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-   -   Ash clouds threaten air traffic (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/412103-ash-clouds-threaten-air-traffic.html)

John Farley 21st April 2010 14:09

Jet engine failure modes with ash ingestion
 
Understanding why a jet engine should flame out when heavy concentrations of ash go in the front end (compressor and combustion chambers) is just common sense. We also know from experience of this that it is possible to glide down for 15 mins into some cleaner air where the engines can be restarted.

However, there is another failure mode which is much more of a problem and potentially terminal for the engine.

If very fine material that the compressor and combustion stages can happily swallow enters the engine, the risk is to the turbine which in normal operation must be cooled. This risk arises because the airflow past the turbine is sometimes several hundred degrees above the melting point of the turbine material. The cooling air exits through a myriad of small holes in the surface of the blade ensuring that the blades are encased in a cocoon of cool air.

Clearly quite small particles could affect this cooling flow but even worse, depending on the composition of the particles, the temperature can cause some of the particles to change their nature and form a glass like material that can build up in and on the blades. In the worst case such a process, when the engine is running normally, could destroy the turbine in a minute or so.

Apologies to all those who understand these matters.

fleigle 21st April 2010 14:12

Time to buy stock in engine manufacturers/re-builders methinks.:E

Fred Bound 21st April 2010 14:31

From the Rotorheads forum
 
BBC News

Offshore Helicopter Operations

anotherthing 21st April 2010 14:46


Lord Adonis stated on 'The world at One' today that there had been an over reaction to the Ash event by the authorities concerned.
Lord Adonis would be best advised to keep his mouth shut and seek some advice before spouting of.

Irrespective of whatever anyone on here thinks about the decision to close airspace in the UK, the glaringly obvious FACT during the whole episode is that none of the incumbent Cabinet Party were visible in the first few days. They only started coming out with opinions when it was clear that the airspace was about to re-open - and even then they didn't know the roles of NATS etc.

Looking at charts over the past 24Hrs, even if using the old criteria the majority of UK airspace would now be open.

It's very easy for politicians to say it was an over-reaction - pity they didn't have the balls to stand up at the outset...

HMG acted very poorly (well, very seldom) throughout this whole episode :=

infrequentflyer789 21st April 2010 14:55


Originally Posted by Fred Bound (Post 5650331)
BBC News

Offshore Helicopter Operations

With interesting line being: "There was no damage and no ash was found in engines."

Another interesting snippet from bbc ( BBC News - Volcano cloud as it happens: 21 April ):


Dr Colin Brown of the Institute of Mechanical Engineers in London has studied the effect of volcanic ash on plane engines. He told BBC World Service: "We've been running test flights over the last four or five days and collecting information from the engines that have flown through those clouds and seen what damage the clouds done to them, and we've found that the damage is zero and so we're in the situation where we're now happy to continue flying through those clouds."

rab-k 21st April 2010 14:57


BoughtTheFarm

Whatever the context and final outcome, good job to the crews who brought their birds in. Not everyone may agree that BA is still the 'worlds favourite airline' but I for one would say that they are the 'worlds most determined airline'. We sometimes need people to take tough decisions, and I for one prefer a world with them than without.
A "tough decision" would have been to accept full responsibility for safe conduct of flights through contaminated airspace whatever the outcome. BA could've been flying all week long had WW simply said that he and his board of directors would do so, irrespective of CAA/Met Office advice. Guess what, they didn't.

Instead, they sat wringing their hands looking for someone else to make the decision and when that didn't come quick enough they turned up the heat on, in this case, our 'unelected' politicians.

Nothing brave about wanting to carry on doing something whilst at the same time looking to apportion blame elsewhere in the event of an incident.

If it turns out it is one of his 747s with a double IFSD I'll look forward to hearing his take on the supposed over reaction on the part of the CAA.

