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Mr. optimistic So you think they knew they were stalled ? The second stall warning was honored with the stall recovery procedure by applying TOGA thrust, however pitch reduction was again either not applied correctly or not applied enough or other reasons (cant think of any though besides of thrust, which i myself cant qualify, although it is of concern in oficial airbus publications dealing with new stall recovery procedure) caused the pitch to increase to 16°. What else than a reaction to the stall warning should have motivated the crew to apply TOGA thrust? |
'What else then a reaction to the stall warning should have motivated the crew to apply TOGA thrust?'
'If they were unaware of Stall, they would select TOGA exactly, why?' I am not convinced they knew/thought/suspected they were continuously stalled. Perhaps belief in the reliability of the messages and warnings left them and in a fog of doubt they tried to 'climb out'. Nose up and lots of thrust. What was in their minds ...structural anomaly, inexpliable control faults, heavy icing...we don't know, but....... Edit: 'We have no valid indications...' was it ? Not we are still stalled or try this, that or the other. Yes I know the CVR was heavily parsed but without use of the word 'stall' I think the first question is did they know, and perhaps the second may be, knowing that why did they........... |
Mr Optimistic I am not convinced they knew/thought/suspected they were continuously stalled. Perhaps belief in the reliability of the messages and warnings left them and in a fog of doubt they tried to 'climb out'. Nose up and lots of thrust. It´s one of the first lessons learned with TS and buildups: Don´t try to outclimb one, it might rise faster than your machine is able to climb. Aditionally, there was no danger from below or from the FL they where flying at, which would have disappeared when flying 2000 feet higher. At least i dont know one. An intentional climb is a "no option" for my thinking. |
Also this was posted before, i think it is appropriate to look at this article again.
Some points out of it: The value of the AoA SW depends on the Mach number. At high Mach number, the AoA SW is set at a value such that the warning occurs just before encountering the pitch up effect and the buffeting. Typically, in cruise at high Mach number and high altitude, at or close to the maximum recommended FL, there is a small margin between the actual cruise AoA and the AoA STALL. Hence, in ALTERNATE or DIRECT LAW, the margin with the AoA SW is even smaller Equally, in similar high FL cruise conditions, in particular at turbulence speed, if the pilot makes significant longitudinal inputs, it is not unlikely that it reaches the AoA SW value. For those reasons, when in ALTERNATE or DIRECT LAW, it is recommended to fly at a cruise flight level lower than the maximum recommended. A 4,000 ft margin is to be considered. Then, for the same cruise Mach number, the IAS will be higher, the AoA will be lower, and therefore the AoA margin towards AoA SW will be significantly increased. A practical exercise done in flight in DIRECT LAW on an A340-600 and well reproduced in the simulator consists in performing a low altitude level flight deceleration at idle until the SW is triggered, and then to push the THR levers to TOGA while continuing to pull on the stick in order to maintain the altitude. The results of such a manoeuvre are: q In clean configuration, even if the pilot reacts immediately to the SW by commanding TOGA, when the thrust actually reaches TOGA (20 seconds later), the aircraft stalls. This shows that increasing the thrust at the SW in order to increase the speed and hence to decrease the AOA is not the proper reaction in many cases (this will be developed in the following chapter). In addition, it is to be noticed that, at high altitude, the effect of the thrust increase on the speed rise is very slow, so that the phenomenom described above for the clean configuration is exacerbated. Obviously, such a procedure leads to potentially unrecoverable situations if it is applied once the aircraft has reached the aerodynamic stall (see next chapter). Even if the traditional procedure can work in certain conditions if the pilot reacts immediately to the SW, or if he is not too adamant on keeping the altitude, the major issue comes from the fact that once the Stall Warning threshold has been crossed, it is difficult to know if the aircraft is still approaching to stall or already stalled. Difference between an approach to stall and an actual stall is not easy to determine, even for specialists. The AoA decrease may be obtained indirectly by increasing the speed, but adding thrust in order to increase the speed leads to an initial adverse longitudinal effect, which trends to increase further the AoA (fig. 4). It is important to know that if such a thrust increase was applied when the aircraft is already stalled, the longitudinal effect would bring the aircraft further into the stall, to a situation possibly unrecoverable Well, enough said from my point of view, i´ll go back to my armchair, hope i didn´t produce too much garbage. |
Yes, I see that. As SLF who am I to know, however climb is exactly what they did in the first instance and subsequently they were faced with rapidly unwinding height by which time their previous height limit was a fading memory. Two possiblities then, they were stalled, knew it and didn't begin to start a plausible recovery owing to what.....bad training/inappropriate SOP's, bad execution or second, didn't get the diagnosis right and were then flummoxed ? Had the Captain got all the facts when he returned (about which there is doubt) perhaps he could have illuminated the fog. If (biggish if I grant you), even he couldn't get at least a timely start to a stall recovery going isn't the simplest explanation that they didn't realise they were stalled ?
