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-   -   Flybe-9 (https://www.pprune.org/airlines-airports-routes/599822-flybe-9-a.html)

toledoashley 27th Nov 2018 07:10

I would suggest something along the lines of what they did with British Airtours - the same British Airways colourscheme - but title the aircraft 'British European'. Caledonian they did a similar thing with, but revised the branding to include the lion.

PDXCWL45 27th Nov 2018 07:17

Or IAG might just keep them as Flybe? If they buy them.

Sharklet_321 27th Nov 2018 07:34

I like the idea another poster had of making better use of Flybe aircraft for a take-over of the Aer Lingus Regional operation. After all, this should 'ideally' be in-house rather than lining the pockets of a completely separate business (to the group).

Copenhagen 27th Nov 2018 08:39

From a strategic perspective IAG could see value in Flybe as follows

Eliminate competition at LCY.
Bring EI-R and Cityflyer contract flying ‘in-house’
Reduce AMS flows and reorientate to Dublin
BMI slots default back to BA (Would Loganair give it a go?) Tactically, BA could ring fence Flybe Heathrow for domestics such as JER GCI LDY DND rather than EDI ABZ.
Well trained and respected future pilot base for BA and EI.




limited_sight 27th Nov 2018 09:56

Not sure whether this has already been mentioned but in addition to the new LHR-Newquay 4x daily from 31 March 2019 they are adding a fifth rotation on LHR-EDI. This means they will have 12 weekday departures at LHR from Spring 2019.

EI-BUD 27th Nov 2018 15:38

Couple of things here from my perspective;
  • Willie Walsh said at the time of the withdrawal from regional flying that regional flying was better suited to low cost carriers - why would this perspective have changed when the LOCOs are stronger than ever?
  • The non London routes do not fit in terms of a network carrier strategy and on the high volume routes these are again hotly contested
  • Good suggestion that the Flybe vehicle could adopt EIR routes, but these are not up for renewal until 2022/3. What happens in the mean time?
  • For slots sake, LCY and LHR. BA are now contracting Stobart to do some of their flying at LCY. They are unlikely to be pursuing this take over for the sake of an LCY operation the size of a 4 aircraft operation at the airport? Approx.
  • Competition concerns will be raised, BA will not get the domestic slots at LHR, that would open up opportunities for easyJet to access LHR. Easyjet and Ryanair would definitely raise competition concerns, for sure.
The only thing I can think as a driver here is a desire to put tabs on Virgin and their Skyteam connectivity. Moreover, what sort of relationship is emerging between Stobart and BA, could BA be fronting a buyout that could be carved up between BA and Stobart? This would tick many boxes for the two. Including linkage to IAG for Stobart for future opportunities ...

tigertanaka 27th Nov 2018 15:51

No one appears to have mentioned Lufthansa as a potential acquirer. LH group has been quite acquisitive over the years in Central Europe but their UK presence is fairly modest in comparison with say AF/KL. It would also strengthen Star Alliance in the UK as it is clearly the weakest airline grouping here at present.

But then again, maybe they got their fingers burnt with BMI.

AirportPlanner1 27th Nov 2018 17:01

Some fair points by EI-BUD though I would pick up on a couple.

While regional flying outside of London isn’t done by BA currently and is something WW got out of in the past, it doesn’t mean they couldn’t or shouldn’t do it now under the right conditions. For example, if routes or a base (I’m thinking the likes of SOU, EXT) are profitable and aren’t so likely to see LCC competition, why not keep them? There is precedent for this within IAG already, for example EIR have some relatively oddball routes out of ORK and SNN to the UK and France and Air Nostrum/IB Regional fly around regional Spanish cities and the Balearics.

You question a lead-in to 2022 for EIR routes but that isn’t too ridiculous. We’re almost in 2019 already with summer ‘19 on sale, pruning would likely occur in 2020 along with back-office integration, further transition in 2021 and you’re there already.

Sharklet_321 28th Nov 2018 01:01

tigertanaka, surely the disease that is BREXIT will scupper any ideas that mainland European carriers have of investing into UK aviation?

