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GAZMO 8th Oct 2019 06:10

Is BFS likely to get anymore flights. Posters tend to naturally mention the larger bases LBA MAN STN BHX

Mr A Tis 8th Oct 2019 07:53

I think people are getting far too excited. There was over capacity, too many holidays on very thin weak margins, at a time of reduced demand - Brexit, weakening pound etc. Why would anyone take risks ? Far better to increase yields and consolidate. Jet2 are the best at what they do, there is no need for them to do anything other than continue their modest growth. Replacing older frames when the opportunity arises, leasing in peak time capacity without the risks. I expect anything not Boeing will be leased in. When the MAX gets back into service, there will be a glut of used 738s on the market- I think J2 will just wait.

ATNotts 8th Oct 2019 08:04


Originally Posted by Mr A Tis (Post 10589258)
I think people are getting far too excited. There was over capacity, too many holidays on very thin weak margins, at a time of reduced demand - Brexit, weakening pound etc. Why would anyone take risks ? Far better to increase yields and consolidate. Jet2 are the best at what they do, there is no need for them to do anything other than continue their modest growth. Replacing older frames when the opportunity arises, leasing in peak time capacity without the risks. I expect anything not Boeing will be leased in. When the MAX gets back into service, there will be a glut of used 738s on the market- I think J2 will just wait.

That makes far more economic sense to me. Tighten up the market, raise prices and repair the roof while the sun is shining.

sixchannel 8th Oct 2019 08:14


Originally Posted by ATNotts (Post 10589262)
That makes far more economic sense to me. Tighten up the market, raise prices and repair the roof while the sun is shining.

Hopefully any price hike would be sufficient to cover loss of Revenue from the percentage of Customers it put outside of their Affordability window.
Maybe even -
14 days (now a bit less common I think) down to 11?
11 days down to 10 or even 7.
7 days down to ' Ah well, it was nice whilst we could afford it'.
​​​​​​

ATNotts 8th Oct 2019 08:26


Originally Posted by sixchannel (Post 10589270)
Hopefully any price hike would be sufficient to cover loss of Revenue from the percentage of Customers it put outside of their Affordability window.
Maybe even -
14 days (now a bit less common I think) down to 11?
11 days down to 10 or even 7.
7 days down to ' Ah well, it was nice whilst we could afford it'.
​​​​​​

This article, relating to the collapse of Thomas Cook perhaps suggests that foreign holidays are too affordable at the moment.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49961188

castleford tiger 8th Oct 2019 08:28


Originally Posted by daz211 (Post 10589060)
Lots of hard work and negotiations going on as we speak.
As far as I know and I would know, No new base for 2020, Obviously MAN is our main priority right now.
Tunisia is not happening nor is Egypt, far to unstable for our operations right now.
As for any kind of ex Thomas Cook Aircraft / Crew I’m not in a position to comment, as you can imagine this is very commercially sensitive information.
All I can say is there will be extra flights from existing based, and work continues to launch more routes for summer 2020.

Daz
Thanks for this. I understand the TCG 5 ex lease or not is pretty much confirmed.
As for other points of discussion DART may kick the can down the road re new orders and have two years paying down debt. Not a bad idea if we can stretch the fleet out with a mixture of purchases and leases .

Last couple of days we seem to have been using 50 aircraft is there an easy way to see how many flights we are doing each day?

sixchannel 8th Oct 2019 08:49


Originally Posted by ATNotts (Post 10589285)
This article, relating to the collapse of Thomas Cook perhaps suggests that foreign holidays are too affordable at the moment.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49961188

This 'single parent' with "no money' took a holiday in excess of 2 weeks in Tunisia otherwise she would have been repatriated.
Where was the 'child' all this time? Where did the money come from to pay for her Accomodation (it can't have been a TC holiday) and flights in the first place?
Now she's crying to the so-called'News’
Sympathy have I none.

inOban 8th Oct 2019 10:13

Living life as a single parent on Universal Credit must involve a level of stress which I have never had to endure. Perhaps her parents offered to look after the child for a couple of weeks to give her a break? We don't know the whole story. However someone should have told to come back early on a repatriation flight.

Flying Wild 8th Oct 2019 10:58

During half term there are 14 aircraft based at BHX - more than the summer peak!

ATNotts 8th Oct 2019 11:38


Originally Posted by inOban (Post 10589388)
Living life as a single parent on Universal Credit must involve a level of stress which I have never had to endure. Perhaps her parents offered to look after the child for a couple of weeks to give her a break? We don't know the whole story. However someone should have told to come back early on a repatriation flight.

My point was that financial advisors always say that you should try and have a buffer of 3 months cash in hand in case of unforeseen emergencies, redundancy etc. Spending that buffer, or whatever buffer you have, on something as frivolous as a holiday abroad is profligate to say the least.

