Originally Posted by ROC10
(Post 10645622)
Could be but I don’t think so. G-OOBD and G-OOBF have already done that this year and to my knowledge, the tour never originates in China. |
Originally Posted by awwdabaaby
(Post 10645647)
Its possible Icelandair has taken up the round the world trip as TUI couldn't fulfil the requirement due to the max grounding I'm sure
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TUI’s chief executive of aviation Kenton Jarvis:
“In the UK we’re looking to add capacity,” Jarvis explains. “So we’ll be adding a lot of seats in the UK – 10, 12, 13, 14 aircraft will come in to add that capacity in the UK, because obviously Thomas Cook had 33 aircraft [in the country], so if we take our natural 30-35% market share that gives us a good opportunity to grow there.” For its 2020 fiscal year, beginning 1 October 2019, the operator expects “an underlying EBIT range of between approximately €950 million [$1.05 billion] to €1.05 billion, which includes an approximate €130 million cost impact from the 737 Max grounding, assuming a scenario whereby the Max returns to service by end of April 2020”. Should the Max not return by end-April, however, and TUI “has to plan for a continued grounding for the remainder of FY20”, the group assumes “a further cost of between approximately €220 million to €270 million”.Neither scenarios take into account potential compensation from Boeing. |
Originally Posted by ROC10
(Post 10645655)
As far as I’m aware the tours are done for this winter but could be wrong. I believe Titan will take over these duties from next winter due to TUI’s reduced 757 fleet. |
Fleet update
Its intresting to see the comments by Kenton Jarvis about incoming aircraft.
Jethro's website has been updated today and shows the following G-FDZG - Return to Lessor MAR 2020 (TBC) G-OOBC - Returned to Lessor 9th December (to be leased back for 6 month) G-OOBD - Return to Lessor Soon (to be leased back for 6 month) G-OOBE - Return to Lessor APR 2020 G-OOBF - Return to Lessor FEB 2020 + G-FDZE & G-CPEU which left after S19 where are these extra aircraft coming from as the MAX will not fly for Summer ? |
Originally Posted by LiamNCL
(Post 10646314)
Its intresting to see the comments by Kenton Jarvis about incoming aircraft.
Jethro's website has been updated today and shows the following G-FDZG - Return to Lessor MAR 2020 (TBC) G-OOBC - Returned to Lessor 9th December (to be leased back for 6 month) G-OOBD - Return to Lessor Soon (to be leased back for 6 month) G-OOBE - Return to Lessor APR 2020 G-OOBF - Return to Lessor FEB 2020 + G-FDZE & G-CPEU which left after S19 where are these extra aircraft coming from as the MAX will not fly for Summer ? |
Originally Posted by JonnyH
(Post 10646339)
I would imagine they’d use Sunwing and Titan again with the possibility of Olympus too (if SX-ABQ ever gets repaired). You’re probably looking at other operators picking up ex TCX A321s and offering them for lease prior to S20 too. |
Originally Posted by LiamNCL
(Post 10646385)
There will be leases needed for sure but they must be bringing aircraft in from somewhere surely as they have recruited TCX flight deck crew with them training on the 737 i was just curious as to where these will come from or if aircraft are intended to move to the UK from elsewhere in the TUI group.
Interesting sting to see the updates on Jethros. The 4 newest 757s seem to be the first to leave whilst TUI will retain the older ones, also suggests only two will be “leased back” presumably to cover the winter season whilst the 738s are in Canada and the MAX is still not in service. All of the recently-withdrawn 757s have/will become cargo machines in China. The EoL checks are being done in China so perhaps these will end up with a similar fate. The likes of G-OOBF is only 15 years old so it does seem rather sad for it to go to cargo but I guess very few airlines are looking for 757s anymore. |
it’s hard to see how they won’t be in some sort of trouble. |
Originally Posted by SWBKCB
(Post 10646422)
I'm sure they will be using all their years of experience of operating a major airline to come up with some alternatives. They've had a lot more time to plan than the original MAX grounding, and they coped then.
