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AF447 final crew conversation - Thread No. 2

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AF447 final crew conversation - Thread No. 2

Old 2nd Mar 2012, 18:52
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Pitot heating was in auto or manual mode?

Hi,

F-GZCP was operating with Pitot heating in which mode? Auto or manual mode?

This was mentioned in BEA reports on AF447 case?

FDR records enough data on this issue?

In other 32 UAS incidents Auto mode was selected, as recommended (default)?

Most crews use Auto or manual mode when closing in specific WX conditions?

The timing required for AP/ATHR quit is "compatible" with "heating time constant" of probes when encountering ice crystals when auto mode is selected?

PS

If the temperature BEFORE encountering ice crystal is higher (as in this case) WORSE.

The "required heat" will takes longer to set in the probes.

The recorded data show the opposite of a temperature drop. At 02:09:30 the temperature was ISA +10.6°C, trending downwards (Interim #3, p.48), and at 02:10:00 it was ISA +15.6°C (p.86).


Therefore a fact in that flight.

Last edited by RR_NDB; 2nd Mar 2012 at 18:58. Reason: Link added
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Old 2nd Mar 2012, 19:03
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RR NDB;

Where do you see a drop in temperature? "The background noise changed rapidly around 2 h 09 min 46." (p.73). The ice crystals have the same temperature as the air that carries them. Several UAS reports* notice a sudden rise in temperature, which is to be expected because the rising air in which the ice crystals are formed derives its buoyancy from being warmer than its surroundings. See also Tim Vasquez' temperature profile at FL 350.

(*)From Interim #2 p.52:
The recordings of total or static temperatures(9) show increases of ten to
twenty degrees during the event, which sometimes began before noticing
any speed anomalies, except in a case where the increase was lower;

Last edited by HazelNuts39; 4th Mar 2012 at 07:21. Reason: Vasquez' url
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Old 2nd Mar 2012, 19:38
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@RR_NDB

if you apply maximum available power, ("open loop condition") no delay at all
You will locally heat-treat the neighboring skin with insufficient cooling.

I don't have exact data for the probe, but AOA operating temp is 120 ºC,
suppose this will be the same for the probe.
---

Don't have sleepless nights about the probes anymore.
The affected thales probes are obsolute and replaced by other probes per AD 2009-0195.

After 07 January 2010, do not install a Thales Avionics P/N
C16195AA pitot probe at any position on an aircraft.




System is automatic, on ground 115V to the Low side if 1 engine is in run state.
115V is applied to the Normal side in Flight.
Manual switch (from AUTO to ON) bypasses the Engine Run & Flight logic.
Temp controlled by the probe itself, the PHC contains the switching logic and monitoring circuits.




Last edited by A33Zab; 2nd Mar 2012 at 20:07.
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Old 2nd Mar 2012, 20:06
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HN39 questions and A33Zab comments

Hi,

HN39,

Will process pertinent information and review my books on the subject before. Thanks for questioning. Will answer ASAP.

A33Zab,

You will locally heat-treat the neighboring skin with insufficient cooling.
Any other implication if we cross the specific WX area in MANUAL mode?

Don't have sleepless nights about the probes anymore.


Question for you:

Time constant of the "closed loop" configuration when AUTO mode is selected for Pitot heating seems relevant to be take into account in the 30+ UAS cases?

What is your feeling on this particular point.

I remembered of this possibility when preparing second post on "Transient": Transient in Feedback Systems (II)

Regarding FD data just after UAS (in the transitory)

Related to "What PF saw at his (RH) side", not recorded.
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Old 2nd Mar 2012, 20:56
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THS changes

RR NDB

Quote: [In your opinion what kind of improvement(s)* could and should be made to the aircraft Systems in order to effectively "help" the crew in similar situations in respect to THS operation.]

Nothing other than the obvious I'm afraid.

In normal law any further THS nose up movement is inhibited when alpha protect switches in. I can't for the life of me see why this logic was not carried over to Alternate and stall warning respectively.

Apply this simple change and I suspect that most of the other controversial points discussed in earlier threads decline into insignificance.
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Old 2nd Mar 2012, 21:11
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Pitot anti icing

Don't you think that the problem might be both more subtle and more complex than just the amount of heat applied?