By the way I say that as a parent of offspring who did exactly that!

116d 8th Oct 2019 11:39


Originally Posted by Mr A Tis (Post 10589258)
I think people are getting far too excited. There was over capacity, too many holidays on very thin weak margins, at a time of reduced demand - Brexit, weakening pound etc. Why would anyone take risks ? Far better to increase yields and consolidate. Jet2 are the best at what they do, there is no need for them to do anything other than continue their modest growth. Replacing older frames when the opportunity arises, leasing in peak time capacity without the risks. I expect anything not Boeing will be leased in. When the MAX gets back into service, there will be a glut of used 738s on the market- I think J2 will just wait.

You're not wrong. However, to not replace some (that's the keyword here, not all) of the capacity that has been lost would be a potential opportunity missed and I don't think anybody was calling for Jet2 to precisely match lost capacity. How that's achieved is open for debate.

The remaining competitors also need to be careful not to hike up prices too much as that's got the potential to significantly weaken demand. It's about getting the balance right between profitability, meeting demand and anticipating potential economic headwinds that could affect either/both of these. The strength of GBP is another factor.

As for the MAX, even if a fix was found tomorrow the regulators worldwide will take their time before approving them safe to fly and that will affect which airlines can fly them again and where they can fly them to. It would take several weeks/months for all of them to fly again, especially the ones stored since March that would probably need more than the mods to make them airworthy again, especially the longer they're stored. I imagine there will be some training/re-training required given the length of time that's passed. It must be getting to the point now for MAX operators where for 2020 they have to make a call whether to build them into their fleet plans or not.

SealinkBF 8th Oct 2019 12:15


Originally Posted by inOban (Post 10589388)
Living life as a single parent on Universal Credit must involve a level of stress which I have never had to endure. Perhaps her parents offered to look after the child for a couple of weeks to give her a break? We don't know the whole story. However someone should have told to come back early on a repatriation flight.

Indeed. Although I was aghast to learn that she had no travel insurance.

sixchannel 8th Oct 2019 18:37

G-DRTI - again
 
Flew Serviceability flight today - EMA - MAN via Ireland and west.
Presume in its full Jet2 silver/red glory.
Looks like it included some low speed handling tests.
First Revenue flight soon??

LiamNCL 8th Oct 2019 18:41


Originally Posted by sixchannel (Post 10589715)
Flew Serviceability flight today - EMA - MAN via Ireland and west.
Presume in its full Jet2 silver/red glory.
First Revenue flight soon??

it is , Jet2Izmir on the nose.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....6a151b7571.jpg

sixchannel 8th Oct 2019 18:46


Originally Posted by LiamNCL (Post 10589718)

Compare that to post 1542.!
Amazing what a couple of cans of Holts Duplicolour can do. :O

LiamNCL 8th Oct 2019 19:28


Originally Posted by sixchannel (Post 10589722)
Compare that to post 1542.!
Amazing what a couple of cans of Holts Duplicolour can do. :O

Rags to Riches :E

BFS BHD 8th Oct 2019 19:41

Noticed this on Airborne Colours Ltd FB page;


The first of several planned Jet2.com aircraft departing our East Midlands Airport paint facility yesterday following a full repaint into this striking well recognised red and silver livery.
Wonder when the next one is due? Is it current aircraft in the fleet getting repainted or new one?

sixchannel 8th Oct 2019 19:56


Originally Posted by BFS BHD (Post 10589775)
Noticed this on Airborne Colours Ltd FB page;



Wonder when the next one is due? Is it current aircraft in the fleet getting repainted or new one?

Now THAT is a very interesting question.

LiamNCL 8th Oct 2019 20:05


Originally Posted by BFS BHD (Post 10589775)
Noticed this on Airborne Colours Ltd FB page;



Wonder when the next one is due? Is it current aircraft in the fleet getting repainted or new one?

I noticed this aswell.

Flying Wild 8th Oct 2019 20:36


Originally Posted by sixchannel (Post 10589715)
.
First Revenue flight soon??

Perhaps as soon as the end of the week.

sixchannel 8th Oct 2019 21:00


Originally Posted by Flying Wild (Post 10589811)
Perhaps as soon as the end of the week.

I wonder if its first Pax will wonder if all Jet2 planes smell of fresh paint?

castleford tiger 9th Oct 2019 07:08


Originally Posted by inOban (Post 10589388)
Living life as a single parent on Universal Credit must involve a level of stress which I have never had to endure. Perhaps her parents offered to look after the child for a couple of weeks to give her a break? We don't know the whole story. However someone should have told to come back early on a repatriation flight.

Life is full of choices and some are drawn to keep making bad ones. We all have family/relatives some who fall into this trap.