Postman Plod 21st April 2010 15:15


Now. If that will not happen, which is far more likely, do you expect any MET Office, NATS, CAA bodies will take any responsibility? For what they've done, they should be jailed and heavily penilized (on personal level, not only as organisation) for a gross misconduct.
Why should they?! They have done EVERYTHING right and by the book, as per manufacturers reccomendations, as per ICAO guidance, and observations have backed up forecasts. Gross misconduct? I think not. Safety before money - yes.

Should the airlines have done more for their passengers? Maybe. Should the government have done more for stranded passengers of all nationalities? Yup. NATS / CAA / Eurocontrol / Met agencies have done their jobs in the face of increasing pressure and hostility from those losing money.

infrequentflyer789 21st April 2010 15:15

MOL steps up...
 
From BBC News - Ash cloud chaos: Airlines face huge task as ban ends


Meanwhile Ryanair has said it will defy the regulations and warned customers it will only reimburse customers their airfare and no additional expenses.
Here's your 50p back, good luck hitching to Calais...

lomapaseo 21st April 2010 15:30


The aviation industry, because there seems to have been so little prior investigation of the physical effects of this phenomenon. How can airframe and engine manufacturers have issued documents stating that should be no flight through ash-contaminated airspace with a straight face? Surely that was a prohibition honoured more in the breach than the observance, since a zero concentration of ash is clearly never possible, mathematically or practically, in the atmosphere of a planet whose geology is driven by plate tectonics.
Question above ..... How could XXX have issued documents ....

Be careful of using a lay persons intreprrtation of what these documents for the pilots are intended to convey.

Lets get back to the traffic light anology of red light clouds, yellow light clouds ad green light clouds.

It was postulated based on routine everyday maintenance findings that volcanic ash in clouds exists everyday someplace in the world and that some planes fly through it without impact on the flight. Thus the Green-light cloud concept.

Then there are the rash of events following a major eruption like Pinatuba where the cloud being unseen and untracked produces any symptoms described in detail in the OEM warnings that should be reacted to by the flight crews and the ground engineers This at least defines the Yellow clouds that were either not identified and tracked or that there was no intended avoidance. The OEMs thus have a duty to warn that abnormalities may occur in this situation.

And finally the Red Light cloud that represents the worst of the combinations of either not being tracked or not being avoided and at the same time producing major symptoms in combination of smell, sight, windshield effects, Pitot effects, engine symptoms and an immediate need to throttle back engine descend and turn away.

I believe that what is being dealt with today is the realization that all clouds are not bad and that traffic control and alert pilots can still lead to safe flights.

H.Finn 21st April 2010 15:31

Here we go: Finnish AF has now inspected the engines of the F-18 Hornet, which were allegedly damaged in flying into the volcanic ash. You know, the ones of which fine pictures were shown on tabloids and even reputable papers.
Finding: NO DAMAGE FOUND!!!! Ok, traces of ash, but: NO DAMAGE!!!!

Why am I not surprised....

silverstrata 21st April 2010 15:38


Steamchick:
Unfortunately, it just seems that there is a sort of subculture of (usually) right-wing people in the UK who are obsessed with the idea that the Met Office is plotting against them. This thread has now reached the point where the same people who were yelling that Gordon Brown was at fault for closing the airspace and it wasn't really a problem - no link or citation has yet been produced to support the idea that it was Brown's decision rather than CAA, NATS, or VAAC - are now yelling that Brown should really intervene and have it reopened rather than "hiding behind NATS".

No, there is a body of normal, rational people of many political persuasions who want to know who made the decision to close all airspace. It is a reasonable question to ask. And in the absence of any hands going up, it is natural to go to the top and ask what role the government played in all this.

And even if the government was not directly involved, they have still instituted and encouraged the recent social atmosphere where no risk-taking is allowed - which precipitated the closure of airspace in the first place. Had this been the 1950s (even with jets, satellites and computers etc,), we would have carried on flying, as you well know.


And BTW, I have flown for two days across all Europe, and not seen a speck of vitrious deposits on my turbines. Ergo, at whatever concentrations we have now, everything is fine. Are you listening, CAA, NATS, Eurocontrol and governments??



