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-   -   Ethiopian airliner down in Africa (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/619272-ethiopian-airliner-down-africa.html)

romiglups 13th Mar 2019 21:02

BEA will probably analyze flight recorders: (from their twitter account @BEA_Aero) :


⚠️���� 03/10 accident to the #Boeing737Max @BoeingAirplanes ET-AVJ operated by @flyethiopian / Ethiopian authorities have requested @BEA_Aero assistance for the analysis of FDR & CVR / Any communication on the investigation progress is the responsibility of those authorities.

4EvahLearning 13th Mar 2019 21:03

Too many pages to read to see if this has been asked before but what happens to the crews that work on these planes that have been grounded? Leave without Pay? Standby Pay? I believe I heard the entire global fleet of 371 planes has now been grounded. That is a lot of affected crews and their families.

Nil by mouth 13th Mar 2019 21:05

Reactivation
 
With all of these aircraft now grounded, The Mojave Air and Space Port may see a lot of movement in the coming days?

Longtimer 13th Mar 2019 21:06


Originally Posted by Airbubba (Post 10417359)
It appears that a WestJet 8 MAX is one of the first to get a ferry back to base permit. C-GDDR was scheduled to operate WS1229 MCO-YYZ this afternoon.

Instead it seems to be ferrying MCO-YVR (or -BFI for a refund?) after departing about 20Z:


https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....b4d7baaa82.jpg

That would require a very fast reaction time by the FAA.

Airbubba 13th Mar 2019 21:07


Originally Posted by LookingForAJob (Post 10417366)
CNN just reported that FAA based decision on 'black box data' that showed similarities to the Lion Air accident.

Have the ET302 'black boxes' been reviewed on site or is this just more fake news? Supposedly the Germans said they didn't have the software to read the recorders and the Ethiopians said did they not have the equipment.

WindSheer 13th Mar 2019 21:11


Originally Posted by 4EvahLearning (Post 10417368)
Too many pages to read to see if this has been asked before but what happens to the crews that work on these planes that have been grounded? Leave without Pay? Standby Pay? I believe I heard the entire global fleet of 371 planes has now been grounded. That is a lot of affected crews and their families.

They'll fly NG instead.

RTM Boy 13th Mar 2019 21:12


Originally Posted by procede (Post 10417315)
They probably confirmed that the aircraft has had to come down in a near vertical nose down attitude, similar to the Lion air case.

Surely that was obvious from the first photos of the crash site on day one; the very limited debris field and massive disintegration of the fuselage made it obvious that the a/c hit the ground at not far off 90 degrees to the perpendicular, at high speed considerably in excess of terminal velocity.

There's possibly some other preliminary data and/or information we're not aware of (yet)? Or perhaps it's what they haven't found at the crash site - eg no sign of other causes?


Magpie32 13th Mar 2019 21:12

In light of the 737 MAX gounding what happens to those pilots who are type rated on only the 737 MAX models?
Nobody knows how long the grounding will last so when does an airline start to make provisions for pilots to get flying again?

Edit: Just seen the question has already been asked but the answer was they’ll fly the NG instead.
I assume then a type rating on the MAX is good for the NG too?
Surely the NG will be fully crewed and therefore bringing MAX crew over will just impact the NG crew who’ve done nothing wrong.

LeftHeadingNorth 13th Mar 2019 21:14

So what exactly is the problem with the MAX here? Surely, a faulty MCAS design can't be the main reason for the grounding? Did Boeing redesign the alpha vanes/pitot tubes on the max? The erroneous speed readings seem to me to be the main villain in this drama.

Airbubba 13th Mar 2019 21:15


Originally Posted by Longtimer (Post 10417372)
That would require a very fast reaction time by the FAA.

Or, maybe they didn't get the message about the grounding.

In years past I've had a Part 91 ferry permit faxed to me within an hour after an aircraft technical problem. In this case they would also need permission from Transport Canada I would think.

Whatever the case, this Canadian MAX 8 has taken off during the grounding.

WJ8982 is also now airborne TPA-YYZ.

4EvahLearning 13th Mar 2019 21:19


Originally Posted by WindSheer (Post 10417378)
They'll fly NG instead.

that's a lot of people to fit into a roster. I'm guessing if anybody has been complaining they can't take leave, then they will have the ability to take it now. Might be a win for some. Here's hoping not too much stress is caused for all affected.

