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-   -   Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/535538-malaysian-airlines-mh370-contact-lost.html)

olasek 24th Mar 2014 19:33


The aircraft turns onto the selected heading and descends to FL120
It has been reported that the alleged descent to FL120 never occurred.


The crew were completely incapacitated and unable to fly the aircraft in daylight and in contact with ATC)
Vastly different circumstances, the pilots were able to talk to ATC and flight ended very quickly (minutes), not flying for 7 hrs across oceans and making funny turns avoiding airspaces.

olasek 24th Mar 2014 19:34


No proof of fuel exhaustion.
well, there is almost a proof.
They had fuel for 7:30 hrs and the flight lasted over 7 hrs.
In view of the above it is you who has to prove there was no fuel exhaustion.

James7 24th Mar 2014 19:36

Gouli ... .

That should at least put paid to all the posts relating to Lithium battery fires, flying under the radar and deliberate attempts to kill everyone by hypoxia/anoxia
If someone was alive in the cabin then the portable ELT's would have been activated.

airsupport 24th Mar 2014 19:38

RAAF confirming here this morning that they have now found debris from the aircraft, sadly no survivors.

olasek 24th Mar 2014 19:44


RAAF confirming here this morning that they have now found debris from the aircraft
And your sources are ...??

MPN11 24th Mar 2014 19:44


Originally Posted by James7
If someone was alive in the cabin then the portable ELT's would have been activated.

By whom? Someone who knew they were there, and how to operate them? A random passenger, perhaps?

Originally Posted by Beijing
"If the 154 passengers did lose their lives, Malaysia Airlines, the Malaysian government and military are the real executioners who killed them. We the families of those on board submit our strongest protest against them.
"We will take every possible means to pursue the unforgivable crimes and responsibility of all three."

"Someone doth protest too much, methinks"

Now back to credible News.

Lonewolf_50 24th Mar 2014 19:44


Originally Posted by airsupport (Post 8398703)
RAAF confirming here this morning that they have now found debris from the aircraft, sadly no survivors.

Has it hit the media yet?

DCrefugee 24th Mar 2014 19:45

BEA on the search for AFR447
 
The following conclusions reached by the BEA after its search for AFR447 may be of interest:


- Above all, more frequent position reporting by aircraft is required (flight AF 447 transmitted its position every 10 min). This is the subject of a recommendation made by the BEA in its Interim Report n° 2 on 17 December 2009.
- Drift buoys must be released as soon as possible after any accident, in order to follow the drift currents, which can be highly unpredictable beyond a few days.
- Calling on a submarine to listen for acoustic beacon signals at 37.5 kHz is not appropriate.
- The transmission times of acoustic beacons must be increased from 30 to 90 days: despite this, it is noted that there is some doubt as to whether they functioned. The recommendation made by the BEA to install an additional beacon, transmitting on a lower frequency and thus with longer range, should enable the risk of non-detection to be decreased.
- The Remus AUV, equipped with sonar and camera, proved themselves to be highly effective.
- Exploring undersea areas with rough terrain at great depths and so far from the coast is a technological and organisational challenge. It takes a long time to organise such operations, which call on resources in material and the few world specialists, and need significant financial resources (from 5 to 15 M€).

hamster3null 24th Mar 2014 19:46

This latest announcement makes zero sense to me physically. The talk about Doppler effect looks like techno-gibberish that makes me wonder what exactly they are hiding and why.

We have a radially symmetric configuration. One satellite in geosynchronous orbit, approximately round Earth, and an aircraft somewhere above the Earth. We can measure the distance from the satellite to the aircraft via time-of-flight, and we can measure the radial speed of the aircraft via Doppler effect, but nothing here breaks either the rotational symmetry or mirror symmetry.

Seabreeze 24th Mar 2014 19:49

RAAF cannot confirm debris is from MH370 by visual means alone. Need debris in hand to confirm.

Golf-Mike-Mike 24th Mar 2014 19:49


Originally Posted by hamster3null (Post 8398718)
This latest announcement makes zero sense to me physically. The talk about Doppler effect looks like techno-gibberish that makes me wonder what exactly they are hiding and why.

Already posted that they said they went back through weeks of other Malaysian 777 flights they had data for and examined the signal for those going northbound compared to the southbound ones and saw a Doppler shift (I guess?). So they're making a comparison not looking at MH370 alone.

similarly no talk of "jitters" I read in another thread.