Why did it seem to be almost limited to one particular design of probe? (well by about 10:1 anyway)

What was peculiar about that probe? It must I think be critically dependent on the shape and finish of the probe internal geometry which is a closed book to all except the probe manufacturers.

It wasn't blockage of the drainhole by ice because the sensed pressure dropped to ambient static; so the blockage must have been upstream of that. Did the crystals melt and refreeze? Are the internal diameters critical? Or the radius at the corner of the 'L'? Or the actual location of the drainhole? Would the distribution of the heating along the length of the 'horizontal' bit of tube be important? When they went to the AA probe Thales also made some changes to the surface finish to improve corrosion resistance. Was this important?

I don't know - does anybody else?
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Old 2nd Mar 2012, 22:30
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Pitot anti icing and THS changes

Hi,

Owain Glyndwr

Don't you think that the problem might be both more subtle and more complex than just the amount of heat applied?

Certainly is for both FR and US probes

Why did it seem to be almost limited to one particular design of probe? (well by about 10:1 anyway)
Both probes showed limitations. My feeling is:

FR, probably many factors, like you put (geometry, etc)

US, less critical and probably requiring a little bit more heat when facing conditions near limit.

Look, i am trying to simplify (not always possible) because the AS probe principle of operation is VERY SIMPLE. What you need:

-A "certain geometry" (Henri Pitot invention)

-Heating above a certain threshold when facing conditions near limit.

-Other characteristics derived from the environment (moisture, heat, need to drain, etc.)

The short duration of the "failures" suggest that:

The heating may be near the required amount or not being applied fast enough due thermal inertia due geometry, geometry of the "heater" or a combination of aspects related to thermal characteristics.

I am anxious to analyze deeply the 30+ UAS cases to look for:

AUTO or ON mode selected and recorded (consistent) data during the transitory.

I understand the valid information is not recorded during the incidents like AS SIMPLY not measured in AF447.

I don't know - does anybody else?
My feeling is, we are near the required heat. Statistically based and considering AS probes (simple devices) did not fail. Just a brief erratic output.

Did the crystals melt and refreeze? Are the internal diameters critical? Or the radius at the corner of the 'L'? Or the actual location of the drainhole? Would the distribution of the heating along the length of the 'horizontal' bit of tube be important?
Good questions. I don't know.

In normal law any further THS nose up movement is inhibited when alpha protect switches in. I can't for the life of me see why this logic was not carried over to Alternate and stall warning respectively.
Thank you for direct answer!

Rgds,
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Old 2nd Mar 2012, 22:36
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@RR_NDB:


Any other implication if we cross the specific WX area in MANUAL
mode?
No, switch to ON bypasses the auto logic but is the same circuit as in flight and at least 1 eng in RUN state.

The figure explains the function of switch and logic:

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Old 3rd Mar 2012, 00:50
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Originally Posted by A33Zab
Temp controlled by the probe itself, the PHC contains the switching logic and monitoring circuits.
Thank you for the schematic. Looks like the probe temperature of the probe is controlled by the actual heater coil itself which is probably made like a an old style wire wound ballast resistor. The temperature coefficient of resistance would then regulate the current & heat. The PHC is just switching the units between On and Off, ground and air mode, and also monitoring the current to be sure each heater is actually working and has not burned open.

I have an old Rosemount pitot probe on my desk, and although these things look fairly uniform between models, there is all sorts of room for variation as to how thick the metal is in various areas (controlling the thermal mass and time constant to conduct heat to the other side), input wattage, heating coil location, what metal is used, and where the drain holes are relative to the elbow and heat sources.

I would think they would avoid putting the heating coils where moisture can actually impinge since you would then be generating steam and pressurizing the probe.

The 3 channel design of the Airbus does provide sensible redundancy for everything downstream of the probes, but no real redundancy for a common mode sensing problem. A better design would involve alternative sensors such as a laser airspeed sensor (but I note that several websites touting such equipment a couple of years ago are now out of service).

Another concept would be to place the probe behind a vane that would bend the airflow into the pitot inlet, but which would centrifugally separate ice particles so that they would miss the inlet for reasonable yaw angles under cruise conditions.

Originally Posted by Owain Glyndwr
In normal law any further THS nose up movement is inhibited when alpha protect switches in. I can't for the life of me see why this logic was not carried over to Alternate and stall warning respectively.
Amen to that.
It is if someone in conceptual design had decided that the AOA systems were not to be trusted.

