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-   -   MH17 down near Donetsk (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/543733-mh17-down-near-donetsk.html)

dr dre 19th Jul 2014 01:52


that was because as a routine, the Iranians were setting the transponders on the F-14 as civilian aircraft. The A300 was headed directly over the Vincennes, was warned to divert on all freq's, but still continued.

That is why the Vincennes engaged.
Revisionist history.

1)The Airbus was climbing away from the ship, not descending as the US Navy claimed.
2) The Vincennes never tried to contact the Airbus on the civilian ATC frequency, and the broadcast statements were vague, they referred to the aircraft's groundspeed, not Airspeed.
3) The Airbus was on a regular civilian flight route, on a properly filed flight plan.
4) Two other US Navy ships in the area at the time identified the aircraft as a civilian airliner.
5) The US Navy had issued a NOTAM warning aircraft to remain at least 5nm from their vessels, the Airbus was 11nm away at the time.
6) The Captain of another US Navy ship operating in the area at the time had observed the USS Vincennes Captain's behaviour as "aggressive", the captain was known for "picking a fight"
7) The ship was in Iranian territorial waters at the time.
8) The US government paid out money to the iranian victims, while never admitting culpability.

Iran Air Flight 655 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Now I'm not say the US Navy and the crew of the Vincennes knew they were targeting a civilian airliner, and made a deliberate decision to bring it down. In the fog of war mistakes happen, but it is clear the crew and especially the captain were negligent in their conduct at the time. It is also possible these rebels/militants/terrorists/freedom fighters (however you choose to describe them) in the eastern Ukraine could have had the same mindset (we're under attack) leading to the same negligent action. It was the Russian (or Ukrainian government, depending on your point of view) who created this war, and continue to finance it, arm the rebels and stoke the fires in the region. Just like the US government has been interfering in the Persian gulf and Iran since 1953.

The difference being now the governments of the world are calling this a terror act, and a crime worthy of severe punishment, and with the Vincennes the crew had medals pinned to their chest and George H W Bush said "he'd never apologise for the United States, no matter what the facts were"

Hypocrisy anyone?

DozyWannabe 19th Jul 2014 02:36

Folks, we're on a hiding to nothing if all we throw around is conjecture and reheated Cold War rhetoric. So let's get a few things straight on the political front - to whit:
  1. Russia is no "backwater" or "banana republic". The state may have lost its "superpower" status with the fall of the USSR, but it would be naive in the extreme to assume that there is not enough infrastructure in place to play the situation with complete precision.
  2. Vladimir Putin [and I cannot emphasise this enough] is not stupid. From what is known he was no Party apparatchik, he was a senior figure in state security counter-intelligence. The reason he wields the power he does is because he knows exactly where every closeted skeleton lies, where every body is buried, and exactly who put the bodies there. He is *absolutely* not to be underestimated.
  3. If the "pro-Kremlin" rebels did indeed shoot MH17 down, they've just cut Putin off at the knees - and if the people responsible are not currently making every possible effort to vanish, they will either end up being handed over to spare the Kremlin's blushes, or face-down in a nondescript field with a shiv in their back.
  4. While the area where the aircraft came down is held by the rebels on paper, it is still very much an unstable region. Any person who successfully smuggles out wreckage with proof of an external explosion will effectively get to name their price with the Kiev government. If this occurs, whatever becomes of the flight recorders will essentially be moot.

SAMPUBLIUS 19th Jul 2014 03:42

18th Jul 2014, 19:36 re pjm
 
re the black box moot bit . re dozywannabee

actually a few seconds thought re the black boxe(s) CVR and FDR.

At best the FDR *might* show via acceleration traces what side of the plane was hit by the missile, and algtitude, speed, etc at that instant. So big deal :ugh:

And the CVR **might** have caught a WTF ??? :ugh:

And it doesn't add anything of significance - but makes for good media fodder.

Of course there may be some other conversations IF plane was divereted or if they noticed anything . . . but IMHO such conversations with ground or ATC are already recorded .

p.j.m 19th Jul 2014 04:16

Tweetbot Catches Russian Government Editing Flight MH17 Wikipedia Info
 
Tweetbot Catches Russian Government Editing Flight MH17 Wikipedia Info | Gizmodo Australia


The original version of the Wikipedia article listing civil aviation accidents stated that MH17 had been shot down “by terrorists of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic with Buk system missiles, which the terrorists received from the Russian Federation.”
yeah, not guilty at all.

1a sound asleep 19th Jul 2014 04:17

My #1 concern is getting the victims bodies and their personal items from the crash scene right now. Flight recorders wont tell us much. Those responsible will deny everything

Stanley11 19th Jul 2014 04:23

Agree with Dozywannabe,

The best play for Putin would be to dis-associate himself from the incident. Find the trigger-man/men and deliver them to the investigators. He has nothing to gain from this and surely no spin artists could turn this into something worthwhile.
Best play for Russia: Secure the corridor and area with the Polite People for the investigators. Deliver the perps. Get the investigators out of the area with the bodies and all remaining evidence. Carry on the blame game.

p.j.m 19th Jul 2014 04:24


Originally Posted by 1a sound asleep (Post 8569945)
My #1 concern is getting the victims bodies and their personal items from the crash scene right now.

You have to wonder who's video recorder the soldier is using..

http://i.imgur.com/qLPUV20.jpg

Stanley11 19th Jul 2014 04:25


getting the victims bodies and their personal items from the crash scene
Unfortunately, they'd be looted by now

CISTRS 19th Jul 2014 04:39

We have seen the stacks of passports already taken without due process. The wallets, cash, credit cards are already surely looted.