Sorry, just saw the subsequent post ! |
Be patient
Greetings,
I keep asking myself (slegde hammer)... Why don´t we wait till friday or even more... Read what the ppl involved in this investigation have to say? We haven´t that much data so far... Neither did those involved ever sinds 2009 till now... I hope you stop fighting each other, coz the goal is to solve the problem... Nothing else. You will contribute to that goal (and you already did without notice), by thinking toghether, not the other way around... |
Challenging ones teachers
If I may briefly chime in and then return to lurking: In my own profession of medicine we strongly encourage students to challenge old dogmas and procedures; in so doing they really can wrap their heads around why "the rules" evolved the way they did. More often than not, in surgery/aviation lessons learned are hard won, and sometimes fatally so. Rules of thumb can help when one is overwhelmed with sensory input from sophisticated technology.
As time goes on, and our understanding of deeper mechanisms evolves, so can our hard learned drills and emergency procedures. IMHO this needs to happen slowly and cautiously with attention to what has been learned in the past. |
Hello averow.
Unfortunately, all too often the attention paid to sincere questions is directly proportional to the standing of the questioner. To the extent that this is not so, your post is compelling. Surgery especially has a relationship to your sentiments; for a long standing aviation protocol has been given some attention in the last few years. Briefly, the Operating room is starting to be understood as a sort of flight deck, where decisions and actions are critical, and time sensitive, to put it mildly. Two concepts are assigned a new perspective: CRM, and Lists. Cockpit Resource Management, and the checklist. Perhaps a PM, I was recently deleted for mentioning an object that I assume is available at some price. |
As I'm sure you both know, Dr. (and writer) Atul Gawande's work has been important in this regard.
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BEA 3rd report out on Friday
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Hi,
In a simulator test .. the plane was recoverable .... Press "France Infos" (french) Pour France Info, notre spécialiste aéronautique, Frédéric Béniada, a pu lors d’une séance en simulateur de vol, revivre minute par minute le scénario de la catastrophe. Il nous livre ses conclusions. |
Is there an English version of this anywhere??
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Originally Posted by jcjeant
(Post 6601663)
Hi,
In a simulator test .. the plane was recoverable .... Press "France Infos" (french) And we've already been through the difference between the simulator and the plane in that part of the flight envelope. |
Hi;
No. The author (pilot?) states clearly they succeeded in recovering the simulator from the 'stall' because they knew exactly what was happening. He does not say tne plane was recoverable in reality. How does the pilots "in reality" don't know they are in a stalling aircraft ? Airbus instruments and systems are wrong to the point to not show valuables indications to the pilots ? Are the Airbus simulators better than the real thing ? The pilots in the simulators were able to see they were in a stalling aircraft .. why not the AF pilots ? The conclusion anyways reality or not is a good point for Airbus .... |
I listened to the conversation and to me it is not clear what they are getting to... A lot of talking but no clear answers.
