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Search: Posts Made By: Easy Street
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1st Sep 2021, 12:37
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

The US precedents are not good, as you point out....

The US precedents are not good, as you point out. But it doesn't follow that new technologies and different incentive structures won't succeed. The second link I posted claims that China is...
1st Sep 2021, 11:24
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Not sure why it's doubtful they'll have been...

Not sure why it's doubtful they'll have been flown out in a C17. The airlift planners would have had the requirement in mind from the start, and anyway the supply of evacuees dried up in the last...
1st Sep 2021, 11:07
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Not so sure, ORAC. Taliban dependence on drug...

Not so sure, ORAC. Taliban dependence on drug money is contested by some experts (https://www.bbc.com/news/world-46554097), and even if it does reach the $400M annual 'worst' case, that's an amount...
1st Sep 2021, 10:36
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

That's probably because the Afghan Air Force...

That's probably because the Afghan Air Force didn't have any Apache or Chinooks. A point which many seem to miss is that, with the exception of the State Dept Sea Knights, the aircraft weren't...
31st Aug 2021, 22:58
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Doesn't mean they're right. In fact, generals and...

Doesn't mean they're right. In fact, generals and admirals have been pretty damned wrong about a lot of things these past 20 years. Only two metrics count in the measurement of perceived US...
31st Aug 2021, 22:30
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Just imagine for a second that Austin and Milley...

Just imagine for a second that Austin and Milley both understood what was happening in Afghanistan, and convinced Biden to see it. Why would he have done anything different? The speed of the Afghan...
30th Aug 2021, 13:45
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

You obviously didn't read the rest of the linked...

You obviously didn't read the rest of the linked thread.
30th Aug 2021, 11:23
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

The only people who could make that judgement...

The only people who could make that judgement were the Afghan people.

Try looking at the situation through their eyes. Turnout at the 2019 election was less than 10 percent. Some in the security...
29th Aug 2021, 21:05
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I read that it was the Taliban that stopped the...

I read that it was the Taliban that stopped the staff from reaching the airport gates.

The social media chat on this has been nauseating. "tHeY fLeW a CaR oUt inSteAd of PeOpLe", oblivious to the...
29th Aug 2021, 11:29
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

FWIW I thought LB's post about Biden was crass in...

FWIW I thought LB's post about Biden was crass in the extreme. Presidents and prime ministers generally don't get to take easy decisions: those get taken for them further down the food chain. Biden...
26th Aug 2021, 08:28
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

The commitments not to allow Afghanistan to be...

The commitments not to allow Afghanistan to be used as a base for international terror attacks were meaningless until the Taliban had a share of power. So Biden could not have cited any lack of...
26th Aug 2021, 06:27
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I suggest you read the brief text of the Doha...

I suggest you read the brief text of the Doha Agreement (https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Agreement-For-Bringing-Peace-to-Afghanistan-02.29.20.pdf) for yourself, rather than relying...
25th Aug 2021, 21:34
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

You wrote "Then he [Biden], no one else, decided...

You wrote "Then he [Biden], no one else, decided the timetable for the pull-out without consultation with allies." Wrong. Trump and Pompeo signed the timeline into the Doha Agreement, on behalf of...
25th Aug 2021, 20:27
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I don't quite understand how Boris Johnson, or...

I don't quite understand how Boris Johnson, or ORAC, can be under the impression that Biden is free to extend the evacuation deadline ("decided the timetable for the pull-out"). It isn't a Trump...
25th Aug 2021, 18:57
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Seems like a timely moment to highlight three...

Seems like a timely moment to highlight three articles which point to corruption as one of the key reasons for failure of the Afghan nation building project. This was known, and ignored. Read them in...
22nd Aug 2021, 23:57
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Well, they've found a willing Hip pilot... ...

Well, they've found a willing Hip pilot...
https://mobile.twitter.com/TheInsiderPaper/status/1427083947926753285
22nd Aug 2021, 21:18
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Many of the retrospectives on the campaign...

Many of the retrospectives on the campaign identify the 'original sin' as Rumsfeld's direction to exclude the Taliban from the Bonn process and therefore any role in the governance of Afghanistan...
22nd Aug 2021, 11:48
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Exactly, it's just another example of how...

