PJ2 quote - A loss of thrust at cruise power would result in some yaw but not an uncontrollable yaw and certainly good control over any roll FDR data showed that the airplane’s uncommanded roll to the left reached a maximum of 41.3° at 1103:44. The first officer, as the pilot flying, began to roll the airplane back to wings level; about 6 seconds later, the airplane’s left roll was 5.1°, at which point the roll attitude was generally back under the pilots’ control As SLF when it comes to jets the lesson I take away is that an engine failure may not be that benign. |
Originally Posted by megan
(Post 11208870)
From the Southwest 1380 report where the engine failed climbing through FL320...As SLF when it comes to jets the lesson I take away is that an engine failure may not be that benign.
The report paragraph you quote states that the First Officer had the aircraft under control, returning the bank angle from 41° to 5° within 6 seconds. That was the point in my post - engine failure will cause yaw but in all ordinary, (uncomplicated) circumstances, is controllable whether on takeoff, climb, cruise, descent and approach. The event is practised in the simulator every six months or so. The other event occurred on a B777 and with loss of thrust from the right engine, the aircraft responded to the yawing moment, (nose turning to the right in this case) and began to roll. The bank angle reached 45°. Control of the aircraft was handed to the captain, (normal decision depending upon circumstances in the moment), and the bank angle was reduced. The Incident Report does mention the challenge of control but the aircraft remained wings level. There is no observable reason to compare either of the above events with the China Eastern accident. But, while rare, matters can get very complicated very, very quickly. When the flight data becomes available, we will know better. Aviation has a way of making any one of us eat our own words, once in a while. I have dined at its table a number of times... :rolleyes: |
The Chinese system is very different than the West. The high hour FO was likely a check airman in the right seat and doing either line training or an annual line check. The young observer FO is just in the jump seat to gain experience. A very common practice in Chinese airlines.
Typically you fly with 3 pilots so the young FOs can gain experience during their ab- initio training style program. They have 500 hours just of observation flights before they are fully checked and have about 1000 hours actual right seat time before they are signed off to operate as a solo FO. Many times I flew as an Expat Captain on a 4 day trip and the two FOs would trade off each day of the 4 day rotation. You may think 31,000 hours is high and it it certainly is but most Chinese pilots are flying about 900 hours per year except the past 2 years of Covid, that is the norm. Pay is also based on flight time so they also want to fly that for max pay. The more senior pilots do get the more efficient trips also so less work days to get that 900. The junior pilots fly 14 hour duty days and 4 sectors but only get 4 hours of actual flight time and pay credit. It was said the right seat may have been downgraded and that is also very possible if he had a serious under their standards mistake like a terrain warning GPWS callout. It’s a massive punishment culture and everyone gets punished for one guys mistake. They strangle many chickens to scare the monkey in China. I flew 8 years in China and can say it was both the best of times and hardest of times. Unless you’ve experienced extreme scrutiny and evaluation of your every input you won’t know what I’m talking about but some of the flying was actually very enjoyable and some great Copilots I flew with, much better pilots than myself down to 500 feet, you just had to pay attention or they could get you into trouble easily with a hard landing 1.7 G or above. The simulator training is by far the most intense you’ll ever get in the industry and runaway trim, rudder hardcover and jammed elevators and stabilizers are routinely practiced in the sim but no actual emergencies can be practiced in the aircraft. |
Originally Posted by PJ2
(Post 11208911)
The SW B737 engines would have been in climb thrust, not cruise thrust. Thrust produced by the engines for the climb is greater than that required in cruise so loss of a higher level of thrust would certainly be noticeable to the crew and the airplane would respond more firmly to the assymetric thrust.