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Enter Air and AirExplore already been filling in last few days , Smartlynx and Avion who operated a vast amount of aircraft for TCX will be available for lease this summer too but i cannot see the MAX flying until late summer at the earliest.
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There is a rumour that they are getting 10-12 Peagus 800’s as they r replacing them with neo’s |
United have pulled the MAX from their schedules until 4th June now, so they're obviously taking a pessimistic view on when the aircraft will return. There must be a lot of airlines head-scratching over Christmas as to how to cover flights. Looking at other threads, it looks like Ryanair are making deeper cuts already. Interesting to see what TUI have up their sleeves, given the peak holiday booking period is just about to start.
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Some good points raised above -
TUI CEO mentioned that if the MAX is not back by the end of APR (We know it will not be) then their financial contingency allows to remove the MAX from their S20 program. It is extremely hard to try to introduce, or re-introduce a new, or an amended type that will require intense pilot training/SIM time, and the various Crew and Ops manuals to be rewritten) in the midst of a summer Charter flight series as big as TUI's. I think TUI now have pretty much taken as read that the MAX will be out of the their Summer 2020 flying program - My Tuppence. |
Originally Posted by Bearpit
(Post 10646650)
United have pulled the MAX from their schedules until 4th June now, so they're obviously taking a pessimistic view on when the aircraft will return. There must be a lot of airlines head-scratching over Christmas as to how to cover flights. Looking at other threads, it looks like Ryanair are making deeper cuts already. Interesting to see what TUI have up their sleeves, given the peak holiday booking period is just about to start.
FYI You mention ''Peak time is just about to start'' - Yes I agree we have a busy Ski Flight season starting but that flying is at weekends only. Xmas peak is only a couple of weeks really. During the week popular winter destinations like Canaries, Egypt, Banjul, and Cape Verde see most of the flying. (Longer routes means the aircraft often will only do one rotation a day, compared to 2 or 3 in the Summer) The aircraft as you know, are not as busy in the winter historically, and many go off for winter leases (quite normal) to other airlines, so the Peak flying period is MAY-SEPT, with JUL/AUG seeing the most usage. This type of flying program has always seen the difficulty for Holiday airlines making good use year round of their fleets, and try to make money. |
Originally Posted by rog747
(Post 10646675)
Yes indeed, and that United Airlines decision concurs that it is likely improbable that TUI could slip the MAX back into the summer program if any approval of the MAX was in mid-summer.
FYI You mention ''Peak time is just about to start'' - Yes I agree we have a busy Ski Flight season starting but that flying is at weekends only. Xmas peak is only a couple of weeks really. During the week popular winter destinations like Canaries, Egypt, Banjul, and Cape Verde see most of the flying. (Longer routes means the aircraft often will only do one rotation a day, compared to 2 or 3 in the Summer) The aircraft as you know, are not as busy in the winter historically, and many go off for winter leases (quite normal) to other airlines, so the Peak flying period is MAY-SEPT, with JUL/AUG seeing the most usage. This type of flying program has always seen the difficulty for Holiday airlines making good use year round of their fleets, and try to make money. Merry Christmas! |
Ah OK - so you mean the peak ''booking'' time. Yes Tour operators want their summer bookings made and deposits paid as early as possible of course.
Back in the early days when the summer holiday brochures were released there would be queues around the block with holidaymakers trying to get the first and best pickings when they went on sale - usually after the New Year. (showing my age now lol) Happy Xmas too !!! |
Originally Posted by rog747
(Post 10646723)
Ah OK - so you mean the peak ''booking'' time. Yes Tour operators want their summer bookings made and deposits paid as early as possible of course.