The best we had was whilst filming with a BBC crew at a food bank (to which we were regular suppliers of fresh produce) I got into conversation with two very attractive ladies late 20`s early 30`s and enquired why they needed the support of the food bank.
No chance of work as the kids were at school only 6 hours and of course holidays were a problem.
I asked if they would be interested in "term time only work and 9 till 3"
Both dived into their bags for the phones to take my number..............unbelievably both had top of the range mobiles/tablets in which they recorded my number. Neither got in touch but we did, and still do employ 2 young mums on a term time only contract.
I live in an area not associated with its wealth, and many food banks do a roaring trade. However its rare to see a house without Sky/cable tv.
I am afraid a great number of people have the wrong priorities.

Mr Good Cat 9th Oct 2019 07:42


Originally Posted by castleford tiger (Post 10590052)
Life is full of choices and some are drawn to keep making bad ones. We all have family/relatives some who fall into this trap.

The best we had was whilst filming with a BBC crew at a food bank (to which we were regular suppliers of fresh produce) I got into conversation with two very attractive ladies late 20`s early 30`s and enquired why they needed the support of the food bank.
No chance of work as the kids were at school only 6 hours and of course holidays were a problem.
I asked if they would be interested in "term time only work and 9 till 3"
Both dived into their bags for the phones to take my number..............unbelievably both had top of the range mobiles/tablets in which they recorded my number. Neither got in touch but we did, and still do employ 2 young mums on a term time only contract.
I live in an area not associated with its wealth, and many food banks do a roaring trade. However its rare to see a house without Sky/cable tv.
I am afraid a great number of people have the wrong priorities.

Cas Tiger, do Jet2 offer term-time 9-3 employment? What sort of roles - passenger service?

nowhereasfiled 9th Oct 2019 10:17

Pretty boring question, but anybody know why GDFF isn’t fully painted, looks like it’s been around for a while so can’t really see any explanation as to why it isn’t?
Another question, why is Jet2 the only airline I’ve seen with those red and white airbridge position markings by door 1L?

EDIT: It’s painted, but the tail has no “sun” on it.

ROC10 9th Oct 2019 10:20


Originally Posted by nowhereasfiled (Post 10590204)
Pretty boring question, but anybody know why GDFF isn’t fully painted, looks like it’s been around for a while so can’t really see any explanation as to why it isn’t?
Another question, why is Jet2 the only airline I’ve seen with those red and white airbridge position markings by door 1L?

EDIT: It’s painted, but the tail has no “sun” on it.

Strange... according to photos it did have the sun back in 2017. Surprised they haven't gotten round to painting it back on.

sixchannel 9th Oct 2019 10:35


Originally Posted by ROC10 (Post 10590207)
Strange... according to photos it did have the sun back in 2017. Surprised they haven't gotten round to painting it back on.

Maybe deciding 'which' Sunrise' to put on?

garry8g 9th Oct 2019 10:38

This could be significant for Jet2, as they sell JET2 holidays in their Hays Travel stores:-

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49985369

renort 9th Oct 2019 12:10


Pretty boring question, but anybody know why GDFF isn’t fully painted, looks like it’s been around for a while so can’t really see any explanation as to why it isn’t?
Another question, why is Jet2 the only airline I’ve seen with those red and white airbridge position markings by door 1L?

.
they got sick of ground incidents so decided to go over the top with markings, visually not appealing but if it stops an expensive incident then who cares.

Flying Wild 9th Oct 2019 21:51


Originally Posted by ROC10 (Post 10590207)
Strange... according to photos it did have the sun back in 2017. Surprised they haven't gotten round to painting it back on.

I believe it originally had the “wrong” sun on it.

Fly757X 9th Oct 2019 22:15


Originally Posted by Flying Wild (Post 10590664)

I believe it originally had the “wrong” sun on it.

I heard it went for work on the Rudder and it just hasn’t been reapplied as of yet.

LiamNCL 9th Oct 2019 22:42


Originally Posted by Flying Wild (Post 10590664)

I believe it originally had the “wrong” sun on it.

Think you are refering to GDFD that had a a flat yellow sun ? Was replaced in the summer.

ROC10 9th Oct 2019 23:30


Originally Posted by LiamNCL (Post 10590703)
Think you are refering to GDFD that had a a flat yellow sun ? Was replaced in the summer.

I do find it surprising that they ‘fixed’ the sun on GDFD but leave GDFF with no sun for around two years. It doesn’t appear to have winglets either and is 19 years old – maybe plans for withdrawal on the horizon?

azz767 10th Oct 2019 15:17

I have seen a lot of people recently speculate about whether Jet2 will move into the long haul market and had saw some points mentioned but I also thought of another which I haven't seen mentioned anywhere and I wondered what peoples views on it are.

