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-   -   Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/535538-malaysian-airlines-mh370-contact-lost.html)

Walnut 26th Mar 2014 14:28

Re broken aerial feeds it appears the AD re structural problems did not impact this a/c. Maybe it should have? I also have had a reply that the power source/ feeds for a lot of the comms. VHF HF TSPDR ACARS but not the SATCOM shared a common path. That's hard to believe but it would lead to extra workload for the crew just at the point when they were sorting out a major problem. Any initial calls would be dead & a crew trying to sort out a major emergency would not waste time on this extra minor problem. They would probably believe they had just left VHF range. It also appears the A/P uses a different source which could explain why the a/c made a turn etc.

MichaelKPIT 26th Mar 2014 14:34

Bono

Yes, but two caveats: 1) Even narrowed down, the search area is the size of Texas and Oklahoma combined. 2) There still remains the possibility that they are NOT in fact searching in the right place. In fact the only piece of "stuff" even remotely resembling debris is the fire bottle/mine/breathing gear in the Maldives. I know - very tenuous link indeed, but it's the only thing to come out of the water so far.

Lonewolf_50 26th Mar 2014 14:37


Originally Posted by Walnut (Post 8402329)
Re broken aerial feeds it appears the AD re structural problems did not impact this a/c. Maybe it should have?

That was mostly cleared up about 200 pages ago. To sum up: absent a certain airframe mod, the bulletin would not apply to this hull. That's the info available to the public so far.

HeavyMetallist 26th Mar 2014 14:40

@minimaman: The Indian Ocean isn't some smooth, unruffled surface where an airliner could skim the surface before coming to rest - even if it were being flown by a great pilot, rather than just relying on its natural stability as you're suggesting. An aircraft hitting water at 200kts is not going to remain intact, it will be smashed to pieces. Imagine what a truck would look like after hitting a motorway bridge at 60mph, then scale that up by a factor of 10 for the higher energy of the aircraft speed you're suggesting. The only large pieces remaining intact will be those torn off at the root by the impact, such as wings and tail surfaces.

bono 26th Mar 2014 14:49

Where Is Debris?
 

MichaelKPIT
Bono
Yes, but two caveats: 1) Even narrowed down, the search area is the size of Texas and Oklahoma combined. 2) There still remains the possibility that they are NOT in fact searching in the right place. In fact the only piece of "stuff" even remotely resembling debris is the fire bottle/mine/breathing gear in the Maldives. I know - very tenuous link indeed, but it's the only thing to come out of the water so far.
1. Big passenger plane hits water, breaks apart and spews debris of all kinds
2. Roaring forties will spread debris far and wide within days
3. Satellites looking across hundreds of miles will spot atleast some debris within a few days using Inmarsat data
4. Aircraft and ships will be notified and regular search and investigation will follow.


It sounds all logical but nothing, absolutely nothing has been spotted, so cross off #3. If they do not find anything in a week's time, start looking underwater.

Ian W 26th Mar 2014 14:50


Originally Posted by Leightman 957 (Post 8402313)
>Indeed, despite the revelations from the DFDR and CVR when they were recovered that turbulence was not involved, there were still posts claiming that the crash was due to severe turbulence.

But no one suggested that given the storm line turbulence was not present, or that flying attitude without instruments, or intermittent or conflicting instruments, at night without a horizon, would not be more difficult than smooth air. Turbulence probably contributed to confusion in an already confused situation. And my bet is that turbulence would be about the last thing pilots would mention. "Gee its turbulent."

Actually they did mention the turbulence and told the rear crew that the pax should be strapped in. However, it is always like that flying through the ITCZ. The CVR and DFDR showed the LOC was almost certainly due to lack of experience/practice in limited panel manual flight at altitude with unreliable speed indications when in Alternate Law.

VinRouge 26th Mar 2014 14:50


I'd believe it was a piece of discarded rocket debris before I'd believe it came from a 777. Not least because it's 5,000km away from Oz.
Good point. lots of stuff ends up in the indian ocean from launches in the US and South american launch sites.

PriFly 26th Mar 2014 14:53

AFAIK MAS do not allow non crew to be in the FD but just like anything else there are rules written on paper and then there is real life. I'll leave it at that.

James7 26th Mar 2014 14:57


GarageYears. Uhhg... what fantasy land do you live in? Please give me one example of a large widebody jet *landing* on the ocean and remaining even close to intact? And if you mention Sully and the A320 on the Hudson... immediate disqualification - a relatively smooth and calm river is NOTHING like the Indian Ocean on ANY day of the year.
Did not the Tristar land in the Florida Everglades.
T7 crash in San Fran bounced around a fair bit, just check out the videos on YouTube there should be plenty to choose from. Remainder of Aircraft stayed in tact. Bits of flaps missing.

Anything is possible and actually having some waves to cushion the impact so less chance of a breakup.

Chances are some of the flaps and other control surfaces came off and these are what is likely the debris, if it is actually from MH370.

Please give one example of a wide body attempting to land and breaking up!

MG23 26th Mar 2014 14:58


An 'aviation expert' has stated that, within the console of the B777, there is a satellite 'phone.
I've wondered about that. If the crew were conscious and wanted to communicate, even if the radios and ACARS were out, they should still be able to use the phone. Unless that had somehow become disconnected from the SATCOM terminal by whatever affected the radios.