Oh, and as an aside, why were all those who were against the closure of airspace deleted from this site? Especially as we turned out to be correct, and the closure was excessive. If that is not political/judgmental, I don't know what is.


.

anotherthing 21st April 2010 15:38


Yup. NATS / CAA / Eurocontrol / Met agencies have done their jobs in the face of increasing pressure and hostility from those losing money.
Some people tend to forget the fact that during this NATS has been losing heaps of money as well. Not the sums the larger airlines have, because NATS profit is miniscule to the likes of BA. Taken as a percentage of earnings though, NATS have lost as much profit as any other organisation - not far from a months worth of profit down the drain.

Airbubba 21st April 2010 15:42


Be careful of using a lay persons intrepretation of what these documents for the pilots are intended to convey.
And, the way these things are written, often pilots can't figure out what they are trying to say. The human interface on our NOTAMs and other flight papers is primitive to say the least. Obscure abbreviations and lack of graphics with coded number and letter groups mean it's so easy to overlook something important. Everything is in caps since 1930's teletypes couldn't do lower case.

WHBM 21st April 2010 15:48


Originally Posted by BarbiesBoyfriend (Post 5650242)
Lord Adonis stated on 'The world at One' today that there had been an over reaction to the Ash event by the authorities concerned.

We will therefore be standing by for Lord Adonis' resignation. He is at the top of the whole tree of bureaucrats.

If WW did indeed bring pressure to bear to get UK FIR's open then I stand by him. After some days of little clear directive other than what some could describe as health and safety syndrome, the fact is that UK airspace cannot be closed for business indefintely without someone or body standing up to be counted. If WW did that then good on him.
Indeed. Well done WW for actually pushing it through and launching all those flights from overseas (was it really 26 ?) into London to arrive the minute it was planned to open. I may have had harsh words about his commercial and managerial decisions in the past, but am right behind him on this one. Bear in mind, all those going on about the commercial aspects, the principal beneficiaries of this were the PASSENGERS who were returned home. Sometimes they get forgotten along the way.

Notably the Bearded Wonder didn't do the same at his carrier.

blueskythinking 21st April 2010 15:52

whilst I agree completely that lessons need to be learnt from this whole incident. I am not sure I have seen it stated anywhere that Nats as a company has also lost millions of pounds in revenue during the crisis. Nats has been portrayed as somewhat like a police service of the air. Personally if I had been in charge of Nats (god forbid some may say ! ) i would have said that the airspace was open and it was up to the caa , government and the airlines to make the decision to fly or not. I would put forward that Nats overstepped its remit and to listen to junior people being allowed to appear on TV and advise passengers what to do or not do was a total farce. I have not seen the new ceo at any time on tv or senior board members! I think the airlines were well placed to make their own judgements , obviously with government and met office guidance. If , as seems likely it was a case of possible long term engine damage as opposed to aircraft having in flight shutdowns then That is a commercial decision for the operators.

H.Finn 21st April 2010 15:54

I'll try to give a link, but it is in Finnish...

Puolustusvoimat: Ilmavoimat raportoi tuhkapölyn vaikutuksista Hornetin moottoriin

silverstrata 21st April 2010 15:54


And, the way these things are written, often pilots can't figure out what they are trying to say. The human interface on our NOTAMs and other flight papers is primitive to say the least. Obscure abbreviations and lack of graphics with coded number and letter groups mean it's so easy to overlook something important. Everything is in caps since 1930's teletypes couldn't do lower case.
Hooray, well said.

I have been asking for a map of NOTAM sites at the beginning of all NOTAMS for over 20 years. (especially for PPLs, where route NOTAMS are not always available). Yes, graphics for taxiway closures would be nice too, instead of everyone in the pilot community spending hours trying to find exactly where W1 and F6 are.

And little things like grass-cutting, bird scaring and firework displays being the top lines and waaaayy down the bottom you find that the ILS and radar are out of action.

The guys and gals who make NOTAMS should be tasked with reading all the NOTAMS within 4 minutes (all we are allowed) and if they fail, they should be put out to grass.