Back in the early days when the summer holiday brochures were released there would be queues around the block with holidaymakers trying to get the first and best pickings when they went on sale - usually after the New Year. (showing my age now lol) Happy Xmas too !!! |
G-FDZF on its way to Dubai from Cardiff, assume its going to China for EOL checks? No mention of this on Jethros, but ZG is planned for EOL in March 20. |
Originally Posted by ChilliP
(Post 10650457)
G-FDZF on its way to Dubai from Cardiff, assume its going to China for EOL checks? No mention of this on Jethros, but ZG is planned for EOL in March 20. been watching this thread which is very interesting, loads of planned expansion, grounded Max’s, 737/757’s aircraft leaving the fleet etc 10-12 ex Pegasus 737’s were mentioned above - would this solve the cunundrum? always used to like going on holiday with Thomson/tui as the flights were on G regs, on time and very reliable .hope they don’t go down the Avion Express et al route as TC did which in my view would spoil their quality brand. |
Originally Posted by DanAir89
(Post 10650755)
another 2 leaving and no sign of anything else joining!!! been watching this thread which is very interesting, loads of planned expansion, grounded Max’s, 737/757’s aircraft leaving the fleet etc 10-12 ex Pegasus 737’s were mentioned above - would this solve the cunundrum? always used to like going on holiday with Thomson/tui as the flights were on G regs, on time and very reliable .hope they don’t go down the Avion Express et al route as TC did which in my view would spoil their quality brand. |
Originally Posted by ATNotts
(Post 10650764)
Not sure what the country of registration of the aircraft has to do with anything. And they weren't / aren't always on time and very reliable. Are you possibly overlooking the summer leases on Sunwing equipment in recent years, and going back a little the Irish A320s that Thomson used. The words tinted, rose and glasses come to mind, but not necessarily in that order!
just need to read the pilots section to be slightly worried if an Eastern European registered aircraft turns up ( for example google smart wings and an incident this summer). Sunwings (C registered) and Irish A320’s not G registered so there’s the link! In summary you have no idea where the additional aircraft are coming from either! |
Yes, G-FDZF has flown to AUH and, according to Planespotters, has been WFU and is now stored. Interesting that it went straight from CWL while G-TAWL ferried in from LGW to replace it. Normally they are withdrawn from the larger bases or go via the likes of DGX, QLA, etc first. |
Basically Summer 2019 saw a right old ACMI mish-mash turning up for TUI's flights (and we will see the same for S20) but they got the program covered without too much hoo-hah.
Titan are an established ACMI airline and G- reg'd. Norwegian are OK, as is Evelop, Air Europa, and Alba Star. I would be perhaps less than comfy on say Sunwing/Smartwings/avion/freebird/smartlynx/Olympus/ASL/Correndon et al mainly in terms of the reliability of the service and of the comfort, rather than any safety issues. However, Smartwings have had a huge incident this summer with an engine failure and shutdown on a 737-800NG out of Chania that continued on to home base at Prague. The aircraft was enroute at FL360 when the #1 engine failed. The crew reported a "maintenance issue" to ATC and requested to descend to FL240. No PAN or emergency call was issued. The crew attempted to restart the engine twice unsuccessfully. The captain decided the nearest suitable aerodrome to be Prague and continued to Prague without informing ATC along the 2:20 hours route after the engine failure until in contact with Prague ATC, when the crew declared a PAN and reported #1 engine had failed. The aircraft landed OK. A failed fuel pump caused the engine to starve, metallic chips were found in the fuel filter. Both parts were shipped for expert examination. An investigation into the occurrence rated a serious incident is continuing. Previously Sunwing had a major incident taking off out of Belfast. |
Originally Posted by rog747
(Post 10650831)
Basically Summer 2019 saw a right old ACMI mish-mash turning up for TUI's flights (and we will see the same for S20) but they got the program covered without too much hoo-hah.