The one theme that does come back a lot is the relationship or interface between aircraft and humans and how Airbus may have to rethink it big time. It seems the two pilots perhaps three when the captain comes back into the cockpit didn't know what was going on or what was wrong. They were confused and did not know how to solve the problem(s) and how to apply a solution to get them out of it. At one point they say the aircraft stalled but then say the systems worked because the Airbus cannot stall? Apparently they had access to the cockpit transcripts because they say you can hear the "Stall warning" and that there was no panic in the cockpit all was calm and professional. They claim from their test in the sim that the crew had about only 40 seconds to figure out and save the aircraft that after that they were going to go for a ride until it crashed. Not being an Airbus pilot I am totally shocked that these pilots did not know they were in a high altitude stall scenario and could not just apply common sense and fly the aircraft out of it. What is it with the Airbus that a pilot cannot just push the nose over to a 5 degree nose down and apply MCT and fly out of this stall? BTW, one of their so called aeronautic experts is a pilot but there is no mention of his background/experience or what type of license he holds and if he is typed on any aircraft in the conversation. The other is or was at one point an Airbus 330 pilot but that's all we know. I guess it would be prudent to take what is said in this conversation with a grain of salt because there are a lot of unknowns. Best wait for the July 29th report from BEA. |
Originally Posted by Jet Jockey A4
(Post 6602014)
BTW, one of their so called aeronautic experts is a pilot but there is no mention of his background/experience or what type of license he holds and if he is typed on any aircraft in the conversation. The other is or was at one point an Airbus 330 pilot but that's all we know.
I guess it would be prudent to take what is said in this conversation with a grain of salt because there are a lot of unknowns. Feldzer did fly as an Airbus captain... then became director of the Le Bourget museum. Now retired, and mostly known as a "talking head"/"expert" the moment French TV needs one. He's the one that came up with the moronic idea of starting up the engines of one of the French museum Concordes.... which should give you an idea of his "technical competence". |
Originally Posted by CONF iture (in the other thread)
(Post 6602046)
france info
[...] Also a desire to 'protect' the Airbus technology to the public eyes ... ? "The airplane did not stall, il s'est enfoncé (it has gone deep ?), thanks to the protections." "The protections have been effective but not understood by the pilots." - the aircraft did stall - most of the protections were inop (ALT LAW + rejected ADRs) However, I think it's more a -very poorly phrased- attempt of vulgarization. Which by the way will indeed somehow "protect" the aircraft maker reputation, for sure. In french, "décrocher" (to stall) may be heard as a "violent" phenomenon to the general public. OTOH "s'enfoncer" (to sink) is a "softer" thing... and may be more "meaningful" to an uneducated ear (no offense). And protections seem to stand for some flight laws/FBW features, here (i.e. maintaining pitch when stick is released and/or maintaining 1g)... Bad phrasing again, using a precise, technically meaningful word in an "oblique" sense. I listened to the entire interview (thanks for the link) and did not learn much (if not nothing). It is clearly intended for the "general public", hence my interpretation above. Too bad one doesn't think it's worth to explain correctly... I'm sure it's possible, with a little (more?) goodwill. ------ @ jcjeant : "The pilots in the simulators were able to see they were in a stalling aircraft .. why not the AF pilots ?" That's not what is said. It is said they (those who take a sim tour) were able to recover because they knew [by the briefing] what was going on. Not because they saw it [from the instruments]. (my comments between [brackets]) I think your other (previous) questions were purely rethorical ones, and don't call for an answer. :) |
Hi,
The press again .... They tell they had access to parts of the BEA report to be published in few hours.. AF*447*: le rapport d'enquête met en cause l'équipage* - Yahoo! Actualités I read that the less experimented pilot was the PF .. I read also that this crew had not have adequate training for the situation encountered by AF447 (loss of speed indications) Read also that all commands of the pilot were perfectly executed by the plane system And also read that never the crew know they were in a stall situation Again and again all fingers are pointing to the lack of training of the pilots and some errors made in the event. And immediate reaction of a AF union (Alter) Les accusations contre les pilotes du Rio-Paris relancées - Le Point Wait and see .... |
Originally Posted by jcjeant
(Post 6602729)
And immediate reaction of a AF union (Alter)
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You've got to wonder what goes on at Google Translate when the following is submitted for translation into English and German.
Le Figaro a obtenu, en avant-première, des éléments de l'investigation sur le vol Rio-Paris.
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It seems a lot of people are making last minute statements before the report tomorrow. I agree with most of them because we have been saying that for months. Saying, I told you so, tomorrow, isn't much help right now.
Tomorrow, hopefully, we will get a meaningful report then we can talk about it with some facts. |
Tomorrow, hopefully, we will get a meaningful report then we can talk about it with some facts. |
Again and again all fingers are pointing to the lack of training of the pilots and some errors made in the event. Wait and see .... For me the big question is why they chose the general nose up stick input with aparently PFD showing pitch already at +16 deg and a/s below Vs. Was the final hole to line up in the swiss cheese the stall alarm inhibited at <60kts? |
Yes, that is how it was done.
