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Roll up, roll up, for Bain and Jayne’s pea and thimble trick

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Old 15th Apr 2023, 23:35
  #21 (permalink)  
 
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2015 as an example.....

​​​​​​Virgin Australia Domestic reported Underlying EBIT of $111.1 million for the 2015 financial year, an improvement of $210.1 million on the prior corresponding period. Operating margins improved from -3.1 per cent to +3.4 per cent.

​​​​​​Virgin Australia International reported an Underlying EBIT of -$68.9 million for the 2015 financial year, a decline of $22.8 million on the prior corresponding period.
Uhmmm, how about 2016 onwards?

​​​​​​​LAX was reported to be their 'only' long haul destination making revenue. No use keeping the 777 (even if they ended up mortgaged/borrowed against at the time VA 1.0 filed voluntary administration) if the other long haul destinations i.e HKG, AUH, et al even with former owners support in HNA, EY et al were bleeding red ink/losing money on a weekly basis.
I specifically referenced the triple 7, not the A330 operation. And as you said, it was making money. Prior to administration and the covid scam, Virgin's USA operation was great, the competition kept fares at a reasonable level and made money.
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Old 16th Apr 2023, 04:04
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Originally Posted by Sunfish
Bain doesn't do "Pump and Dump" it is worse than that.

Bargain hunters beware! Bain isn't going to run away and leave a ravished virgin to be picked up by bargain hunters and carted off to the hospital for a bit of emergency surgery, a new dress, bit of lippy, a new haircut and she'll be right as rain won't she???

Errr, no. Virgin after Bain is syphilitic but much more difficult to cure.

Bain is in the process of inserting itself into Virgin exactly like a parasite. There will be management and consulting contracts. Bain and its friends will also have service contracts. There will be lease agreements. These contracts will have many years to run. They will have exit penalties that effectively prevent a new owner from touching them. They will have automatic indexation. There will be renewal rights and massive termination payments. Not a day will go by without Virgin writing a cheque to a Bain entity for decades.

And of course Bain plans to maintain a shareholding. That is intended give them a Board seat to watch over the new Board to prevent disinfection efforts. And if Virgin still thrives what will Bain do with their shareholding? Why sell it to Virgins competitors of course.

Sunfish, can you provide previous examples of such behaviour by Bain?
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Old 16th Apr 2023, 06:51
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Bain is still well and alive in A2 Milk and Tennis Australia, just like it will be for a long time yet with this company. I remember a quote from the executive who replaced her at A2 Milk, something around "Bain consultants crawling all over the business" then "I just need to get into the weeds to understand it more". He got into he weeds, then figured out he wasn't able to get out. He recently promoted a new Head of Strategy, a Bain alumni.

Sunny is right. They will be writing cheques to Bain for a long while yet. That will increase in frequency when they have sold most of the business at the top of the cycle. Now they spend 20 years milking fees.
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Old 16th Apr 2023, 09:40
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Originally Posted by Mr_App
... He recently promoted a new Head of Strategy, a Bain alumni.
...
I'm pretty sure that a2 Milk Managing Director and CEO, David Bortolussi (formerly of McKinsey and PWC, just by the bye), has not promoted a new Head of Strategy. Eleanor Khor has held that role at a2 since 2018.
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Old 16th Apr 2023, 10:37
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Originally Posted by MickG0105
I'm pretty sure that a2 Milk Managing Director and CEO, David Bortolussi (formerly of McKinsey and PWC, just by the bye), has not promoted a new Head of Strategy. Eleanor Khor has held that role at a2 since 2018.
Stop quoting facts…..don’t you know this is a rumour forum
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Old 17th Apr 2023, 22:43
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Jack D Ripper examples?

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine...equity/561758/

https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/...ital-kkr-execs

https://www.rollingstone.com/politic...apital-183291/

https://www.rollingstone.com/politic...talism-241519/

Ohh Yes, and this:

https://www.afr.com/companies/financ...0201212-p56mxy

But there is more Jack; I've had to work with bastards like these and I still have the scars. Your job, career, truth, decency, ethics, honor mean nothing to these psychopaths.

This clip from "succession" epitomises their behaviour. I have seen "games" very, very close to this.



Last edited by Sunfish; 17th Apr 2023 at 23:28.
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Old 17th Apr 2023, 22:57
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And another thing Jack; I'm labeling you as a Bain sock puppet based on your posts such as these:

hat makes you think VA has a monopoly on ‘MBA types’? Not even close.

Does it surprise you? They are smart, think alike, are commercially savvy, work as a team and can communicate incredibly effectively.

Sadly the reality is that the days of people with deep operational experience running airlines are long gone.
Can’t imagine Jayne or Bain tolerating mediocrity, particularly given the perilous nature of the airline (and industry) at the time.

Old mate may have simply found he was not a good fit for the new performance culture.
[Still don’t get why the cynicism towards company attempts to ‘invigorate and energise’? Would you prefer ignore and demotivate?

VA amazes me, people who, by all accounts would have been unemployed if not for Bain are now bitter and twisted.