DaveReidUK 13th Mar 2019 21:22


Originally Posted by Airbubba (Post 10417373)
Have the ET302 'black boxes' been reviewed on site or is this just more fake news?

Neither. It's a reference to ADS-B data captured by the Aireon satellite network.


diclemeg 13th Mar 2019 21:26


Originally Posted by cynar (Post 10417289)
yeah, what's this new evidence? what do we know today that we didn't know Monday?

They probably just now realized that there are many scenarios the MCAS Engineers didn't think of.... Airbus went through this "oh F***" learning curve...
-or-
Trump rightfully forced their hand, of which, wasn't acting, as the solution will cost $ Billions....

FanControl 13th Mar 2019 21:28

Currently the Max-9 has (4) in flight. The Max-8 has (46) in flight.

OldnGrounded 13th Mar 2019 21:34


Originally Posted by LeftHeadingNorth (Post 10417382)
So what exactly is the problem with the MAX here? Surely, a faulty MCAS design can't be the main reason for the grounding? Did Boeing redesign the alpha vanes/pitot tubes on the max? The erroneous speed readings seem to me to be the main villain in this drama.

It seems likely that a faulty MCAS design could be the main reason for the grounding, if such faulty design were believed, based upon evidence, to be a major factor in two hull losses, and the loss of all souls on board, in a few months, on new aircraft. And, if the evidence did not, yet, point to a specific set of causes, the similarities between the two accidents are, by themselves, sufficient to ground the type pending further investigation and analysis.

bnt 13th Mar 2019 21:37

Here's a link to the FAA's Emergency Order. At the bottom of page 3 and on to page 4, they state that: "the investigation of the ET302 crash developed new information from the wreckage concerning the aircraft's configuration just after takeoff that, taken together with newly refined data from satellite-based tracking of the aircraft's flight path, indicates some similarities between the ET302 and JT610 accidents that warrant further investigaton of the possibility of a shared cause for the two incidents that needs to be better understood and addressed".


BrandonSoMD 13th Mar 2019 21:38


Originally Posted by RTM Boy (Post 10417380)
Surely that was obvious from the first photos of the crash site on day one; the very limited debris field and massive disintegration of the fuselage made it obvious that the a/c hit the ground at not far off 90 degrees to the perpendicular, at high speed considerably in excess of terminal velocity.

I don't find that at all "obvious." High speed? Probably. Vertical? Hardly.

Consider this photograph of the crash site - the only one I found that was taken from above ground level. I don't have enough points yet to post the image or a link to it, but you could find it here:
i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2019/03/12/00/10838788-6794233-Pictures_have_emerged_showing_the_scale_of_the_crash_site_fr om_a-a-14_1552350488610.jpg
(from a Daily Mail article about the crash).

It clearly shows a sharply defined impact hole, but with a sizable trail of small debris for hundreds of yards to the lower right side, indicating a considerable forward velocity. Also, the hole is NOT at all circular - it's much wider to the lower right side.

Also, although it's pedantic, I don't think "terminal velocity" is the right term here. Terminal velocity refers to a freely falling body - which an airplane under thrust is most definitely NOT. "High speed" is appropriate. Perhaps you meant "higher than limit speed" for a 737?

But even then, I don't think you can infer much about absolute speed from the photograph. Crashing an airliner into soft earth (which it appears from the multitudes of ground-level photos) will result in a large crater, no matter the impact speed. I would surmise that anything above a couple hundred knots would produce a similar crater, and similarly small bits of leftover debris.

Ian W 13th Mar 2019 21:41


Originally Posted by DaveReidUK (Post 10417393)
Neither. It's a reference to ADS-B data captured by the Aireon satellite network.

The amount of information broadcast continually by ADS-B Extended Squitter is significant aircraft state, vertical and turn rates, FMC settings lots of information. In a relatively sparse area the discrimination of one aircraft's broadcasts would be relatively simple by Aireon (a hosted payload on Iridium Next satellites)

Vilters 13th Mar 2019 21:46

The sensors that are killing people.
 
The most fragile things in the whole system are the sensors that are always exposed to the outside world.
In most cases, it is a sensor breaking up, or feeding wrong information to the pilots/systems.We absolutely need more and better quality control (and back-up's) for the sensors.
Static, dynamic, AOA, all of them.

Airbubba 13th Mar 2019 21:46

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....0db1e0da69.jpg



Originally Posted by DaveReidUK (Post 10417274)
That makes no sense. WTF is a "B738 MAX" ?

They saw your post and made another update:


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....5733e30142.jpg


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