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Old 15th Oct 2015, 21:38
  #3081 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by rutankrd
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 with some sort of announcement. I'll bet 50p it's the long awaited route to China
Hold that thought for a while = Far more likely general comments about investment in the Airport City project.

The President doesn't normally announce air treaties.

That's why I only put 50p on it

That said though, mutterings are...ahhhh, just lets wait and see, been too many false dawns on the subject already.
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Old 15th Oct 2015, 23:09
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Summer 2016

Looking ahead for route announcements already for 2016 it looks like 2015 has been another pretty good year. When you think about where we were just after the financial crash of 2008 when even Jet2 were tetrenching back to Leeds the turnaround has been amazing! We now have direct flights to Hong Kong, Los Angeles, Boston as well as Madrid, Vienna, Oporto, Riga and we are even about to get 'exotic' short haul routes like Brindisi I think the recovery has been fantastic!:-)
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 01:53
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According to ACL dual runway ops on Sundays moves from 15.00-18.59 to 12.00-15.59 for summer 16.
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 08:23
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The ACL slot report for W15 is out.
The report on ATMs Allocation by Operator, including available seats, only covers airlines A-M as far as I can see. Anyway, the figure that stands out for me in that section is easyjet with just under 20% more seats.
Incidentally, on the page listing 'New' and major changes for w2015/16, it has RYR as 6 x daily. I thought it was the same for s2016 but the schedules on the RYR web site were now only showing 5 x daily when I checked again recently. (edit: yes, the 15.15 departure in winter not showing for s2016). Still, unless all the frequency increases and new routes are to be operated by away based a/c I imagine the program will require one extra based.

So far, not a bad summer ahead.
It certainly is. I didn't list TCX to BOS & LAX as they were announced a few months ago. It was the more recent ones I was unsure about. Jet2's 3 new routes had passed me by, or more likely, just a memory loss!

Last edited by MANFOD; 16th Oct 2015 at 08:34.
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 09:13
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MANFOD,

I think it's been established that Ryanair will be at least 1 extra based for the whole of summer 16. The programme looks about done, so, unlikely we will see 2 extra based. Brindisi and Malta will be run by aircraft from those bases, Bratislava will be run off a Manchester based aircraft.

Due to the large scale expansion of Spanish services , and the 3 new routes, unless we see any more new away based routes, I think the S16 programme for Ryanair is about done.
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 11:31
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Easyjet to fly to Stuttgart according to Carolyn McCall
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 14:09
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I think it's been established that Ryanair will be at least 1 extra based for the whole of summer 16.
Thanks LAX_LHR. I seem to recall that this summer was 7 based initially but 8 in August when extra frequencies were added. Does it therefore look like 9 based for s2016?

Easyjet to fly to Stuttgart according to Carolyn McCall
Is that a general comment or do you mean specifically MAN-STR?
Interesting if they were to compete with RYR on it, although personally I would have thought there were one or two unserved German cities that might be viable.

[quote Nantes to be a new Easyjet route for Manchester next summer. Not bookable yet.][/quote]

When trying to catch up, I saw this from the 8th Oct. with some subsequent posts about the LPL service. Is this still likely?

With reference to the Chinese visit next Friday, do we know for certain there is an 'event' at the airport in the evening, or is the President simply flying out from MAN after having dinner with Cameron at the Etihad?
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 17:35
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MANFOD

Based on the current FR published timetable for S2016 8 based aircraft are required. As LAX-LHR says it is unlikely to rise. There maybe room for the odd additional flight on based aircraft but that is all. Additional by non based is always possible.
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 18:44
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Cathay Pacific suffered in September... their loads were only around 86%.
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 21:13
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September CAA Provisional Stats

The CX Load Factor that Ringwayman mentions was similar to those of some of the other long haul routes:

ATL +8% / LF 85.6%

ORD +7% / LF 82.1%

MIA n/a / LF 87%

JFK +184% LF 92% (AA, DL, TCX flights only and assumes nil pax for PIA)

EWR -1% / LF 93.2%

PHL -16% / LF 75.4%

IAD -11% / LF 83.7% (based on reduction to 5 x wkly from end of first week. if it was 6 wkly or happened later, then LF is lower)

Also worth noting, LAS was up 42% and MCO 12%

Non-US routes LF or Average Loads A/L

EK +5% / LF 86.3% (assumes b777 flights were all 3 class)

EY +4% / AL 327

QR +45% / AL 209

SQ +13% / AL 188

SV +65% / AL 226

TK +45% / AL 150 (based on 3 flights daily - is the 3rd flight daily?)

Overall, good or pretty reasonable with 1 exception I would say. The usual proviso of all flights operating and my calculations being right!

Egyptair was down 10% but not sure how frequency compared.

Have not worked out Canada but Toronto was up a lot, Calgary down slightly and Vancouver flat.

Last edited by MANFOD; 17th Oct 2015 at 08:01.
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Old 16th Oct 2015, 21:27
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The 3rd SAS flight to Copenhagen is bookable through the summer season. It moves from the CRJ900 to A320 on all but the Wednesday flight, so, increases again.

Oslo is also daily, as opposed to 6 weekly. Stockholm is 9 weekly and Bergen remains 2 weekly.
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 08:23
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I'm upping my bet on the Chinese visit revealing a MAN - China route from 50p to a pound. My confidence in it happening has doubled
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 08:28
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Business desk North West is reporting that the visit to Manchester Airport may include a new Chinese route announcement.

They are normally a bit better and on the ball for airport news, with minimal sensationalism and speculation.

One to watch it seems.
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 08:30
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If it does happen, Hainan or Air China? Is it worth another bet eggc??
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 08:45
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I'm going to put money on Air China.

Purely because they hold the route authorities at the China end, is being announced by the President so he's more likely to promote the national carrier, and, as seen as the UK doesn't have a 1 airline per route rule, the UK government could easily grant CA the permissions at this end.

Just my 2 cents.
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 09:45
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I certainly do not know for sure, but I'd go with LAX_LHR, Air China my quid would go on for the same reasons stated. Interesting LAX_LHR has found something in the public domain sort of backing up the "rumblings". It would make perfect sense from a PR point of view to announce a route like this, with the nations media watching. Be an interesting week next week, and should anything be announced MAN's S16 could be even better than already discussed.
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 10:28
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Yes, I tend to agree with you both for the reasons LAX gave.

I hope the last day of the State visit when the President is in Manchester does get national coverage as well as in the North West. The BBC is particular can be a bit unpredictable in that regard.
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 10:57
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Buckingham Palace release further details ahead of upcoming Chinese State Visit | Royal Central

Looking at the itinerary, it looks like 3 days in London and then a full day in Manchester Friday, presumably after flying up late Thursday. Again there is reference to an 'event' at the airport.
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 11:41
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A new service would be good news as indeed would be some momentum on Airport City. We are actually now 2 years on from that announcement so some new buildings going up North side would be grest news.

If we get a date let's hope some joined up thinking between MAG, the airline and the Chinese tourist agency who run the Birmingham flights is put in place ASAP.
Some great tourist opportunities to be exploited.
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Old 17th Oct 2015, 11:44
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A known event is the official launch of construction of Airport City, the question is will there be anything to add to this news story...
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