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747-8 Family Details (From 747 Chief Engineer)

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Old 17th Feb 2009, 07:30
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747-8 Family Details (From 747 Chief Engineer)

Boeing's Chief Engineer on the 747, Michael Teal believes the airplane has another 40 more years service ahead of it and remains confident the -8F/-8I will be successful.


I talked with him in Seattle and he revealed some interesting insight into the 747-8 program - would be interesting to hear back from the engineers amongst us here to get their perspective, particularly those who have worked on previous 747's.
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Old 17th Feb 2009, 18:05
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The sales record of the B748i to pax airlines begs to differ with his belief!

Only Luffti is planning to operate on Airline Pax ops at this stage, and the aircraft has been available for deposits for two years!

Last edited by c100driver; 18th Feb 2009 at 00:36.
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Old 18th Feb 2009, 10:49
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You mean how the next new generation of airliners will be a long alloy (now carbon) tube, sweptback wings, and underslung engines?
No, wait, that's been going for about 50 years.
Sorry to disappoint you mate, but there's only three really major improvements in airliner technology in the last 50 years, and that's engines & avionics, and to a lesser degree materials.
There's not much else that's new.
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Old 18th Feb 2009, 11:50
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18 wheeler

undertsanding of aerodynamics???? computer modelling????? these are two other elements perhaps that have changed??

I agree with rainboe. I work in construction and know that people like to work in buildings that have been desgined recently (on the whole) not a building desgined 80 years ago.

the king is dead long live the king (a380)
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Old 18th Feb 2009, 15:28
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Wishful thinking from a hardly unbiased opinion!
No need for bias of any kind - Mike Teal simply talked about his product as any engineer would.

No mate- 80 years service doesn't cut it in a modern world!
Well, in fairness, the 747 hasn't strictly reached 80 yet, and I have my own doubts that it will either. Museums excepted
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Old 26th Feb 2009, 15:51
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Why wouldn't it reach 80? The DC-8 will at least make 60. Unlike the DC-8, there are no replacements announced for the 747F. The A380 will never make a general freighter, because 1. Only airports with scheduled A380F service will purchase the speciallized loading equipment needed to load the upper deck (and using the lower deck only would not compete very well with the 747), and 2. For reasons that utterly elude me, Airbus put the flight deck on the centre deck, rendering it cost prohibitive to ever make a nose loader out of it. Certainly, the frieghter of choice for the forseeable future will be the 777F, but there will be a market for a few 747Fs for a long long time yet.
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Old 3rd Mar 2009, 15:58
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For the 747-8I, it still has the opportunity to become a converted freighter once its usefulness as a pax airplane ends...that may aid its slow trek to the 80-year mark!
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Old 3rd Mar 2009, 16:16
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For reasons that utterly elude me, Airbus put the flight deck on the centre deck, rendering it cost prohibitive to ever make a nose loader out of it.
Because you don't design an aeroplane that will sell in the many hundreds, if not thousand + on the basis of creating a cargo version out of it! Just as Boeing built the 767 with a rather poor cabin cross section which meant current ULDs, which fitted A300s, could not be used in the hold. They decided, and announced, that 'you don't design a passenger aeroplane on the basis of hold dimensions!'
Who is to say the A380 won't clean up the future market? It will do the job more economically than a 747-8, which I believe is unlikely to see the light of day.
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Old 3rd Mar 2009, 16:36
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Boeing boeing ........

undertsanding of aerodynamics???? computer modelling????? these are two other elements perhaps that have changed??
I don't doubt that computer modelling will and does help, but remind me what the main problems faced by the A380 were caused by ........ oh, that's right, incompatibility in the systems between France and Germany, if I'm not mistaken.

Still some way to go, I think.

I believe the B787 fuselage join problems may have a similar history.
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Old 3rd Mar 2009, 16:47
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Rainboe, wasn't the 747 originally designed for a USAF requirement which the C5 Galaxy ultimately won?