The report paragraph you quote states that the First Officer had the aircraft under control, returning the bank angle from 41° to 5° within 6 seconds. That was the point in my post - engine failure will cause yaw but in all ordinary, (uncomplicated) circumstances, is controllable whether on takeoff, climb, cruise, descent and approach. The event is practised in the simulator every six months or so. The other event occurred on a B777 and with loss of thrust from the right engine, the aircraft responded to the yawing moment, (nose turning to the right in this case) and began to roll. The bank angle reached 45°. Control of the aircraft was handed to the captain, (normal decision depending upon circumstances in the moment), and the bank angle was reduced. The Incident Report does mention the challenge of control but the aircraft remained wings level. There is no observable reason to compare either of the above events with the China Eastern accident. But, while rare, matters can get very complicated very, very quickly. When the flight data becomes available, we will know better. Aviation has a way of making any one of us eat our own words, once in a while. I have dined at its table a number of times... :rolleyes: |
Quote PJ2 - Thrust produced by the engines for the climb is greater than that required in cruise so loss of a higher level of thrust would certainly be noticeable to the crew and the airplane would respond more firmly to the assymetric thrust |
CVR now with NTSB in Washington
According to Reuters, NTSB has the CVR in Washington for downloading
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Wasn’t the FZ incident in Rostov an -800 nosedive with runaway trim wheel as a potential causative factor
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megan, That video in your post 313 illustrates exactly what I have been writing on another thread about simulators being unable to reproduce the 'startle effect' and acceleration forces of the real world incident/accident. UPRT has its uses but, with the best will in the world, it cannot compare with reality.
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Originally Posted by Sandlandman
(Post 11209488)
Wasn’t the FZ incident in Rostov an -800 nosedive with runaway trim wheel as a potential causative factor
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megan, Bergerie1 has kindly responded and I would agree with the assessment regarding simulators. The sim can produce very sharp "responses", including vibration, rapid changes in yaw, pitch etc., engine or tail scrapes and hard landings. On "dry" accident reports, it is impossible to write in a report on behalf of someone else who may or may not be alive, "what it was like". There is a long history of striving for factual reporting which has led to remarkable advances in data-capture & gathering. This one goal enables investigators to get as close to what happened and why so changes, improvements and validations of design, standard operating procedures, regulations etc., can reasonably be made. The science of human-factors acknowledges startle as a factor in behaviour but in the abstract. It's all quite dry for a good reason.
Sailvi767, re your comment: "The Southwest aircraft yawed and rolled because the engine suffered a uncontained catastrophic failure causing extensive cowling damage that dramatically increased airframe drag. Even given it was at a high thrust level and the aerodynamic drag it was easily controllable. That’s a very different scenario than what we know about China Eastern.". Yes, agree. I believe that's essentially what I said in the post you have quoted: The SW B737 engines would have been in climb thrust, not cruise thrust. Thrust produced by the engines for the climb is greater than that required in cruise so loss of a higher level of thrust would certainly be noticeable to the crew and the airplane would respond more firmly to the assymetric thrust. The report paragraph you quote states that the First Officer had the aircraft under control, returning the bank angle from 41° to 5° within 6 seconds. That was the point in my post - engine failure will cause yaw but in all ordinary, (uncomplicated) circumstances, is controllable whether on takeoff, climb, cruise, descent and approach. The event is practised in the simulator every six months or so...There is no observable reason to compare either of the above events with the China Eastern accident. |
@jlsmith -
CVR now with NTSB in Washington - According to Reuters, NTSB has the CVR in Washington for downloading |
So, back to the crewing. Was the 30k+ hr RHS FO a China Eastern captain that had lost his command due to previous flying related incidents?
If so, it potentially makes for an interesting dynamic on the flightdeck! |
Originally Posted by H Peacock
(Post 11210025)
So, back to the crewing. Was the 30k+ hr RHS FO a China Eastern captain that had lost his command due to previous flying related incidents?
To my understanding CAAC News won't mistake RHS LTI for an F/O. Although 60 may be and probably is the PIC age limit. |
Originally Posted by H Peacock
(Post 11210025)
So, back to the crewing. Was the 30k+ hr RHS FO a China Eastern captain that had lost his command due to previous flying related incidents?
If so, it potentially makes for an interesting dynamic on the flightdeck! |
Originally Posted by H Peacock
(Post 11210025)
So, back to the crewing. Was the 30k+ hr RHS FO a China Eastern captain that had lost his command due to previous flying related incidents?
If so, it potentially makes for an interesting dynamic on the flightdeck! We've established the Training Captain (he wasn't the FO) with the long hours was Jump Seating. |
Originally Posted by Auxtank
(Post 11210204)
Really would be great if you read the Thread before spouting in.
We've established the Training Captain (he wasn't the FO) with the long hours was Jump Seating. |
Originally Posted by H Peacock
(Post 11210025)
So, back to the crewing. Was the 30k+ hr RHS FO a China Eastern captain that had lost his command due to previous flying related incidents?