Originally Posted by Owain Glyndwr
Apply this simple change and I suspect that most of the other controversial points discussed in earlier threads decline into insignificance.
Fully in agreement.
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Old 3rd Mar 2012, 07:37
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[Certainly is for both FR and US probes]

I hate to confess ignorance, but FR probes? US probes? Either side of the Atlantic or something else?

[Both probes showed limitations.]

Agreed, but one design (from a maker with a previously good record) starts to show problems after being in service for what, seven years? I am not aware of any changes to route structure and if you exclude global warming the atmosphere hasn't changed much, so what did? I don't think one can rule out some sort of time dependent change in the physical state of the probes.

[Look, i am trying to simplify (not always possible) because the AS probe principle of operation is VERY SIMPLE.]

Again agreed, but as always the devil is in the detail

[The short duration of the "failures" suggest that:

The heating may be near the required amount or not being applied fast enough due thermal inertia due geometry, geometry of the "heater" or a combination of aspects related to thermal characteristics.]

Again agreed, and Machinbird's listing of the possible apparently minor variations in probe design is exactly what I had in mind when I suggested the answer might be too subtle for outsider analysis (but we still try!)

Like RR NDB, I feel that the heat being applied is probably near what is required, since the UAS events have been transitory, but it may not have been applied in the right area. I have heard of problems on other aircraft where pitot icing was linked to the absence of an insulating washer between probe and fuselage. Extrapolating that thought, the fuselage (and the unheated parts of the probes) constitute a thermal mass that would be at much lower temperature than the heated part of the probe. There will be a temperature gradient along the probe and maybe the details of that matter.

I must say that this is one of the more sensible discussions on this thread

Machinbird
[It is if someone in conceptual design had decided that the AOA systems were not to be trusted. ]

Which is not consistent with the exhortations to "Believe the stall warning". If AoA is good enough for triggering stall warning it is good enough to freeze the THS.

PS - could somebody please remind me how to put quotes in those little blue boxes?
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Old 3rd Mar 2012, 09:27
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Hi Owain Glyndwr,

Good to read you back again.
Highlight the text and click the 3rd symbol (between mountain picture and #)
The technical solution to the pitot icing problem has probably been solved already.

I'm more bothered about a technically qualified crew who didn't know what attitude they needed to maintain FL 350 after they lost the FD guidance.
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Old 3rd Mar 2012, 10:16
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Thanks RRR

The technical solution to the pitot icing problem has probably been solved already.
Very probably - wouldn't it be nice to know how But at least they now have definitive icing requirements that cover the problem altitude/temperature bands

I'm more bothered about a technically qualified crew who didn't know what attitude they needed to maintain FL 350 after they lost the FD guidance.
Quite!
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Old 3rd Mar 2012, 18:44
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Snoop SPECIFICATIONS

Originally Posted by A33Zab
The figure explains the function of switch and logic
Thank you !!! I like to see finally inside of inside !

Specifications are often written only when the project is finished ! It is a good thing, that means that we can cross out, delete, change what is wrong in the "philosophy" of the aircraft : We don't fly "philosophy". We don't fly ideology.
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Old 3rd Mar 2012, 19:08
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My key takeaway from A33Zab's schematic is that there is no direct feedback from any of the probes controlling the power level. Temperature control is reactive rather than proactive. If there were temperature feedback sensors in the probe, it would be possible to more finely control the probe power input. That is where the next big area for improvement in Pitot tube design/performance lies.
All the PHC does is supply 115 V to the Flight or Ground circuits of the Probe heater . There is no High or Low setting as some may understand the concept.

Last edited by Machinbird; 3rd Mar 2012 at 23:04.
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Old 3rd Mar 2012, 23:08
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SPECIFICATIONS


Quote:



Originally Posted by A33Zab


The figure explains the function of switch and logic





Thank you !!! I like to see finally inside of inside !
It proves Airbus is K.I.S.S.!

The switch needs only to be touched to ON in de-icing like PJ2 stated and if dual or all PITOT HEAT FAIL message is shown.

Temperature control is reactive rather than proactive
Uhhh...isn't that what is inherent to feedback controls? You need a certain deviation to correct the situation.
(we are awaiting RR_NDB Transient in Feedback Systems (II))

Proactive......than you call it predictive! or not?
if any possible UAS is predictive, wouldn't it be better to DONT GO THERE?