22/04 28th Nov 2018 07:17

Depends what you call European. AF/KL is arguably Delta through the back door.

Skipness One Foxtrot 28th Nov 2018 13:12


It would also strengthen Star Alliance in the UK as it is clearly the weakest airline grouping here at present.
Not really a strategic worry, LH, OS, LX etc all feed their European hubs from the UK and even UNITED have more flights out of LHR than FRA. Each alliance doesn't need to have a based carrier in every market, that's the whole point of the alliance, to feed their hubs via spokes.

AF/KL is arguably Delta though the back door.
<insert your own joke here>

Scottie Dog 28th Nov 2018 16:52

I know Oltonpete was having problems posting spreadsheet data in post #1175 dated 25th November.

I have taken the liberty of reproducing his file as a screenshot......

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....e8fd26361d.png

Hopefully I have done credit to your post, although I notice that you have the Newquay flight going to Newquay, and I'll PM you the full process.

OltonPete 28th Nov 2018 17:49

Flybe
 

Originally Posted by Scottie Dog (Post 10322839)
I know Oltonpete was having problems posting spreadsheet data in post #1175 dated 25th November.

I have taken the liberty of reproducing his file as a screenshot......

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....e8fd26361d.png

Hopefully I have done credit to your post, although I notice that you have the Newquay flight going to Newquay, and I'll PM you the full process.

Cheers Scottie Dog

That looks good and this part of the post was pretty accurate I believe for last Monday, I did slip up on the number of active aircraft - it is 69 with around 3-4 in maintenance but still around 8 and 12 spare although aircraft 11 is back at BHX next week on certain days.

Pete

nigel osborne 29th Nov 2018 20:11

BE and MAEL part company
 
Been reported that Monarch Engineering will no longer provide maintenance for Fly Be.

Allegations that Fly Be fell behind with its payments and MAEL have excluded them .

Big loss of business for MAEL probably 2 or 3 planes a night go through the BHX facility.Still if BE are not keeping up payments MAEL have little choice.

Nigel

Cazza_fly 29th Nov 2018 21:05


Originally Posted by nigel osborne (Post 10323943)
Been reported that Monarch Engineering will no longer provide maintenance for Fly Be.

Allegations that Fly Be fell behind with its payments and MAEL have excluded them .

Big loss of business for MAEL probably 2 or 3 planes a night go through the BHX facility.Still if BE are not keeping up payments MAEL have little choice.

Nigel

Quite different to the reasons why that i have heard and they're nothing to do with Flybe "not keeping up with payments".

I'm sure Flybe will find a new contract soon enough and it may be a nudge to bring more maintenance where possible back in-house. If anything, this going to be a loss for MAEL due to short term restructuring.
Flybe themselves have even gone as far as saying; " Flybe are sympathetic to the many employees of MAEL who may be affected by the loss of work at MAEL and will be offering employment opportunities for engineers at Birmingham and Manchester, increasing the size of Flybe bases at those locations and benefitting from establishing our own comprehensive maintenance operations.”

Reversethrustset 30th Nov 2018 03:24

No Nigel that isn't the reason. The reason is MAEL's issue.

Alwayslistening 30th Nov 2018 05:17


Originally Posted by Reversethrustset (Post 10324182)
No Nigel that isn't the reason. The reason is MAEL's issue.


They have also I believe lost or will soon lose the Boeing contract at Gatwick. MAEL will soon be no more IMO, sadly.

The decision to move some engineering back in house is a good one and outsourcing main bases was never a good idea. Again IMO it is being driven by the main suitor. The figure I have been quoted that Flybe we’re paying MAEL while very high was not something they couldn’t afford. Heaven forbid Flybe we’re trying to find a way to get out of the MAEL as part of the sale transaction...

ATNotts 30th Nov 2018 08:03


Originally Posted by nigel osborne (Post 10323943)
Been reported that Monarch Engineering will no longer provide maintenance for Fly Be.

Allegations that Fly Be fell behind with its payments and MAEL have excluded them .

Big loss of business for MAEL probably 2 or 3 planes a night go through the BHX facility.Still if BE are not keeping up payments MAEL have little choice.