Doc Savage 24th Mar 2014 19:57

:cool:

FWIW, here is a little more detail on what the RAAF saw as reported be the pilot (per Xinhua):


RAAF says mutiple objects "verified", mission deemed "successful" - Xinhua | English.news.cn

Chronus 24th Mar 2014 19:59

Lonewolf 50

According to latest on our side of the pond is the Malaysian PM`s announcement, compassionate and commiserating in nature rather than hard facts. The RAAF P3 crew have reported floating objects which appear to be a crate and belts. So nothing concrete as yet.
Good chance by early tomorrow the reported debris may be recovered by vessels in the area and promptly identified.

hamster3null 24th Mar 2014 20:00


Originally Posted by Golf-Mike-Mike (Post 8398722)
Already posted that they said they went back through weeks of other Malaysian 777 flights they had data for and examined the signal for those going northbound compared to the southbound ones and saw a Doppler shift (I guess?). So they're making a comparison not looking at MH370 alone.

similarly no talk of "jitters" I read in another thread.

Satellite sees a Doppler shift when the aircraft is on a trajectory that brings it closer or further away from it. E.g., if the satellite is 45 degrees above the horizon from the point of view of the aircraft and the aircraft flies at 490 knots and steady altitude directly towards the satellite, and communications between the satellite and the aircraft occur at the frequency of 1.6 GHz, Doppler shift is 1.6e9*cos(45)*(490*1.852/3600)/299792=1903 Hz.

If the same aircraft were to turn either X degrees left or X degrees right, radial speed (the component directed towards the satellite) would decrease, transverse speed would increase, and Doppler shift would decrease. But, since the system has mirror symmetry, the satellite has no way of knowing whether the aircraft turned left or right.

Like I said, we have a highly symmetric configuration (one satellite) and nothing evident to break the symmetry.

Ornis 24th Mar 2014 20:02

hamster3null

The talk about Doppler effect looks like techno-gibberish ... We have a radially symmetric configuration.
Different surfaces north and south: land and ocean?

Sober Lark 24th Mar 2014 20:03

I thought Chris McLaughlin of INMARSAT certainly had a dig at MAS this evening for being one of the airlines who choose not to follow the AF447 BEA recommendation 4.2.4 relating to transmission of flight data and who are now suffering the consequences of such inaction.

Machinbird 24th Mar 2014 20:08


This latest announcement makes zero sense to me physically. The talk about Doppler effect looks like techno-gibberish that makes me wonder what exactly they are hiding and why.
Hamster,
Supposing the orbit of the satellite were ever so slightly inclined to the equator. Then the satellite would appear to nutate North and South of the equator as viewed from earth and would create slight doppler effects at certain times of the day for stations essentially North and South of the satellite. Gotta be something like that.

daikilo 24th Mar 2014 20:10

I have just listened to the BBC interview of a person from INMARSAT. If I understood correctly
1) they did create and provide a model of the likely "disappearance" zone about a week ago i.e. over a week after the event, based on analysis of pings and modelling of typical MH flights. Congratulations for the initiative to what is in principle a data-transmission organisation.
2) as search organisations did then go to the area, it is also logical that the Malaysians would want to also remain focussed on other scenarios until they had been rendered impossible. Had they not done so and had the Inmarsat model have subsequently been proved wrong would have been unfortunate.
If I add to that
3) as far as I have been able to ascertain, there is no firm evidence of what happened inside the plane after the last voice exchange
4) likewise there is little evidence of where it actually then flew and even less on how it got onto the track it seems to have followed, or for that matter any other possible tracks
I find the statement emanating from the Beijing family group very unfortunate and possibly due to a lack of counselling and understanding of the bigger picture. It is imperative that the industry works to communicate on why it takes time and thus avoid such happenings. That said, I have to admit that the comment of the Inmarsat responsible that, by obligation, ships are tracked every 6 hours and that a similar tracking could be instituted for aircraft blew me over, not by its simplicity, but by the fact that say ICAO has not mandated it. I hope they will see the value. We don't need another one like this.

catch21 24th Mar 2014 20:10

Perhaps there's an air temperature or humidity difference between the N & S arcs that would make differentiation possible? Land & sea and all that? I appreciate the altitude involved here.

Golf-Mike-Mike 24th Mar 2014 20:10


Originally Posted by hamster3null (Post 8398743)
Satellite sees a Doppler shift when the aircraft is on a trajectory that brings it closer or further away from it. E.g., if the satellite is 45 degrees above the horizon from the point of view of the aircraft and the aircraft flies at 490 knots and steady altitude directly towards the satellite, and communications between the satellite and the aircraft occur at the frequency of 1.6 GHz, Doppler shift is 1.6e9*cos(45)*(490*1.852/3600)/299792=1903 Hz.
If the same aircraft were to turn either X degrees left or X degrees right, radial speed (the component directed towards the satellite) would decrease, transverse speed would increase, and Doppler shift would decrease. But, since the system has mirror symmetry, the satellite has no way of knowing whether the aircraft turned left or right.
Like I said, we have a highly symmetric configuration (one satellite) and nothing evident to break the symmetry.

So are you saying if you compare the Doppler shift in MH370's pings, over a 7hr flight on a SSW track, with flights flying in some opposite direction, would there be no difference whatsoever ?


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