I don't have the pitot internals by hand but the low heat (ground) setting is to protect the A/C skin when less cooling is available.
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Old 4th Mar 2012, 02:09
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Originally Posted by Machinbird
Temperature control is reactive rather than proactive.
Originally Posted by A33Zab
Uhhh...isn't that what is inherent to feedback controls? You need a certain deviation to correct the situation.
(we are awaiting RR_NDB Transient in Feedback Systems (II))
OK, Looks like I need to explain the situation better.

One form of current stabilization (old fashioned now but I have used it in equipment) is the old fashioned wire wound ballast resistor. As the current goes up, the temperature of the wire windings goes up, the resistance of the specially selected wire increases and limits the current. These things generally operate at a dull red glow. They are likely using this type system internally for pitot heat stabilization/regulation.

No moving parts, no electrical connection other than normal regulated voltage power supply, and you get a heat source. Properly selected, it is a simple means of generating heat for situations that are entirely predictable and slow changing. The aircraft climbs to altitude, the probe cools a bit, the wire cools a bit and the current increases which increases the power input. KISS to the extreme. To increase the power further, you need to increase the voltage.

The problem occurs when the heat demand changes rapidly. In the case of AF447, we had 19 seconds between the sound of ice crystals impinging and the AP disconnect. It took some time for the ice crystals to cool the probe internal surface and then the heating coils enough so that the power would then increase and melt the ice. When overloaded with ice crystals, this type probe goes through cycles of icing, melting, purging the melt water, and icing again.

If the icing had been detected in the first couple of seconds by a thermocouple, the power could have been cranked up then to meet the new demand before the blockage occurred, but this means that probe heating would be solely under the control of an external control system using feedback to sense and defeat icing. The dynamic control range would be much higher.

This is my take on what is likely the means of pitot tube heat control based on the evidence of the schematic you posted A33Zab. The externally controlled feedback system is probably what is needed to fix the problem.

Last edited by Machinbird; 4th Mar 2012 at 02:27.
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Old 4th Mar 2012, 10:20
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If the ice particles are like snow flakes, they may not conduct heat very well between the heated wall of the tube and the space within.

P.S.
How much heat is required to melt 1.6 grammes of ice at -40°C? (Tube opening diameter 10 mm, 20 s at TAS 250 m/s, TWC 4 gm^-3 (NPA 2011-03), 100% catchment efficiency)

Last edited by HazelNuts39; 4th Mar 2012 at 11:41. Reason: P.S.
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Old 4th Mar 2012, 13:30
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P.S.
How much heat is required to melt 1.6 grammes of ice at -40°C?
Isn't the challenge to melt XX grammes per second ?

The meltal temp may be above ice-melting but the 3rd or fourth layer of ice crystals hasn't begun to feel it yet.

My grand daddy use to tell me about sleeping in an unheated drafty room on a cold snowy night with layers of blankets to keep him warm, yet the snow flakes would still glisten on the outside layer
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Old 4th Mar 2012, 14:37
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Hi HazelNuts39,

Assume snow requires 4.18 J/(g•K); & Latent heat of fusion of ice is 333.55 J/g

Then 1.66gm ice at -40 would require 4.18*1.66*40 = 277 J to be raised to 0C as ice.
Plus 1.66*333.55 J to melt at 0C = 554 J.
Total = 831 J.

If that amount of snow could accumulate in 20secs, then in 1 hour you would need 149,580 J or extra power source of about .04 KWh.

It doesn't sound much - but I can't spot the error.
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Old 4th Mar 2012, 15:30
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I'm with lomapaseo. The problem is rate, not temp. Tightly packed granular microcrystalline water ICE will not conduct heat well. Just as a solid crystal of quartz is a nice heat sink, sand is not. Besides, the crystals only melt to form ICE, they have no exit. So the problem is to expel the 'pack', not prolong the obstruction by trying to 'melt' it? Heating the Stainless steel is a waste of energy.

Some way to expel the slug of compressed particles? compressed air, forward?

A snow cave is great insulation against a bitter exterior, as loma has said. Heat is slow to escape, why would it be quick to enter? Some new approach is needed, it is taking too long to fly without Pitot tubes?
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