Titan are an established ACMI airline and G- reg'd. Norwegian are OK, as is Evelop, Air Europa, and Alba Star. I would be perhaps less than comfy on say Sunwing/Smartwings/avion/freebird/smartlynx/Olympus/ASL/Correndon et al mainly in terms of the reliability of the service and of the comfort, rather than any safety issues. However, Smartwings have had a huge incident this summer with an engine failure and shutdown on a 737-800NG out of Chania that continued on to home base at Prague. The aircraft was enroute at FL360 when the #1 engine failed. The crew reported a "maintenance issue" to ATC and requested to descend to FL240. No PAN or emergency call was issued. The crew attempted to restart the engine twice unsuccessfully. The captain decided the nearest suitable aerodrome to be Prague and continued to Prague without informing ATC along the 2:20 hours route after the engine failure until in contact with Prague ATC, when the crew declared a PAN and reported #1 engine had failed. The aircraft landed OK. A failed fuel pump caused the engine to starve, metallic chips were found in the fuel filter. Both parts were shipped for expert examination. An investigation into the occurrence rated a serious incident is continuing. Previously Sunwing had a major incident taking off out of Belfast. BA had the 777 crash and the A319 engine cowling incident. Would you rule them out if they were an option for TUI to charter? The fact that every one of these Airlines are regulated by CAA should instil confidence. TUI have had time to prepare for this. They wouldnt have sat back and waited for the grounding to be extended without having a backup plan, especially given the volume of expansion that's been announced. Last summer was very last minute. |
Just returned from a week's holiday with TUI to Fuerteventura. Out 0n 25.12 and returned on 01.01 (BHX-FUE) really pleased to travel on a 757 both ways, been a long time since I've been in one, and how comfortable it was in extra legroom seats in row 11 immediately left after boarding. It reminded me of what a lovely a/c it is, shame it's going.
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Ryanair say they will not now see their MAX's in service before OCT, MOL speaking to the Press on Friday. It’s possible we’ll only get the first jets in October 2020.
O’Leary has previously said it would not take orders in July or August because it is the airline’s busiest time of the year. Implications for TUI UK will be likely the same for them, Thus I cannot see any return to service in the main for TUI until for the following summer in 2021. TUI would not need new MAX deliveries to be introduced during the winter 20-21 season. They have 6 already grounded in UK/EU, plus a handful of brand new ones parked up at Boeing. TUI also had a large MAX -10 order that was due to start for S20 |
Yet again, Chambery Airport seems to be causing chaos today with the ski flights. Some flights due to depart first thing this morning simply didn’t depart with others being diverted elsewhere (LYS) and many showing “cancelled” on FR24 (I know TUI don’t really cancel flights but who knows when they will “catch up” with these). It looks like rather than flying LYS-CMF, passengers are being bussed to LYS for the return flights. I understand this will be mostly out of TUI’s control but wouldn’t it be easier if they just operated elsewhere for their ski flights? Most flights are seeing delays upwards of 5-6 hours which won’t be cheap. |
Is it weather related at Chambery today or ATC (or both) ROC10?
We always had trouble using that airport many years ago, but the SKI tour operators want to go there for the easy access to the slopes, except when it all goes Pete Tong and the posh skiers all get very grumpy :( |
Originally Posted by ROC10
(Post 10653759)
Yet again, Chambery Airport seems to be causing chaos today with the ski flights. Some flights due to depart first thing this morning simply didn’t depart with others being diverted elsewhere (LYS) and many showing “cancelled” on FR24 (I know TUI don’t really cancel flights but who knows when they will “catch up” with these). It looks like rather than flying LYS-CMF, passengers are being bussed to LYS for the return flights. I understand this will be mostly out of TUI’s control but wouldn’t it be easier if they just operated elsewhere for their ski flights? Most flights are seeing delays upwards of 5-6 hours which won’t be cheap. |
Originally Posted by caaardiff
(Post 10653933)
The majority of the time CMF works for the ski resorts it serves. There is the occasional issue with weather that causes delays and diversions, but generally this doesn't happen that often. As an Airline/Tour Operator, you don't plan where you fly based on potential bad weather and a few days of disruption over the whole season. You go to the most convenient Airport that works and deal with disruption on the day. Generally TUI preplan diversions (LYS mainly) based on bad weather forecasts at CMF and operate straight there meaning transfers are better organised and delays reduced.
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CMF is notorious for weather issues. It's location in the mountains is as already stated advantageous for skiers but the approach and departure to the airport is complex and airlines require approved crews to operate it.