Nigel

If the reason was late payment, then frankly I wouldn't blame MAEL for getting rid of the business. A sale isn't a sale until you've been paid for it!

cornishsimon 30th Nov 2018 09:18

Just curious. How long after a route launch do the codeshares get added ?

have tried to book a connecting flight post April ex NQY and can’t get any connections offered apart from BHX and MAN when we’re after connecting at LHR to JFK

cs

SWBKCB 30th Nov 2018 09:23

Have any codeshares been announced for LHR?

cornishsimon 30th Nov 2018 10:03

There was a tweet from NqY on 22/11 stating that they would have codeshares.

Im sure that the existing BE services operate with codeshare flight numbers ?


cs

TartinTon 30th Nov 2018 17:08


Originally Posted by cornishsimon (Post 10324382)
There was a tweet from NqY on 22/11 stating that they would have codeshares.

Im sure that the existing BE services operate with codeshare flight numbers ?


cs

They do but from LGW. LHR is a new airport with new flights to share on / new IT systems at BE...new testing procedures etc etc. Wouldn't hold your breath for codeshares appearing this side of Christmas.

toledoashley 30th Nov 2018 17:46

Would they not be the same codeshares they have currently on the EDI and ABZ routes?

EastMids 30th Nov 2018 18:16


Originally Posted by toledoashley (Post 10324745)
Would they not be the same codeshares they have currently on the EDI and ABZ routes?

Not necessarily - it depends on what has been agreed between BEE and it's codeshare partners and it doesn't always follow that two airlines will codeshare on every route they operate. Then there can be the thorny issue of prorates to work out if there isn't a blanket agreement between two airlines.

tigertanaka 1st Dec 2018 13:10


Originally Posted by toledoashley (Post 10324745)
Would they not be the same codeshares they have currently on the EDI and ABZ routes?

BA may probably want to code share on NQY (as they do on the NQY-LGW route) but will have no interest on code shares on EDI or ABZ as they fly there themselves. Virgin will want to code share as well for the feed.

Air India, Cathay Pacific, Emirates, Etihad Airways and Singapore Airlines all code share on the Scottish routes. I guess they need to decide decide how much they want to codeshare, considering the feed they can potentially get from NQY and how much their worldwide passengers want to visit Cornwall.

Sharklet_321 1st Dec 2018 14:33

They have beaten off KLM on the Amsterdam route at SOU! Things are looking up at their SOU base then...

Nakata77 1st Dec 2018 15:36

Not if they go to BOH!

PDXCWL45 1st Dec 2018 15:50


Originally Posted by Nakata77 (Post 10325459)
Not if they go to BOH!

I don't see why they would go to BOH. If they can't get enough connecting traffic at SOU i don't see what difference shifting to BOH would make as it's the same area.

Nakata77 2nd Dec 2018 12:02

Will this sale thing be complete before Christmas? Must be concerning for staff...

racedo 2nd Dec 2018 15:21


Originally Posted by Nakata77 (Post 10326105)
Will this sale thing be complete before Christmas? Must be concerning for staff...

No chance, it could be announced but then the bean counters and lawyers start doing their work and it could take months.
Even an agreed sale could collapse if there is something that is hidden in the books.
Witness what happened to WOW from Icelandair last week.

Sale is complete where the 2 companies announce it is complete and not before.

Plane.Silly 3rd Dec 2018 10:22


BA may probably want to code share on NQY (as they do on the NQY-LGW route) but will have no interest on code shares on EDI or ABZ as they fly there themselves
So wouldn't this provide an opportunity if BA take over to concentrate BE solely on the UK domestic market. They could get BE to operate these routes for them instead, freeing up their own metal for other, more lucrative routes

Navpi 3rd Dec 2018 10:33


Originally Posted by cornishsimon (Post 10324332)
Just curious. How long after a route launch do the codeshares get added ?

have tried to book a connecting flight post April ex NQY and can’t get any connections offered apart from BHX and MAN when we’re after connecting at LHR to JFK

cs

just curious CS, with numerous New York options available ex Manchester why Heathrow?

