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Old 29th Mar 2012, 11:19
  #701 (permalink)  
 
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Beardy quite specifically doesn't mention UK domestic;
Virgin Atlantic, based in Crawley, England, said in the statement that it would use any “remedy slots” that it may acquire from IAG, as part of regulatory clearance, on routes where British Airways would otherwise hold a monopoly.
eg Heathrow to Phoenix?
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 12:28
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Virgin did say around the time they asked for an investigation that they would start regional flying if the deal was blocked/remedied. Also I believe it is the EC who will decide which routes will be covered and that I think that any airline taking those slots will have to commit to flying those routes for a certain period of time, I think it 2 years minimum????
I believe they can then use those slots as they wish.

Last edited by The Cleaner; 29th Mar 2012 at 12:43.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 12:39
  #703 (permalink)  
 
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So, If the EU blocks the deal is bmi expected to continue operating at a loss to prevent BA having a monopoly on certain routes, who exactly will subsidise these routes!?? Or will the company just fold, the slots go back into the pool!! Di^khe£ds! Yeah I'm sure EVERYBODY wants to start up loss making European and Domestic routes at the moment!!
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 13:22
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I am curious as to what I am reading about the "remedy" slots.

Is it correct that the remedy slots must be used for their specified purpose for a minimum of two years, after which they can be employed for any purpose ? So in theory they could be redeployed after two years as longhaul slots if the timings were suitable and then could they be sold on the open market, netting a handsome potential profit for the original beneficiary ? It might even make domestic losses bearable for two years .

Or would there be a prohibition on their sale or trade in perpetuity because they were allocated free as remedy slots, i.e. they could only be returned to the airport authority ?

Welcome comment anyone with a good knowledge of the system.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 13:23
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does anyone know which website the official EU statement will first appear on?
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 13:42
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Originally Posted by Cyrano

Typically how it works is this. The purpose of the slot release is to ensure competition on a given route. Therefore the slots are only usable for that route (let's say LHR-EDI). The bidding airline gets the slots for free, on condition that they are used on the route in question. You can't take the slots and then turn around after a week and say "oh, we want to use them for LHR-JFK instead". The regulator may appoint a "monitoring trustee" (law firm or similar) to ensure the slots are used appropriately.

For a good example, see the EC's judgement on the Lufthansa takeover of Brussels Airlines (PDF). It's a long document (but an example of the level of detail that typically goes into the analysis) but most relevant for your question are pages 118 onward, the commitments (= the proposed remedies). You'll see (section 439, page 120) that a new entrant gets to keep the slots ("grandathering rights") after a certain number of seasons, i.e. after that period, the slots can be used for alternative routes if the original plan isn't working out.

Note also (and this is relevant for IAG/bmi too) page 120 onwards also describes the other commitments, e.g. interlining/SPA provisions for connecting passengers.

I think this is a reasonable template of what we could expect as conditions for approval of the IAG/bmi deal.


Hope this helps
C.
I'm going on this post I read a while ago!

No guarantees on accuracy :-) .
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 16:01
  #707 (permalink)  
 
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Do these slots have to go to a UK airline (I've looked, but can't find anything that says that that they must)? Is there anything to stop Lufthansa bidding for LHR-EDI and feeding in to Star Alliance services? It would be rather ironic if LH were to pick up for free what they had just sold to IAG.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 16:25
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Or they go to Granite feeding Star into LHR or Virgin gets regional to operate into LHR from Scotland or part of regional no doubt supported by the SNP ?

Just have to wait and see the detail tomorrow or Monday
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 17:15
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I don't think Granite are going to be part of any plans, since they don't seem to have actually been able to buy Regional. I would be stunned if Regional wasn't simply part of the deal with IAG now.

The Scottish Government can't really get involved in funding themselves, though they have various entities that might be able to help. However, the idea that Alex Salmond would put his money where is mouth is over this, is I'm afraid unlikely.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 18:17
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Do these slots have to go to a UK airline

My feeling is that they would be open to ANY EU airline.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 19:29
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Question

Lotta talk about Virgin Operating short haul to places like Scotland but after BA take over BMI,
Which other airline is there with a lot of slots and a short haul operation?
Which other airline currently serves UK domestic traffic from LHR ?


Aer Lingus !


Can't wait see how the EU carve this up.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 19:41
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Does it not work that the company with he slots (BA/IAG) have to agree to give up those slots for that particular route to any competitor that wishes to enter the market? Therefore if no airline comes forward the slots are not given up. I believe this is what happened when Lufti took over Brussels airlines. Slots offered on 4 routes, 2 years later no airline had taken up the slots and they went back to lufti. The slots certainly won't be forced onto any airline. Correct me (I am sure someone will) if I am wrong.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 19:50
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Quick question

If Virgin was to get 14 slot pairs for domestics/short haul routes out of Heathrow would these slots be spread over the day. Say one arrival and departure every hour through the day, Or would they be in batches of say 3/4 flights arriving and departing at the same a time which would require them to acquire at least maybe 4x or 5x aircraft?
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 19:53
  #714 (permalink)  
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I don't think Lufthansa have taken over Brussels Airlines. My understanding is that they own 45% and have some kind of option to acquire more at some point.

Why couldn't Lufthansa retain Regional and use it to operate the routes in question to compete with IAG? They have bases at LHR, MAN, EDI and ABZ although would presumably only need a bigger type. Having said that I believe that Aberdeen has been operated exclusively by the Embraer for some time now, maybe to make a smaller loss than if it were to be operated by an Airbus.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 20:03
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I hope Virgin get the slots for the Scottish routes, Sir Dickie will be in a right dilemma then. How he ever thought he'd be taken seriously by offering less than a third that IAG did for bmi.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 20:20
  #716 (permalink)  
 
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Ok so the full Lufthansa ownership maybe incorrect but the slot sacrifice was ordered on 4 routes but no airlines entered the routes so they never had to be released and now they have been retined. I hope virgin stick to what they do well being long haul and leave the domestic slots alone. The best outcome would be BA fly the slots and a regulator monitors the prices charged. I think the evidence shows these route into LHR cannot support two carriers.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 21:06
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VS LHR-Scotland ? eh, no, I shouldn't have thought so and if they do it will be suicide.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 21:14
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To all bmi crew

Best of luck for tomorrow, I am ex BD ground staff from T1 (94-96). I truly hope everything turns out positive for you all.
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 22:19
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Why couldn't Lufthansa retain Regional and use it to operate the routes in question to compete with IAG? They have bases at LHR, MAN, EDI and ABZ although would presumably only need a bigger type. Having said that I believe that Aberdeen has been operated exclusively by the Embraer for some time now, maybe to make a smaller loss than if it were to be operated by an Airbus.
Logic plays no role in this whole deal. I dont expect DLH to start using anything like common sense anytime soon. Regional, and if Baby has not been sold, will both be rolled into the IAG deal. What happens after that is open to interpretation...

The Scottish Government can't really get involved in funding themselves, though they have various entities that might be able to help. However, the idea that Alex Salmond would put his money where is mouth is over this, is I'm afraid unlikely.
Governments are barred under EU law from funding airlines, Malev is an example of what happens when money is channeled directly in and then forcibly repaid...but you knew that
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Old 29th Mar 2012, 22:57
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Why couldn't Lufthansa retain Regional and use it to operate the routes in question to compete with IAG?
Whom would they connect with at Heathrow, when these places have links already to their other hubs?

All the best to everyone tomorrow.
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