.

silverstrata 21st April 2010 16:00


If WW did indeed bring pressure to bear to get UK FIR's open then I stand by him. After some days of little clear directive other than what some could describe as health and safety syndrome, the fact is that UK airspace cannot be closed for business indefintely without someone or body standing up to be counted. If WW did that then good on him.
And where, one might ask, was the BIG Mouth of Aviation himself during all this?? Normally willing to push every operational and safety parameter to its absolute limit, suddenly the Big Mouth of Aviation goes quiet?

Is he turning over a new leaf - or suddenly aware that safety considerations need considered discussion rather than a bullying Big Mouth?


.

GarageYears 21st April 2010 16:04

Translation of the Finnish AF report on F-18 ash ingestion
 
Via Google translation:


Air Force studies, the ash dust did not cause significant damage to the Air Force Hornet fighter jet engine. Exposed volcanic tuhkalle fighter engine study found, however, signs of the engine surfaces accumulated contaminants.

Air Force safety switch engine parts, which show signs or foreign material implantation. Detachable parts will be carefully analyzed, and then settled their usefulness in the future.

Machine on the surface of the collected dust and engine components of the samples have not yet shown results. The analysis of air samples, however, is found in volcanic material in the typical elements such as aluminum, silicon, magnesium, sulfur and iron.

Operations will continue piston engine fleet. Aviation training jet-turbine equipment, and kick start gradually.

Two Air Force Hawk jet trainer planes remain on standby Pirkkala base case letters rogatory. Both are sampling its safety yet.

Operational Operations are managed as usual.
So not quite no damage, but perhaps better characterized as limited or minimal damage.

- GY

ricardian 21st April 2010 16:11

HIAL have just (16:00) announced that all HIAL airports north of Inverness (including Wick, Kirkwall & Sumburgh) are closed due to a volcanic ash cloud. Next update will be at 18:00.


BDiONU 21st April 2010 16:16


Originally Posted by blueskythinking (Post 5650494)
I am not sure I have seen it stated anywhere that Nats as a company has also lost millions of pounds in revenue during the crisis. .

OK, the figures are in the public domain. NATS income is circa £2.1 million per day and running costs circa £1.86 million per day, you can do the math :)

Nats has been portrayed as somewhat like a police service of the air.
Not our job.

i would have said that the airspace was open and it was up to the caa , government and the airlines to make the decision to fly or not.
Nope, NATS operates on a licence from CAA (the goverment) and as a part of the conditions of it's licence must abide by rules, regulations and laws, including the ICAO guidance etc. which the government signed up to. Every ANSP in Europe operates similarly and, as you seem to have missed it, a lot of european ANSPs closed their airspace. Indeed some countries went further and banned all flying, but HM Government didn't take that step (and NATS don't have that remit).

I would put forward that Nats overstepped its remit and to listen to junior people being allowed to appear on TV and advise passengers what to do or not do was a total farce. I have not seen the new ceo at any time on tv or senior board members!.
Hhhmm, you must have missed NewsNight when Jeremy Paxman interviewed the new CEO. All the spokesmen on the TV etc were ATC facing senior managers (Alex Bristol Head of Strategy & Investment, Jonathan Astill Head of ATC Prestwick Centre, David Harrison formerly GM ATC Manchester now Head of Safety and so on) I think a member of the board wouldn't have quite the same street cred as a senior ATC manager.

I think the airlines were well placed to make their own judgements , obviously with government and met office guidance. If , as seems likely it was a case of possible long term engine damage as opposed to aircraft having in flight shutdowns then That is a commercial decision for the operators.
No it's not a commercial decision, it's a safety decision. Pilots may only fly aircraft with a relevant air safety certificate, pilots may only fly aircraft for which they have a valid licence. This is done for many safety reasons but a big one is public safety. I wouldn't want some gung ho flyer leaping into the skies when it had been deemed potentially unsafe to do so and have the wreckage landing on my head thank you very much.