Because the weather minima are so high here, it does result in more than the average level of days where weather is below limits. I have a vague recollection that Jet2 pulled out of CMF due to the levels of weather disruption being experienced there. Finally ROC10, don't take FR24 as gospel at CMF - it is frequently wrong. There are for example Titan operations I have noted going in and out which are not listed at all which may be additions or have replaced the listed TUI ops but not been updated. |
TUI post booking service
A first world problem I know but having recently booked a TUI holiday with a flight from Manchester to Cancun I've tried to update my booking using their app to include Champagne and Chocolates on the way out. I'm finding I just get and error message on their app, they are not contactable by phone and the TUI stores is unable to help. Not a big deal I know but you would think airlines would want customers to pay for those little extras.
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I would suggest your chocolate issue might be better suited on another forum |
Originally Posted by commit aviation
(Post 10654090)
CMF is notorious for weather issues. It's location in the mountains is as already stated advantageous for skiers but the approach and departure to the airport is complex and airlines require approved crews to operate it.
Because the weather minima are so high here, it does result in more than the average level of days where weather is below limits. I have a vague recollection that Jet2 pulled out of CMF due to the levels of weather disruption being experienced there. Finally ROC10, don't take FR24 as gospel at CMF - it is frequently wrong. There are for example Titan operations I have noted going in and out which are not listed at all which may be additions or have replaced the listed TUI ops but not been updated. I’ve been in and out of Chambery many times over the years and have breezed through on some occasions (even with snow on the ground) and had relatively minor delays of a couple of hours on others. Arguably worst experience was a very turbulent departure last March. When I have a choice I would always choose Geneva or Lyon when visiting the Alps and luckily I’m avoiding Chambery for both my trips to the Alps this year. I do however understand why the likes of Tui see it as a good option of a speedy entry to many of the main ski resorts, it’s just that when the combination of weather, geography and small airport infrastructure are mixed together it tends to go very wrong, very fast. That certainly looks to be what happened on Saturday! |
Originally Posted by DomyDom
(Post 10655401)
A first world problem I know but having recently booked a TUI holiday with a flight from Manchester to Cancun I've tried to update my booking using their app to include Champagne and Chocolates on the way out. I'm finding I just get and error message on their app, they are not contactable by phone and the TUI stores is unable to help. Not a big deal I know but you would think airlines would want customers to pay for those little extras.
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Originally Posted by vile8er
(Post 10655690)
Try messaging them on Facebook? They've always responded to my queries that way.
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Does anyone have any news on where TUI are going to acquire aircraft to make up the numbers required for their expanded Summer 2020 season?
There seems to be more aircraft leaving than arriving, and it is quite obvious the the MAX issues will not be resolved for the start of the season. |
Originally Posted by garry8g
(Post 10665196)
Does anyone have any news on where TUI are going to acquire aircraft to make up the numbers required for their expanded Summer 2020 season?
There seems to be more aircraft leaving than arriving, and it is quite obvious the the MAX issues will not be resolved for the start of the season. However - with more TUI 757's and some older 738's being retired and no announcements as yet of any ACMI leases being arranged it seems TUI is still working hard to procure enough hardware to fulfil their S20 series. For my tuppence - The MAX is unlikely to return for all or any of the S20 season, and their 9 or so grounded 737-8's were due to be joined by the new larger MAX-10 series for S20. The-10 has a pax capacity similar to the 757. Titan have placed many of their a/c already with Jet2 for S20, and Smartlynx are also been working now with Jet2. |
Don't forget though TUI UK are up two 789's on last summer with G-TUIN/O being delivered a couple of months ago.
This frees up some 788's to do some short haul flying, like the 767's have done for years. This will increase capacity at bases like MAN and LGW. This obviously won't account for all of the extra lift needed. But up gauging a route from say a 738 to a 788, frees a 738 to operate somewhere else whilst also increasing capacity on the original route. AFAIK both 767's were due to be gone from the UK by now too, but YG will return to operate alongside YH at MAN all summer. Will there be any spare capacity from other TUI airlines? Rather than having to outsource is there any flexibility within the group to get spare a/c across. I'm thinking the extra two 767's in Scandi for example. |
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