Maybe you need to talk to the ex Ansett people who didn’t have a saviour and ended up unemployed or starting again at the bottom of someone’s seniority list.
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Old 18th Apr 2023, 04:19
  #28 (permalink)  
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Todays AFR says the whole thing is off for now - and they’ve found a way to blame Boeing - late delivery of the MAX apparently
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Old 18th Apr 2023, 06:19
  #29 (permalink)  
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I am fairly sure they get that Toyko slot taken away if they don’t use it by they said date, which is a touch over 2 months away. Whoooooopsy.

That route will be a disaster for passengers regardless with diversions, engineering dramas. Just wait until one breaks down in Japan. Anyone fancy a three stop trip Sydney to Toyko on a 737-700? Should have kept a few A330s on re negotiated leases, could have kept Brisbane to Los Angeles too.
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Old 18th Apr 2023, 11:21
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Why doesn't VA use an ACMI operator with a widebody to fly to Tokyo? Maybe they didn't think of that. I see Air New Zealand flying into Perth with one.
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Old 18th Apr 2023, 14:27
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With UA's recent adds to CHC and BNE (plus BNE-LAX for the Northern Winter) for the upcoming Northern Winter season (with varying start dates from Late October till end of November), plus with UA reintroducing AKL-LAX. Safe to say any VA return to USA on their own metal has now been firmly ruled out.
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Old 18th Apr 2023, 19:59
  #32 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by DanV2
With UA's recent adds to CHC and BNE (plus BNE-LAX for the Northern Winter) for the upcoming Northern Winter season (with varying start dates from Late October till end of November), plus with UA reintroducing AKL-LAX. Safe to say any VA return to USA on their own metal has now been firmly ruled out.
when was it ever in? they have nothing that could make it any more
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Old 19th Apr 2023, 00:34
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Originally Posted by JetFixer
Why doesn't VA use an ACMI operator with a widebody to fly to Tokyo? Maybe they didn't think of that. I see Air New Zealand flying into Perth with one.
The terms require that the airline using the slot, to use their own ‘Tin’, they cannot wetlease, sublease, crosslease or any other kind of lease.
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Old 19th Apr 2023, 03:20
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Originally Posted by greenslopes
The terms require that the airline using the slot, to use their own ‘Tin’, they cannot wetlease, sublease, crosslease or any other kind of lease.

not so! For example Air Vanuatu were using Nauru Airlines on an ACMI basis recently on the AIr Van schedule to/from Australia.
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Old 19th Apr 2023, 04:31
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Originally Posted by TBM-Legend
not so! For example Air Vanuatu were using Nauru Airlines on an ACMI basis recently on the AIr Van schedule to/from Australia.
So Vanuatu has the same conditions of foreign slot access as Tokyo/Japan, interesting....
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Old 19th Apr 2023, 05:11
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Originally Posted by TBM-Legend
not so! For example Air Vanuatu were using Nauru Airlines on an ACMI basis recently on the AIr Van schedule to/from Australia.
What one can do between two particular countries does not mean the same applies elsewhere:
  1. The airlines of each Party shall be permitted to conduct international air transportation using aircraft (or aircraft and crew) leased from any company, including other airlines, provided only that the operating aircraft and crew meet the applicable operating and safety standards and requirements.
Agreement between the Government of Australia and the Government of the Republic of Vanuatu relating to Air Services (Port Vila, 2 July 2013) - [2015] ATS 23
Agreement between the Government of Australia and the
Government of the Republic of Vanuatu
relating to Air Services

By comparison the agreement with Japan has nonspecific wording

https://www.info.dfat.gov.au/info/tr...256afb001b3e9d



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Old 19th Apr 2023, 05:43
  #37 (permalink)  
 
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The terms require that the airline using the slot, to use their own ‘Tin’, they cannot wetlease, sublease, crosslease or any other kind of lease.
Unless the Japanese have changes the rules, how did JAL have damp leased B743s from Qantas for quite some time? Not only that, slot usage does not fall within the terms of a bilateral - there's a big difference between 'rights' and 'slots'. The two are not mutually exclusive.
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Old 19th Apr 2023, 05:58
  #38 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Vag277
I am amazed how many airline managers are on this site when it appears that they could do a better job than the current incumbents....or is just the Australian sport of cutting down tall poppies without putting your hand up to do a better job!
More like triffids than poppies in this case.
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Old 19th Apr 2023, 08:08
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Unless the Japanese have changes the rules, how did JAL have damp leased B743s from Qantas for quite some time? Not only that, slot usage does not fall within the terms of a bilateral - there's a big difference between 'rights' and 'slots'. The two are not mutually exclusive.
JAL is a local airline, probably have different rules and slot allocations to foreign operators who might try to get around slot caps using alternate carriers from another nation. A bit like Australia's restrictions on foreign carriers operating domestically and internationally, but local carrier can do what it likes.
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Old 24th Apr 2023, 04:28
  #40 (permalink)  
 
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Australia is a candy shop for scammers, multi billions of dollars a year, the VA IPO will just be another in a long line of scams. You would think that VA Mark 1 would turn most away, how to turn 2.25 into 0, but people are basically dumb.. and greedy, so I'm sure they'll get plenty of suckers
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