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Well, I guess this is all the extra information we are going to get. 'The aeroplane behaved perfectly, the pilots just stuffed up (now including the captain)........' etc. etc.
My French is well over fifty years old, like the rest of me, so I had to depend on 'Google-translate' for the main text. But I'll offer a personal translation for the title - colloquially speaking, "AF 447 : les pilotes en ligne de mire" probably translates best as "AF447 : the pilots to cop the s**t." "The BEA will present a new report Friday. The crew would be called into question, according to Le Figaro. The third report by the BEA on the exact circumstances of the accident flight Rio-Paris is expected and feared. The aim is to shed light on the main stages of the disaster that led the Flight 447 to disappear on 1 June 2009 with 228 people on board. Even before its publication on Friday at 14h, the pilots' unions are on the frontlines to expose their responsibilities would be allocated by the Office of inquiry and analysis. The crew never realized that the aircraft had stalled According to The Figaro.fr, the report released Friday is mainly because the crew. The BEA will provide Friday on "new facts derived from the exploitation of data from flight recorders." And, according to Le Figaro, "the crew never realized that the aircraft had stalled and has never applied the appropriate maneuvers." "When the captain, who had gone to rest, came back in the cockpit, his two colleagues told him about technical problems but have never talked about dropping out, provides a framework for Air France on a daily basis. Commander edge has never been able to save the situation. " "Fragmented elements and gearboxes," says the BEA Even before the report, the BEA has responded, saying "these elements were fragmented and gear." "It's certainly not accusing the crew as it made it mean that we have the chain of causes and Friday, the BEA will say," we understood everything we needed to that the accident does not happen again, "said a spokesman for the BEA, the investigating technique. The BEA had presented the film in late May of last moments of flight with an initial analysis of black boxes rescued. This first study had pointed to the failure of the Pitot probes, depriving the pilots of the velocity measurements of the device. But investigators have always felt that this could not explain alone the accident. The union Alter advance another hypothesis about the causes of the accident: a failure of the flight computers manufactured by Airbus. "One wonders, after analysis, if not the flight computers that brought the plane to stall," said William Pollard." |
One point of confusion in the cockpit can be attributed to the fact that the stall warning ceases to warn below 60 kts. There is evidence that the pilot at the controls at one point pushed the stick forward to lower the nose, and when the plane accelerated to over 60 kts, the stall warning started up again.
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Which particular 60knots are we addressing? Indicated, or TAS? Time?
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I'd have thought that there are at least two occasions, bearfoil - both IAS:-
1. the initial upset at the top of the 'zoom climb' - warning sounds, pilot applies TO/GA power, warning stops. 2. The attempted recovery (to quote the BEA 'note'):- "At 2 h 12 min 02, the PF said "I don’t have any more indications", and the PNF said "we have no valid indications". At that moment, the thrust levers were in the IDLE detent and the engines’ N1’s were at 55%. Around fifteen seconds later, the PF made pitch-down inputs. In the following moments, the angle of attack decreased, the speeds became valid again and the stall warning sounded again." For all we know, that led the pilot(s) to try the TO/GA thing all over again? In that connection, just noticed something else; the next entry in the 'note' is timed one minute and thirty seconds LATER than the one I just quoted - but the BEA tells us nothing at all about what happened during that period:- "At 2 h 13 min 32, the PF said "we’re going to arrive at level one hundred"."
Leading to the conclusion that the attempted recovery was made MUCH higher than I, at any rate, have been thinking up to now? As a minimum, let's hope that the BEA publishes a full CVR transcript,'fills all the gaps' in the narrative, and above all explains not only why the THS went to 'full up' in the first place; but also why, more important, it stayed at full up even though the pilot had begun making nosedown inputs. If they don't, IMO it'll be clear evidence that a cover-up on the grand scale is in progress. |
Airbus chief pilot critical of AF crew
This has not yet hit the English speaking media. From Die Welt: Airbus chief pilot Ferando Alonso (sic) critizises the AF crew for not applying proper procedure by inducing a climb twice as steep as indicated and failing to react to the stall warning for 50 seconds.
German speakers: Air-France-Absturz: Crew von Todesflug AF 447 missachtete Flugregeln - Nachrichten Panorama - Weltgeschehen - WELT ONLINE |
Looks like pilot error!