As for the 380F, was involved with my former company in the "customer requirements" meetings with Airbus. They basically refused to listen to what freighter people wanted. We want to load 10ft high ULDs (as on the 747), they offered 8ft. Nose-door? "You don't need it!!!" (oh really?). Large engine carriage (eg 747/777/330 size), silence. Vast empty weight to carry 20-25T more than a 747F. Hmmm.
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Old 3rd Mar 2009, 20:07
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...a 747-8, which I believe is unlikely to see the light of day.
Funny, I saw it being built...(granted, it was the 8F...)
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Old 3rd Mar 2009, 20:33
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Snoop

Yeah?

Way back the original A300 was designed as a flying boat. Problem was it leaked so badly they put wheels on it!

JO
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Old 3rd Mar 2009, 20:52
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The A380 doesn't lend itself to a nose door. Double decker loading is impractical. The 747 is fortunate it converts superbly to a freighter, but it will not last forever.
Looking at the 747-8, I cannot see LH, the only pax customer, proceeding. Where does it leave the program- a cargo only aeroplane? At a time when air cargo has collapsed? The program is heading towards a freeze, followed by cancelation. LH will probably order 777-300 to replace the 747-8. Order will be restored!
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Old 4th Mar 2009, 05:08
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The program is heading towards a freeze, followed by cancelation.
Erm, not (yet) it isnt...
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Old 4th Mar 2009, 05:28
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Interesting. I still feel this recession will be long and cruel. The market for the plane is being destroyed. In good times it might have made it, but I can't see it surviving now, with cheap grounded ex-pax 747-400s ripe for conversion, the collapse of the cargo market and collapse of new aircraft orders as the recession bites. Nobody is buying anything.
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Old 4th Mar 2009, 12:05
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I've been in the freight biz for 20 years now & I have never seen it this bad. The loads out of the far east on which we all depended are drying/have dried up. As for converted pax 400s rainboe, I'm tending to agree with you. The -8F is a fantastic aircraft have no doubt about it but I wonder.... say $40-$50M to acquire and convert a pax aircraft or $200M for the new one.
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Old 4th Mar 2009, 16:16
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The market for the plane is being destroyed. In good times it might have made it, but I can't see it surviving now, with cheap grounded ex-pax 747-400s ripe for conversion,
Despite the availability of 747-400's, hardly any are being snapped up for conversion as the economics just dont make it worthwhile compared to new builds.

Otherwise we'd be seeing or would have seen a slew of 747-400 conversions which have had flat interest in the last 5 or more years, despite the 747-8F being available too - and instead, orders for the latter remain firmly intact.

The freight segment is "in the toilet", but as with every economic cycle, it wont last forever - and in the absence of any true large rival freighter, the 747-8F has the market to itself.
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Old 4th Mar 2009, 19:40
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The bell tolls for the B747-8i ?

From Flight International 9 Feb 09

Chief Excutive Jim McNerney warns that the continuation of the program should not be seen as a forgone conclusion: "we still see a viable business proposition here. Now obviously if we ever got to a point where we didn't, we'd have to work with our customers to come up with another answer"
I agree with Rainboe on this one that the B748i is a dead man walking with only one airline customer for 20 airframes plus some VIP jets. Boeing will never get a return on its investment in developing the jet. However the B748F probably has a better than 50/50 chance with 106 orders, but it depends on how fragile the order book is.
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Old 4th Mar 2009, 20:28
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Both 747-8F/747-8I have orders totalling 106.

In terms of cost, the 747-8I is in many ways similar to the 777-200LR. Both are derivatives of more popular siblings and were hit during downturns in travel.

Granted, the 777-200LR hasnt set the world alight, but its snared more orders than the rival A340-500 and theres every possibility that plenty of 747-400 operators (who are not yet A380 customers) may opt for the 747-8I.

Until Boeing terminates the -8I, speculating about its appeal is a matter of opinion/difference
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Old 4th Mar 2009, 21:56
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The first Lufti 380 is in the jig........
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