Reversethrustset 3rd Dec 2018 10:47

Plane Silly, it's not BA that will take over, but IAG. Fundamentally the take over, if it happens has nothing to do with BA.

tigertanaka 3rd Dec 2018 14:45


Originally Posted by Plane.Silly (Post 10326753)
So wouldn't this provide an opportunity if BA take over to concentrate BE solely on the UK domestic market. They could get BE to operate these routes for them instead, freeing up their own metal for other, more lucrative routes

Maybe they could operate LBA-LHR or a couple of the Cityflyer routes out of LCY but the general consensus seems to be that you can't make money at Heathrow with small planes. All of BA's LHR/LGW domestic routes are operated using A319/320/321s which have between 143 and 218 seats. FlyBe's biggest plane seats 118 people but the bulk of the fleet are the 78 seat Q400s. Swapping over would mean a big drop in passengers but would not free up any slots at LHR for BA to fly to new destinations.

EastMids 3rd Dec 2018 15:42

The problem - as has already been stated - is that the slots Flybe is using at LHR are remedies from the IAG/bmi takeover, and if they are relinquished by Flybe they would be made available for another airline to use to Aberdeen, Edinburgh, etc. It seems likely that IAG/BA would be subject to attention from the Competition and Markets Authority should it acquire Flybe.

Skipness One Foxtrot 3rd Dec 2018 15:44


just curious CS, with numerous New York options available ex Manchester why Heathrow?
Numerous? Ohh bagso, for last summer we had
From MAN :
VS JFK
UA EWR
TCX JFK
Total 3 daily? Am I missing some more MT perhaps?

From LHR :
UA EWR x 5
BA EWR x 2
BA JFK x 8
AA JFK x 4
DL JFK x 2
VS JFK x 6
VS EWR x 1
Total = 28 daily
* exludes AI LHR-EWR now canned

On frequency (and price in Y) you can have UA or VS out of LHR with more options than MAN.

racedo 3rd Dec 2018 16:16


Originally Posted by Plane.Silly (Post 10326753)
So wouldn't this provide an opportunity if BA take over to concentrate BE solely on the UK domestic market. They could get BE to operate these routes for them instead, freeing up their own metal for other, more lucrative routes

Bearing in mind how BA had to exit its domestic service because of losses all those years ago. What has changed that will make it more profitable for them ?

The96er 3rd Dec 2018 16:23


Originally Posted by racedo (Post 10326964)
Bearing in mind how BA had to exit its domestic service because of losses all those years ago. What has changed that will make it more profitable for them ?

The BA regional operation of old was saddled with high legacy cost that have largely been stripped away over the years. At the time, it was easier to just cut loose completely rather than to enact wholesale cost reduction exercises.

AirportPlanner1 3rd Dec 2018 17:37


Originally Posted by EastMids (Post 10326944)
The problem - as has already been stated - is that the slots Flybe is using at LHR are remedies from the IAG/bmi takeover, and if they are relinquished by Flybe they would be made available for another airline to use to Aberdeen, Edinburgh, etc. It seems likely that IAG/BA would be subject to attention from the Competition and Markets Authority should it acquire Flybe.

Although if BA used the remedy slots for MAN/ABZ/EDI etc, could they then use some of their own MAN/ABZ/EDI slots for those destinations?

EastMids 3rd Dec 2018 17:49


Originally Posted by AirportPlanner1 (Post 10327049)
Although if BA used the remedy slots for MAN/ABZ/EDI etc, could they then use some of their own MAN/ABZ/EDI slots for those destinations?

The slots Flybe are using for ABZ, EDI and NQY were taken from IAG/BA by the competition authorities when IAG acquired BMI. I cannot see any way that those slots would be allowed to go back to BA again (or to another member of the IAG group) even if BA/IAG/Flybe said they were still going to be used on ABZ/EDI/NQY - at least not until other airlines had been given ample opportunity to pitch for them. Those slots were released to enable competition, and competition is usually not allowed to be stifled by a corporate takeover by one of the competing parties. At best, an IAG acquisition of Flybe is likely to be LHR slot-neutral for BA and IAG.


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