Google translation of "Le Figaro" leak: The night of 31 May to 1 June 2009, the captain left the cockpit to 2:01 to go to rest and is replaced by a co-pilot takes his place on the left. When the Pitot probes frosting and the autopilot disconnects 2:10, the configuration of the crew is as follows. The captain is out of the cockpit, what is allowed during a flight "enhanced" (with three drivers). The less experienced co-pilot, who sits on the right is "driver based": it gets the control of the aircraft. The second co-pilot (Pilot Officer reinforcement) seated on the left is "driver not on" his mission is to manage failures and to provide information to his colleague. Just after the autopilot disconnect, the pilot on the right gives a first-rate nose-which raises the unit up to 37,500 feet. At this altitude, the risk of dropping out, that is to say the loss of lift of the aircraft and so his fall is very important. The pilot should never have to mount the unit at that altitude. It seems that at this moment, "the event Pitot" is completed. The device found consistent speeds and just then the pilot to manually maintain the trajectory and the altitude of the aircraft to avoid the accident that follows. The loss of information anemometer was only temporary. "My colleague had to panic" The co-pilot seated on the left loses precious seconds to call the captain who is out of position. It activates an alarm located on top of his head and loses sight of the display failure. He does not see his colleague maintains an order to pitch, that is to say, continues to pull the handle, the opposite of what to do. This action is out of the plane's flight envelope: it picks up and drops into the ocean. "This maneuver is totally incomprehensible, said an Air France pilot. My colleague had to panic. "During the fall of the device, the first officer maintains his order to pitch despite a few trials in the other direction, exacerbating the situation and prevent the aircraft to find the lift. The procedure in force at that time at Air France said to the throttle and reduce the incidence, that is to say, to push the handle. The co-pilot put the throttle but runs the opposite of what to do with the handle despite the impact of an alarm "Stall" stall for almost a minute. When the captain entered the cockpit, neither pilot talks stall him. They tell him about technical problems and tell him they do not understand. The captain is unable to analyze the situation and help his two colleagues. Seconds before impact, the pilot takes the controls on the left. But it's too late, he can not do anything. "This scenario raises the question of the level of the crew, says one expert. Either it was a bad crew and we need to understand how this could be possible for Air France, its level was compared to other standard crew of the company and so is the training and recruitment that will be questioned . 'In the pilot, we are reminded that certain formations, especially the control in icing conditions at high altitudes, came after the 447 despite twelve reported incidents of Pitot probes in-house. |
RWA’s translation included: "Fragmented elements and gearboxes," says the BEA
Could this be a mistranslation which should be “transmission”? I don’t see how “gearbox” makes sense in this context. “Transmission” is used in engineering for gearboxes etc., but the word is also used in some contexts for human/human communication. "Fragmented elements and communications" would make more sense to me. |
Yes, it is a mistranslation.
No, it shouldn't be "transmission". "réducteur" is the word. Translated as a noun (gearbox) by Google, it's in fact an adjective (in this case), meaning the leaks reduce the amount of sense the BEA put on the accident. I'm not confident enough on my english skills, but perhaps 'reductive' or 'reductionist view' should do? The BEA is saying it's too simple (and unrepresentative) to (just) say "pilot error, and that's all folks" (which is ~ what the mass media are doing, they don't want a complex answer, it has to be the plane's fault, or the crew's fault, but keep it simple for underbrains, please). |
The BEA just published a "Synthesis note" and "Safety recommendations":
FR : Vol AF 447 EN : FLIGHT AF 447 |
Oh dear.:{
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Is there more to be released later today?