BD

paidworker 21st April 2010 16:24

I am amazed at the amount of people looking for heads to roll when all those heads did was follow the rules. Nobody can say any different .. Yes you may feel that the rules were over the top and that may well be , but herd ( or CEO opinion ) in itself should never be responsible for the convenient ignoring or sidestepping/ bulldozing of those rules. Neither should a 6th form physics experiment. I am sure there was a tremendous amount of work for the engine manufacturers to do in order to change their position and explicit rules in regards to volcanic ash.

I am relieved that things seem to be settling down now as my own company has been suffered some serious economic damage in the six days and the medium term damage we are unable to quantify at this time, still though at least we can now operate again.

Airbubba 21st April 2010 16:28


The guys and gals who make NOTAMS should be tasked with reading all the NOTAMS within 4 minutes (all we are allowed) and if they fail, they should be put out to grass.
Just to show what we are talking about here is an actual volcanic ash advisory from pilot departure documents:


FVCN01 CWAO 211143
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20100421/1143Z
VAAC: MONTREAL
VOLCANO: EYJAFJOLL 1702-02
PSN: N6337 W01937
AREA: ICELAND-S
SUMMIT ELEV: 1666M
ADVISORY NR: 2010/034
INFO SOURCE:
RMK: PLEASE SEE FVXX01 EGRR 211126 ISSUED BY LONDON
VAAC WHICH DESCRIBES CONDITIONS OVER OR NEAR
THE MONTREAL VAAC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
Which references this message that may or may not be included in the paperwork:


Subject: FVXX01 EGRR 211126


FVXX01 EGRR 211126 2010111 1127
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20100421/1200Z
VAAC: LONDON
VOLCANO: EYJAFJALLAJOKULL 1702-02
PSN: N6338 W01937
AREA: ICELAND
SUMMIT ELEV: 1666M
ADVISORY NR: 2010/030
INFO SOURCE: ICELAND MET OFFICE
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: ERUPTION CONTINUING TO AROUND FL120 TO FL160.
OBS VA DTG: 21/1200Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N6345 W02025 - N6337 W01219 - N6447 W01202 -
N6432 W00635 - N6234 W00431 - N5835 W00423 - N5744 W00551 - N5744
W00914 - N5416 W00405 - N5209 W00303 - N5136 E00400 - N4944 E00249 -
N4846 W00135 - N4711 E00417 - N4623 E00351 - N4611 W00201 - N4944
W00847 - N5324 W01746 - N5345 W02644 - N5513 W03348 - N5802 W03728 -
N5831 W03941 - N5826 W04534 - N5627 W05025 - N5247 W05720 - N5018
W05746 - N4817 W05831 - N5313 W04958 - N5136 W03618 - N4605 W02551 -
N4249 W02432 - N4110 W02525 - N4143 W02728 - N4835 W03458 - N4938
W03813 - N4956 W04432 - N5029 W04534 - N5029 W05052 - N4635 W05804 [remainder of coordinates omitted for brevity - Airbubba:)]
RMK: NO SIG ASH ABOVE FL200. ASH CONCENTRATIONS UNKNOWN. ALL PLUMES
ON ALL FOUR CHARTS APPLY TO SFC TO FL200.
NXT ADVISORY: 20100421/1800Z=
You can actually figure out what it says if you guess a little - e.g. PSN must be positon since it is followed by a lat long but why are we still using decoder rings in this era of high speed internet and laser printers? A few more vowels, a little punctuation, graphics and some formatting sure would make this easier to read. I realize there are much better versions of this advisory available on web pages but often the terse teletype text is all that makes it to our paperwork. Of course, if something goes wrong, they'll have the full color graphics at the hearing.

Apologies for talking a little shop with this operational pilot stuff on the ash advisories.

Brian McGrath 21st April 2010 16:29

Looks to be getting pretty active again in the past few hours, this morning it was only a very small amount of cloud around it. Third picture down

Link: Mulakot - myndavelar

Phalken 21st April 2010 16:36

Let the Great Experiment begin...
 