Golf-Mike-Mike 26th Mar 2014 15:03

Ditching
 

Originally Posted by GarageYears (Post 8402384)
what fantasy land do you live in?

I know what you're saying but it does beg the question why the safety briefing for trans-ocean flights doesn't include a caveat something like, "there's no way we can land this thing safely in the ocean but for your comfort and convenience, .....". But let's not go there ;)

James7 26th Mar 2014 15:06


AFAIK MAS do not allow non crew to be in the FD but just like anything else there are rules written on paper and then there is real life. I'll leave it at that.
Maybe if they allowed it and someone was in the FD, possibly 200+ persons would still be alive.

bono 26th Mar 2014 15:09

Where Is debris?
 

Ian W
First some debris has been spotted by aircraft but ship recovery has not yet happened.
There is nothing that can be tied to MH370 that has been spotted visually by any ship. South Indian ocean has plenty of debris otherwise (Google Indian Ocean Garbage Patch).


The two arguments go against each other:
1. Big fully loaded aircraft "crashes" and breaks apart
2. Practically no debris located


One of them CANNOT be right if Inmarsat data is correct.

GlueBall 26th Mar 2014 15:15

Best Flight 370 lead yet? Satellite spots possible debris field - CNN.com

AT1 26th Mar 2014 15:16

Opportunity
 
I am considering setting up an "E@Humble-Pie" store, with discount for registered site posters.

I suspect there will be quite a demand when we do find out what happened, hopefully sooner rather than later.

Ian W 26th Mar 2014 15:21


Originally Posted by bono (Post 8402413)
There is nothing that can be tied to MH370 that has been spotted visually by any ship. South Indian ocean has plenty of debris otherwise (Google Indian Ocean Garbage Patch).


The two arguments go against each other:
1. Big fully loaded aircraft "crashes" and breaks apart
2. Practically no debris located


One of them CANNOT be right if Inmarsat data is correct.


You really have no sense of scale - in a post way back at the beginning of the thread the problem was described as looking for a green grain of sugar in Central Park.

Now some debris has been sighted and marker buoys dropped - and even then ships cannot get to that area easily to check out what has been found.

If someone had wanted to find somewhere to 'lose' a widebody aircraft so it could not be found they would have chosen the South Indian Ocean in the 'roaring forties'.

Had it not been for the maintenance of low level SATCOM connectivity, and, the capability of communications scientists to calculate from simple handshakes where an aircraft could be - the location of the aircraft would be completely unknown and the assumption would have been a crash close to Malaysia.

flown-it 26th Mar 2014 15:26

SAR info
 
For BONO and the others who keep on about debris, bear in mind what the Australian military have said. " We have to find the haystack"

As I said in a post several days ago, I've been there, in the haystack, and still couldn't find what we were looking for. Even with modern radars, sea clutter is a major problem, particularly when looking into the swell. If the object in the water is moving relative to the swell you may be able to electronically isolate it. If on the other hand it is drifting with the swell I don't see how you can reduce the sea return without killing the return from the object.

So back to Mk 1 eyeball!

Info from current SAR types would be helpful.

Post# 8267

bono 26th Mar 2014 15:46

Where is Debris
 
U.S. hardware designed to help with that task arrived Wednesday in Perth, the western Australian city that is the base for the search efforts.
The United States sent a Bluefin-21 autonomous underwater vehicle, which can search for submerged objects at depths as low as 14,700 feet (about 4,500 meters), and a TPL-25, a giant listening device that can help pinpoint the location of pings from the flight data recorder. Towed behind a ship, the TPL-25 can detect pings at a maximum depth of 20,000 feet (about 6,100 meters).

-From Above CNN Article

Great!, looks like NTSB is as baffled as I am regarding no worthwhile debris from crash of a fully loaded giant aircraft.


Ian W
You really have no sense of scale - in a post way back at the beginning of the thread the problem was described as looking for a green grain of sugar in Central Park.
The search area has not ballooned it has simply moved around based on drifting models as mentioned by AMSA briefings. The area if anything has become narrower, a fact you can verify by looking at daily search maps published by AMSA on its media site. From the initial area given to them by NTSB, AMSA has essentially factored in only drifting models and satellite sightings. None of these searches have been fruitful. In any case it defies logic that while search area is become narrower, yet there have been zero debris sightings.

Boudreaux Bob 26th Mar 2014 15:50

CNN certainly is NOT the source to reference for anything to do with this Aircraft Disappearance. They being of the every conspiracy and lunatic theory there is.:ugh::rolleyes::=

galaxy flyer 26th Mar 2014 16:05


Please give one example of a wide body attempting to land and breaking up!
Please give an example of a wide body landing in 15' swells and NOT breaking up.

EA 401 landed in the Glades at a gentle descent rate in smooth surface and most were killed. The 'Miracle on the Hudson' was 99% about still surface conditions and landing at a controlled rate. IF MH 370 flamed at fuel exhaustion, as seems most likely, it hit either barely controlled (pilots still alive, which then begs why were they there) or uncontrolled after the A/P tripped off following loss of AC power.


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