This issue being going long haul at the moment with an all economy fleet. TUI and TCX (for which long haul was profitable) both have/had decent sized premium cabins on their long haul fleet this summer and the A330's Jet 2 operate are all economy at present (and correct me if im wrong but I believe they have to stay this way in case they are needed urgently for military use). Even the Norwegians of this world offer some sort of premium product which I think is a lot more essential on long haul routes.

TCX had this issue themselves when they had two Air Tanker frames doing routes like JFK, BOS and SEA and the lack of any sort of premium offering will have cost them going up against the likes of VS and the American trio. Looking at Florida and the Caribbean and even Vegas which is likely where Jet2 would start wouldn't this also be the case.

A move into long haul for Jet2 is a lot more than just 'they now have the aircraft to do it' and 'there is an opportunity left after TCX went', lets not forget Jet2 is actually a scheduled airline first and has the holidays division buy seats on flights, so they need to have a product that if they went long haul would entice flight only customers to them not just the holidays people.

sixchannel 10th Oct 2019 16:15

Up to 2017 we flew both Virgin and TCX Manchester to Florida (Orlando & Sanford).
Always turned right at the door. Never had a problem.
Never even considered going Premium or Premium Economy.
Surely those who feel the need to be cosseted at all times, should ho Virgin and pay 'silly money' for that privilege and let Jet2 (if they decide to go for it) fly contented, if a mite uncomfy after 8hrs, passengers with their customary efficiency and happy smiles.
FWIW - It was our dreadful experience on our last MAN-MCO Virgin flight that made us give up the Long Hauls. We now settle for Half Long Haul now - 4hrs to the Canaries twice a year. :)

DjerbaDevil 10th Oct 2019 17:51

TUI have been quick to add capacity and probably with ex-TCX A321s. But doubtless JET2 are not far behind in adding capacity with TCX pilots and aircraft as well.
http://www.travelweekly.co.uk/articl...-million-seats

Considering the opportunity offered, JET2 only need to open bases at BRS and LGW for nationwide cover.

HH6702 10th Oct 2019 18:15

And with Hays travel getting all of cooks travel shops they ow have an agent uk wide pushing Jet2 holidays

pamann 10th Oct 2019 21:37


Originally Posted by DjerbaDevil (Post 10591338)
Considering the opportunity offered, JET2 only need to open bases at BRS and LGW for nationwide cover.

As far as I’m aware, Jet2 won’t be opening a LGW base and it’s not on their agenda either. Having walked past the Thomas Cook shop in Croydon today, there are holidays in the window there that were departing Stansted with TC. Croydon is only 15 minutes by train from Gatwick. People will drive that bit further if it saves them a few £ on their annual two week family holiday to Greece/Spain/Turkey. Even more so now that there’s a lot less choice.

IMHO Bristol/Cardiff or Bournemouth would be the next obvious opportunity. Jet2 has the SE covered already. If you want to go from Gatwick on your annual package holiday, pay a few hundred £ more and book with TUI.

castleford tiger 11th Oct 2019 06:49


Originally Posted by Mr Good Cat (Post 10590074)


Cas Tiger, do Jet2 offer term-time 9-3 employment? What sort of roles - passenger service?

do not know the answer but I guess part time roles will be there.
Tends to be a morning rush 4/9 and then again as the planes return and reload in the afternoons with fewer staff to meet the late flights home. I GUESS>

rog747 11th Oct 2019 06:49

Bournemouth is Jet2's spiritual home (Channel Express) but Jet2 say they have no plans to have a base there yet.

TCK /MT had based a/c at both EXT and BRS, but it seems Jet2 again have no wish to take on TUI and FR (plus EZY at BRS) head to head at any of these 3 locations. (and CWL?)

STN was a perhaps big gamble that has paid off well in the South for Jet2, and no doubt they will take up the slack from the lost TCK/MT ''bread and butter'' ops from there -

But Jet2 (very wisely) have NO wish to enter back into Egypt nor Tunisia as security events make the operations too unstable -

God forbid we add Turkey in the mix if the current hostilities escalate, and spill over into the Eastern MED region and that will again seriously hurt the industry.

As for long haul - Jet2 could take up the Cruise ship charter work which TCK had (to the Caribbean etc) they have the 330's for that.
Jet2 have also some ££ advantage in not buying the 737MAX - had they done so then they would have been seriously hurt with paying for ACMI work and cancelled flights. However, used 737NG are simply not now available for more Boeing expansion.

castleford tiger 11th Oct 2019 07:01

Profit upgrade this morning.........
If I were to break into the "over the pond" market it would be our quiet time ,from early November to Easter and cover mainly Mexico and the carabean.

Clearly need the right aircraft.
That said the cost of setting operations up would not add to the bottom line.


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