Officials say 90% of flights will be operating at Heathrow by 1500 today and service should be at 100% by Thursday. However, that figure includes only regularly scheduled flights, not efforts to clear up the backlog of passengers.
How can this be when the CAA's Revised Airspace Guidance last night requires airlines to:

· conduct their own risk assessment and develop operational procedures to address any remaining risks;
· put in place an intensive maintenance ash damage inspection before and after each flight; and
· report any ash related incidents to a reporting scheme run by the CAA?

Clandestino 21st April 2010 16:37


perhaps better characterized as limited or minimal damage.
Depends on the viewpoint; turbine bucket with ash sticking to it does not affect engine performance much. Replacing or scrubbing it might prove costly and time consuming.

Yes I did my "test" flight, thank you for asking.

Ever helpful ATC confirmed that my penetration of VA alert area was solely upon my discretion. I would have appreciated that even more, if they choose some earlier moment to tell me that than post-landing taxiing.

No, the engines did not flameout, stall, show glowing around intakes or props, spout fire from exhausts or increased their respective ITTs erratically & rapidly. There was no st Elmo's fire visible on the screen, it was noon anyway, and no strong sulfuric odour was present.

As I have made the post-flight written confirmation of the above mentioned facts, the maintenance stated that just flying through suspected VA contaminated area does not warrant complete post VA penetration maint procedure and cleared the machine for further flights.

At least now I won't get the bill if the overhaul comes before planned time.

Regarding see and avoid: in severe CAVOK one can discern layers of dirt in the atmosphere. Now I know what I've seen yesterday over mid Italy - it looked exactly as photo on the page 3 of German Falcon flight report. There was no practical way of going around this one, it stretched from the horizon to horizon. And I can tell that regarding my routing, Met office's prediction of VA spread was frighteningly correct.

Buckster 21st April 2010 16:43

are you saying they are not following the CAA guidelines ?

doesn't it say if an aircraft flies into a low ash density area that damage inspection has to occur after the flight ?

BigAl94 21st April 2010 16:50

Met office report Northern Ireland 1400 BST — ash layer around 8500 ft, at least 500 ft thick - visibility greatly reduced with a strong sulphur smell.

paidworker 21st April 2010 17:03

Unconfirmed: Source BBC.

BBC reporting that pax from QF32 ( Heathrow - Singapore ) are contacting them. Flight is boarded but holding pax on the ground pending an improvement in the "air quality ". The skipper is telling pax that the ash concentration is above the levels in which Qantas are happy to fly.

Clandestino 21st April 2010 17:06


are you saying they are not following the CAA guidelines ?
No - we're not regulated by the UK CAA anyway and they did they homework; risk was assessed , procedures put in place after liaising with local CAA. Leading edges, props, engine intakes and transparencies were checked for abrasion damage or dust accumulation. None was found and acft was returned to service. Legal - yes, sufficient - couldn't say.

Buckster 21st April 2010 17:08

Clandestino - thanks for the clarification - makes sense.

btw I'm glad flight wasn't eventful for you.

BoughtTheFarm 21st April 2010 17:32

A Tough Decision?
 
Rab-K - Your earlier post is twaddle. BA would not have just kept flying from day 1. After 5 days on FIR closure a DECISION needed to be made. Keep up the same position or open airspace. It's far easier to close it on safety grounds than open it on the same. But at some point a decision needed to be made. If WW helped get that one way or the other then good.

Inaction and hesitation are no more the friends of safety than knee-jerk, just do-it are. After 5 days and most EU FIR's starting to operate the UK was in danger of being the 'first ones in and the last ones out'.

And anyone who thinks that commercials are not heavily in play on all of this are much mistaken. No Buck, no Buck Rogers as they used to say in Flight Test.

As I said, I'd sooner have people who step up to the plate and make a decision than keep examining their naval fluff until someone else makes the decision for them.

We didn't go to the moon by waiting for the all clear from every quarter let alone getting to and from JFK. 'Decision height'. Captain Walsh called it.

ricardian 21st April 2010 18:23


HIAL have just (16:00) announced that all HIAL airports north of Inverness (including Wick, Kirkwall & Sumburgh) are closed due to a volcanic ash cloud. Next update will be at 18:00.

