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-   -   Ash clouds threaten air traffic (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/412103-ash-clouds-threaten-air-traffic.html)

ChristiaanJ 10th May 2010 20:28

OFSO,
LOL... South-Central France has a lot of dormant volcanoes too....
I don't think many people expect them to erupt in the next 10,000 years, either.

Only Iceland and Italy have active volcanoes on their territory, and it has become all too clear that a bit more funding of their basic research would now have paid handsome dividends.

But I think you got that point, too !
Did they close Gerona?

CJ

lomapaseo 10th May 2010 20:39

ChristiaanJ


Only Iceland and Italy have active volcanoes on their territory, and it has become all too clear that a bit more funding of their basic research would now have paid handsome dividends.
Hmmm, what did you have in mind:confused:

alisoncc 10th May 2010 23:29

I think many contributors are missing the point. Comparing volcanoes around the Pacific ring of fire or those in Italy has little value.

This article:
BBC News - Could another Icelandic volcano erupt soon?

quotes: Professor Gudmundsson says there are "no signs yet" of an impending (Katla) eruption. "Our eyes are not glued to Katla, we are thinking about the eruption that is happening now." But Dr Goodenough adds that "substantial amounts of magma" are rising underneath both volcanoes. Katla is Eyjafjallajokull's more active neighbour, and scientists believe that there may be a link between the two volcanoes.

And what makes Eyjafjallajokull and Katla different? Well the Katla "volcano's ice sheet is 600-700m thick", and it's this that makes the difference. Magma that erupts through ice has a very different composition to that of other volcanic activity. Being cooled rapidly the silica produces a form of glass ash that melts well below the temperatures found in most modern engines. My understanding is that when it then solidifies it agregates, not dissimilar to water vapour producing snow. So who wants to try flying when the next time you go to max thrust, one, two or three engines say "No" and die. A bit scary with a full fuel load and lots of SLF on board.

PS. The greatest danger to aviation safety is complacency. Modern engines have become too dependable, to the extent that they are often taken for granted, until they fail!! Boeings and Airbuses don't glide very well.

ChristiaanJ 10th May 2010 23:48


Originally Posted by lomapaseo (Post 5685435)
Hmmm, what did you have in mind:confused:

Mostly, that both Iceland and Italy appear to have tools to measure real ash (and other particulates) concentrations in the atmosphere, using lidars in particular. Having had a few more of those available to deploy when this "big one" happened would have been useful.

As the Italian article mentions, here in Europe we rarely get volcanic ash, but mostly Sahara sand. And I've been wiping that off my car regularly, even when I was still living in Paris. So if they can measure that with some degree of accuracy, I would expect they can measure volcanic ash too (same granularity, even if not at all the same composition).

CJ

ChristiaanJ 10th May 2010 23:57


Originally Posted by alisoncc (Post 5685676)
Boeings and Airbuses don't glide very well.

They glide marvelously, actually....
But from six miles high, they'll glide something like a hundred miles at the most.
And most of the time, there's nowhere flat enough (like an airport?) within a hundred miles to put down safely.

CJ

JanetFlight 11th May 2010 02:05

My Dear Friends...i really need your humble, sincere and wise opinions....im trapped since a few days here on the Azores trying to return mainland Portugal as an SLF, but still without any nice news...so here it goes these 2 main questions...:

1) When you expect we can we got out of here?

2) The Clouds here at this distance from Iceland is still enough really dangerous to flying? Whats about the PPM readings? Some military aircraft flown here in the zone these last few hours with ZERO ash reported!

Tanx....but please....Oh Boy, im really missing my lovely Bed..:{

OFSO 11th May 2010 06:19

ChristiaanJ, so far Girona open, Ryanair only showing flights departing to the west cancelled.

My wife's due to fly out to Gatwick from Girona today so we are watching situation in nervous anticipation.

Catalan TV forecast is for ash cloud right overhead between 20,000 and 30,000 today stretching S.West to N.East, i.e. up into Eastern France.

Flights into GRN (and PPG for that matter) may be possible making a more westerly apprach than usual and descending well under cloud on arrival.

We shall see. Keeping fingers toes and other appurtances crossed. Have checked TGV prices, €100 Perpignan to Paris and then €260 Paris to London (gulp)

SEE MY POST LATER ON, THIS THREAD....

visibility3miles 11th May 2010 08:16

If the mods will permit my two cents on what is probably the most viewed thread in PPRuNe history...