Exactly, it's just another example of how conflicting objectives and strategic myopia in western capitals hamstrung the campaign right from the start. Principle of war #1: selection and maintenance...
22nd Aug 2021, 11:10
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

BV, quite. The "graveyard of empires" trope only...

BV, quite. The "graveyard of empires" trope only dates from 2001 and has been widely debunked in academia. And no-one ever seems to mention that the British Empire achieved its strategic goal in...
22nd Aug 2021, 09:16
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Already posted at #396. I comment at #397...

Already posted at #396. I comment at #397 (https://www.pprune.org/showthread.php?p=11098930) on his strange unwillingness to address the cost to Afghan forces of fighting the Taliban: about 10,000...
21st Aug 2021, 19:37
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Hmm, strange report. After the statement...

Hmm, strange report. After the statement (admittedly full of weasel words) from the 18th that no such request was made, the journalist carries on as if to ignore the denial: not even using...
21st Aug 2021, 11:33
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

US off-airport activity reported below. I suspect...

US off-airport activity reported below. I suspect OPSEC likely to remain a factor. I posted this yesterday then had second thoughts and deleted, but since the Germans are being so open then what the...
21st Aug 2021, 11:15
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I understand that; my thought was aimed mainly at...

I understand that; my thought was aimed mainly at addressing the "after" bottleneck in Qatar, although I accept that could just as well be handled by transferring pax directly from one aircraft to...
21st Aug 2021, 10:12
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Since it's plain that the evacuation only...

Since it's plain that the evacuation only continues by consent of the Taliban, could there be mileage in chartering civil aircraft to increase capacity, with government indemnity for the inevitable...
20th Aug 2021, 22:51
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Biden's comments on what's going on in...

Biden's comments on what's going on in Afghanistan have indeed been bizarre. However on the credibility issue there's only two measures which count, and they're the national security strategies and...
20th Aug 2021, 17:39
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Fuel's going to be an issue if they start doing...

Fuel's going to be an issue if they start doing lots of rotary ops. The heavies can come in with enough to get out again, but fuel will need to be flown in for the helicopters if they're to avoid yet...
20th Aug 2021, 16:48
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Edit - I'm deleting my comment on ops beyond the...

Edit - I'm deleting my comment on ops beyond the airport perimeter; it was merely reporting what was being speculated elsewhere by usually well-informed observers but on reflection I don't think it's...
20th Aug 2021, 11:41
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Well, why do they keep saying the situation was...

Well, why do they keep saying the situation was sustainable then?
20th Aug 2021, 10:58
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I'm getting fed up with the likes of Tom...

I'm getting fed up with the likes of Tom Tugendhat and Rory Stewart making arguments like this...
https://mobile.twitter.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1428660628890308612

which completely ignore the...
17th Aug 2021, 21:51
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

ORAC, #299: Biden is probably not in the least...

ORAC, #299: Biden is probably not in the least worried. Routine domestic politics will quickly drag his own side back into line, and if it doesn't then next year's elections certainly will. And he...
17th Aug 2021, 09:28
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I have seen a few well-meaning comments elsewhere...

I have seen a few well-meaning comments elsewhere sympathising with the transport crews, saying how terrible this must be for them. It is certainly unusual for them to be faced directly with the...
17th Aug 2021, 08:14
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

C130s (needing less runway length to be kept...

C130s (needing less runway length to be kept clear) and then the last few hundred by helicopter to Pakistan, I should imagine with some form of collapsing perimeter to a rooftop HLS for crowd control...
16th Aug 2021, 17:26
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

Twitter can be the worst sewer of the internet,...

Twitter can be the worst sewer of the internet, but sometimes it offers incredible insights. Like this from the (former) governor of Afghanistan's central bank on his perspective of the government's...
16th Aug 2021, 13:49
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I wonder if we are about to see a US offer of...

I wonder if we are about to see a US offer of humanitarian aid or perhaps even recognition of the Taliban government in exchange for exit of troops and assurances of safety for diplomatic staff. The...
16th Aug 2021, 11:03
Replies: 891
Views: 216,303
Posted By Easy Street

I'm afraid there is very much doubt over that. A...

I'm afraid there is very much doubt over that. A sustained Western presence would have caused suffering in other ways. From the most recent SIGAR report...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 44
 


 
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