HIAL update at 19:00 - airports closed until Thursday morning.

Diversification 21st April 2010 18:24

Volvo_Aero about Ash
 
Volvo-Aero has a short piece about ash in their jet engines, see the following url:
Actual - Actual : Volvo Aero
In princople they state that their engines can stand rain, ice and some birds, but not ash.

acad_l 21st April 2010 18:30



Someone was asking for mass-flow numbers earlier on. RR's Web site gives an intake mass-flow for the RB211-535E4B (I picked an engine arbitrarily) of 1,177lb/sec or 533.87kg/sec.

Based on the figure of 0.3 milligrams per m3 given for Stranraer, at an air density of 1.2kg/m3 at sea level (obviously we're not interested in sea level, but at least it's wrong in a known way - the ash measurement is a sea-level one and I guess RR's figures are test-stand measurements, so it's consistent) that would be 444m3 of air a second and 0.133g of ash a second - 478g of ash per engine-hour.

(Although, the -535 is a very high bypass turbofan, so perhaps we need the core mass flow...)

One can simply divide by the by-pass ratio of 4.3.

But there is the issue, under which conditions is the mass flow rate 1177 lb/s? We probably should consider a density figure at pressure and temperature corresponding to a typical cloud level. You can take standard atmosphere data etc.

However there is another estimate, based upon speed and diameter. Take the fan diameter, 74.1 in. Calculate the area. Divide my the by-pass ratio. If I do that, assume a speed of 180 m/s, for 0.3 g/m3, I end up with actually a very similar figure, 126 g/hour (assuming no algebraic error...) Of course one would hope crossing an ash zone would take less than an hour.


(From peter_we)

Thats a pretty high level.
BTW, indeed the new threshold figure of 2 g/m3 comes across as not very conservative. I would have expected them to pick a figure more like 0.5?

slip and turn 21st April 2010 18:51

A Danish perspective on detection ...
 
More accurate mapping of ash cloud with Risø DTU?s wind energy measuring equipment

peck 21st April 2010 18:53

tolerance levels
 
In the UK MET charts posted by kyloe (#2186) the black area according to the label is the zone "that exeeds accepted manufacturer tolerance levels"

I´ll appreciate if somebody can give me the figure for that level.
¿some ash concentration? ¿An envelope for all turbines?

Finn47 21st April 2010 19:03

Here´s a link to new hi-res pictures of the Hornet engine published by the Finnish Air Force today:

Puolustusvoimat - Frsvarsmakten - The Finnish Defence Forces

Like has already been said, no significant damage was found, only "concentrations of foreign materials", partly melted, but it´s plain to see that these spots do not even come close to blocking any of the cooling holes in the turbine blades. On the other hand, the occurrence took place in the morning of the 15th, before any restrictions even had been put in place.

Stoic 21st April 2010 19:11

paidworker
 

I am amazed at the amount of people looking for heads to roll when all those heads did was follow the rules.
I almost wrote, "Surely not the Nuremburg defence", but decided against. Instead may I refer you to the following quote:



Rules are for the guidance of wise men and the blind obedience of fools. (Solon, the Lawmaker of Athens, d. 559BCE)
Actually I think it was Douglas Bader!

As others have pointed out, there was obviously a problem with the rules. There is never zero volcanic ash in the atmosphere. We have always coped around the world until an invisible plume hit the UK. Thank heavens we have leaders like Captain Willie Walsh to sort things out.

Regards

S:)

BAMRA wake up 21st April 2010 19:16

Forecast models and charts fairly consistent on a gradual change to southerly winds, at least over the UK, overnight Friday/Saturday,

UKMO surface charts to T+120
Metbrief - Met Office Analysis and Synoptic Weather Forecast Charts via Wetterzentrale

300mb forecast charts to T+120 (rh side of page)
CRWS Jet Stream Forecast Map Menu

Here's hoping those lows approaching from the SW are more vigorous than forecast.


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