The synthesis note is 4 pages in both French and English, and the set of recommendations is one page. |
Quoting ChrisN:-
RWA’s translation included: "Fragmented elements and gearboxes," says the BEA Avionista, as far as I know the BEA didn't say which pilot was sitting in which seat. I've been assuming that the normal setup - senior F/O in his accustomed (righthand) seat - applied, and further that the junior one was in the lefthand one, and also the PF. That's supported by the captain's words on leaving the flightdeck ("He's taking my place.") The point coulde be important since I understand that the standby instruments on an A330 are in a 'left of centre' position on the A330 panel - so if the main instruments were misbehaving it would have been difficult for the more senior F/O to take over, he'd have had to lean way over to his left. Typical of the BEA on this occasion, though - they didn't provide even the simplest and least controversial information (like which pilot was flying the aeroplane) in their report. Quoting Avionista quoting Le Figaro:- Just after the autopilot disconnect, the pilot on the right gives a first-rate nose-which raises the unit up to 37,500 feet. That strongly implies that the PF did not cause the climb - unless the A330 takes 11 seconds-plus to respond to control movements? In any case, flying manually, on instruments, in rough weather, one would expect that there'd have been literally dozens of control movements over the period of the whole event. But the BEA chooses to mention only three or four of them? I only hope (without much hope) that this third 'interim report' gives us a lot more 'hard information.' For a start, the BEA must already know everything that the CVR and the FDR recorded? Be interesting to see how much more they decide to tell us? Maybe 'third time lucky'.........? PS, thanks - SaturnV must admit that I rather expected as much (or, rather, 'as little'). One immediate contradiction 'jumps out' at you:- At 2 h 13 min 32, the PF said "we’re going to arrive at level one hundred". About fifteen seconds later, simultaneous inputs by both pilots on the sidesticks were recorded and the PF said "go ahead you have the controls". The angle of attack, when it was valid, always remained above 35 degrees. "• Throughout the flight, the movements of the elevator and the THS were consistent with the pilot’s inputs. If we are encouraged to believe that the THS reacted to 'noseup inputs' by pitching up, why did it not in turn respond to 'nosedown inputs' by pitching down? |
RWA, there may be more later. There is a press conference at 14:30.
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Oh dear x 2. :{:{
I do not fly or know how the systems work on the Airbus aircrafts. I do not know if we have all the details yet. I do not know if there is a cover up here (for those who may believe in that theory). In any case if the information given so far is correct it is hard to believe a competent crew with experience on type would allow this aircraft to go from FL350 to FL380, stall the aircraft and never recover because they did not understand what was happening. What even happened to flying the attitude and using power when all other things fail? Someone with Airbus experience tell me this... They still had 3 ADIs or artificial horizons available to them, no? They still had full control over the inputs to the flight controls and engines, no? The left PFD lost the airspeed for 29 seconds, the ISIS for 54 seconds so what about the right hand PFD airspeed indicator? Does the #2 PFD airspeed source come from the same source as the ISIS? Anyhow even if all 3 airspeeds were out for a limited amount of time how does that figure into not being able to remain at FL350 and not zoom climb at a very high rate (7000/min) to FL380? If all fails with the airspeed (and TAS) you could always back yourself up with ground speed for a rough estimate. If an aircraft wants to climb when it is supposed to be level at a certain altitude, counter act the climb by nose down input. In most aircrafts when you disconnect the AP, one usually finds it is not "properly trimmed" and manual inputs are required. Is this not the case in the Airbus? Maybe I'm missing something here because this happened in an Airbus but it is hard to believe that some frozen pitot tubes which were the originating factor in this tragedy confused the pilots to the point of no recovery. From my point of view it sure seems like the crew messed it up and allowed an aircraft to stall at high altitude and never recovered it. |
Originally Posted by RWA
(Post 6603102)
Well, I guess this is all the extra information we are going to get. 'The aeroplane behaved perfectly, the pilots just stuffed up (now including the captain)........' etc. etc.
Hopefully the interim report proper will be published after today's press conference, but it looks to me like what the BEA are saying is that while it appears that the crash was in part caused by a mishandling of the aircraft in the wake of a UAS incident, exacerbated by night IMC and unsettled weather, it also suggests that the pilots did not receive proper training in either manual aircraft handling at high speed and high level flight, CRM training in how to operate and communicate on the flight deck when the captain is on his rest period, and that the aircraft itself presents information that could be perceived as confusing when outside of its flight envelope. In short, there's room for improvement at both AF and Airbus (and I suspect the industry in general). [EDIT : Note that my info comes from the "Synthesis" and Recommendations published this morning, which may not have been available when you posted. If anything I think that highlights the importance of taking any press-filtered information with the requisite shovelful of salt.] |
RWA
If we are encouraged to believe that the THS reacted to 'noseup inputs' by pitching up, why did it not in turn respond to 'nosedown inputs' by pitching down? |
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