Stanley11 19th Jul 2014 05:09


Why no fireball
From previous posts, it appears that the main tail section was found a distance away from the main crash site. This suggests that the tail section broke apart from the main body.

SAMs of this class typically have a proximity fuse, i.e. it doesn't need to contact the aircraft to explode and damage the aircraft. The 777 is a large aircraft. There is a high chance that the missile exploded near the tail of the aircraft sufficiently to cut through the tail section or at least enough for the tail section to separate. The aircraft would then lose it's ability to sustain flight and fall to earth. The lack of a flaming decent / smoke trail points supports this theory, i.e. the main fuel tanks were intact and not ignited upon missile impact/explosion.

KatSLF 19th Jul 2014 05:21

A crew member on Vincennes, who originally identified the plane as civilian, complained it was so dark in the operations area that he could not read the (paper) listing of civilian flights.

Crew on deck with binoculars (or perhaps even without, at only 11nm) would have seen what it was; there would be no way to combine that knowledge with a blip on the screen in a dark control room.

The same would apply to MH17. The locals standing outside would have known it was a civilian craft on a normal route where they regularly see these. The guy at the dark enclosed SAM controls would see only a blip.... heading his way from the west, where all the previous danger has come from.

amizaur 19th Jul 2014 05:25

"I refer to the images from bobik 57 on page 21 above. The scars do rather look like shrapnel has impacted."

Those scars looks rather like something hit or slided on that surface - possibly other plane fragments hit that fragment when it was desintegrating in the air - than holes/marks left by small shrapnels from exploding warhead.

Stanley11 19th Jul 2014 05:34


Crew on deck with binoculars (or perhaps even without, at only 11nm)
Sir, it is not easy to conduct a visual identification/recognition of a target at 11nm away on a moving platform (heaving ship), even with a gyro stabilized bino. Environmental conditions (heat haze, atmospheric dust, etc) will distort the image, aspect of the target, illum, etc.

Passagiata 19th Jul 2014 06:29

Dozywannabe:

Any person who successfully smuggles out wreckage with proof of an external explosion will effectively get to name their price with the Kiev government. If this occurs, whatever becomes of the flight recorders will essentially be moot.
Good point. In fact, they shouldn't wait for a rebel to think of it. A massive reward of millions (and safe harbour in the West) should be offered without delay!

JakartaDean 19th Jul 2014 06:45

M1 or M2?
 
Amizaur said:

Here is a video showing how an engagement looks like for operators of a Buk-M1 Launcher:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LSXMhaFntrU

At 1.19 we see the operator's consoles, horizontal situation being displayed on the larger, circular orange display. I'm not sure what the right retangular orange display is for - vertical situation, precise target tracking, missile tracking ?
There is also a green oscilloscop-like display - not sure what it does, and a TV display for targeting using a visual channel.

From 1.24 to 1.29 we see a target engagement on the circular display - first the radar is scanning wide 120deg horizontal sector (7deg in elevation), we see a blip of a target detected. As the target is selected, the scanning is quickly reduced to 10deg zone, and just after that - target is locked on and the beam is tracking it.

All this looks quite "analog" - no syntetic situation display with computer generated target markers tagged with speed and altitude data - only analog "blips" on radar, the range is determined by the radar display grid, the speed - probably by the rate of movement on the display, and the altitude of the target - well, I have no idea if it's displayed anywhere ? Maybe after the target is locked on, some numerical or at least analog data about speed, course and altitude is calculated and displayed... somwhere....
The video you linked to is the M1, or "Gadfly" in Nato terminology. What I've seen around here and elsewhere refers to the Grizzly. This link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DDXScnEKaP0 shows the M2 in operation.

If you pause the video right at 22 seconds you can see some form of IFF, but I'm not sure what it is saying. I'm also not sure if Ukraine and Russia still share the same type of "friend" designation in their IFF systems. Does anyone know?

Green Guard 19th Jul 2014 06:56

Passagiata


smuggles out wreckage with proof of an external explosion
Isnt it external explosion if air-to-air missile was used ?

A massive reward of millions (and safe harbour in the West)
another words "bribe by the west"...so desperately needed these days

dukof 19th Jul 2014 06:58

A month ago the militia complained of Ukrainian fighter jets trying to trick them into downing passenger planes. Explained in video from 18th of June.

http://i.imgur.com/3VQOmaL.jpg

Too see video, turn on captions for English translation, from 1:10;

JUNE 18, 2014: E. Ukraine separatist claims Kiev is baiting militia to shoot down passenger planes

GunpowderPlod 19th Jul 2014 07:18

Ukranian BUK systems in Russian hands
 
ARC Government: three anti-aircraft missile regiments of Ukraine's Armed Forces join Crimean side - News - World - The Voice of Russia: News, Breaking news, Politics, Economics, Business, Russia, International current events, Expert opinion, podc

uksatcomuk 19th Jul 2014 07:25

Are there any reports from other a/c in the area ?

There was a flight 55 miles to the SW at same alt , similar heading.
Would not crew or passengers have seen the plume ?

Caygill 19th Jul 2014 07:51


p.j.m

Quote:
The original version of the Wikipedia article listing civil aviation accidents stated that MH17 had been shot down “by terrorists of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic with Buk system missiles, which the terrorists received from the Russian Federation.”
yeah, not guilty at all.
Rightly so. With +10k edits, I would have done the same if I've seen such a statement on Wiki. Wikipedia is not a platform for opinions or value loaded rethoric, full stop.


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