Yellowstone National Park in the US is a huge volcanic caldera waiting to go off again someday. Check out the Old Faithful Geyser!
Yellowstone Caldera - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

I flew over Mt Saint Helens as SLF a month after it blew. I've never seen such a huge fresh hole in a mountain before or since, but aside from the occasional puff of smoke and steam, it's been pretty quiet.

As covered by many others in this thread, the Icelandic volcano seems to produce an especially abrasive ash that the jet stream carries over much of European flight paths. (I wonder if it's affecting migratory birds?)

peter we 11th May 2010 08:20


Mostly, that both Iceland and Italy appear to have tools to measure real ash (and other particulates) concentrations in the atmosphere, using lidars in particular. Having had a few more of those available to deploy when this "big one" happened would have been useful.
The only purpose of measuring is to confirm what we already know, its not going to affect the basic facts.

CalvinHobbes 11th May 2010 08:39

Ryanair plane in precautionary landing at Belfast City
 
BBC News - Ryanair plane in precautionary landing at Belfast City

Ryanair plane in precautionary landing at Belfast City


The plane made a precautionary landing at Belfast City Airport
A Ryanair plane travelling to London Stansted has made a precautionary landing at Belfast City Airport after taking off on Tuesday.
A Ryanair said: "After take off cabin crew noticed an acrid smell and standard procedure was followed and the aircraft turned back and landed".
All 154 passengers disembarked safely at about 0730 BST.
A spokesperson from Belfast City Airport said emergency services were at the scene as a precaution.
The source of the smell is being investigated.

ZQA297/30 11th May 2010 09:39

Ryanair Belfast turnback?
 
BBC short item this morning. BBC News

PENKO 11th May 2010 09:48

Peter, only by measurements you can back up the theory of where the ash is, surely?

peter we 11th May 2010 09:56


Peter, only by measurements you can back up the theory of where the ash is, surely?
Well, yes, but the measurements they are doing seem to backup up the theory.
Weather theory is pretty good and sophisticated and the 60mile buffer is going to cover the uncertainty. Unlike weather prediction, its where the cloud is in a few hours rather than a few days that matters and thats much easier.

Still pumping out ash
Eyjafjallajökull frá Hvolsvelli

Lots of earthquake activity
Earthquakes - Mýrdalsjökull

Icenews reports that the dust is finer


Meanwhile RUV reports a series of earthquakes under and around Eyjafjallajokull which could signal changes to the volcanic eruption.

According to geophysicist Steinunn Jakobsdottir, the quakes could be a sign of a new vent about to open. The volcano already has three vents, but only the one on the northernmost edge is still erupting.

Ash fall in the area has been decreasing and is currently very fine but large rocks have replaced the ash production, apparently caused by the earthquakes. The rocks are being shot high up into the air and crashing down onto the glacier, making holes in the ice. The size and weight of the rocks means that they are a very localised problem and only fall very near to the volcano.
Air travel normalising again as volcano changes behaviour | IceNews - Daily News

The SSK 11th May 2010 10:04

The 60 mile buffer zone has been removed

BBK 11th May 2010 11:27

Regarding the latest situation on the northern spanish airfields does anyone know if they are open, or not, as of 11th May.

AENA website won't play ball!

regards

BBK

The SSK 11th May 2010 11:30


At the current time airports on the Canary Islands, some in south-west Spain and some in Morocco are closed. According to the forecasts, during the afternoon, areas of higher ash concentration could move in a north-easterly direction cutting across the Iberian Iberian Peninsula and into south east France. These areas are of high altitude and are not expected to impact airports.
Eurocontrol, one hour ago

dublindispatch 11th May 2010 12:31

60 mile buffer
 
Why hsa the buffer zone of 60 miles been removed?

MagnusP 11th May 2010 13:37


Given that Italy is the one country in Europe (apart from Iceland) that understands volcanoes
Last eruption on Spanish territory (La Palma) was only in 1971, so they know a thing or two, too.

sabenaboy 11th May 2010 14:11


Why hsa the buffer zone of 60 miles been removed?
From eurocontrol:
"To this end charts showing areas of potential concentrated contamination have been produced in close coordination with London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre. These charts enable States to establish NO FLY zones where necessary. Ongoing work by the UK Met Office and the UK CAA has confirmed the effectiveness of the model used to determine the areas where ash concentration could be above engine tolerance levels. For that reason, the 60 nautical mile "Buffer Zone" which was initially added has been removed from charts published as from 11-1200 UTC. States retain the prerogative to add the 60nm buffer if they believe it is necessary to do so."

doublesix 11th May 2010 14:16

Just brought parents back from MAN. Due to leave for Tenerife this morning 7am. Sent home this afternoon and told flight cancelled indefinately.


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