If so, it potentially makes for an interesting dynamic on the flightdeck! |
Originally Posted by Auxtank
(Post 11210204)
We've established the Training Captain (he wasn't the FO) with the long hours was Jump Seating.
CM1 Young talent captain CM2 Retiree F/O, overqualified (unclear reasons) CM3 Cadet |
Originally Posted by Lost in Saigon
(Post 11210220)
Have we established if that high time pilot (Zhang Zhengping) was demoted for a ground proximity incident and a failed SIM evaluation?
Also the rumors of in excess of a dozen CEAir crewmembers positioning only flashed once, immediately in the afternoon. |
Originally Posted by Sailvi767
(Post 11210243)
the man who made the decision to demote him.
Not ruling out a revenge motiff, just pointing out the local custom. |
Originally Posted by FlightDetent
(Post 11210268)
Technically, this is exactly how it works not in the PRC. Everything is a joint, comittee decision. To illustrate, for a business contract it is the stamp that matters, not the signature. TREs are not allowed to fail a candidate without approval. Etc.
Not ruling out a revenge motiff, just pointing out the local custom. |
Don't know. Just assume/reflect that demoting a poster-instructor would need to include a CCP panel, worker's union council plus the flight ops management team of the local base and the HQ as well as agreement of their POI. After all, this is a government-run airline. Some of the stability and persistence comes from the stakeholders opposing each other. What's agreed becomes cast in stone.
Of course, if the suicide turns out to be true then logic would not have played a major role. Kindly consider the edge of my previous post unnecessary as well as unintentional. |
This story states that both recorders were sent to the NTSB.
The safety board has said it was assisting the Civil Aviation Administration of China with the download of the cockpit voice recorder at its lab in Washington, but wouldn’t be releasing any information about its contents. The NTSB also hasn’t commented on whether the download was successful. The flight-data recorder, which captures hundreds of parameters monitoring an aircraft’s path and systems, was also brought to Washington by the Chinese, a person familiar with the process said last week. |
Recorders condition
Originally Posted by LTC8K6
(Post 11210585)
This story states that both recorders were sent to the NTSB. Seattle Times
Chinese official sources during the SAR operation clearly stated a number of times that the recorders would be send to Beijing for download and analysis. As I posted earlier there was note of more serious damage to the CVR can than at first impression and needed manufacturer involvement (Honeywell). So the same might be true for the FDR now. The FDR can having been recovered days later after being exposed to rainy conditions.Both cans showed similar scratching damage and a little bending at one flat end, but no exposure to fire it seems. If the recorders were not compromised during an earlier attempt (there always is a risk), then this may point to a longer time before analysis may be started. |
This might be just the typical technical assistance to just download the recorders. It doesn't change the Chinese civil aviation authority leading the investigation.
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They probably 'only' need to transfer the memory modules to a another circuit board.
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Originally Posted by Less Hair
(Post 11210775)
This might be just the typical technical assistance to just download the recorders. It doesn't change the Chinese civil aviation authority leading the investigation.
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Posts
Originally Posted by Less Hair
(Post 11210775)
This might be just the typical technical assistance to just download the recorders. It doesn't change the Chinese civil aviation authority leading the investigation.
As dave says - all according to the well known procedures,… indeed, @procede - I think the damage is more than that, … putting chips on another board is something you expect the Chinese are well capable of (can always send the required board) … after proper drying and such… but hope we will find out more later, |
Originally Posted by A0283
(Post 11210823)
@procede - I think the damage is more than that, … putting chips on another board is something you expect the Chinese are well capable of (can always send the required board) … after proper drying and such… but hope we will find out more later,
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Can be that even some memory IC are damaged. The Chinese have surely some capability in this case but I would send it to the manufacturer because they know best what to do to get to the data. You can easily destroy existing data with wrong methods. At least it shows, that the CAAC takes this serious to get to the truth.
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While I have to be careful because I'm only getting info directly from current CE employees, at least internally the reason being given for the 3rd crew and the captain flying as a F/O is all about Covid. Effectively I've been told by former students of mine (Cadets for 3 Chinese airlines) that most domestic flights are being crewed by 3 pilots with all 3 pilots logging time due to the current downturn with covid and company minimum hour requirements.
