.htm
You wonder why they did not shoot down that rocket.
You wonder why they did not shoot down that rocket.

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From: UK
Thread Starter
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...

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From: Peripatetic
……………
India to Iran: No permission needed — Navy deploys 7 warships to protect vital oil routes
India has drawn a firm line against Iran’s pressure tactics in the Strait of Hormuz.
New Delhi made its position clear: the strait is an international waterway under UNCLOS rules. No permits, no crew disclosures, no “protection fees” for Indian vessels.
The Indian Navy has launched Operation “Urja Suraksha,” deploying seven frontline warships, including destroyers, across the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea.
The mission is straightforward: escort Indian oil and LNG shipments safely through high-risk waters.
No posturing, no hesitation—just strategic autonomy backed by force. India is placing its navy exactly where its energy security is at stake.
India has drawn a firm line against Iran’s pressure tactics in the Strait of Hormuz.
New Delhi made its position clear: the strait is an international waterway under UNCLOS rules. No permits, no crew disclosures, no “protection fees” for Indian vessels.
The Indian Navy has launched Operation “Urja Suraksha,” deploying seven frontline warships, including destroyers, across the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea.
The mission is straightforward: escort Indian oil and LNG shipments safely through high-risk waters.
No posturing, no hesitation—just strategic autonomy backed by force. India is placing its navy exactly where its energy security is at stake.
Thread Starter
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...

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From: Peripatetic
Video
New videos shows Iraqi members of the Iranian proxy group PMU filming themselves feeing in panic as an American A-10 Warthog carries out 3 strafing Arun’s against them.
The sound is something else…
The sound is something else…
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From: Baston
Thread Starter
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...

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From: Peripatetic
IDF:


STRUCK: Arak Heavy Water Plant in Central Iran—A Key Plutonium Production Site for Nuclear Weapons.
The IDF will not allow the Iranian regime to continue advancing its nuclear weapons program, which poses an existential threat to Israel and the entire world.
The IDF will not allow the Iranian regime to continue advancing its nuclear weapons program, which poses an existential threat to Israel and the entire world.

Israel just struck the Arak Nuclear Complex.
The heavy water facilities provide heavy water for an IR-40 reactor which could produce between 10-12 kg plutonium a year from its spent nuclear fuel, offering Iran a 2nd pathway to nuclear weapons on top of enriched uranium.
The heavy water facilities provide heavy water for an IR-40 reactor which could produce between 10-12 kg plutonium a year from its spent nuclear fuel, offering Iran a 2nd pathway to nuclear weapons on top of enriched uranium.




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From: Yakima


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From: 3rd Rock, #29B
India to Iran: No permission needed — Navy deploys 7 warships to protect vital oil routes
India has drawn a firm line against Iran’s pressure tactics in the Strait of Hormuz.
New Delhi made its position clear: the strait is an international waterway under UNCLOS rules. No permits, no crew disclosures, no “protection fees” for Indian vessels.
The Indian Navy has launched Operation “Urja Suraksha,” deploying seven frontline warships, including destroyers, across the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea.
The mission is straightforward: escort Indian oil and LNG shipments safely through high-risk waters.
No posturing, no hesitation—just strategic autonomy backed by force. India is placing its navy exactly where its energy security is at stake.……………
India has drawn a firm line against Iran’s pressure tactics in the Strait of Hormuz.
New Delhi made its position clear: the strait is an international waterway under UNCLOS rules. No permits, no crew disclosures, no “protection fees” for Indian vessels.
The Indian Navy has launched Operation “Urja Suraksha,” deploying seven frontline warships, including destroyers, across the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea.
The mission is straightforward: escort Indian oil and LNG shipments safely through high-risk waters.
No posturing, no hesitation—just strategic autonomy backed by force. India is placing its navy exactly where its energy security is at stake.……………
Interesting state of play; one islamic nation being unfriendly with their neighbours, and with India (3rd largest muslim population after Indonesia and Pakistan), China, Japan getting messed up, Vlad's oil tanks turned into BBQ pits, Europe/UK needing to think again about exploration, Venezuela oil being.... whatever that is now, and the US while nominally self sufficient already taking a sip from the SPR. Interesting times.
If Bibi and The Don get out of this monumental mess with a sudden breakout of peace... then perhaps it would be worthy of a FIFA Pizza Pie or whatever it is they gave.

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New Delhi made its position clear: the strait is an international waterway under UNCLOS rules. No permits, no crew disclosures, no “protection fees” for Indian vessels.

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From: Toronto
Vlad may have a problem loading tankers, which may incentivise him to ship oil by rail. Xi may be happy lending out tanker cars to increase deliveries along with providing electronics for missiles and drones. Both will be pleased to see Trump running short on interceptors and other expensive ordnance.
Plenty of potash in Belarus to substitute for Gulf fertilizer.
Plenty of potash in Belarus to substitute for Gulf fertilizer.




