CASARA S&R Navigator / Spotter here:
Well, I took a look at those images and have to say that, to my eyes at least, they look more like wave-action. It would be nice to have zoomed-in and consecutive images to see if they changed at all with time. Tomnod has coverage of the new areas, so if people do have any spare time, PLEASE log-on and give it a shot. :ok: Just a personal observation - it seems incredible that MAS still has the relatives at KL. The 'expect the worst' message went out days ago and any possible wreckage only confirms a catastrophic crash. Surely the best thing is to get everyone home to calmly wait for the eventual facts to emerge, not this ongoing media circus(?) |
Debating fact.
Please we do not have any substantial evidence of MH370 climbing to FL450 :(
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I can't see the last-but-one page, so it may have been posted already, but here's an interesting new WSJ article for those who thought Inmarsat took a long time to process and release the satellite data: |
Although confirmed by several 772 Drivers that a fully loaded and fueled 772 would NOT be capable of reaching FL450. Even FL 400 would be challenging at that stage of the flight?? |
@PPMAGETO
I wonder, why your pic did not get any attention. First time i see the possible position arcs from the former sat-pings too. What is the origin of this graph, I read BBC based on NTSB? And big question: why is there no arc for the time 3:11? Aircraft unpowered or position arc identical with the 2:11 or 4:11 arc? http://www.pprune.org/8390293-post6648.html |
captains_log said
Do we have any actual proof of this so far? We have some pings and a last known point no actual proven flight path has been published? - a few released/leaked hits - Thailand saying it never left their radar (meaning for long, at least) and never crossed into their territory (which means WP start North of border over sea, go south a fair distance and skirt this non-linear border, WP end North of border over sea) - No other radar hits anywhere anytime after the above series of hits to cross the Peninsula (...well released hits, at least. There is the possibility some of the more "secrete" locations might have pinged it and they just don't want to publicly let people know said secrete locations are there. Little/No reason not to release hits from known radar locations though, and if one was deliberately trying to avoid radar, the known locations would be the only ones whoever was piloting would know to avoid) - Governments involved (who have more data than us) saying they interpret everything as deliberate ... if not deliberate, it will probably be unbelievably difficult to come up with a series of events to produce what happened in reality. Would maybe be possible, but that's a possible well down the scale and rather on the verge of impossible |
I don't see how it could have been flying HDG. The last 2 pings were at 7:11 and 8:11 on the same 40 degree arc. That implies to me that it flew to a waypoint before 7:11 and went into a holding pattern at it.
Are there any waypoints in the search area that would meet the criteria? |
I took a break from following the frenzy of posts some 40 pages ago. Some amazing intelligence on satellites and RF. Very impressive. But I am also amazed by the number of posts from seemingly intelligent and informed people who are STILL advancing theories on decompression, fire or other mechanical failure. At least one major news outlet has been parroting the same unfounded and emotionally driven theories having read them on this site!
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Magnus
I just read that before I came on here. Confirms what John Young didn't say in the PC. Interesting thing that was said was the re tasking of two satellites to produce high res images of the area so it will be interesting what they show. |
Radar returns
With no IFF all supposed radar returns are suspect!
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@geneman
Given the sensitivity of surveillance techniques, we do not know the origin of the data or if other images are available, in the visual spectrum or via radar. What someone COULD perhaps release is whether these objects have been detected by more than one satellite or during more than one pass of a satellite over this area. |
Because your map is wrong. Haven't we been through this like 4000 posts ago where the Last Known location was somewhere in the Indian Ocean/Andaman Sea and NOT in SCS?
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on the "more satellite images likely" / "satellite images should be very detailed ... look at Google's images!" thing, I just want to throw this out
Remember, Google has plenty of time to take as many detailed shots as they like. They can zoom in the focus to get the best possible image - they know what they are going for, and know it aint gonna be moving anytime soon This isnt quite the case here though. They are searching Thousands of miles, in a quick time period, on a moving surface These images were from 4 days ago already. They are likely a portion of multiple snaps as the entire region was being quick scanned at a resolution high enough to spot something, low enough to allow for the entire area to be hit with said images to be gone over. They likely made a few passes, but I doubt there was a ton of them. There likely isn't a more zoomed in snap of this as they didn't know for a couple days to even zoom in a shot right there; there was that much area being searched. At this point (and really, since they started narrowing down the search to smaller and smaller areas) they have probably been taking higher resolution zoomed in snaps. But this is 4 days later, that debris possibly isn't even there anymore so who knows if they have even been able to find it once again on another satellite image. Not saying they don't have more images, they very well could. And not saying this is exactly the resolution - I imagine they may have blurred it little. But I doubt there are images anywhere near the resolution we would see of say, the released images of suspicious whatever peaking out of the sand in Afghanistan cira-2002, let alone anything close to the Google like "omg, I can see the gnome on my lawn!" type snaps. IMO, at least |
RetiredF4
And big question: why is there no arc for the time 3:11? Aircraft unpowered or position arc identical with the 2:11 or 4:11 arc? Seriously, unless I have missed something, only ONE ping has ever been released, though the existence of more (5?) unreleased ones has been hinted but not confirmed. And we might assume that those involved have used them to "fit the dots" and refine their predictions. (e.g. the Aussie search area ?). But we can't be sure, I think, and we don't have them ourselves. So not released or leaked. Not the ping angles. |
Originally Posted by captains_log
(Post 8390327)
Sorry if this gets deleted as innapropriate im not sorry for saying it, 2 hours for CVR is an utter disgrace. In this day and age for compression and audio storage could easily be hundreds of hours to SSD. I hope if anything from this terrible loss of souls there is an extensive review of how voice/ data is recorded and tracked if lost due to tragedy or otherwise.
AF447 proved a 30day ping is massively inadequate, pitch SAR time against the extra cost of carrying a 21 century black box.. |
MagnusP
US satellite the unspoken source that sparked search This may inform the debate. This is media garbage. These images are not from a sensitive US source (implied "governmental") whose identity needs protecting. They are from a commercial organisation that proudly plasters its copyright notice in the corner of each. The very organisation that proudly claims it immediately manoeuvred its satellites to get the original South China Sea images that appeared so promptly on their own crowd-sourced photo search engine Tomnod. |
The published images have a Digital Globe stamp, and appear to match Digital Globe satellite performance, so there's no reason to suspect those images came from a more expensive Three Letter Agency's resources.
Hopefully much more did, on which the Australians' seemingly confident despatch of ships and aircraft was based. The best indication of where it was at would be if a radar satellite pass had caught it in flight. Then the speed, direction and link to the red arc would be assured, if not publicly known. |
Or was the aircraft excursion on Plan A, skirting Indonesia and Thai airspace and then something else happened that resulted in a turn on to south?
Postulating: the aircraft was under control for the first part of the excursion by, let us suppose, a hijacker. Then, while heading NW, something happened to disable the hijacker and this resulted in the turn south. At this point there was no competent pilot available to control the flight. |
Sat res.
@'DS';- you talked about satellite resolution with regard to Google. Sure, the high-level stuff is from satellites. However, all the detailed, zoomable stuff is from normal, coventional aerial-photography. If Google satellites were THAT good, the military wouldn't need their own assets...!
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