Again without naming the company or person at least 1 of my contacts (A recently type rated 320 F/O) is that for the last 3 months every flight has had 2 Captains flying and him logging F/O time from the jumpseat. |
Eh, need to check with them if there used to be 3 pilots on most domestic flights also before COVID (yes). Logging the jumpseat is normal because it is an official duty, although keeping captains current for take-offs and landings first does make sense.
Not blaming the messenger, the concept of 'least painful logically acceptable explanation' is well established and sadly aims to disconnect from analytical truth / causality. |
Originally Posted by FlightDetent
(Post 11211752)
Eh, need to check with them if there used to be 3 pilots on most domestic flights also before COVID (yes). Logging the jumpseat is normal because it is an official duty, although keeping captains current for take-offs and landings first does make sense.
Not blaming the messenger, the concept of 'least painful logically acceptable explanation' is well established and sadly aims to disconnect from analytical truth / causality. Also to whomever I read above saying their sims are hard I can agree, I was part of a management group that visited one of our contract airlines pre covid - our Head of Ops was a prior 737 Captain and commented on the standard expected of cadets, especially on your more specific emergencies like runaway trim and hydraulic failure - also some near impossible combinations of failures eg. V1 engine failure and runaway trim passing 2500 feet with flaps jammed |
South China Morning Post:
The head of China’s Civil Aviation Administration has vowed to deeply reflect on all aspects of the deadly crash of flight MU5735 and step up safety checks with “extreme” vigilance across the industry. Speaking in a teleconference on Wednesday, Feng Zhenglin, director of the Civil Aviation Administration, directed officials to increase their knowledge of aviation safety regulations and to carry out more thorough inspections to detect hidden risks. Interesting comments - is he alluding to a possible maintenance-related oversight or technical issue being a possible cause? I note an earlier post in the thread saying that the aircraft was on the ground for 2 days prior to the day of the accident. Was it in maintenance? |
Originally Posted by silverelise
(Post 11211809)
South China Morning Post:
The head of China’s Civil Aviation Administration has vowed to deeply reflect on all aspects of the deadly crash of flight MU5735 and step up safety checks with “extreme” vigilance across the industry. Speaking in a teleconference on Wednesday, Feng Zhenglin, director of the Civil Aviation Administration, directed officials to increase their knowledge of aviation safety regulations and to carry out more thorough inspections to detect hidden risks. Interesting comments - is he alluding to a possible maintenance-related oversight or technical issue being a possible cause? I note an earlier post in the thread saying that the aircraft was on the ground for 2 days prior to the day of the accident. Was it in maintenance? Also (for completeness) note that FR does not appear to show maintenance flights. They regularly do show manufacturing (production test) flights. |
Originally Posted by silverelise
(Post 11211809)
South China Morning Post:
The head of China’s Civil Aviation Administration has vowed to deeply reflect on all aspects of the deadly crash of flight MU5735 and step up safety checks with “extreme” vigilance across the industry. Speaking in a teleconference on Wednesday, Feng Zhenglin, director of the Civil Aviation Administration, directed officials to increase their knowledge of aviation safety regulations and to carry out more thorough inspections to detect hidden risks. Interesting comments - is he alluding to a possible maintenance-related oversight or technical issue being a possible cause? I note an earlier post in the thread saying that the aircraft was on the ground for 2 days prior to the day of the accident. Was it in maintenance? Global Times: Chinese airlines take concrete measures to strengthen flight safety after crash |
Originally Posted by silverelise
(Post 11211809)
South China Morning Post:
The head of China’s Civil Aviation Administration has vowed to deeply reflect on all aspects of the deadly crash of flight MU5735 and step up safety checks with “extreme” vigilance across the industry. Speaking in a teleconference on Wednesday, Feng Zhenglin, director of the Civil Aviation Administration, directed officials to increase their knowledge of aviation safety regulations and to carry out more thorough inspections to detect hidden risks. Interesting comments - is he alluding to a possible maintenance-related oversight or technical issue being a possible cause? I note an earlier post in the thread saying that the aircraft was on the ground for 2 days prior to the day of the accident. Was it in maintenance? |
It might be as complex as rewiring the integrated circuit pins to the silicon pads due to the large g-forces. If the silicon itself is fractured - then almost no chance of recovery.
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Squares, by cracked silicone do you mean the case or the die itself ?
If the case is cracked you can " decap " the dies from the case an transplant it if it's cracked thru the die, then yes, game over. |
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